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I’ve just come across this intriguing market from Smarkets on what will be the party of the next MP. The options listed on OddsChecker are featured above.
Comments
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First?
First like Lab in the 2019 Peterborough byelection.0 -
Second.0
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If there's no by-election before a snap election do all options win with vastly reduced payouts due to dead heat rules, that's what I want to know.0
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Don't know if the Assange documentary on BBC4 is a repeat but first time I've seen it. Regardless of the political rights and wrongs (which are now lost in the fog of culture wars in any case), but he's a dodgy creature, not quite the clean potato as my gran used to say.0
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Something has gone horribly wrong, the linked market is the next MP TO JOIN TIG0
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36/1 for the DUP?edmundintokyo said:Something has gone horribly wrong, the linked market is the next MP TO JOIN TIG
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Which makes sense, looking at the odds. I think the lead is adrift.edmundintokyo said:Something has gone horribly wrong, the linked market is the next MP TO JOIN TIG
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I wonder if it's possible to bet on Candace Owens being the GOP candidate in 2024.0
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Surely that sentence is the wrong way around? Isn't it the 'political rights and wrongs' that should indeed be debated, and whether Assange is a narcissist, rapist, indoor skateboarding cat botherer that enjoys smearing his walls with his own excrement is the 'fog' we need to see through?Theuniondivvie said:Don't know if the Assange documentary on BBC4 is a repeat but first time I've seen it. Regardless of the political rights and wrongs (which are now lost in the fog of culture wars in any case), but he's a dodgy creature, not quite the clean potato as my gran used to say.
Surely the salient fact is, that it would appear that the US Government can now reach beyond its borders to arrest foreign publishers who piss it off. To its credit, the loony left is the only group making this point, with the possible exception of some eccentrics like Peter Hitchins, who sometimes has a pop when something like this happens.0 -
The senior circuit judge, speaking at Salisbury crown court, disclosed the extraordinary coincidence of being summoned to sit as a juror in a hearing he would be conducting.
“I was selected for jury service here at Salisbury crown court for a trial starting 23 April,” he said.
“I told the jury central summoning bureau that I thought I would be inappropriate, seeing I happened to be the judge and knew all the papers.
“They wrote back to me. They picked up on the fact I was the judge but said ‘Your appeal for refusal has been rejected but you could apply to the resident judge’, but I told them, ‘I am the resident judge’.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/apr/16/judge-summoned-for-jury-duty-at-hearing-he-would-conduct0 -
Not sure why Green is 32 and Sinn Fein is 68.0
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Is Katie Hopkins on a journey?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Sound about right.williamglenn said:
36/1 for the DUP?edmundintokyo said:Something has gone horribly wrong, the linked market is the next MP TO JOIN TIG
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Kafka is out of a job.Richard_Nabavi said:The senior circuit judge, speaking at Salisbury crown court, disclosed the extraordinary coincidence of being summoned to sit as a juror in a hearing he would be conducting.
“I was selected for jury service here at Salisbury crown court for a trial starting 23 April,” he said.
“I told the jury central summoning bureau that I thought I would be inappropriate, seeing I happened to be the judge and knew all the papers.
“They wrote back to me. They picked up on the fact I was the judge but said ‘Your appeal for refusal has been rejected but you could apply to the resident judge’, but I told them, ‘I am the resident judge’.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/apr/16/judge-summoned-for-jury-duty-at-hearing-he-would-conduct0 -
That’s great! 😊Richard_Nabavi said:The senior circuit judge, speaking at Salisbury crown court, disclosed the extraordinary coincidence of being summoned to sit as a juror in a hearing he would be conducting.
“I was selected for jury service here at Salisbury crown court for a trial starting 23 April,” he said.
“I told the jury central summoning bureau that I thought I would be inappropriate, seeing I happened to be the judge and knew all the papers.
“They wrote back to me. They picked up on the fact I was the judge but said ‘Your appeal for refusal has been rejected but you could apply to the resident judge’, but I told them, ‘I am the resident judge’.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/apr/16/judge-summoned-for-jury-duty-at-hearing-he-would-conduct0 -
LOL...Richard_Nabavi said:The senior circuit judge, speaking at Salisbury crown court, disclosed the extraordinary coincidence of being summoned to sit as a juror in a hearing he would be conducting.
“I was selected for jury service here at Salisbury crown court for a trial starting 23 April,” he said.
“I told the jury central summoning bureau that I thought I would be inappropriate, seeing I happened to be the judge and knew all the papers.
“They wrote back to me. They picked up on the fact I was the judge but said ‘Your appeal for refusal has been rejected but you could apply to the resident judge’, but I told them, ‘I am the resident judge’.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/apr/16/judge-summoned-for-jury-duty-at-hearing-he-would-conduct0 -
NOTE the header has changed. I misread Oddschecker0
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Oh well at least you havent crashed the markets this timeMikeSmithson said:NOTE the header has changed. I misread Oddschecker
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Justine Greening or Philip Lee look plausible, I think most of the Labour MPs who might join it in anger at Corbyn and Brexit have done so, a few more diehard Tory Remainers might go0
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MikeSmithson said:
NOTE the header has changed. I misread Oddschecker
Oh well, we all make mistakes. Certainly the odds make more sense now, although 68 for Sinn Fein is a joke. More like 10,000/1 surely? 0 -
Except the US Government has arrested no one, or has something happened today?Luckyguy1983 said:
Surely that sentence is the wrong way around? Isn't it the 'political rights and wrongs' that should indeed be debated, and whether Assange is a narcissist, rapist, indoor skateboarding cat botherer that enjoys smearing his walls with his own excrement is the 'fog' we need to see through?Theuniondivvie said:Don't know if the Assange documentary on BBC4 is a repeat but first time I've seen it. Regardless of the political rights and wrongs (which are now lost in the fog of culture wars in any case), but he's a dodgy creature, not quite the clean potato as my gran used to say.
Surely the salient fact is, that it would appear that the US Government can now reach beyond its borders to arrest foreign publishers who piss it off. To its credit, the loony left is the only group making this point, with the possible exception of some eccentrics like Peter Hitchins, who sometimes has a pop when something like this happens.
I understood that the arrest was for skipping bail and under British jurisdiction.
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Especially considering it's hard to believe they'd join a party with UK in its name...rottenborough said:MikeSmithson said:NOTE the header has changed. I misread Oddschecker
Oh well, we all make mistakes. Certainly the odds make more sense now, although 68 for Sinn Fein is a joke. More like 10,000/1 surely?0 -
Hurrah. Although taken a 900 year old centrepiece of western civilisation to burn half to the ground in order to keep the 'B' word off.MikeSmithson said:0 -
Yet two ex Man Utd players in separate storiesMikeSmithson said:0 -
It is an intriguing bet, but with a couple of Tory MEP defections today, I think Tory most likely for MP too.0
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Telegraph: "Grassroots Conservative chairmen planning no-confidence vote in Theresa May 'within weeks' "
Extraordinary measures could be used to call VONC.0 -
Smarkets do have quite a lot of political markets up, albeit low liquidity. Some Euro election match betsMikeSmithson said:NOTE the header has changed. I misread Oddschecker
https://smarkets.com/listing/politics/uk/european-parliamentary-elections-2019-uk0 -
But all these Tory defections are surely going to repel further Labour defections.Foxy said:It is an intriguing bet, but with a couple of Tory MEP defections today, I think Tory most likely for MP too.
There might be a lot of Labour MPs who are unhappy with Corbyn, but almost all of them also feel that austerity (and Tory economics generally) has been a disaster for their constituents. If there was a new, alternative Labour party being created, there would probably be a lot more defections, but the likes of Jess Phillips and Siobhain McDonagh don't seem interested in joining an Anna Soubry-style wet Tory party.0 -
Bloody brilliant.FrancisUrquhart said:
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This video has an interesting chart on us electorate opinions on social and economic issues.
https://youtu.be/bMipM3RE2UA0 -
It's a joke.FrancisUrquhart said:
But may be one of the most profound things I have read in a long time, bearing in mind I am half way through 'Uninhabitable Earth' by Wallace-Wells.0 -
Oh...
"PETE BUTTIGIEG'S blossoming presidential campaign is earning early financial assistance from key members of former President Barack Obama's administration.
Former national security adviser Susan Rice, deputy senior adviser Stephanie Cutter, press secretary Jay Carney, National Security Council spokesman Ned Price and U.S. Ambassador to Japan Caroline Kennedy all donated to Buttigieg's 2020 presidential campaign during the first quarter of the year, according to new documents filed with the Federal Election Commission."
https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run/articles/2019-04-16/obama-alumni-donate-to-pete-buttigieg
Caroline Kennedy!0 -
May back at the Home Office?Freggles said:
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That has to be a spoof....spreadsheet phil and inspiration is clearly a wind up.Freggles said:twitter.com/PhilForLeader/status/1118143201586634755?s=19
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I liked the analysis. but he could have said it a lot faster...FrancisUrquhart said:This video has an interesting chart on us electorate opinions on social and economic issues.
https://youtu.be/bMipM3RE2UA
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So essentially no one is really interested in being in a new party, they just want to be the same party but with different branding, if they cannot contemplate working with others. That's fine if there is nothing that could see them leave, and at least they do stay quiet for long periods since theres not much point being constantly vocal if the party could do anything and it wouldn't matter. Which by still being consumed by labour or Tory partisan issues is what they are doing.Danny565 said:
But all these Tory defections are surely going to repel further Labour defections.Foxy said:It is an intriguing bet, but with a couple of Tory MEP defections today, I think Tory most likely for MP too.
There might be a lot of Labour MPs who are unhappy with Corbyn, but almost all of them also feel that austerity (and Tory economics generally) has been a disaster for their constituents. If there was a new, alternative Labour party being created, there would probably be a lot more defections, but the likes of Jess Phillips and Siobhain McDonagh don't seem interested in joining an Anna Soubry-style wet Tory party.0 -
Conservative giants is a good one. Whatever the merits or lack thereof of those 4 I dont think all qualify as giants.FrancisUrquhart said:
That has to be a spoof....spreadsheet phil and inspiration is clearly a wind up.Freggles said:twitter.com/PhilForLeader/status/1118143201586634755?s=19
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Probably. There seems to be a rash of them...FrancisUrquhart said:
That has to be a spoof....spreadsheet phil and inspiration is clearly a wind up.Freggles said:twitter.com/PhilForLeader/status/1118143201586634755?s=19
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=3&v=X8Y8MIjE6Ro0 -
https://order-order.com/2019/04/16/social-media-race-succeed-theresa-may/viewcode said:
Probably. There seems to be a rash of them...FrancisUrquhart said:
That has to be a spoof....spreadsheet phil and inspiration is clearly a wind up.Freggles said:twitter.com/PhilForLeader/status/1118143201586634755?s=19
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=3&v=X8Y8MIjE6Ro0 -
Unfortunately the current youtube algorithm / payments has led to youtubers being rewarded best for 10 min videos.viewcode said:
I liked the analysis. but he could have said it a lot faster...FrancisUrquhart said:This video has an interesting chart on us electorate opinions on social and economic issues.
https://youtu.be/bMipM3RE2UA0 -
Not all Dem runners have made the grade for the June debates, so far:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/0 -
Crickey the yang gang qualifies.rottenborough said:Not all Dem runners have made the grade for the June debates, so far:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/0 -
Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6929609/St-Helens-Merseyside-councillor-investigation-dressing-Adolf-Hitler-fancy-dress.html
It was before he was elected, but you have to question the intelligence of.somebody who thinks that is a good outfit for a charity fundraiser. Its not like he was on prince harrys stag do.0 -
I know, it's b****y annoying. Some tubers started padding out their videos a bit around last year, but others just make longer and loonger and loooonger ones. Consider @DougDeMuro or @CinemaSins, who are churning out 20mins+ videos compared to 5 or 10 mins ones in the past.FrancisUrquhart said:
Unfortunately the current youtube algorithm / payments has led to youtubers being rewarded best for 10 min videos.viewcode said:
I liked the analysis. but he could have said it a lot faster...FrancisUrquhart said:This video has an interesting chart on us electorate opinions on social and economic issues.
https://youtu.be/bMipM3RE2UA0 -
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
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Ken would have something to say on this matter surely?FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6929609/St-Helens-Merseyside-councillor-investigation-dressing-Adolf-Hitler-fancy-dress.html
It was before he was elected, but you have to question the intelligence of.somebody who thinks that is a good outfit for a charity fundraiser. Its not like he was on prince harrys stag do.0 -
Maybe he left it late and that was the only outfit they had available in the shop.viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"0 -
Biden making the same mistake he made in 2016, forgetting to announce that he's runningrottenborough said:Not all Dem runners have made the grade for the June debates, so far:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/0 -
If he is, then imho he will announce just after Easter.edmundintokyo said:
Biden making the same mistake he made in 2016, forgetting to announce that he's runningrottenborough said:Not all Dem runners have made the grade for the June debates, so far:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/0 -
This is the guy they are putting in charge of investigating any anti-semite activity. I have got that right haven't I?viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"0 -
"Bbbbut...haven't you got any costumes left?"FrancisUrquhart said:
Maybe he left it late and that was the only outfit they had available in the shop.viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
"Well, now that you mention it..."
"Great! I'll take it!
"Don't you want to know what it is?"
"Don' matter. I'll change in the car" [throws notes at her, runs out]
"Suit yourself...
" 0 -
Well he seems well qualified to find it, if nothing else...rottenborough said:
This is the guy they are putting in charge of investigating any anti-semite activity. I have got that right haven't I?viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!" 0 -
Good point.viewcode said:
Well he seems well qualified to find it, if nothing else...rottenborough said:
This is the guy they are putting in charge of investigating any anti-semite activity. I have got that right haven't I?viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"0 -
Could Sanders looking like nominee entice a 3rd party candidate?
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/16/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democratic-party.html?action=click&module=Top Stories&pgtype=Homepage0 -
Is Boris Johnson still eligible?rottenborough said:Could Sanders looking like nominee entice a 3rd party candidate?
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/16/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democratic-party.html?action=click&module=Top Stories&pgtype=Homepage0 -
Surely, it's a lot better than turning up as Jimmy Saville or Michael Jackson.viewcode said:
"Honey, I'm going to a fancy dress fund raiser. What should I wear?"FrancisUrquhart said:Labour councillor under investigation over pictures of him in an Adolf Hitler costume for children's hospice fancy dress fundraiser...
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
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He never was. AFAIK he never resided for fourteen years in the US.williamglenn said:
Is Boris Johnson still eligible?rottenborough said:Could Sanders looking like nominee entice a 3rd party candidate?
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/16/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democratic-party.html?action=click&module=Top Stories&pgtype=Homepage0
