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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What will be the party of the next MP?

I’ve just come across this intriguing market from Smarkets on what will be the party of the next MP. The options listed on OddsChecker are featured above.
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First like Lab in the 2019 Peterborough byelection.
Surely the salient fact is, that it would appear that the US Government can now reach beyond its borders to arrest foreign publishers who piss it off. To its credit, the loony left is the only group making this point, with the possible exception of some eccentrics like Peter Hitchins, who sometimes has a pop when something like this happens.
“I was selected for jury service here at Salisbury crown court for a trial starting 23 April,” he said.
“I told the jury central summoning bureau that I thought I would be inappropriate, seeing I happened to be the judge and knew all the papers.
“They wrote back to me. They picked up on the fact I was the judge but said ‘Your appeal for refusal has been rejected but you could apply to the resident judge’, but I told them, ‘I am the resident judge’.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/apr/16/judge-summoned-for-jury-duty-at-hearing-he-would-conduct
I understood that the arrest was for skipping bail and under British jurisdiction.
Extraordinary measures could be used to call VONC.
https://smarkets.com/listing/politics/uk/european-parliamentary-elections-2019-uk
There might be a lot of Labour MPs who are unhappy with Corbyn, but almost all of them also feel that austerity (and Tory economics generally) has been a disaster for their constituents. If there was a new, alternative Labour party being created, there would probably be a lot more defections, but the likes of Jess Phillips and Siobhain McDonagh don't seem interested in joining an Anna Soubry-style wet Tory party.
https://youtu.be/bMipM3RE2UA
But may be one of the most profound things I have read in a long time, bearing in mind I am half way through 'Uninhabitable Earth' by Wallace-Wells.
"PETE BUTTIGIEG'S blossoming presidential campaign is earning early financial assistance from key members of former President Barack Obama's administration.
Former national security adviser Susan Rice, deputy senior adviser Stephanie Cutter, press secretary Jay Carney, National Security Council spokesman Ned Price and U.S. Ambassador to Japan Caroline Kennedy all donated to Buttigieg's 2020 presidential campaign during the first quarter of the year, according to new documents filed with the Federal Election Commission."
https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run/articles/2019-04-16/obama-alumni-donate-to-pete-buttigieg
Caroline Kennedy!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=3&v=X8Y8MIjE6Ro
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6929609/St-Helens-Merseyside-councillor-investigation-dressing-Adolf-Hitler-fancy-dress.html
It was before he was elected, but you have to question the intelligence of.somebody who thinks that is a good outfit for a charity fundraiser. Its not like he was on prince harrys stag do.
"What's it for?"
"A children's hospice"
"Go as Batman?"
"Too silly"
"Superman?"
"Too skinny"
"Big Bunny?"
"Too twee"
"Adolf Hitler?"
"GENIUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
"Well, now that you mention it..."
"Great! I'll take it!
"Don't you want to know what it is?"
"Don' matter. I'll change in the car" [throws notes at her, runs out]
"Suit yourself...
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/16/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democratic-party.html?action=click&module=Top Stories&pgtype=Homepage