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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Leaver case for a second referendum

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  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779

    You probably misunderstood the tweet, which is Labour's chief tweeter's fault, aided and abetted by the good professor playing silly people. It was sent on St Patrick's Day so that is the context. Labour's policy seems to be a bank holiday for each country.
    OK. thanks for the clarification. Id be happy with the Lab manifesto approiach personally.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    Further proof that Brexit is a disaster and national humiliation.

    The French are laughing at us.
    They're not the only ones.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    Blimey. If this one is indicative of the shifting mood then Brexit's in real trouble. Well worth a watch:

    https://twitter.com/RemainerNow/status/1107306644109705216

    Really strong POV video.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779

    Why do you talk in the past tense about things that haven't happened yet, and how has the way Ireland has handled Brexit made your laundry list of bad things any worse for them?
    So nothing new to add then william ?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695

    of course the border would have to be addressed and LVs predecessor had set up a mechanism to do so, LV decided to take a different approach. As for the UI thing the south has always had an Augustinian approach to it.
    So as leader of a minority coalition government he single-handedly changed the Irish state's approach to such an existential issue?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    "Bring 'em on! I'd prefer a straight fight to all this sneaking around!" - Han Solo, 1977.

    "You told me this was going to be simple" - Napoleon Solo 1965
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779

    So as leader of a minority coalition government he single-handedly changed the Irish state's approach to such an existential issue?
    His predecssor was the leader of a minority government and was happy enough to take a more pragmatic approach.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited March 2019

    AlistairM said:

    Has anyone ever noticed before the interesting regional dynamics of this all based around the M3-M4-M40 corridors? In the middle you have Theresa May's constituency of Maidenhead. Surrounding it you have Steve Baker (High Wycombe), Dominic Grieve (Beaconsfield), Adam Afryie (Windsor), Philip Lee (Bracknell) and John Redwood (Wokingham). Is it so common to find such extremists at either end of the Brexit spectrum in such a small geographical area?
    Safe seats?
  • The delusion is is in the word 'if'

    We are not leaving with a no deal so their choice, TM deal or remain

    I have no problem with either
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    20 or so years ago the NHS Trust where I worked decided to offer us an extra 3 days holiday if we were prepared to agree to give up* the (then at any rate) customary Friday off before Spring Bank Holiday Monday and August Bank Holiday. Of course we agreed, especially as pretty well everyone thought patient care would be improved.
    Meant I got nearly 7 weeks holiday, which quite frankly seemed daft to me.

    Incidentally, I'd far rather July 12th as a holiday rather than St Patrick's Day. We're overloaded with Bank/Public holidays from mid March to late May as it is.
    This year I suspect a Bank/Public holiday on Guy Fawkes Day would be celebrated with extra fervour!

    *Edited to correct silly mistake.
    The biggest gap for a holiday is in the autumn months although I agree that one more in the summer would be a nice idea too. We have among the fewest bank holidays in the world, so asking for another day or two is reasonable.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    TOPPING said:

    IT IS NOT A F***ING DEAL!

    It is a document whereby we are able to leave and which gives us space to negotiate a deal. There is a Churchillian paraphrase in there somewhere but it bugs me when the elision is made between the WA and any final trade deal we might be able to negotiate.

    I know you know this, Max but it is extremely frustrating when people use the shorthand because it simply compounds our many problems.
    Yes, that's a good point, but even as a transition state it's a good place to be IMO, now with the exit mechanism in a scenario where the EU plays silly buggers.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444
    AlistairM said:

    Has anyone ever noticed before the interesting regional dynamics of this all based around the M3-M4-M40 corridors? In the middle you have Theresa May's constituency of Maidenhead. Surrounding it you have Steve Baker (High Wycombe), Dominic Grieve (Beaconsfield), Adam Afryie (Windsor), Philip Lee (Bracknell) and John Redwood (Wokingham). Is it so common to find such extremists at either end of the Brexit spectrum in such a small geographical area?
    The area as a whole split about 50/50.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506
    Reading the letter from Peter Bone et al I am beginning to become worried that if we have either May's deal, such as it is, or a proper Customs Union the row will simmer down briefly then start all over again.

    I had expected there to be a Rejoin campaign after a short interval but tis suggests there will be one on the other side as well.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,990
    "Mme Loiseau calls her cat Brexit."

    C'est la mère Loiseau qui a perdu son chat,
    Qui crie par la fenêtre à qui le lui rendra.
    C'est le Père, l'eusses-tu cru,
    Qui lui a répondu :
    Allez la mère Loiseau vot' chat n'est pas perdu

    . . .

    Et la mère Loiseau lui dit : c'est décidé,
    Si vous m'rendez mon chat vous aurez un baiser !
    Et le Père, l'eusses-tu cru,
    Qui n'en a pas voulu,
    Dit à la mère Loiseau : vot' chat il est vendu.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,795

    Wow. Looks like even Rees-Mogg is starting to wibble wobble. Theresa might actually do this.

    there's still the hard-core. Bridgen/Francoisbaket/ et al. They'll never change.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,074

    there's still the hard-core. Bridgen/Francoisbaket/ et al. They'll never change.
    And Boris and Redwood etc
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,506

    Its already a holiday in Northern Ireland and the Scots get St Andrews (end of November) but nothing for the English (late April) or Welsh (1 March).

    I suspect holidays in warmer weather might be more popular.....could take a leaf out of the former Soviet Union's book and celebrate the end of WWII on May 9th - already a public holiday in the Channel Islands...
    There are four months without any holidays between August Bank Holiday and Christmas
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    of course the border would have to be addressed and LVs predecessor had set up a mechanism to do so, LV decided to take a different approach. As for the UI thing the south has always had an Augustinian approach to it.
    Well with Kenny's technology which doesn't exist and Ahern's "blind eye" approach we would pretty soon have ended up here.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695

    His predecssor was the leader of a minority government and was happy enough to take a more pragmatic approach.
    The UK government was adamant that no infrastructure could be countenanced... You seem to think Ireland should have insisted on it to make Brexit easier.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,506
    IanB2 said:

    And Boris and Redwood etc
    "Boris de Pfeffel's incredibly trick hairstyle"
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    edited March 2019

    The delusion is is in the word 'if'

    We are not leaving with a no deal so their choice, TM deal or remain

    I have no problem with either
    "The precursor of a very good deal indeed" is also delusional.

    Along with "it is not our fault", and "our moral course is clear"...

    Actually, simpler to just recognise them as utterly delusional.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394

    There are four months without any holidays between August Bank Holiday and Christmas
    Please, please, do not put a bank holiday in November or early December. It will instantly become National Xmas Shopping day and a Black Friday type mad event.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, that's a good point, but even as a transition state it's a good place to be IMO, now with the exit mechanism in a scenario where the EU plays silly buggers.
    oh god yes - it's a great place to be. But you have ******* ********* like Paterson et al sailing into their brave new no deal world which means achieving it will be more tricky*.

    *But not impossible.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,415

    "You told me this was going to be simple" - Napoleon Solo 1965
    "In political administration, no problem is ever simple. It can never be reduced to the question whether a certain measure is good or not." - Napoleon Bonaparte
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394
    IanB2 said:

    And Boris and Redwood etc
    She can forget the nutters. Needs a few more Caroline Flints I think.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,971
    That bunch of nobodies (one of them my MP) can easily be dispatched with. It all now hinges on the DUP. If they fall into line Rees-Mogg will follow, and if that happens no Tory will dare muck it up independently.

    Jacob Rees-Mogg, who chairs the pro-Brexit European Research Group of Conservative MPs, said on Monday he would wait for the DUP’s verdict before deciding himself.

    “No deal is better than a bad deal but a bad deal is better than remaining in the European Union,” he told LBC radio. “Mrs May’s deal, however bad it is, means that we are legally outside the European Union.”


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/18/dup-backing-will-not-secure-may-brexit-deal-says-jim-wells
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394

    Reading the letter from Peter Bone et al I am beginning to become worried that if we have either May's deal, such as it is, or a proper Customs Union the row will simmer down briefly then start all over again.

    I had expected there to be a Rejoin campaign after a short interval but tis suggests there will be one on the other side as well.

    Of course. Whatever the deal or arrangement, the ultras will spend years raging against the betrayal.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779

    Meanwhile Outre-manche things are hotting up. Gilets Jaunes who looked liked they were slowly fading away went mad on the Champs Elysees during week 18 and trashed the place. Macron even had to interrupt his Jovian skiing.

    I suspect this will hurt the GJs as the violent element in the protestors seriously overstepped the mark. But it is France so who knows. Either way it should give Macron a break.



    http://www.lefigaro.fr/conjoncture/2019/03/18/20002-20190318ARTFIG00021-gilets-jaunes-bercy-organise-une-reunion-de-crise.php
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    There are four months without any holidays between August Bank Holiday and Christmas
    Unlike the United States where they pack everything into autumn, which is one reason, besides PC, they say "happy holidays".
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_holidays_in_the_United_States#List_of_federal_holidays
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444
    He still hasn't worked out that Parliament does not have a majority in favour of No Deal.
  • Nigelb said:

    "The precursor of a very good deal indeed" is also delusional.

    Along with "it is not our fault", and "our moral course is clear"...

    Actually, simpler to just recognise them as utterly delusional.
    I would agree and they seem to be devoid of political judgment and in denial about their opposition
  • Sean_F said:

    He still hasn't worked out that Parliament does not have a majority in favour of No Deal.
    Does it need a majority when No Deal on the 29th of March is the law?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,322
    Reports of a possible terrorist attack in Utrecht...
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444

    Does it need a majority when No Deal on the 29th of March is the law?
    It does, if the government requests, and is granted an extension?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Please, please, do not put a bank holiday in November or early December. It will instantly become National Xmas Shopping day and a Black Friday type mad event.
    What's wrong with that?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    She can forget the nutters. Needs a few more Caroline Flints I think.
    Just imagine if she had 13 more seats and the ability to threaten a General Election as she hadn't yet called one.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    Please, please, do not put a bank holiday in November or early December. It will instantly become National Xmas Shopping day and a Black Friday type mad event.
    Indeed. Vomit inducing.

    Mid October to coincide with the schools half-term would be much better.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    TOPPING said:

    Well with Kenny's technology which doesn't exist and Ahern's "blind eye" approach we would pretty soon have ended up here.
    The answer lies in 1916

    The admiralty that is. The RN used to claim that there were too many ships for them to be able to organise convoys, A junior officer analysed the shipping movements and realised it was the 80-20 rule.The bulk of trade was carried by a minority of ships all the rest was just fishing boats or localised trade.

    So with inter Irish trade, A few large companies will do the bulk of transactions and stay within the regulations, Whats left isnt really worth worrying about except to carry out spot checks to stop it getting out of hand. Somebody buying booze in Newry at Christmas isnt going to wreck the irish economy.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,271
    .



    His predecssor was the leader of a minority government and was happy enough to take a more pragmatic approach.

    LV is an untrustworthy blueshirt prick but at least he didn't genuflect toward London so good on him for that.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Does it need a majority when No Deal on the 29th of March is the law?

    As noted upthread, it's not the law if we agree an extension...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658
    Sean_F said:

    It does, if the government requests, and is granted an extension?
    Yes because TMay's (unilateral if need be) asking for an extension would be complying with Parliament's instruction not to have no deal.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394

    What's wrong with that?
    I refer you to the US, and the day after Thanksgiving.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    edited March 2019
    At least this time she isn't pulling the vote with the clock ticking to no deal.

    Edit: Also we won't have to wait a month for 'something' to happen.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444
    TOPPING said:

    Yes because TMay's (unilateral if need be) asking for an extension would be complying with Parliament's instruction not to have no deal.
    Now, things become interesting if the EU says No. But, I don't think that's probable.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    I would agree and they seem to be devoid of political judgment and in denial about their opposition
    I am ashamed to say that Peter Bone and I went to the same school, although not, by many years, at the same time. Clearly the critical standards I was taught had deteriorated by the time he got there.
  • It's almost like he's not fit to be PM or something....

    https://twitter.com/IsabelHardman/status/1107602751616438272
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    The answer lies in 1916

    The admiralty that is. The RN used to claim that there were too many ships for them to be able to organise convoys, A junior officer analysed the shipping movements and realised it was the 80-20 rule.The bulk of trade was carried by a minority of ships all the rest was just fishing boats or localised trade.

    So with inter Irish trade, A few large companies will do the bulk of transactions and stay within the regulations, Whats left isnt really worth worrying about except to carry out spot checks to stop it getting out of hand. Somebody buying booze in Newry at Christmas isnt going to wreck the irish economy.

    I think the devil is in the "carry out spot checks to stop it getting it out of hand".
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,322
    BBC News - Utrecht shooting: Several hurt as man opens fire in tram

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47611811
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,795
    Sean_F said:

    Now, things become interesting if the EU says No. But, I don't think that's probable.
    It's not so much that they say 'no' (they won't), but the T+C might be issue.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I refer you to the US, and the day after Thanksgiving.
    A day where retailers "enter the black", could do with more of that for some retailers here. I don't see the problem.
  • RobCRobC Posts: 398

    Wow. Looks like even Rees-Mogg is starting to wibble wobble. Theresa might actually do this.

    Rees-Mogg is a comparative moderate. That letter lines up the real nutters with Mr Bone top of the swivel eyed brigade. His piece in the Sunday Telegraph yesterday was a master class in self delusion
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425

    Ad hominem in response to Ad hominem. So you have no cause to moan.

    And no, again you show you idiocy. When we elect MPs they go into office. The result of the election is respected. We then have a system whereby after a period of time we re-elect them or not.

    What you are saying is that if, for example, a few more people had voted for Labour MPs at the last election as a means of limiting May's majority (as lots of people seem to claim was the reason) and we had happened to get a Corbyn majority, we should have immediately had another election before he took office because we hadn't actually wanted Corbyn to win.

    Of course that is not how the system does or should work. If the public are asked a question in a vote they have every right to expect that the result of that vote will be respected. Otherwise how are they to believe that democracy has any value at all?
    Except the system for electing MPs does allow for recall votes in some circumstances...

    If sufficient people feel that their leave vote was a result of being lied to, and they deeply regret it, then one might make a case that forcing them to 'respect' the result of that vote is equally toxic to their view of democracy.

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    Dura_Ace said:

    .

    LV is an untrustworthy blueshirt prick but at least he didn't genuflect toward London so good on him for that.
    Two INS Officer friends of ours were out with my daughter last night as the LE James Joyce was in London. None of them have your late C19 hang ups in inter island relations. Good news.

    http://www.theirishworld.com/tours-of-le-james-joyce-ship-for-st-patricks-week/
  • So these hardcore principled MPs are going to abstain - am I reading that right?

    Truly inspirational... still, sitting on the sidelines criticising everything is the modus operandi.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Utterly delusional. "If Britain leaves the European Union as planned on 29 March" . . . do the maths, that if is not going to happen!

    At least I say I'm OK with Remain or an extension over May's deal. These guys are just insane.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    Who said this?

    As a matter of democratic accountability, given the enormous importance of so many issues that would be decided in an Article 50 renegotiation – a far, far bigger deal than a normal election – it seems right to give people a vote on it.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    So these hardcore principled MPs are going to abstain - am I reading that right?

    Truly inspirational... still, sitting on the sidelines criticising everything is the modus operandi.
    No I think they're saying they'll vote against a Deal and vote against an extension.

    Which if they do means they'll get an extension. Which they can then pretend has nothing to do with their actions since they voted against.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    edited March 2019
    TOPPING said:

    I think the devil is in the "carry out spot checks to stop it getting it out of hand".
    well nobody will do anything south of the border, in NI trucks there are already checked to make sure vehicles comply with road safety, and since its the PSNI already have their own need to track down the cigarette and drug trade theres nothing really that new in the mix.

    Irish Border smuggling is nearly 100 years old and nobody has stopped in that timeframe.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Mr. Drutt, indeed, point 1) is particularly sensible. If we'd voted 52% Remain the political/media class would be speaking about accepting democracy and enacting the result and that the matter was settled for decades now, if not forever.

    The pesky electorate voted the wrong way.

    Disagree. We would have had endless discussion of 'how has it come to this that 48% voted out' and 'we need to address the concerns of the nearly half who voted out'. Rather than being seen as a defeat and 'the voice of the people has spoken', it would have been seen in the context of a rising tide of inevitability that just didn't quite get there - like Scottish independence in some circles or Labour's defeat in 2017 that felt like a victory.

    If you don't believe me look at the media's response to Le Pen getting into the second round in France (last time or in 2002), and the way they cover right wing movements elsewhere: it's all about 'how can we stop globalisation failing the working class'.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    well nobody will do anything south of the border, in NI trucks there are already checked to make sure vehicles comply with road safety, and since its the PSNI already have their own need to track down the cigarette and drug trade theres nothing really that new in the mix.

    Irish Border smuggling is nearly 100 years old and nobody has stopped in that timeframe.
    Precisely. Corporation Tax, VAT, duties and other taxes are all already not aligned.

    Unless or until the Irish start campaigning to get Corporation Tax aligned, I see no reason why Customs need to be either.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,074

    Of course. Whatever the deal or arrangement, the ultras will spend years raging against the betrayal.
    They always were going to spend years raging against something; it's their life.
  • No I think they're saying they'll vote against a Deal and vote against an extension.

    Which if they do means they'll get an extension. Which they can then pretend has nothing to do with their actions since they voted against.
    Oh right - thank you. So vote against everything - triffic.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,506

    It's almost like he's not fit to be PM or something....

    https://twitter.com/IsabelHardman/status/1107602751616438272

    Boris de Pfeffel's Incredibly Trick Hairstyle!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    edited March 2019
    Add John Baron to the list of the 23.
    https://twitter.com/tpgcolson/status/1107604583625515008
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456

    So these hardcore principled MPs are going to abstain - am I reading that right?

    Truly inspirational... still, sitting on the sidelines criticising everything is the modus operandi.
    if they abstain rather than vote against how many labour / erg does she need to switch if DUP come on board?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444

    No I think they're saying they'll vote against a Deal and vote against an extension.

    Which if they do means they'll get an extension. Which they can then pretend has nothing to do with their actions since they voted against.
    I suppose it will make them happy.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    Utterly delusional. "If Britain leaves the European Union as planned on 29 March" . . . do the maths, that if is not going to happen!

    At least I say I'm OK with Remain or an extension over May's deal. These guys are just insane.
    It is really staggering that people can be elected to parliament and yet be sooo incredibly stupid. There really ought to be IQ and aptitude tests. After all companies use them and so do the civil service as part of selection criteria. Maybe Corbyn will not want it done retrospectively tho!!
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,211

    "In political administration, no problem is ever simple. It can never be reduced to the question whether a certain measure is good or not." - Napoleon Bonaparte
    'Freakin Idiot' - Napoleon Dynamite
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    edited March 2019
    Scott_P said:

    As noted upthread, it's not the law if we agree an extension...
    As I keep pointing out, it’s not law until the relevant sections of the EUWA are commenced either.

    That means, I think (IANAL), that no order to change the exit date (which needs to be approved by both houses) need be made if the sections that depend on the exit day are not in force, but I’d love to hear the opinions of our learned friends on the board on the matter.

    I think it also follows that if we get an A50 extension and we pass the original exit day with nothing having been done to amend the EUWA wrt to exit day, then it would become impossible to commence the main sections of the Act without having made and obtained Parliamentary approval of the order to change the exit date first because not doing so would make the repeal of the ECA retrospective to 29th March which would cause all sorts of legal problems.

    Also, I’m assuming from my non-expert reading of Schedule 7 to the EUWA that the commencement orders for section 1 etc can just be made by a Minister and don’t require Parliamentary approval, but again I’d love to know what our legal eagles think.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    Precisely. Corporation Tax, VAT, duties and other taxes are all already not aligned.

    Unless or until the Irish start campaigning to get Corporation Tax aligned, I see no reason why Customs need to be either.
    I am with you on this. I can't understand why the Irish border issue can't be settled with a "self-assessment" type solution. If you are caught you get a punitive heavy fine. Can't be beyond the wit? Goods that are then attempted to be moved to mainland UK or visa versa can be intercepted. Maybe I am being too simplistic.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited March 2019
    kjohnw said:


    if they abstain rather than vote against how many labour / erg does she need to switch if DUP come on board?


    Perhaps a mix, say 18 abstentions, 7 against. 10 Lab needed for a tie I think?

    I wonder how many of the ultra hardliners will be so staunch once an extension goes through .... they seem to still be clinging on to the idea we could still no-deal exit this month.


  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    edited March 2019

    A day where retailers "enter the black", could do with more of that for some retailers here. I don't see the problem.
    The problem is that it's a yet another 'holiday' that has been turned into a festival of rampant, unthinking consumerism – lower paid retail workers put under pressure to staff aircraft hanger stores while the middle classes enjoy their family time off. We've already got enough of those sorts of days. Let holidays be holidays.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,444

    It is really staggering that people can be elected to parliament and yet be sooo incredibly stupid. There really ought to be IQ and aptitude tests. After all companies use them and so do the civil service as part of selection criteria. Maybe Corbyn will not want it done retrospectively tho!!
    It's possible for someone to be highly intelligent and also to subordinate their intelligence to self-interest, passion, pique, and peer pressure.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Freggles said:

    Disagree. We would have had endless discussion of 'how has it come to this that 48% voted out' and 'we need to address the concerns of the nearly half who voted out'. Rather than being seen as a defeat and 'the voice of the people has spoken', it would have been seen in the context of a rising tide of inevitability that just didn't quite get there - like Scottish independence in some circles or Labour's defeat in 2017 that felt like a victory.

    If you don't believe me look at the media's response to Le Pen getting into the second round in France (last time or in 2002), and the way they cover right wing movements elsewhere: it's all about 'how can we stop globalisation failing the working class'.
    Indeed. Can we imagine Farage accepting that? No. We know they would have been agitating from day one for another vote. Shows what a bunch of lying toe-rags people like him continue to be. They got the result they wanted so now they are terrified that the "will-o-the-people might be tested again now that real facts are now presenting themselves.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Sean_F said:

    It's possible for someone to be highly intelligent and also to subordinate their intelligence to self-interest, passion, pique, and peer pressure.
    Indeed. A minority of them on both sides of the house are just plain old thickos though. It isn't good enough.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    Scott_P said:
    Are they defining long? If no-one else wants the poisoned chalice while Brexit is still unresolved, May could just kick the can as far as she can get away with.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307

    BBC News - Utrecht shooting: Several hurt as man opens fire in tram

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47611811

    Whilst it bears some of the hallmarks of an Islamic extremism public transport attack (and some Islamic extremist groups have urged the attacking of trams), the origins on this one can't be called yet.

    Notably the assailant is roaming free.
  • Sky reporting Olly Robins to be sacked

    Seems a bit late to me
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    well nobody will do anything south of the border, in NI trucks there are already checked to make sure vehicles comply with road safety, and since its the PSNI already have their own need to track down the cigarette and drug trade theres nothing really that new in the mix.

    Irish Border smuggling is nearly 100 years old and nobody has stopped in that timeframe.
    Makes you wonder what all the fuss is about doesn't it.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425

    Are they defining long? If no-one else wants the poisoned chalice while Brexit is still unresolved, May could just kick the can as far as she can get away with.
    10 years sounds about right...
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Are they defining long? If no-one else wants the poisoned chalice while Brexit is still unresolved, May could just kick the can as far as she can get away with.

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1107609392915116033
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    'Freakin Idiot' - Napoleon Dynamite
    "Impossible!" cried Napoleon. "We have built the walls far too thick for that. They could not knock it down in a week. Courage, comrades!" - Animal Farm.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,042
    Scott_P said:
    Interesting . This looks like the last chance for the deal and the final push to get MPs to agree . I expect May to resign after getting the extension and say a new leader needs to reset the negotiations .
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    Makes you wonder what all the fuss is about doesn't it.
    What I've been saying all along yes.
  • RobCRobC Posts: 398

    Sky reporting Olly Robins to be sacked

    Seems a bit late to me

    Robbins being thrown to the lions to appease the nut jobs. It'll only increase the blood lust.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Sky reporting Olly Robins to be sacked

    Seems a bit late to me

    If his boss goes with him then that might lead to progress.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    nico67 said:

    Interesting . This looks like the last chance for the deal and the final push to get MPs to agree . I expect May to resign after getting the extension and say a new leader needs to reset the negotiations .
    What negotiations? After a long extension the WA will just sit there waiting for a decision from the UK.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    Indeed. A minority of them on both sides of the house are just plain old thickos though. It isn't good enough.
    Well, the House ought to be representative of the Nation. Or so we are told!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    "Honour Article 50" ?
    One could also do that by extending, or rescinding it.

    Unless he's thinking we all might just ignore it completely ?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Indeed. Can we imagine Farage accepting that? No. We know they would have been agitating from day one for another vote. Shows what a bunch of lying toe-rags people like him continue to be. They got the result they wanted so now they are terrified that the "will-o-the-people might be tested again now that real facts are now presenting themselves.
    Farage said on referendum night when he thought he’d narrowly lost that it just meant one more heave to another vote in a few years’ time.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    Well, the House ought to be representative of the Nation. Or so we are told!
    Yes indeed. There are at least half the voting electorate (or about 37% of the total) that think we have had enough of experts. However, if I need a hip operation I think I might want to be sure the surgeon knows what she/he is doing. I'd also prefer MPs to have a reasonable ability to pass a logic test!
This discussion has been closed.