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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With “cabinet resignations” in the air who is going to be first to quit
We are going through turbulent times and there’s little doubt that the next few weeks as we edge closer to March 29th are going to see dramatic developments which are going to be hard to predict.
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I can imagine anything from 1-8 of them going and were Mrs May to leave a few hours later everything becomes a dead heat. And there isn't time for a drip-drip-drip approach with someone resigning every day.
Steady the buffs, Amber, your country needs you.
If she goes for no deal, then Amber et al will resign, if she goes for a softer negotiation (SM/CU etc) then it could be Penny et al instead.
Anyone holding the Tory whip should be opposing that.
https://twitter.com/Sport_Witness/status/1087635184260923392
As ever with labour their commitment to a second referendum is a fudge. They want to negotiate a better deal first and then put it to a referendum. However, Sky reporting that no one is sure Corbyn would vote for it or whip it and in addition several of the shadow front bench would resign and 30 plus labour mps would vote against.
'nothing has changed'
But then Dominic Grieve still somehow holds the Tory whip, I think with almost any other Parliamentary arithmetic he'd have been suspended by the party before now.
How different would this ratification process be if May could make a vote a confidence vote like Major did to force his bastards into line over Maastricht. Modern day bastards like Grieve don't face that.
It's inadvertently created a situation with a completely hung Parliament and small splits in both main parties, whereby nothing substantial can be passed yet the government doesn't lose a vote of confidence.
Seems only like last year.
Sadly, sounds like another case of what's known in aviation as getthereitis (get-there-itis), where a seemingly overpowering need to complete the planned flight overrides sensible decision making in changing conditions.
Also stand by for Premier League clubs (more specifically their insurers) to ban players from travelling in single engined planes.
Yet another record high for employment in the UK.
Nonsense.
He was an awesome Health Secretary and secured record funding for the NHS.
At the Foreign Office he’s done brilliantly, such as bringing home that chap from Dubai I think.
He’s Prime Minister in waiting.
"I am easily the best choice to lead our great nation and our great nation deserves the best. Therefore I must, in the national interest, do everything I possibly can, use every trick in the book, dirty or otherwise, to maximize my chances of landing the job, even if some of what I do to further my cause would appear to the unwary to be against the national interest."
You have to somehow make yourself believe that. Boris Johnson clearly doesn't, for example, hence he looks like what he is - a chancer.
The more dangerous types are chancers who appear to be something more than that. I would put the Sajid into this category.
And then of course, since I am not a hopeless cynic, there are some good eggs - e.g. Hammond and Gove.
This is a market that could get ruined by the dead heat rules.
I could see an argument about it if he never turned up for work
(Too soon?)
On topic, what is the legal status of Yvette Cooper's proposed amendment? Does it actually do what she wants it to do (stopping a No Deal Brexit?)
The fog then closed in properly and we were all stuck on Alderney for two days.
Alderney's a b*&^%r for that in winter.
Insurers in general will be paying much closer attention in general to the activities of people with large valuations on them. F1 drivers are already banned from anything more dangerous than a go-kart race, after several found interesting ways to get injured out of season.
There are a couple of insurance bods in here who might have a view but it’s going to be s very niche segment
The obvious problem with it is getting the EU to agree for us to continue in deadlock beyond their elections resulting in UK MEPs being sent to the Commssion. Also I can hear the groans from the populace across the UK by kicking the can further than even TM has.
Dominic Grieve said that if any amendment passes, the government could ignore it but that could result in a GE or other parliamentary procedures effectively to paralyse the government
https://twitter.com/AndrewSparrow/status/1087666094603726849
I earn decent money but still much prefer proper beer to champagne (most of the time)
What it does show is that she (or just maybe her husband) have thought through the steps required to undo the structure which has made a no deal Brexit the default. It would not be easy.
https://twitter.com/nick_gutteridge/status/1087670575630336000
Paul Donovan, the former Chief Economist of UBS has written quite a lot about bitcoin. He is convinced it is a bubble and there have certainly been a few scandals around it. Quite a lot of people who invest in it don’t understand it, always a very bad sign.
Blockchain is different. It is, in essence, a way of storing payment and ownership information (very simplistically put) and has the potential for being useful and possibly disruptive in the way that new technologies can be. A very good friend of mine is an expert in this area and does a lot of work with various institutions on how it can be used. But a lot about it is oversold and many who sing its praises don’t really understand it.
So I would proceed with caution unless you can really understand it. My general view is that there is nothing in this world so complicated that someone who understands it can’t explain it simply. And if they can’t, one of two things is usually happening: they’re either trying to pull the wool over your eyes or they don’t understand it themselves.