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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP is taking SIX times as many votes from the Tories as i

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  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited April 2014
    RodCrosby said:

    The position of Eire was rather different to that of Scotland.

    Not many Irish people wanted to become 'serious politicians or commentators' in the UK, I suspect... After all they had just escaped John Bull's grasp and had a nation to build.

    Any Scottish separation will be less rancorous and, certainly in comparison to the Irish example, is little more than symbolic...
    How many shadow cabinet ministers would no longer be rUk MPs ?

    Murphy ? Alexander ?

    Amusing as Douglas Alexander will be the Labour GE coordinator for a GE where his seat had an expected life of 12 months.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    edited April 2014
    Twitter
    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 33s
    Documents published by Home Affairs suggest Police Fed internal relationships about as friendly as a nest of vipers..

    Ross Hawkins ‏@rosschawkins 2m
    MacLeod on camera: think this is a witch hunt by the media angry about Leveson & equal marriage & taking it out on Maria
  • Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    IndyRef betting: YES price continues to tumble. New best price = 3/1 (Ladbrokes)
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    TGOHF said:


    How many shadow cabinet ministers would no longer be rUk MPs ?

    Murphy ? Alexander ?

    and Curran...
  • Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    Mick_Pork said:

    They also shrieked 'triumphantly' over Osbrowne's incompetent currency posturing for about two weeks. That went well, didn't it?

    LOL

    Remember the PB Golden Rule.
    The PB tories are always wrong. The PB tories never learn.
    The smarter PB Tories (there are a few) must cringe every time the dunderheids log on for their shift.
  • Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    RodCrosby said:

    and Curran...
    How could anybody forget Curran? :)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,094

    This sounds a bit like the saying that you can have something possess two attributes out of cheap, good and quick, but not all three at once.

    We agree that we'd like a system that was fair, simple and honest.

    It would be fair to say that my proposal emphasises being fair and honest at the expense of some complexity - Parliament would have to manage a large property portfolio and allocate it to MPs, etc.

    You favour simplicity and honesty over fairness between MPs located within or without commuting distance of Westminster.

    Unless someone can achieve the impossible and devise a system that combines all three of the desirable attributes, our disagreement is at a fundamental and hard to resolve level.

    I can't say that you are necessarily wrong to favour a simple system over a fair system. I just disagree.

    What I would say about the old system of expenses is that it spectacularly failed to be either simple or honest, and so it should at least be possible to devise a system that is better than that, if not perfect.
    Sorry about my delay in replying. The 'fair-simple-honest was a great way of putting it.

    I think the reason why I favour the system having elements of unfairness in it is that fairness is mostly subjective and hard to measure. As long as travel expenses are paid for, I think it might be the least worst solution.

    There would also be unfairness in your proposed system: not all the properties in the portfolio would be equal, and some would get more desirable properties. Likewise, if the MPs don't pay rent then the media would all be going on about grace-and-favour housing. If they do pay rent, then a London MP who already has a property in the area (indeed, any MP with a property in London) would not need to use the official property, and would pocket what they would pay in rent.

    It's a mess.

    But as I said originally, increasing MP salaries won't happen because the media won't allow it.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited April 2014
    Anyone worked out yet what the status of the Scots Life/Hereditary Peers in Westminster is going to be in rUK?

    It'll be interesting if Scots legislators are removed from one house, but not the other...
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    TGOHF said:

    How many shadow cabinet ministers would no longer be rUk MPs ?

    Murphy ? Alexander ?

    Amusing as Douglas Alexander will be the Labour GE coordinator for a GE where his seat had an expected life of 12 months.
    Alexander and Browne should be given the nod for a safe Tory seat, should they want it.
  • Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    Charles said:

    George Osborne ;-)
    He said serious politicians. Clowns don't count.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    The new Dad's Army also recruits from the the young and the not so young.
    Splendid advert and leaflet from UKIP:

    Who do you think you are kidding Mr Cameron? Only UKIP will stand up for Brits and put our interests above the EU pic.twitter.com/f0AJu0wzY6

    — David Jones (@DavidJo52951945) April 5, 2014
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited April 2014
    MikeK said:

    The new Dad's Army also recruits from the the young and the not so young.
    Splendid advert and leaflet from UKIP:

    Who do you think you are kidding Mr Cameron? Only UKIP will stand up for Brits and put our interests above the EU pic.twitter.com/f0AJu0wzY6

    — David Jones (@DavidJo52951945) April 5, 2014
    Yeah, that'll get the under-40s fired up. Great reference to a comedy that stopped being made in 1977. They should do a 'Terry and June or 'The Good Life' spoof next.

    Gettin' down wi' da kids, innit.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    RodCrosby said:

    Anyone worked out yet what the status of the Scots Life/Hereditary Peers in Westminster is going to be in rUK?

    It'll be interesting if Scots legislators are removed from one house, but not the other...

    Would probably depend which nationality they are going to choose post split - if they decide to remain British then the should keep their seat.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    It would be ridiculously churlish for English people to hold it against Scots that live south of the border, who are generally pro-union, for a decision they weren't consulted on. We should treat them as any other immigrants: expect them to integrate and identify with their present country, but be otherwise welcoming and judge them as individuals.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,329
    Anorak said:

    Yeah, that'll get the under-40s fired up. Great reference to a comedy that stopped being made in 1977. They should do a 'Terry and June or 'The Good Life' spoof next.

    Gettin' down wi' da kids, innit.

    On current polling, UKIP should win c.20% of the vote among voters aged 18-40 on May 22nd.

  • Both The Daily Telegraph and The Times continue to press for La Miller's resignation/sacking and quite right too. God, Cameron's been weak and totally wrong over this issue.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,329
    fitalass said:

    Twitter
    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 33s
    Documents published by Home Affairs suggest Police Fed internal relationships about as friendly as a nest of vipers..

    Ross Hawkins ‏@rosschawkins 2m
    MacLeod on camera: think this is a witch hunt by the media angry about Leveson & equal marriage & taking it out on Maria

    I simply cannot understand how Cameron and Miller can't appreciate what a liability she is to the government right now.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,705
    SeanT said:

    Why on earth, after Scotland has just sued for divorce (with much vitriol and hatred being cast the way of England) should England then say Oh please do let your kids come and use our swimming pool?

    After any YES vote there will, I reckon, be a very mild surge of anti-Scottish feeling. It won't be nasty or violent or permanent, but it will be there, and maybe for a decade or two it will be a little harder for Scots to make it in London, in any arena.

    More significantly, it will be almost impossible for Scots (with recognisable Scots accents) to make it in professions like serious journalism or high politics in London, as the English will (rightly) say, Hold on, you've got your own country now, you told us to go away, why are you still trying to run my country, or tell me how to run mine?

    Smart Scots will see these hurdles, and stay home, and be big fish in the little pond.
    I won't have to travel so far to watch the Open. St Andrews, Troon, Loch Lomand and others can share their own national golf championship.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Anorak said:

    Yeah, that'll get the under-40s fired up. Great reference to a comedy that stopped being made in 1977. They should do a 'Terry and June or 'The Good Life' spoof next.

    Gettin' down wi' da kids, innit.

    I'm under 40 and thought it was amusing. Everyone knows Dad's Army. It was certainly less painful than hearing Gordon Brown listening to the Arctic Monkeys or David Cameron being a Thom Yorke fan.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Sean_F said:

    Yeah, that'll get the under-40s fired up. Great reference to a comedy that stopped being made in 1977. They should do a 'Terry and June or 'The Good Life' spoof next.

    Gettin' down wi' da kids, innit.
    On current polling, UKIP should win c.20% of the vote among voters aged 18-40 on May 22nd.
    Which only goes to show that "some mothers do 'ave 'em" (try that one too, Betty).
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Anorak said:

    On current polling, UKIP should win c.20% of the vote among voters aged 18-40 on May 22nd.
    Which only goes to show that "some mothers do 'ave 'em" (try that one too, Betty).

    Yeah, that or the fact that young people are feeling it hardest from competing with an influx of cheap labour from the continent.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,329
    Socrates said:

    Which only goes to show that "some mothers do 'ave 'em" (try that one too, Betty).
    Yeah, that or the fact that young people are feeling it hardest from competing with an influx of cheap labour from the continent.

    For general elections, UKIP polls c.7% among 18-40 year olds, which is more than twice what it polled among the voters as a whole in 2010.

  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Sean_F said:

    I simply cannot understand how Cameron and Miller can't appreciate what a liability she is to the government right now.
    The media angry about gay marriage? It's possibly the most luvvie industry there is, with a ridiculously high number of gay people. I'm struggling to think of a profession that's less supportive of gay marriage than the media. The government is clutching at straws here.

    Seriously, how idiotic do you have to be to not understand why not co-operating with an investigation into how taxpayer's money is spent is A BAD THING.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,094
    MikeK said:

    The new Dad's Army also recruits from the the young and the not so young.
    Splendid advert and leaflet from UKIP:

    Who do you think you are kidding Mr Cameron? Only UKIP will stand up for Brits and put our interests above the EU pic.twitter.com/f0AJu0wzY6

    — David Jones (@DavidJo52951945) April 5, 2014

    Is being a 'Brit' a bit like being a 'Londoner' ?

    ;-)
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited April 2014

    Both The Daily Telegraph and The Times continue to press for La Miller's resignation/sacking and quite right too. God, Cameron's been weak and totally wrong over this issue.

    He may well have been wrong, but he's certainly not been weak. The weak thing to do would have been to give in, as Blair did over the Mandelson/Hinduja non-scandal, as soon as the press started rampaging.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Sean_F said:


    I simply cannot understand how Cameron and Miller can't appreciate what a liability she is to the government right now.

    @tnewtondunn: No10 and @Maria_MillerMP disingenuously turning Millergate into Who Runs Britain, press or MPs. Sad to say it's working with backbenchers.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Socrates said:

    Which only goes to show that "some mothers do 'ave 'em" (try that one too, Betty).
    Yeah, that or the fact that young people are feeling it hardest from competing with an influx of cheap labour from the continent.
    A mixture of that and UKIP being the only protest party in most areas, I think.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    TGOHF said:

    Would probably depend which nationality they are going to choose post split - if they decide to remain British then the should keep their seat.

    Eh? The Scots will still be British.

    If you are thinking about EWNiish or rUKish, then some 'Scottish' peers already qualify - Messrs Foulkes and (if he is ennobled as a consolation prize) Darling come to mind.





  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Is being a 'Brit' a bit like being a 'Londoner' ?

    ;-)

    You know the Tories have gone over a cliff when they start using the old left-wing tactics of implying "well aren't you a bit racist", nod nod, wink wink.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    TGOHF said:

    Would probably depend which nationality they are going to choose post split - if they decide to remain British then the should keep their seat.
    I hadn't heard people were going to have to choose, or what the details might be. Irish citizens can simultaneously be British citizens, for example...
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    An SNP attempt to downplay Alex Salmond's five-star hotel bills has backfired spectacularly after it emerged he stayed at luxury accommodation singled out by Nicola Sturgeon for direct criticism.

    The Deputy First Minister recently defended Mr Salmond's controversial oversees expense claims by saying he would not get caught staying at New York's upmarket Benjamin Hotel like Jack McConnell, his Labour predecessor.

    But The Telegraph can disclose Mr Salmond has in fact stayed at The Benjamin, spending three nights in a king suite there during a taxpayer-funded trip to the United States in October 2007.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/10751287/Expenses-Alex-Salmond-stayed-at-luxury-hotel-publicly-condemned-by-Nicola-Sturgeon.html
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,992
    DavidL said:

    Michael Gove? Jim Naughtie? Andrew Marr? Andrew Neil? Can you seriously see any of these people wanting to play in a toy sandpit?

    I accept that the next generation might have it harder but England is a very welcoming place: just look at their cricket team.

    David, you are easily pleased if you think any of those fannies are anything special, shreddie is about the best of a bad bunch and his track record is crap.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Scott_P said:

    An SNP attempt to downplay Alex Salmond's five-star hotel bills has backfired spectacularly after it emerged he stayed at luxury accommodation singled out by Nicola Sturgeon for direct criticism.

    The Deputy First Minister recently defended Mr Salmond's controversial oversees expense claims by saying he would not get caught staying at New York's upmarket Benjamin Hotel like Jack McConnell, his Labour predecessor.

    But The Telegraph can disclose Mr Salmond has in fact stayed at The Benjamin, spending three nights in a king suite there during a taxpayer-funded trip to the United States in October 2007.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/10751287/Expenses-Alex-Salmond-stayed-at-luxury-hotel-publicly-condemned-by-Nicola-Sturgeon.html

    Typical unionist stuff.

    They take an off the cuff remark and worry at it for years on end, showing the sort of obsession with it that one normally sees only in psychiatric cases - they have their tiny little bit of justification that they can fixate on and they don't care what the whole world is like.

    I don't mind politicians being held to account - indeed quite the reverse - but but it would be so nice if Labour and Tories got the same treatment in Scotland, especially with such massive clangers as Ms Lamont saying that "we're not genetically programmed in Scotland to make political decisions". The DT ought to be worrying that the future of the union is in her hands, after all!

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,992
    TGOHF said:

    Would probably depend which nationality they are going to choose post split - if they decide to remain British then the should keep their seat.
    what chance the troughers giving up their £300 a day
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,992
    Scott_P said:

    An SNP attempt to downplay Alex Salmond's five-star hotel bills has backfired spectacularly after it emerged he stayed at luxury accommodation singled out by Nicola Sturgeon for direct criticism.

    The Deputy First Minister recently defended Mr Salmond's controversial oversees expense claims by saying he would not get caught staying at New York's upmarket Benjamin Hotel like Jack McConnell, his Labour predecessor.

    But The Telegraph can disclose Mr Salmond has in fact stayed at The Benjamin, spending three nights in a king suite there during a taxpayer-funded trip to the United States in October 2007.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/10751287/Expenses-Alex-Salmond-stayed-at-luxury-hotel-publicly-condemned-by-Nicola-Sturgeon.html

    Ha Ha Ha , no wonder you losers are circling the drain , nothing more important like child poverty , unemployment , bedroom tax etc to focus on. What a bunch of diddies.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,094
    Socrates said:

    Is being a 'Brit' a bit like being a 'Londoner' ?

    ;-)
    You know the Tories have gone over a cliff when they start using the old left-wing tactics of implying "well aren't you a bit racist", nod nod, wink wink.

    I'm not a Tory (tm).
    And I'm not accusing anyone of being racist.

    Aside from that, good post.
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    I wish Oscar Pistorius would put me out of my misery and "do the decent thing".
  • Having read through a fair percentage of the comments in this piece about UKIP support why is it that the vast majority are completely off topic?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Fubarroso said:

    Having read through a fair percentage of the comments in this piece about UKIP support why is it that the vast majority are completely off topic?

    'Cos rightwingers don't like being told what to do?
This discussion has been closed.