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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Northern Ireland Westminster Election 2019 – Review And Insigh

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  • TrèsDifficileTrèsDifficile Posts: 1,729
    edited December 2019

    Mr Teacher, Are you having a laugh? Have you been to Cambridge? Cambridge has one of the most vibrant expanding economies in the country with a massive concentration of entrepreneurs and companies large and small. The university may originally have been the catalyst for this, but to say Cambridge is little more than the university is really very silly.

    If Cambridge University and its colleges sold all of their real estate in Cambridge and moved to Dunny-on-the-Wash, do you think most of the entrepreneurs and companies would stay?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    edited December 2019
    isam said:

    So are London schools excellent because of something Labour are doing that Tories aren't in regard to educating children, or because a lot of high achievers and aspirational immigrants of all races live in London?

    The latter is far more important than the former. But it is predicated on immigration and population churn. It could be that Labour policies encouraged both more than Tory policies would. In the absence of these factors, my guess is that willingness to spend higher sums on education is the key factor.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Cyclefree said:

    I’d like to know exactly what the government is proposing when it says that it will stop vexatious prosecutions of soldiers. (This is apparently to be in the Queen’s Speech.)

    For any prosecution to take place, the CPS needs to be persuaded that:-

    1. There is credible evidence on which a jury could convict; and
    2. A prosecution is in the public interest.

    It is this last which stops vexatious prosecutions.

    Is the government really saying that if there is credible evidence that a soldier murdered a civilian they should be exempt from prosecution? Dreadful if so.

    The Conservative manifesto seems to be a long pean to ripping up the rule of law and replacing it with what "right thinking people" would do.

    The definition of a right thinking person is left to the reader.
  • Hiliary Benn on Sky continuing to do his best to keep losing votes for Labour via his inner Mr Stop Brexit.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,562

    I believe that the ads you see are down to your individual browsing history rather than PB. I think we all see different ads.
    It’s not an advert: It’s part of the PB page. Is it just me that’s seeing this then?
  • Have all the astro-turfers that popped up on here during the GE now been given their P45s?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218

    The latter is far more important than the former. But it is predicated on immigration and population churn. It could be that Labour policies encouraged both more than Tory policies would. In the absence of these factors, my guess is that willingness to spend higher sums on education is the key factor.
    Nearly managed to make it non party political there!!

    Net migration was at its highest under the Cameron govt though
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632
    Sandpit said:

    AIUI it was the activities of Phil Shiner which has led to this being an issue.
    https://www.theguardian.com/law/2017/feb/02/iraq-human-rights-lawyer-phil-shiner-disqualified-for-professional-misconduct
    Soldiers were being investigated several times consecutively for the same offence, on the basis that there was 'new' evidence, decades after the fact.
    Have already dealt with this in my previous answer.

    I don't believe that everyone outside London is thick and stupid.

    The provincials, do, however, have a colossal sense of entitlement, believing that they can impose their backward-looking prejudices on those who pay for their lifestyles.
    Aren’t you an Essex man these days? :)

  • eekeek Posts: 29,692
    Phil said:

    It’s not an advert: It’s part of the PB page. Is it just me that’s seeing this then?
    I get the bitcoin advert on edge I see the PB banner on Chrome.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,628
    Phil said:

    It’s not an advert: It’s part of the PB page. Is it just me that’s seeing this then?
    Phil said:

    It’s not an advert: It’s part of the PB page. Is it just me that’s seeing this then?
    No I see it and it was reported on a previous thread. I think the site owners are looking into it.
  • If Cambridge University and its colleges sold all of their real estate in Cambridge and moved to Dunn-on-the-Wash, do you think most of the entrepreneurs and companies would stay?
    Duh, probably yes they would stay, but that isn't going to happen, so yours is a non-point, in the same way as if we suggested in some weird parallel universe London had it's status as capital removed.

    Well done for winning the Pointless Post Prize, and this years leading entry in The Idiot's Guide to Devil's Advocacy
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    edited December 2019
    Cyclefree said:

    Have already dealt with this in my previous answer. Aren’t you an Essex man these days? :)

    A rural village rather than London suburb at that!
  • Cyclefree said:

    Aren’t you an Essex man these days? :)

    I have a foot in many camps.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    edited December 2019
    isam said:

    Nearly managed to make it non party political there!!

    Net migration was at its highest under the Cameron govt though

    You asked me a party policial question! Labour is traditionally associated with higher levels of immigrationt than the Tories - and has been more inclined to defend it - but it is undoubtedly true that the Tories have presided over high levels, too. And London schools benefit. As levels fall, it will be interesting to see what happens to educational standards.

  • Hiliary Benn on Sky continuing to do his best to keep losing votes for Labour via his inner Mr Stop Brexit.

    There are very many who are understandably upset that Brexit is lost to the remain cause and it is like bereavement, time will be needed for them to adjust to the dramatic change in their hopes and dreams

  • I was somewhat surprised to find a campus of Coventry University in Scarborough
    university of cumbria (yes.. such an institution exists) has a london campus...
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,654

    I don't believe that everyone outside London is thick and stupid.

    The provincials, do, however, have a colossal sense of entitlement, believing that they can impose their backward-looking prejudices on those who pay for their lifestyles.
    I await your impartial piece on why Labour lost northern seats with interest.
  • You can compare Wales to RoI (where there is a requirement to learn Irish).

    Wales is doing far worse than the RoI.
    Do teachers in Wales have to be able to speak Welsh?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,360
    edited December 2019
    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    Edit - in fact, I was checking the wrong figure. Make that 22%.
  • I believe that the ads you see are down to your individual browsing history rather than PB. I think we all see different ads.
    The best response (many moons ago) was when a poster told OGH that "Romanian Mail Order Brides" were inappropriate ads to have on his site.....after it was pointed out this was down to his own browsing history, he was never heard of again....
  • I am not right-wing.

    I understand you are originally from Scotland. I would have though any Labour supporter might be interested in why they lost Scotland and whether Wales might be next.
    I am not a tribal Labour supporter. In general I think it is bad for any area of the country to become a one party state since electoral competition leads to more attentive and pragmatic politicians who do things like look at the evidence. So while I never want Labour to lose an election I recognise that having the party run Wales in perpetuity is probably bad for both Wales and the Labour party.
    Since I have no knowledge whatsoever of Wales I won't get involved in Welsh politics - as others have noted it is devolved so what goes on there is really none of my business. I would like to see Wales do a lot better as I know it is one of the UK's poorest areas and I can assure you that in my years of living in London I have never heard anyone say anything rude about Wales or the Welsh! In general the beef that non Londoners seem to have with us is wholly unreciprocated.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Was Leicester East Labours worst result of the night ?
    It's not ex mining, is precisely the sort of city seat that should be very safe for Labour if an urban rural realignment is going on.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    edited December 2019

    Do teachers in Wales have to be able to speak Welsh?
    Yes to a certain extent
  • ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    Isn’t that about the national average for secondary schools?
  • There are very many who are understandably upset that Brexit is lost to the remain cause and it is like bereavement, time will be needed for them to adjust to the dramatic change in their hopes and dreams

    Wise words, MrG. If we are to heal as a country, an understanding of this is required. Sadly, I am not sure that healing is on the agenda!

  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,562
    eek said:

    I get the bitcoin advert on edge I see the PB banner on Chrome.
    Oh good, it’s not just me. Looks like either the PB wordpress server has been hacked, or (more likely) someone has gained access to the S3 bucket the assets are kept in & replaced the header image.
  • I am not a tribal Labour supporter. In general I think it is bad for any area of the country to become a one party state since electoral competition leads to more attentive and pragmatic politicians who do things like look at the evidence. So while I never want Labour to lose an election I recognise that having the party run Wales in perpetuity is probably bad for both Wales and the Labour party.
    Since I have no knowledge whatsoever of Wales I won't get involved in Welsh politics - as others have noted it is devolved so what goes on there is really none of my business. I would like to see Wales do a lot better as I know it is one of the UK's poorest areas and I can assure you that in my years of living in London I have never heard anyone say anything rude about Wales or the Welsh! In general the beef that non Londoners seem to have with us is wholly unreciprocated.
    The only way Wales will do well is for labour to be thrown out
  • ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    It's a mystery to me. Money down the drain!
  • ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    Because there are a multiplicity of reasons why people send their kids private. But it may also be that the private schools in an around London are very good too, as they have to be in order to compete.

  • ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    Isn’t that about the national average for secondary schools?

    Yes to a certain extent
    That may be a slight factor then, as it significantly limits the pool of available teachers.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    This is rather good one week down.

    https://youtu.be/X_G-FBSf1UI
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    I think that stats says more about what private education is really all about, rather than anything about the quality of state schools.
  • ydoethur said:

    Here is a serious question, to which I would genuinely like to know the answer:

    If London’s state schools are so good, how come 16% of all secondary school pupils in London are privately educated?

    Class. Parental stupidity. More money than sense.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Thanks. It’s not meant as a criticism of you but that does not make sense. Civil cases are not prosecutions. The reference in the papers was to criminal prosecutions.

    I am not aware of civil cases being brought against soldiers using the HRA to events happening before it came into force. That seems unlikely because it is a pretty well established principle of English law that laws cannot be applied retrospectively. And in any case the 1998 HRA came into force in October 2000, which was well before the Iraq war. The prosecution of the Bloody Sunday Soldier F is not under the HRA. Murder has always been murder. There is nothing retrospective about such a prosecution.

    There has been an issue about soldiers being repeatedly investigated for the same allegations on the basis of made up evidence. That is down to more effective control over the investigations and by the Legal Aid Board and the SRA over some solicitors who behaved very badly indeed. But it hardly needs legislation.

    We shall see when the details come out.

    From the Daily Telegraph article on this subject on Remembrance Sunday:

    The change will prevent prosecutions where "no new evidence has been produced and when accusations have already been exhaustively questioned"
    The change is designed to protect military personnel from repeated inquiries and will specify that the Human Rights Act "doesn't apply to issues - including any death in the Northern Ireland Troubles - that took place before the Act came into force."


    As you say murder has always been murder and it seems these changes won't prevent murder charges where the CPS is convinced those should take place. What it seems to be trying to ensure is the twin long-established principles of double jeopardy and no backdating of law changes both apply here where the law has been permitting abuses by the likes of Shiner.

    image
  • Duh, probably yes they would stay, but that isn't going to happen, so yours is a non-point, in the same way as if we suggested in some weird parallel universe London had it's status as capital removed.

    Well done for winning the Pointless Post Prize, and this years leading entry in The Idiot's Guide to Devil's Advocacy
    So what first attracted the entrepreneurs and businesses to a world class university city? (with apologies to Mrs Merton)

  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,957

    university of cumbria (yes.. such an institution exists) has a london campus...
    But most of University of Cumbria is in fact in Lancashire. While its Ambleside bit (it actually is in Cumbria) is at least more scenic that the outpost in East India Dock Road. As a whole it does not, yet, rival Cambridge, MIT or Caltec.

  • Wise words, MrG. If we are to heal as a country, an understanding of this is required. Sadly, I am not sure that healing is on the agenda!

    I hope it will be but it will take a long time.

    I understand how those who want to remain must feel and both my wife and I have reflected on how we would have felt if Corbyn had been elected and it does give cause to a sober realisation that while we are delighted at the outcome many are not
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218

    Wise words, MrG. If we are to heal as a country, an understanding of this is required. Sadly, I am not sure that healing is on the agenda!

    Your old mucker Boris explicitly said it was in his victory speech.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    isam said:

    Your old mucker Boris explicitly said it was in his victory speech.
    Boris says one thing and does another.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,360
    edited December 2019

    Isn’t that about the national average for secondary schools?
    The comparable overall figure for England is 14.8%. As I noted in my edit, I buggered up the figures and they should have been just over 22%. So London is around 7.5% points (or roughly 50% higher) than the national average.

    Even allowing for possibly quite large numbers of foreign students that gap strikes me as statistically significant.
  • Phil said:

    It’s not an advert: It’s part of the PB page. Is it just me that’s seeing this then?
    I use AdBlock (sorry RCS) and I don't see the Bitcoin ad. So I think it is an ad which my AdBlock is blocking.

    TSE has already contacted RCS about it.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,360
    algarkirk said:

    But most of University of Cumbria is in fact in Lancashire. While its Ambleside bit (it actually is in Cumbria) is at least more scenic that the outpost in East India Dock Road. As a whole it does not, yet, rival Cambridge, MIT or Caltec.

    Its main campus is in Carlisle. I don’t think Carlisle is in Lancashire, although I’m happy to be corrected.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,692

    I use AdBlock (sorry RCS) and I don't see the Bitcoin ad. So I think it is an ad which my AdBlock is blocking.

    TSE has already contacted RCS about it.
    It's not an ad - http://politicalbetting.s3.amazonaws.com/header.jpg has been replaced with the bitcoin advert. Whether you see it or not depends on your browser's caching rather than anything else.
  • Class. Parental stupidity. More money than sense.
    Two things independent schools give you: confidence (which some might reframe as arrogance/entitlement, but confidence is the overriding characteristic) and a network.

    Often - and this may not always be the case, but is often the case - the cohort is free of 'disruptive' pupils, which means teachers can spend increasing amounts of time teaching rather than behaviour management. Indie schools can simply remove disruptive or pupils with learning disabilities, state schools increasingly cannot (or have to appeal, and spend money, fighting with the local education authority to do so).

    On a related note - and in response to an interaction I had with @SandyRentool earlier in the week on here - here's one unintended consequence for de-funding 'youth outreach wank' (his words, not mine): https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/is-the-netherlands-a-narco-state-lawyer-s-murder-raises-troubling-questions-1.4024082
  • I hope it will be but it will take a long time.

    I understand how those who want to remain must feel and both my wife and I have reflected on how we would have felt if Corbyn had been elected and it does give cause to a sober realisation that while we are delighted at the outcome many are not

    Not wanting anyone to win the election meant that one of the sides I wanted to lose did. That lessens the blow of the other side winning.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    Jonathan said:

    Boris says one thing and does another.
    1.01 weighs in

    Oh of course! Let the division remain!!
  • isam said:

    Your old mucker Boris explicitly said it was in his victory speech.

    And as we know, his word is his bond.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I use AdBlock (sorry RCS) and I don't see the Bitcoin ad. So I think it is an ad which my AdBlock is blocking.

    TSE has already contacted RCS about it.
    People still see ads on websites?

    On which subject, @MikeSmithson can we get the 'donate' button back for a few days please, before the election winnings all get spent on Christmas?
  • Mr Teacher, Are you having a laugh? Have you been to Cambridge? Cambridge has one of the most vibrant expanding economies in the country with a massive concentration of entrepreneurs and companies large and small. The university may originally have been the catalyst for this, but to say Cambridge is little more than the university is really very silly.

    So you are saying the University was founded there because of the electronics industry and science park? Very foresighted of those Oxford refugees.
  • Alistair said:

    I continue to be utterly perplexed by what the DUP's goals and strategy was during the Brexit negotiation and votes.

    Did they... Did they actually believe Boris when he said no PM would ever put a border down the Irish Sea?

    Where they that thick?

    Tbf quite a lot of the folk currently saying BJ is the modern Alcibiades were also saying the DUP were playing blinder when dangling Tessy on a string. I'm sure no conclusion can be drawn from this.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    Jonathan said:

    Boris says one thing and does another.
    1.01 weighs in

    Oh of course! Let the division remain!!

    And as we know, his word is his bond.

    It's obviously not on a lot of people's agenda, takes two to make up
  • eek said:

    It's not an ad - http://politicalbetting.s3.amazonaws.com/header.jpg has been replaced with the bitcoin advert. Whether you see it or not depends on your browser's caching rather than anything else.
    Ah I see. I've primarily been browsing the site on Vanilla since I can't see comments on the main site, so when I went to the main site it must have pulled a cached version of the header. Very concerning.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    I do hope there was a long meeting defining exactly what Isabel Hardman meant by ‘working class’ before this was printed

    https://twitter.com/isabelhardman/status/1207612164128870402?s=21
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,957

    Isn’t that about the national average for secondary schools?
    Alistair said:

    The Conservative manifesto seems to be a long pean to ripping up the rule of law and replacing it with what "right thinking people" would do.

    The definition of a right thinking person is left to the reader.
    One possible meaning is (if my law is up to date) that the political judgement of the AG could be used, over riding the non-political judgement of the CPS or DPP, by use of the Nolle Prosequi in such cases. The AG is, of course an ex officio Right Thinking Person, as the holder of the elected office of MP.

  • Two things independent schools give you: confidence (which some might reframe as arrogance/entitlement, but confidence is the overriding characteristic) and a network.

    Often - and this may not always be the case, but is often the case - the cohort is free of 'disruptive' pupils, which means teachers can spend increasing amounts of time teaching rather than behaviour management. Indie schools can simply remove disruptive or pupils with learning disabilities, state schools increasingly cannot (or have to appeal, and spend money, fighting with the local education authority to do so).

    On a related note - and in response to an interaction I had with @SandyRentool earlier in the week on here - here's one unintended consequence for de-funding 'youth outreach wank' (his words, not mine): https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/is-the-netherlands-a-narco-state-lawyer-s-murder-raises-troubling-questions-1.4024082
    I agree with you that they do create over confident, arrogant, entitled adults with a network that lets them sail through working life whether they contribute or not. I am still bemused as to why this is something people pay for!
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632
    edited December 2019

    I have a foot in many camps.
    You see, I have a couple of difficulties with what you say on this, despite sharing your general view about Brexit and about the nasty views it has unleashed.

    The first is that if we are one country we can’t simply slice the place up into sections and determine relations between them on a purely transactional basis (we earn more than you and subsidise you so our views should count for more etc). And we have one person, one vote - votes are not determined by wealth. It seems to me inherent in the nature of any group that at different times different parts will subsidise other parts. It is part of the price of being part of a group.

    Second, the whole country effectively gives an implicit guarantee to the banking sector. That guarantee is very valuable. I am unclear as to whether that value is ever included when it is said that London’s financial sector pays for the rest of the country. And, of course, in the last decade and more, it has cost - and is still costing - the country a very great deal. The provinces have been impacted by that and the opportunity costs of having to sort out the very considerable mess finance got the country into.

    Finally, on FoM, as I asked in July 2016 -

    “ But why would someone in Millom (look it up) vote to have FoM because this is the price to be paid to enable a Swiss bank to base itself in London in order to sell financial services to very rich individuals in Europe? Why would people there care about bankers who have cost the country so much? This may be a shock to Londoners and others but it is a salutary shock.”

    In my experience, there are few people with as enormous a sense of entitlement as those in the financial sector. It is not a pleasant sight when you have seen their dark underbelly.

    Brexit may not answer these concerns, may indeed make them very much worse - as I fear - but we need to answer these questions a bit more thoughtfully than simply accusing provincials of not knowing what is good for them
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    isam said:

    I do hope there was a long meeting defining exactly what Isabel Hardman meant by ‘working class’ before this was printed

    https://twitter.com/isabelhardman/status/1207612164128870402?s=21

    The changes they make to fit in is what makes the working class communities they left dislike them more than toffs, is more or less what I was trying to say yesterday
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,957
    edited December 2019
    ydoethur said:

    Its main campus is in Carlisle. I don’t think Carlisle is in Lancashire, although I’m happy to be corrected.
    Both correct. Carlisle in Cumbria. Largest number of students in Lancashire.

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    isam said:

    1.01 weighs in

    Oh of course! Let the division remain!! It's obviously not on a lot of people's agenda, takes two to make up
    Saying you want healing and then legislating to promote a hard Brexit are not compatible.
  • ydoethur said:

    The comparable overall figure for England is 14.8%. As I noted in my edit, I buggered up the figures and they should have been just over 22%. So London is around 7.5% points (or roughly 50% higher) than the national average.

    Even allowing for possibly quite large numbers of foreign students that gap strikes me as statistically significant.
    Larger proportion of parents who can afford it I would assume. There is a well known independent school not far from mine and I have visited it a lot. I can understand why some parents would prefer the better facilities and smaller class sizes than any state school could afford.
  • Jonathan said:

    Saying you want healing and then legislating to promote a hard Brexit are not compatible.
    Sure it is. Healing can occur post-Brexit.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,957
    edited December 2019
    Cyclefree said:

    You see, I have a couple of difficulties with what you say on this, despite sharing your general view about Brexit and about the nasty views it has unleashed.

    The first is that if we are one country we can’t simply slice the place up into sections and determine relations between them on a purely transactional basis (we earn more than you and subsidise you so our views should count for more etc). And we have one person, one vote - votes are not determined by wealth. It seems to me inherent in the nature of any group that at different times different parts will subsidise other parts. It is part of the price of being part of a group.

    Second, the whole country effectively gives an implicit guarantee to the banking sector. That guarantee is very valuable. I am unclear as to whether that value is ever included when it is said that London’s financial sector pays for the rest of the country. And, of course, in the last decade and more, it has cost - and is still costing - the country a very great deal. The provinces have been impacted by that and the opportunity costs of having to sort out the very considerable mess finance got the country into.

    Finally, on FoM, as I asked in July 2016 -

    “ But why would someone in Millom (look it up) vote to have FoM because this is the price to be paid to enable a Swiss bank to base itself in London in order to sell financial services to very rich individuals in Europe? Why would people there care about bankers who have cost the country so much? This may be a shock to Londoners and others but it is a salutary shock.”

    In my experience, there are few people with as enormous a sense of entitlement as those in the financial sector. It is not a pleasant sight when you have seen their dark underbelly.

    Brexit may not answer these concerns, may indeed make them very much worse - as I fear - but we need to answer these questions a bit more thoughtfully than simply accusing provincials of not knowing what is good for them
    Mr Meeks has, just for once, lost his judicious sense of balance and fairness. Cyclefree is right on the money.

  • Foxy said:

    Thanks to The Green Machine for a very interesting header. Politics in Northern Ireland seems finally shifting a bit, though perhaps the more interesting bit will he the next Stormont elections. Watching the news of the NI NHS last night, there really does need to be a government soon. The current state is intolerable.

    Yep, not heard much from the 'less government is better' lads for a while.
  • Sure it is. Healing can occur post-Brexit.
    Indeed. Brexit is needed to move the dial forward and eventually start the healing but it will be some time ahead and for some it will never heal
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    isam said:

    I do hope there was a long meeting defining exactly what Isabel Hardman meant by ‘working class’ before this was printed

    https://twitter.com/isabelhardman/status/1207612164128870402?s=21

    I think that's a very perceptive article. The point about Jess Phillips is right on the money.
  • Apples 'n' pears. Apples 'n' pears.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    Sure it is. Healing can occur post-Brexit.
    What concessions do you think Boris will give?
  • Cyclefree said:

    You see, I have a couple of difficulties with what you say on this, despite sharing your general view about Brexit and about the nasty views it has unleashed.

    The first is that if we are one country we can’t simply slice the place up into sections and determine relations between them on a purely transactional basis (we earn more than you and subsidise you so our views should count for more etc). And we have one person, one vote - votes are not determined by wealth. It seems to me inherent in the nature of any group that at different times different parts will subsidise other parts. It is part of the price of being part of a group.

    Second, the whole country effectively gives an implicit guarantee to the banking sector. That guarantee is very valuable. I am unclear as to whether that value is ever included when it is said that London’s financial sector pays for the rest of the country. And, of course, in the last decade and more, it has cost - and is still costing - the country a very great deal. The provinces have been impacted by that and the opportunity costs of having to sort out the very considerable mess finance got the country into.

    Finally, on FoM, as I asked in July 2016 -

    “ But why would someone in Millom (look it up) vote to have FoM because this is the price to be paid to enable a Swiss bank to base itself in London in order to sell financial services to very rich individuals in Europe? Why would people there care about bankers who have cost the country so much? This may be a shock to Londoners and others but it is a salutary shock.”

    In my experience, there are few people with as enormous a sense of entitlement as those in the financial sector. It is not a pleasant sight when you have seen their dark underbelly.

    Brexit may not answer these concerns, may indeed make them very much worse - as I fear - but we need to answer these questions a bit more thoughtfully than simply accusing provincials of not knowing what is good for them
    The impacts of the banking guarantee and banking collapse are generally misunderstood. Yes there are a large number of people adversely impacted.

    However anyone with assets at the time of the collapse not only had the value of those assets protected by the state but QE combined with very low inflation rapidly accelerated the value of those assets vs wages.

    It was not just the bankers, probably just as many people did well out of the banking collapse as did badly. Asset owners vs Wage earners, Old vs Young, those are the dividing lines it created, and those were the dividing lines in the GE.
  • Lomdin schools arr that great iirc that they are installing knife detectors in all schools because of knofe crime.
    Cracking irony, Grommit!
  • Jonathan said:

    What concessions do you think Boris will give?
    To whom?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    NEW THREAD
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    To whom?
    To the people with whom he wants to heal.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632

    From the Daily Telegraph article on this subject on Remembrance Sunday:

    The change will prevent prosecutions where "no new evidence has been produced and when accusations have already been exhaustively questioned"
    The change is designed to protect military personnel from repeated inquiries and will specify that the Human Rights Act "doesn't apply to issues - including any death in the Northern Ireland Troubles - that took place before the Act came into force."


    As you say murder has always been murder and it seems these changes won't prevent murder charges where the CPS is convinced those should take place. What it seems to be trying to ensure is the twin long-established principles of double jeopardy and no backdating of law changes both apply here where the law has been permitting abuses by the likes of Shiner.

    image
    That article talks about “ongoing ... prosecutions”. If that is a reference to NI then it suggests that the government is seeking to stop the prosecution of Soldier F, charged with two murders. I bloody hope not.

    Double jeopardy already applies and does not need new legislation, unless the government is preparing to repeal the legislation which allowed the retrials of the killers of Stephen Lawrence. And retrospective legislation has always been contrary to English law, except in very specific circumstances.

    It still remains to be seen exactly what mischief needs to be addressed which cannot already be dealt with using the existing law. Or whether the government is really trying to give certain groups immunity from the law.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423

    Knives Out is probably the best film I saw this year. I would certainly recommend it to anyone who likes a tightly plotted and well acted film with some great lines.
    Excellent film- went in with no expectations and it was great. Another great film from Johnson to go along with the last jedi.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,360
    kle4 said:

    Excellent film- went in with no expectations and it was great. Another great film from Johnson to go along with the last jedi.
    You’ll be telling me next that pineapple is a perfect topping for pizza.
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