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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Take Khan to the bank
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Take Khan to the bank
The tip I’m about to give is not particularly exciting, or thrilling and it certainly won’t get you rich overnight seeing as the potential payday in question is top price 2-5 and 542 days away at the time of writing this article.
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Thanks Pulpstar.
Edit: and first.
But as for your last line: if a Labour leadership contest comes up before 2020, is there a small but non-zero chance he'd throw his hat into the ring ala Boris and leave the mayoralty at, or before, the end of his term?
If I wanted to watch that sort of entertainment than I'd just go around Kate Osamor's house...
Not quite as outrageous as the first GGG vs canelo fight but not far off.
Boris is a very different matter. And yes, I do condemn him over the Guppy mess. I quite like him, but he should be nowhere near the levers of power - let him keep on submitting ghostwritten columns as a journalist ...
I know you say you're not a Labour member, but you certainly seem keen to 'look, squirrel!' whenever they're criticised ...
But look at your reaction to my post: it's typical 'look, squirrel!'. Someone criticises Labour, and you go on about how evil the Conservatives are. Every time ...
(And no, I don't like seeing people hitting each other, or think it's a sport.)
ETA I think we should let this rest. We have both made our points and this sort of tit-for-tat can spoil the site if extended.
Thanks P, I'm on.
And I third it.
I don't mind wrestling anywhere near as much, although I never really saw the Saturday afternoon wrestling on TV as a sport, either. Entertainment, yes. Sport, no.
Top BBC story - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46416591
Given the result, quite glad I didn't bother dipping my toe into the boxing betting.
Hmm. I might back Khan. I've got a little on Bailey at 61.
To be fair, I did also back two other Conservative candidates for the same hefty sum.
I think it would be the same reason.
Not sure I see any acceptable way out on this. The DUP won't back down, because they are the DUP. Labour won't back down because it's blood sport. The other parties want their "me too" moment. Tories who hate her deal arent going to help out if it says "May's Brexit don't mean Brexit". So you have to think that by some point this coming week, the PM has a toxic piece of advice published. Whilst she is out and about flogging her horse that isn't just dead, it's at the knackers yard being melted down for glue. Result? her "deal" dies by a majority of over two hundred....
Whoops.
When faced with such a terribly compromised future position, some might revisit whether the short-term pain of No Deal under WTO terms - and a clean slate for the trade talks - might not be a better option after all. Those offered her choice of "Shit sandwich? Or starve?" might just discover they have lost their appetite.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/london-mayoral-election-2020/london-mayoral-election-winner-2020
Both are national disasters, built on lies, and while initially supported by the public, increasingly understood as a mistake.
I'll probably just leave it then, for now at least.
(That's a reference to his appearances on Russia Today, btw, not to any conspiracy theories about Corbyn being a Soviet mole.)
On the other hand, we have a way out here. We just need our MPs to grow up and take it...
I would expect the EU to be very anxious to have us abort Brexit, but it will only take one naysayer - say, a deeply unpopular Spanish PM looking for some cheap domestic points, or an Irish PM who doesn't understand the issues, or an ill-judged phrase from a very arrogant but not very bright German in charge of the secretariat - to wreck it and leave us with no deal at all and every flight on the planet grounded.
With that bombshell, I am needed elsewhere. Have a good morning.
That is default and without legislation it clicks in in March 19
Her argument seems to accept there will be disruption if the EU want to behave in an unreasonable way
But we will be fine on WTO
I completely fail to understand those who say that the disruption probable after March 29th if we have No Deal is in any way acceptable.
Edited for silly spelling.
It has to be said that the media generally are all over the place
It has to be said that the media generally are all over the place
The Media are no different to the politicians and no different to the views expressed on here.. All over the place
Pleasing to see a common sense approach if the deal falls
Deal
No deal
Remain
Adding it has to be fair to everyone
Clearly as PM you don't want it, but what exactly is the procedure if a majority said "Publish" (and the Government abstained on the vote) and the PM says "Shan't"?
Labour sources said that Starmer was ready to sign a joint letter with the DUP’s Westminster leader, Nigel Dodds, the Liberal Democrat Brexit spokesman Tom Brake, and the SNP Europe spokesman Stephen Gethins, asking Bercow to allow a motion “that the government has held parliament in contempt”.
Under Commons rules, if the speaker allows the motion to go before the House and the vote is carried it would then be referred to the committee of privileges which would rule on whether a contempt of parliament had taken place.
If it were decided that a contempt had occurred, the committee could recommend a suitable punishment which would be put back to MPs to agree.
In theory the most severe penalty is expulsion from the House, although the prospects of that happening would appear remote.
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I do like the very British journalism of that last line - yes, probably the committee won't recommend that the entire government should be expelled.
Edited extra bit: namely, the option to Remain has to be able to occur. Which is not certain.
Resigning matter, surely?
But if it's a two-phase referendum it'd be perhaps fairer, although that might introduce a bias to the middle.
Q1 Should the UK Remain or Leave?
Q2 If Leave wins, should the UK leave with May's deal, or with no deal?
On April we will
Remain
Leave with Mays deal
Leave without Mays deal.
That’s it. Pick one. Or rank them
Or is it going to be an AV election, in which case presumably Leavers would rather vote Deal (and Leave) than Remain, which gets the Deal ahead.
It's the old legal maxim, isn't it; never ask a question (in court) to which you do not know the answer.
Option 1
If our elected representatives have rejected the deal by a substantial margin then I see no morally logical case for them to offer us something they consider completely unacceptable, so the choice is leave / remain
Option 2
1st referendum is deal, yes or no.
If no 2nd referendum is remain / no deal
What does he suggest?
Conservative loyalists will split on 2nd prefs, but just about rank (deal, remain, no deal)
Erg will tend to rank (no deal, remain, deal), but there are less than 48 of them so who cares.
Other leavers will rank (no deal, deal, remain)
Deal likely to be eliminated in round one, with conservative loyalists just winning it for remain, but it will be close.