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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New Survation LAB leadership poll has RLB ahead and shakes up

Survation LAB members’ poll for Labour LIst has Long-Bailey 42% Starmer 37% Jess Phillips 9% Lisa Nandy 7% This is very different from the YouGov members p
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Long-Bailey and Rayner, a dream ticket for the other parties.
I expect Nandy to overtake her.
@Sunil_Prasannan . Oh God Of Trains I pray you. Can I break my return journey over two or more days if I have an off-peak return ticket?
A rare occasion on which I get exposed to any FT content, due to their paywall ....
FPT
'Credit cards and gambling are a hideous problem. Hideous.'
Yes it's hideous for me that I won't be able to use one. I think I'm a non-addictive personality or some such phrase, so no risk of getting into trouble.
The spread-betting companies allow betting on credit. That's even more convenient but it must be lethal if you're easily addicted to such activities.
https://twitter.com/chriscurtis94/status/1217538163637395457?s=21
Different off peak rules apply so best to check.
SKS outlines why he should win. It is not "Education, education, education" or "tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime." It will go down well with his metro mates though."
Has she got the big mo?
war is peace
freedom is slavery
ignorance is strength
socialism is Moral
😕
Given that RLB hasn't really started campaigning yet, Starmer will find this poll worrying, though I think the new members/supporters are more likely to back him.
Current subscribers could be anyone and cannot possibly truly represent current Labour membership. If perchance it actually does. God help the Labour Party.
My book does not look good on this.
@TheScreamingEagles: "...yes you can so long as it an open return, ie one that isn’t the same day return as the date as your outgoing journey"
@SandyRentool: "You can break the journey as many times as you like and spread the journey over multiple days. Just make sure you stick to...the validity of the ticket. Different off peak rules apply so best to check."
Thank you all for your advice, it was kind of you
In that case, do you find it strange that the odds (especially on Nandy, out from 7.5 to 9) haven't shifted more?
Here’s an idea, set a peak and non peak fare for any journey, and let people use that how they like, when they like.
https://twitter.com/OzKaterji/status/1217394168168951808
Made me smile.
https://twitter.com/thoughtland/status/1217552861141311489?s=20
What’s your assessment of her chances of winning the Unite endorsement? And, if she does, it’s effect on her chances of victory?
Despite this poll, I still fancy Starmer as I think second preferences will favour him - so having laid him this morning at about 1.48 I am now backing him at 1.68.
I'm absolutely sure Nandy didn't mean she'd do a deal with the SNP.
If the ability to run a bath is key then Labour will be a smelly lot for a long while.
Their next leader is important though. As a Tory I just want to see the least dangerous of them. I think that's Nandy. She's also the most likely to actually win a GE, but I can take that risk in that there won't be the frothing lunacy of Long-Bailey (much improved from Corbyn though) or the weird sleaziness and not quite definable thing that is Starmer.
*titter*
Phillips at least has an interesting style, and Nandy has been semi-bold in some of her comments, but I'd think the chances of them being humiliated is higher than doing surprisingly well.
No more bust (yet another bloody flat-chested male leader....)
We now that the tallest candidate always wins in the US Presidential contests. Is the same true of British elections? Neil Kinnock, as I remember, was absolutely tiny - like a normal Welshman, but to 4/5 scale.
On the contrary this proposal is far more important, it if happened in 1775 we would have escaped a lot of misery :
https://twitter.com/sebwhale/status/1217537436508573696
By contrast Survation just has the list of LabourList members. This might be a larger pool, but it's highly unlikely to be representative of Labour members as a whole.