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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Olly Robbins’ overheard comments are a clue that TMay might be

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  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182

    Just a genuine question. Have you ever experienced the suicide of a young person
    I have experienced my fair share of suicides.

    Regardless, I was responding to Marquee Mark’s suggestion that the best thing these kids could do is not be born.

    Which is a rather high barrier to political activism.
  • HYUFD said:

    In that case surely the only countries able to appear on the world stage alone are the USA, China, India and maybe Russia and Japan and every other nation has to be part of a trading block or political union?

    It doesn’t have to be. But if it isn’t it will largely be a rule-taker whose views are ignored.

  • HYUFD said:

    In that case surely the only countries able to appear on the world stage alone are the USA, China, India and maybe Russia and Japan and every other nation has to be part of a trading block or political union?
    We’ll be on the world stage at the same level as Canada and Australia combined, with a bit more spending on the military, diplomacy and aid than they do, and a seat on the UN Security Council.

    That’ll do.
  • FF43 said:

    The strategic implication, I think, is that the UK, which for the last fifty years has presented itself as the bridge between Europe and America will find itself cut off from both.

    From the article Rutte promotes the same positions as the UK previously did, for example on the EU army, and is working out how to maintain those positions now the UK is no longer involved.
    We can still work with Rutte. Dialogue between nation states won’t end just because one has chose to be a member and the other has not.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,082
    Sean_F said:

    There's no sneer in May's comment. She just thinks they're wrong.
    And that the growing army of pensioners means it won't matter
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    Sean_F said:

    There's no sneer in May's comment. She just thinks they're wrong.
    I was talking about you.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Without defending Williamson's idiotic posturing I don't recall Osborne's trade missions to China as being particularly successful. Hinkley Point for example.
    Was it not yourself that point out that the volume of renminbi traded in London now exceeded the volume of sterling/Euro trades? That is a direct consequence of Osborne's visits.
  • To be fair, the Tories have indeed become lower than bacteria. There are strains of meningitis with a better-thought-out governing philosophy than the modern Tory party.

    As for the kids, I’m reminded of Cyclefree’s post a day or so ago that said few people have moral courage to make a stand, and that most of us are cowards.

    The marching children - wherever they are from - should he applauded, not sneered at.

    m21
    I don’t think she was referring to bunking off school to walk in a mass march; that’s strength in large numbers with the sanction of the powers that be in their lives, not moral courage or leadership by standing up directly against those that have direct power over you.

    Thank you for otherwise making my point for me.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,855
    edited February 2019
    HYUFD said:

    In that case surely the only countries able to appear on the world stage alone are the USA, China, India and maybe Russia and Japan and every other nation has to be part of a trading block or political union?
    I don't think Russia is a good example for us. Japan and Australia are better examples. They are isolated by force of circumstance, while we choose to isolate ourselves. I think that makes a big difference, particularly when our buddy countries are well plugged in. Australia produced a Foreign Policy White Paper last year, which was positively wistful about the European Union.
  • DavidL said:

    Was it not yourself that point out that the volume of renminbi traded in London now exceeded the volume of sterling/Euro trades? That is a direct consequence of Osborne's visits.
    Actually it wasn't.

    How does that compare to the costs of Hinkley C ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
  • Sad news, the man that launched a thousand Untergang memes.

    https://twitter.com/ArtificialEye/status/1096738311299837952
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Only one man emerged from the Greek tragedy with any dignity. I've just read Varoufakis' book 'Adults in the Room' - I would recommend it to everyone.
    Agreed. I thought it was a tad self serving in places but for a book about government and macro economics it is a hilarious romp.
  • For me the only tangible Brexit benefit will be the puncturing of the delusions of English nationalists. But I don’t think it’s a price worth paying. However, we are where we are and it’s something to look forward to.

    Perhaps you shouldn't have ra-ra-rared to the delusions of Blair across the world stage.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280
    FF43 said:

    Don't disagree, although not happy with it.

    https://twitter.com/nick_gutteridge/status/1095970414151589888

    There's some domestic context in the subsequent tweet.

    The resemblance to Cliff Lawton MP is quite uncanny.



  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,734
    FF43 said:

    I don't think Russia is a good example for us. Japan and Australia are better examples. They are isolated by force of circumstance, while we choose to isolate ourselves. I think that makes a big difference, particularly when our buddy countries are well plugged in. Australia produced a Foreign Policy White Paper last year, which was positively wistful about the European Union.
    One of the tragic ironies of Brexit is that the kind of geopolitical reconnection with Australia, Canada and New Zealand that some dream of is much more compelling for them as CANZEU than as CANZUK.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879

    It doesn’t have to be. But if it isn’t it will largely be a rule-taker whose views are ignored.

    Though there is a difference between being in a trading block or military alliance like NATO or the UN and a full-scale political union like the EU increasingly wants to be
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879

    We’ll be on the world stage at the same level as Canada and Australia combined, with a bit more spending on the military, diplomacy and aid than they do, and a seat on the UN Security Council.

    That’ll do.
    Plus unlike France the EU will not be pressurising us to give up our UN Security Council seat in their favour
  • Perhaps you shouldn't have ra-ra-rared to the delusions of Blair across the world stage.

    I didn’t.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    FF43 said:

    I don't think Russia is a good example for us. Japan and Australia are better examples. They are isolated by force of circumstance, while we choose to isolate ourselves. I think that makes a big difference, particularly when our buddy countries are well plugged in. Australia produced a Foreign Policy White Paper last year, which was positively wistful about the European Union.
    Australia will agree trading agreements with its Asian neighbours but not a political union
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879

    One of the tragic ironies of Brexit is that the kind of geopolitical reconnection with Australia, Canada and New Zealand that some dream of is much more compelling for them as CANZEU than as CANZUK.
    Tell that to Tony Abbott, Stephen Harper etc
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280
    HYUFD said:

    Australia will agree trading agreements with its Asian neighbours but not a political union
    You can't really compare the two situations; Australia has spent the last 100+ years since federation gradually disengaging from its abusive parent.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,192

    Sad news, the man that launched a thousand Untergang memes.

    https://twitter.com/ArtificialEye/status/1096738311299837952

    The big question being who now inherits the Iffland Ring....
  • HYUFD said:

    Plus unlike France the EU will not be pressurising us to give up our UN Security Council seat in their favour

    But India, Brazil and others will. The big test will be when the UK dissolves. But I guess that we’ll keep our seat for as long as the US believes it is useful that we do.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,453

    But India, Brazil and others will. The big test will be when the UK dissolves. But I guess that we’ll keep our seat for as long as the US believes it is useful that we do.

    We'll keep our seat as long we have nuclear weapons and don't look like a basket case.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,734

    We'll keep our seat as long we have nuclear weapons and don't look like a basket case.
    Then we’re dependent on a friendly deal with Scotland after independence.
  • I didn’t.

    What a surprise.

    Every single Labour supporter now says they opposed Blair's warmongering and Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers'.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Actually it wasn't.

    How does that compare to the costs of Hinkley C ?
    Hinkley C is a disastrous decision by an incompetent government that will make high energy manufacturing less competitive in the UK for decades but it was May's decision, not Osborne's. But we have done this before.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280

    Then we’re dependent on a friendly deal with Scotland after independence.
    The English ICBM boats would be based in King's Bay, GA I imagine. Where they spend a great deal of time anyway. That's where 17% of the crew of one of the RN boomers tested positive for cocaine.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482

    Of course they can protest but that can be achieved at the weekend...
    I’m not sure you understand the dynamics of effective protest. Causing a certain amount of disruption is pretty well essential to the enterprise of gaining attention.

    And it’s effectivel saying why should we take your rules seriously if you don’t do the same for our futures.

  • We'll keep our seat as long we have nuclear weapons and don't look like a basket case.
    Noone can make the UK give up its seat.

    It's possible nations or a group of nations could use aggressive trade and economic obstruction to frustrate Britain's economy until it relented, but that would be a pretty hostile act.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482

    What a surprise.

    Every single Labour supporter now says they opposed Blair's warmongering and Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers'.
    Similar observation may well be made of leave voters in a decade’s time...

  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    The Mail now has it (presumably prompted by the Telegraph)
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6711275/Baroness-Falkender-former-private-secretary-Harold-Wilson-dies-aged-86.html
    A comment from Lady Falkender appears in the Daily Mail which I have not encountered before - 'In an interview last year, she said: 'I did not sleep with the prime minister. It is a ludicrous idea and an insulting one, which is why I successfully sued the BBC. If you knew him, you wouldn't think that. You couldn't think that, and nobody did.''
  • Dura_Ace said:

    You can't really compare the two situations; Australia has spent the last 100+ years since federation gradually disengaging from its abusive parent.
    I think you're just embarrassed by the UK and its history and think your intellect means you can rise above it.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,673



    I think that’s a polite and slightly naive waffle, Nick.

    Young children mass protesting against climate change would have been newsworthy regardless of the mechanism; in fact, it might have been more effective as more could have joined and
    More would have noticed.

    It didn’t take a day off work for the People’s Vote March to get universal coverage on a Saturday.

    Mmm, but people were already talking about Brexit. Here we all are talking about a climate change protest. When did we last mention climate change here? I think they've successfully given the issue a bit more salience.

    Would I feel the same if they'd been marching against immigration or demanding No Deal Brexit? I'd have thought it worrying - but not pointless.
  • What a surprise.

    Every single Labour supporter now says they opposed Blair's warmongering and Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers'.

    I’m not a Labour supporter. To be fair, though, those leading the Labour party and most current Labour members did energetically oppose both.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Then we’re dependent on a friendly deal with Scotland after independence.
    One of the more interesting results of the incompetent fiasco that our political masters have made of Brexit is the reservations it is causing in Scotland about independence. One of the SNP leaders recognised this yesterday by talking about a "soft" independence for Scotland.

    In my view, and I recognise that I am not exactly neutral in this, anyone arguing that Scottish independence is going to be straightforward or that the deal with rUK would be anything short of nightmarish to negotiate is going to be met with derisive laughter for decades to come. There are increasing signs that the SNP are becoming aware of the implications and are far from happy about it.
  • ToryJim said:

    The big question being who now inherits the Iffland Ring....
    Ah, hadn't heard about that, thanks.
    It seems the current holder nominates a successor.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,780
    Poor Angie

    East german CDU want her to keep away from their state elections

    and shes an ossi to boot

    https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/ostdeutsche-cdu-politiker-gegen-merkel-auftritte-im-wahlkampf-16044342.html
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,683
    Chris said:

    Obviously, the big difficulty with a referendum is whether to include No Deal as an option.

    Leaving it out breaches May's Golden Rule: Don't Break the Tory Party.

    But if it's going to be in there, will the EU approve the necessary extension unanimously? Will they view the electorate as more likely to choose No Deal than the politicians?

    It has to be included and cannot be included. Yet it has to be. But it can't.

    I reckon the format for REF2 would take longer to agree than the trade deal.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    The English ICBM boats would be based in King's Bay, GA I imagine. Where they spend a great deal of time anyway. That's where 17% of the crew of one of the RN boomers tested positive for cocaine.
    Having experienced some Helensburgh pubs on a Saturday night, I wouldn't be surprised if the fgures were at least as high on home turf.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,192

    Ah, hadn't heard about that, thanks.
    It seems the current holder nominates a successor.
    Indeed. His nominee predeceased him and it is not known who his substitute might be.
  • DavidL said:

    One of the more interesting results of the incompetent fiasco that our political masters have made of Brexit is the reservations it is causing in Scotland about independence. One of the SNP leaders recognised this yesterday by talking about a "soft" independence for Scotland.

    In my view, and I recognise that I am not exactly neutral in this, anyone arguing that Scottish independence is going to be straightforward or that the deal with rUK would be anything short of nightmarish to negotiate is going to be met with derisive laughter for decades to come. There are increasing signs that the SNP are becoming aware of the implications and are far from happy about it.
    Andrew Wilson isn't an SNP 'leader'.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    Nigelb said:

    I’m not sure you understand the dynamics of effective protest. Causing a certain amount of disruption is pretty well essential to the enterprise of gaining attention.

    And it’s effectivel saying why should we take your rules seriously if you don’t do the same for our futures.

    I didn't agree with the children's protest because it seemed to me that there was an understandable ignorance about the massive steps we have made in the UK in terms of addressing climate change. The fact that we get roughly 30% of our entire energy needs from renewables being a case in point.

    But personally I am delighted that kids can be stirred sufficiently to put down their iphones and protest about something like this. Apathy is always the biggest danger to democracy and anything that challenges it is welcome. If you are not an idealist at 15 when are you ever going to be? I thought May's response was curmudgeonly and ill judged. But there is nothing surprising about that.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482
    DavidL said:

    I didn't agree with the children's protest because it seemed to me that there was an understandable ignorance about the massive steps we have made in the UK in terms of addressing climate change. The fact that we get roughly 30% of our entire energy needs from renewables being a case in point.

    But personally I am delighted that kids can be stirred sufficiently to put down their iphones and protest about something like this. Apathy is always the biggest danger to democracy and anything that challenges it is welcome. If you are not an idealist at 15 when are you ever going to be? I thought May's response was curmudgeonly and ill judged. But there is nothing surprising about that.
    No, we don’t.
    We get around 30% of our electricity from renewables. The problem is a great deal bigger than that.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,082

    Noone can make the UK give up its seat.

    It's possible nations or a group of nations could use aggressive trade and economic obstruction to frustrate Britain's economy until it relented, but that would be a pretty hostile act.
    Surely if the Uk breaks up, we lose the seat by default, since the Uk no longer exists?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,780
    IanB2 said:

    Surely if the Uk breaks up, we lose the seat by default, since the Uk no longer exists?
    weve been through this before

    didnt happen when USSR broke up, Russia retained the seat
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Andrew Wilson isn't an SNP 'leader'.
    Well he's an advisor to Nicola. https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/politics/scottish-politics/829240/nicola-sturgeon-adviser-andrew-wilson-urges-soft-scottish-independence/

    I would be genuinely interested to hear your thoughts. Do you agree that any politician arguing for independence is going to have to address the mess that is Brexit?
  • IanB2 said:

    Surely if the Uk breaks up, we lose the seat by default, since the Uk no longer exists?

    Russia kept the Soviet Union’s seat.

    The most likely route to the UK losing its seat is a left-wing Labour government giving it up - along with nuclear weapons. Once gone neither would be recoverable.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,690
    Nobody calling themselves 'Olly' should have been allowed anywhere near anything more responsible than ordering the paperclips. That he has is symptomatic of deep national decline.

  • DavidL said:

    Hinkley C is a disastrous decision by an incompetent government that will make high energy manufacturing less competitive in the UK for decades but it was May's decision, not Osborne's. But we have done this before.
    ' George Osborne has said the new agreement over the Hinkley nuclear plant is "pretty much" unchanged from a deal struck when he was chancellor. '

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37382978
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,082

    Russia kept the Soviet Union’s seat.

    The most likely route to the UK losing its seat is a left-wing Labour government giving it up - along with nuclear weapons. Once gone neither would be recoverable.
    At least we could fund the NHS instead.
  • What I like most about this is that McDonnell thought about it for a few months before signing:

    https://twitter.com/timescorbyn/status/1011545021630345216?s=21
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    Nigelb said:

    No, we don’t.
    We get around 30% of our electricity from renewables. The problem is a great deal bigger than that.
    Do you seriously dispute that our carbon footprint has fallen in the last couple of decades and is likely to fall further as we move to electric vehicles? It seems to me that the major problem with global warming is in developing countries which do not have the infrastructure to do what we have already done. But I still think kids caring enough to protest about it is a good thing.
  • Russia kept the Soviet Union’s seat.

    The most likely route to the UK losing its seat is a left-wing Labour government giving it up - along with nuclear weapons. Once gone neither would be recoverable.
    You think Corbyn would give it up? He would happily use it to side with Russian at every security council meeting and emergency surely?
  • I’m not a Labour supporter. To be fair, though, those leading the Labour party and most current Labour members did energetically oppose both.

    I don't remember anyone in Labour opposing Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers', energetically or otherwise.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    Dura_Ace said:

    You can't really compare the two situations; Australia has spent the last 100+ years since federation gradually disengaging from its abusive parent.
    It still shares a head of state with us but again is not in a political union with us
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,780

    ' George Osborne has said the new agreement over the Hinkley nuclear plant is "pretty much" unchanged from a deal struck when he was chancellor. '

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37382978
    the bag of shit that is Osborne just keeps leaking all over the UK.

    taking him out of politics is a major gain from Brexit
  • What I like most about this is that McDonnell thought about it for a few months before signing:

    https://twitter.com/timescorbyn/status/1011545021630345216?s=21

    This is a Tony Banks EDM. Wasn't he a bit of comedian as well as a bit on the left?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879

    But India, Brazil and others will. The big test will be when the UK dissolves. But I guess that we’ll keep our seat for as long as the US believes it is useful that we do.

    Once you have permanent membership of the UN Security Council you cannot be removed from it unless voluntarily. If the UK dissolves that may change things but as England makes up the vast amount of the UK population and economy and military it could be argued the seat should just transfer to England and Wales.

    India and Brazil and Japan might have a case to be added to the UN Security Council (though Pakistan would oppose I than membership, China would oppose Japanese membership and Mexico would demand membership alongside Brazil) but that is a different matter
  • Amazing test in South Africa. Sri Lanka chase down 304 and win by one wicket with Perera making 150!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879

    Russia kept the Soviet Union’s seat.

    The most likely route to the UK losing its seat is a left-wing Labour government giving it up - along with nuclear weapons. Once gone neither would be recoverable.
    I doubt even a PM Corbyn would get a Commons majority to give up the UN Security Council seat for the UK and nuclear weapons completely, many backbench Labour MPs would rebel on that
  • I don't remember anyone in Labour opposing Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers', energetically or otherwise.

    The current Labour leadership opposed just about everything the previous Labour leadership said and did. No-one noticed because they were so obscure. And most current Labour members were not members when Brown was PM.

  • I see the Fallout 76 Larpers are out again today. It must be getting boring rioting every Saturday by now?
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    What a surprise.

    Every single Labour supporter now says they opposed Blair's warmongering and Brown's 'British Jobs For British Workers'.
    You won't find many people who voted for Brexit in a few year's time.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    You won't find many people who voted for Brexit in a few year's time.
    Well that rather depends, doesn't it?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    Guy Verhofstadt endorses Citizens ahead of the Spanish general election

    https://mobile.twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1096384360905879552
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,906
    Off topic but I kinda like the concept that one of the real sticking points of the Labour party breakaway new party is what colour to use for the logo. Yep, that's a toughie alright

    https://www.itv.com/news/2019-02-15/could-a-seemingly-inevitable-split-in-the-labour-party-be-the-next-outcome-of-brexit/
  • HYUFD said:

    Guy Verhofstadt endorses Citizens ahead of the Spanish general election

    https://mobile.twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1096384360905879552

    Yep - a bit tin-eared from Guy given that C’s are likely to end up in a coalition with the increasingly hard right PP, with the support of the far-right Vox.

  • Amazing test in South Africa. Sri Lanka chase down 304 and win by one wicket with Perera making 150!

    £17 million lost at 1.1 or lower on Betfair (though a lot of that would be trading), apparently.
  • justin124 said:

    A comment from Lady Falkender appears in the Daily Mail which I have not encountered before - 'In an interview last year, she said: 'I did not sleep with the prime minister. It is a ludicrous idea and an insulting one, which is why I successfully sued the BBC. If you knew him, you wouldn't think that. You couldn't think that, and nobody did.''
    Yes, a BBC drama claimed she was blackmailing Wilson after they'd had an affair.
    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2007/apr/04/bbc.broadcasting
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited February 2019
    DavidL said:


    Well he's an advisor to Nicola. https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/politics/scottish-politics/829240/nicola-sturgeon-adviser-andrew-wilson-urges-soft-scottish-independence/

    I would be genuinely interested to hear your thoughts. Do you agree that any politician arguing for independence is going to have to address the mess that is Brexit?

    I think what almost everyone can agree on is that it's all one great big fucking mess; to quote one of our august contributors on this thread 'there are no good ideas from here, only competing bad ideas'.

    We're 41 days from Brexit day and still no one knows even approximately how it's going to pan out. Like you I'm not exactly neutral in this, but personally the uncertainty of Indy run by at least semi competent pols seems to compete ok with the current clusterfuck run by a bunch of serial clusterfuckers. Hypothetical poll questions (e.g how would you vote in an indy referendum if there was a no deal Brexit? - https://tinyurl.com/ybltgpn4) tend to be frowned upon in polling circles, but we're rapidly approaching the point where hypotheses become facts, and a no deal means all bets are off. It's a crappy old cliché, but just about every element of the British state is entering uncharted territory.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    I think what almost everyone can agree on is that it's all one great big fucking mess; to quote one of our august contributors on this thread 'there are no good ideas from here, only competing bad ideas'.

    We're 41 days from Brexit day and still no one knows even approximately how it's going to pan out. Like you I'm not exactly neutral in this, but personally the uncertainty of Indy run by at least semi competent pols seems to compete ok with the current clusterfuck run by a bunch of serial clusterfuckers. Hypothetical poll questions (e.g how would you vote in an indy referendum if there was a no deal Brexit? - https://tinyurl.com/ybltgpn4) tend to be frowned upon in polling circles, but we're rapidly approaching the point where hypotheses become facts, and a no deal means all bets are off. It's a crappy old cliché, but just about every element of the British state is entering uncharted territory.
    You shouldn't really support something as long term and far reaching as Scottish independence just because the current SNP leadership have really got their act together, while Westminster seems to be inhabited primarily by politicians who would struggle to outwit a gerbil.

    But it is easy to sympathise with people who think that way.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    edited February 2019

    Yep - a bit tin-eared from Guy given that C’s are likely to end up in a coalition with the increasingly hard right PP, with the support of the far-right Vox.

    Possibly, though given the PSOE will likely win most seats I would not rule out a PSOE and C's deal completely to prevent Vox forming a Government with the PP. Verhofstadt will support his fellow liberals in Citizens regardless

    C's will likely be kingmaker given PSOE and Podemos and the PP and Vox are unlikely to have a majority
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    Yes, a BBC drama claimed she was blackmailing Wilson after they'd had an affair.
    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2007/apr/04/bbc.broadcasting
    I have never been convinced that the rumours re- Falkender and Wilson had substance to them, but this is the first public denial from her that I have seen.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482
    DavidL said:

    Do you seriously dispute that our carbon footprint has fallen in the last couple of decades and is likely to fall further as we move to electric vehicles? It seems to me that the major problem with global warming is in developing countries which do not have the infrastructure to do what we have already done. But I still think kids caring enough to protest about it is a good thing.
    Not at all - but what we’ve done so far represents the easy bit.
    If transport is to go electric, it would require a very large increase in generation - and we have barely planned to maintain our current generation levels. And as far as industrial sources of CO2 are concerned (steel manufacturing, for example), we’ve barely scratched the surface.
    That much of our bulk industry has one way or another been offshored doesn’t reduce our society’s reliance on it.

    If you believe global warming represents an existential threat to a large part of modern civilisation - and the next generation overwhelmingly do - then the matter is considerably more urgent that even the better prepared nations policies take into account.


  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    DavidL said:

    I didn't agree with the children's protest because it seemed to me that there was an understandable ignorance about the massive steps we have made in the UK in terms of addressing climate change. The fact that we get roughly 30% of our entire energy needs from renewables being a case in point.

    But personally I am delighted that kids can be stirred sufficiently to put down their iphones and protest about something like this. Apathy is always the biggest danger to democracy and anything that challenges it is welcome. If you are not an idealist at 15 when are you ever going to be? I thought May's response was curmudgeonly and ill judged. But there is nothing surprising about that.
    A good percentage of the kids involved were far more interested in skipping a bit of school than any of the issues surrounding the climate. I know a number of teachers who were glad to see the back of these kids for a few hours - it meant that they had a Friday afternoon without the troublemakers.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182

    A good percentage of the kids involved were far more interested in skipping a bit of school than any of the issues surrounding the climate. I know a number of teachers who were glad to see the back of these kids for a few hours - it meant that they had a Friday afternoon without the troublemakers.
    PB Tories really do hate children.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    edited February 2019

    I think what almost everyone can agree on is that it's all one great big fucking mess; to quote one of our august contributors on this thread 'there are no good ideas from here, only competing bad ideas'.

    We're 41 days from Brexit day and still no one knows even approximately how it's going to pan out. Like you I'm not exactly neutral in this, but personally the uncertainty of Indy run by at least semi competent pols seems to compete ok with the current clusterfuck run by a bunch of serial clusterfuckers. Hypothetical poll questions (e.g how would you vote in an indy referendum if there was a no deal Brexit? - https://tinyurl.com/ybltgpn4) tend to be frowned upon in polling circles, but we're rapidly approaching the point where hypotheses become facts, and a no deal means all bets are off. It's a crappy old cliché, but just about every element of the British state is entering uncharted territory.
    Brexit was always going to be a gigantic clusterfuck.

    It no consolation that the clusterfuckers in Parliament and on here claim solemnly that it was always going to be a clusterfuck but that it is somehow “worth it”.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315

    Yep - a bit tin-eared from Guy given that C’s are likely to end up in a coalition with the increasingly hard right PP, with the support of the far-right Vox.

    Why wouldn't Verhofstadt endorse Ciudadanos as they are a member of his ALDE Aliiance of Liberals and Democrats political group and he leads that group in Brussels. .

    Personally I prefer LIDL - Liberals In Denial (we're Leaving).
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,533
    brendan16 said:

    Why wouldn't Verhofstadt endorse Ciudadanos as they are a member of his ALDE Aliiance of Liberals and Democrats political group and he leads that group in Brussels. .

    Personally I prefer LIDL - Liberals In Denial (we're Leaving).
    Leaving; sees cliff edge ahead and puts foot hard on accelerator!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,453

    This is a Tony Banks EDM. Wasn't he a bit of comedian as well as a bit on the left?
    He also didn't spot the "live-saving" typo.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,855
    edited February 2019
    DavidL said:

    One of the more interesting results of the incompetent fiasco that our political masters have made of Brexit is the reservations it is causing in Scotland about independence. One of the SNP leaders recognised this yesterday by talking about a "soft" independence for Scotland.

    In my view, and I recognise that I am not exactly neutral in this, anyone arguing that Scottish independence is going to be straightforward or that the deal with rUK would be anything short of nightmarish to negotiate is going to be met with derisive laughter for decades to come. There are increasing signs that the SNP are becoming aware of the implications and are far from happy about it.
    We've been arguing the constitution since 2013. People are fed up and think it's not doing anyone any good. However if there's another referendum on independence that confronts voters with a choice I think Yes will win it. No-one much will be making the case for the Union.

    For myself, I am not sure how I would vote next time. I'm as unionist as they come but I now wonder whether the Union really can have consent in Scotland and the United Kingdom gig is over. Scotland voted strongly for the European Union but its interests aren't being considered at all.
  • You won't find many people who voted for Brexit in a few year's time.
    We were told that you wouldn't find many who voted Leave at Christmas 2016.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632

    We'll keep our seat as long we have nuclear weapons and don't look like a basket case.
    That’ll be until a Corbyn government then...........

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,533

    He also didn't spot the "live-saving" typo.
    He was a republican who used to take the Oath of Loyalty as an MP with his fingers crossed and behind his back.
    IIRC he could laugh at himself, though. Saving grace!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,734

    He also didn't spot the "live-saving" typo.
    Nor M15 instead of MI5.
  • PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    "Revoke would be political suicide" eh? If we are talking about the Conservative Party, that sounds to me like a very good idea. The Conservatives have already shown themselves to be irredeemably split, totally incompetent and ruled by self-interest. If revoking Article 50 means political suicide, they may as well do the job properly and have done with it.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,453
    This thread is now OOOOOOOLD......
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    FF43 said:

    We've been arguing the constitution since 2013. People are fed up and think it's not doing anyone any good. However if there's another referendum on independence that confronts voters with a choice I think Yes will win it. No-one much will be making the case for the Union.

    For myself, I am not sure how I would vote next time. I'm as unionist as they come but I now wonder whether the Union really can have consent in Scotland and the United Kingdom gig is over. Scotland voted strongly for the European Union but its interests aren't being considered at all.
    If the Commons votes for permanent Customs Union as is increasingly likely it will be due to SNP MPs votes
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    Cyclefree said:

    That’ll be until a Corbyn government then...........

    Not if Labour backbenchers have anything to do with it
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    HYUFD said:

    Guy Verhofstadt endorses Citizens ahead of the Spanish general election

    https://mobile.twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1096384360905879552

    Typical eurocrat sticking their oar in.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,101
    DavidL said:

    One of the more interesting results of the incompetent fiasco that our political masters have made of Brexit is the reservations it is causing in Scotland about independence. One of the SNP leaders recognised this yesterday by talking about a "soft" independence for Scotland.

    In my view, and I recognise that I am not exactly neutral in this, anyone arguing that Scottish independence is going to be straightforward or that the deal with rUK would be anything short of nightmarish to negotiate is going to be met with derisive laughter for decades to come. There are increasing signs that the SNP are becoming aware of the implications and are far from happy about it.
    Someone who lost his seat in 2003 is now a party leader? Don't tell Tony Blair that!
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,101

    weve been through this before

    didnt happen when USSR broke up, Russia retained the seat
    The former republics agree support Russia's successor state status, in part for Russia assuming responsibility for all sovereign debt - that might sit well with an independent Scotland.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    sarissa said:

    The former republics agree support Russia's successor state status, in part for Russia assuming responsibility for all sovereign debt - that might sit well with an independent Scotland.
    The situation with Russia happened because the USSR declared itself extinct, rather than simply transforming from the USSR into Russia.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,101

    You shouldn't really support something as long term and far reaching as Scottish independence just because the current SNP leadership have really got their act together, while Westminster seems to be inhabited primarily by politicians who would struggle to outwit a gerbil.

    But it is easy to sympathise with people who think that way.
    12 years and counting, showing a good deal more maturity and responsibility than Westminster, is good enough for me.
  • PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    RobD said:

    Typical eurocrat sticking their oar in.
    He`s not a Eurocrat. He`s a parliamentarian and an elected politician, leader of a political grouping, which covers Spain.
This discussion has been closed.