2 excellent spread-bets for Mike.I think the Beto bet will pay out with the omnipotent Willie Nelson making the difference. Last minte Democratic party polling has Dems in front 48-47% in Nevada.Dems backed in to 4-7.North Carolina has a 3pt Dem lead and Arizona in front by 1 point.GOP 4-6 in Arizona,best priced 6-5 for a Blue win.
Would certainly leave the US pollsters in a tricky position, since all the weightings would be skewed wrong if the Young voters really are coming out to give Donald John a kicking....
FPT I see Rasmussen have just put the Republicans 1% ahead in the generic ballot.
Although as most of the votes will now have been cast, it may be a little on the late side
Or reflect the votes actually cast....an early exit poll?
That is also possible.
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just. 2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats. 3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona. 4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it. 5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8. 6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
Interesting The Guardian now claims to have hit 1m ' contributions ' from readers which include one off donations as well as monthly ones. The strategy they are trying is staying paywall free but routinely asking readers online to donate cash. Only the annual profit/loss figures will tell us if it's " worked " but the early indications are some folk will voluntarily pay to sustain a free at point of use site.
I would contribute if their comment pieces weren't so packed full of hatred and prejudice. I can't in all honesty contribute to them as they are, even though some of their news coverage is very good.
I've quite a lot of sympathy with that actually Richard. I suspect we'd disagree over exactly which ones but some of their regular columnists and clickbait one offs are ghastly and trash the Guardian's brand. Which is a shame as under Viner it's well on it's way to becoming a global English language daily and the quality of much of it's factual journalism is outstanding. Viner is also more pluralist and rediscovering the ' liberal ' in the Trust Deed.
I have decided after many years of reading the Guardian , to make a monthly contribution.
As I think it is worth every penny , not to be behind a pay wall.
I hope my little effort keeps it open to all.
I'm pretty well agreed with that, even if I might find their editorial stance, which often colours reporting, mildly irritating. Some of the Times' journalism is pretty good, too.
FPT I see Rasmussen have just put the Republicans 1% ahead in the generic ballot.
Although as most of the votes will now have been cast, it may be a little on the late side
Or reflect the votes actually cast....an early exit poll?
That is also possible.
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just. 2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats. 3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona. 4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it. 5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8. 6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
All those outcomes seem probable to me.
I'd expect the Democrats to win the House by about 225-230 to 205-210, and for the Senate to be R52 D 48.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Time to re-engineer the toothbrush methinks.
Since the average Leaver either doesn't have teeth because they are too old or doesn't have teeth because... well... it seems that you are expecting Remainers once again to bear the brunt of your preferred Brexit.
Mr. F, in Livy's account of Roman history, roughly the era of Titus Manlius Torquatus and Marcus Valerius Corvus, he notes approvingly of how one war ended with the Romans annihilating the adult male population of an enemy city.
Tamerlane could be very unforgiving about the populations of cities which opposed his advance, too.
Our ancestors could be very rough.
There was a general expectation that if a city came to terms, then one should honour those terms. But, if it was taken by storm, the lives and property of the inhabitants belonged to the conquerors.
Nowadays it is the drug gangs of 17 year old boys who are very rough.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
This is basically a rehash of Tony Benn's Alternative Economic Strategy: "You withdraw behind walls and reconstruct and re-emerge."
Perhaps if we close our economy off temporarily we can create our own smartphone giants and then launch back into an unsuspecting world and steal Apple's lunch.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Time to re-engineer the toothbrush methinks.
Since the average Leaver either doesn't have teeth because they are too old or doesn't have teeth because... well... it seems that you are expecting Remainers once again to bear the brunt of your preferred Brexit.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Time to re-engineer the toothbrush methinks.
Since the average Leaver either doesn't have teeth because they are too old or doesn't have teeth because... well... it seems that you are expecting Remainers once again to bear the brunt of your preferred Brexit.
Is Raab ( a ) thick ( b ) setting up impossible Red lines so he can resign over one because he thinks resigning will boost his Tory leadership chances ?
I'd say it means he's decided he thinks there's not gonna be a deal (reasonable) then it doesn't matter what fantasy red meat he throws around.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Which meant, in some districts that, there being no street-lights, people fell into areas.
Is Raab ( a ) thick ( b ) setting up impossible Red lines so he can resign over one because he thinks resigning will boost his Tory leadership chances ?
I'd say it means he's decided he thinks there's not gonna be a deal (reasonable) then it doesn't matter what fantasy red meat he throws around.
Since he's currently the second favourite Brexiteer behind Boris Johnson for next Prime Minister, it seems to have worked for him.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Time to re-engineer the toothbrush methinks.
Since the average Leaver either doesn't have teeth because they are too old or doesn't have teeth because... well... it seems that you are expecting Remainers once again to bear the brunt of your preferred Brexit.
It seems the British Steradent dental cleaner company is dissolved.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Time to re-engineer the toothbrush methinks.
Since the average Leaver either doesn't have teeth because they are too old or doesn't have teeth because... well... it seems that you are expecting Remainers once again to bear the brunt of your preferred Brexit.
"Historic turnout doesn't just happen – it's driven by thousands of Democratic volunteers knocking on millions of doors, sending millions of texts, and organizing rides to the polls across the nation. The backing they get from grassroots donors provides the massive amount of resources those organizers and volunteers need in order to do their work."- The Blue team. NBS news "Record turnout upends mid-term predictions", The Blues GOV operation is taking credit but it is overall good organisation which can achieve maximum differential turn-out.Dems are still very hopeful of historic gains.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Also, I doubt that pots and pans were turned into spitfires; the aluminium would be the wrong grade. I believe that even recycled aircraft aluminium is too poor a quality to be used in new airplanes.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
No, the UK-wide customs backstop is purely a UK invention.
Is Raab ( a ) thick ( b ) setting up impossible Red lines so he can resign over one because he thinks resigning will boost his Tory leadership chances ?
I'd say it means he's decided he thinks there's not gonna be a deal (reasonable) then it doesn't matter what fantasy red meat he throws around.
OMG GRABCOCQUE. WHERE HAVE YOU BEEN ? I so desperately need to shelter from the Brexit storms in your lush facial hair.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Interesting The Guardian now claims to have hit 1m ' contributions ' from readers which include one off donations as well as monthly ones. The strategy they are trying is staying paywall free but routinely asking readers online to donate cash. Only the annual profit/loss figures will tell us if it's " worked " but the early indications are some folk will voluntarily pay to sustain a free at point of use site.
I would contribute if their comment pieces weren't so packed full of hatred and prejudice. I can't in all honesty contribute to them as they are, even though some of their news coverage is very good.
I've quite a lot of sympathy with that actually Richard. I suspect we'd disagree over exactly which ones but some of their regular columnists and clickbait one offs are ghastly and trash the Guardian's brand. Which is a shame as under Viner it's well on it's way to becoming a global English language daily and the quality of much of it's factual journalism is outstanding. Viner is also more pluralist and rediscovering the ' liberal ' in the Trust Deed.
I have decided after many years of reading the Guardian , to make a monthly contribution.
As I think it is worth every penny , not to be behind a pay wall.
I hope my little effort keeps it open to all.
I'm pretty well agreed with that, even if I might find their editorial stance, which often colours reporting, mildly irritating. Some of the Times' journalism is pretty good, too.
Other than that...
Agreed I always buy a Times hard copy when travelling by plane.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Either that - or acknowledge Brussels has fucked them over.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
This is basically a rehash of Tony Benn's Alternative Economic Strategy: "You withdraw behind walls and reconstruct and re-emerge."
Perhaps if we close our economy off temporarily we can create our own smartphone giants and then launch back into an unsuspecting world and steal Apple's lunch.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Also, I doubt that pots and pans were turned into spitfires; the aluminium would be the wrong grade. I believe that even recycled aircraft aluminium is too poor a quality to be used in new airplanes.
Made everyone feel they were ’doing their bit’ though!
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
If you can come up with a solution to enable frictionless trade without customs and regulatory alignment then there's no problem. So far Brexiteers haven't been able to...
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Also, I doubt that pots and pans were turned into spitfires; the aluminium would be the wrong grade. I believe that even recycled aircraft aluminium is too poor a quality to be used in new airplanes.
The railings outside our house in Tottenham were removed as were those in the rest of the street. Maybe they were picking on us but I suspect not.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
No, just putting it in the EU CU.
Seems very generous to me. Full EU benefits at no financial cost.
Out of the blue the thought occurred to me to wonder if anybody takes bets on who Trump blames when things go wrong for him. It's usually the press, but not always.Or it may be multiple blames, but never reflexive. Who will he blame if the Democrats take the House?
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
If you can come up with a solution to enable frictionless trade without customs and regulatory alignment then there's no problem. So far Brexiteers haven't been able to...
Mutual recognition of each other's standards. That was hard.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Out of the blue the thought occurred to me to wonder if anybody takes bets on who Trump blames when things go wrong for him. It's usually the press, but not always.Or it may be multiple blames, but never. Who will he blame if the Democrats take the House?
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
If you can come up with a solution to enable frictionless trade without customs and regulatory alignment then there's no problem. So far Brexiteers haven't been able to...
Mutual recognition of each other's standards. That was hard.
It's not on offer, and even if it were, it still wouldn't solve the customs question.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Interesting The Guardian now claims to have hit 1m ' contributions ' from readers which include one off donations as well as monthly ones. The strategy they are trying is staying paywall free but routinely asking readers online to donate cash. Only the annual profit/loss figures will tell us if it's " worked " but the early indications are some folk will voluntarily pay to sustain a free at point of use site.
I would contribute if their comment pieces weren't so packed full of hatred and prejudice. I can't in all honesty contribute to them as they are, even though some of their news coverage is very good.
I've quite a lot of sympathy with that actually Richard. I suspect we'd disagree over exactly which ones but some of their regular columnists and clickbait one offs are ghastly and trash the Guardian's brand. Which is a shame as under Viner it's well on it's way to becoming a global English language daily and the quality of much of it's factual journalism is outstanding. Viner is also more pluralist and rediscovering the ' liberal ' in the Trust Deed.
I have decided after many years of reading the Guardian , to make a monthly contribution.
As I think it is worth every penny , not to be behind a pay wall.
I hope my little effort keeps it open to all.
I'm pretty well agreed with that, even if I might find their editorial stance, which often colours reporting, mildly irritating. Some of the Times' journalism is pretty good, too.
Other than that...
Agreed I always buy a Times hard copy when travelling by plane.
Manufacturing prospered during the Wold Wars. The making of many engineering companies.
Import substitution rules, OK.
The world is somewhat different now than then, though. In the 1940s, a firm would buy metal and make things out of that metal. Now even the simplest of devices, like an electric toothbrush, will contain parts from dozens of firms.
Pots and pans were, allegedly, turned into Spitfires.
And railings; anything metal removable without dynamite, my Mum used to say
Which meant, in some districts that, there being no street-lights, people fell into areas.
And falling off bridges when trains stopped unexpectedly not at a station.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
No, just putting it in the EU CU.
Seems very generous to me. Full EU benefits at no financial cost.
"You will take what we think is good for you, regardless of what you think. Forever."
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Out of the blue the thought occurred to me to wonder if anybody takes bets on who Trump blames when things go wrong for him. It's usually the press, but not always.Or it may be multiple blames, but never reflexive. Who will he blame if the Democrats take the House?
Trump will happily peddle right wing conspiracy theories about the Democrats bussing in illegal immigrants to vote. Plato was pushing this nonsense in 2016 when it looked like Trump would lose.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
"Historic turnout doesn't just happen – it's driven by thousands of Democratic volunteers knocking on millions of doors, sending millions of texts, and organizing rides to the polls across the nation. The backing they get from grassroots donors provides the massive amount of resources those organizers and volunteers need in order to do their work."- The Blue team. NBS news "Record turnout upends mid-term predictions", The Blues GOV operation is taking credit but it is overall good organisation which can achieve maximum differential turn-out.Dems are still very hopeful of historic gains.
In their dreams, Republicans are ahead nearly everywhere on the early polling. More pertinent is the Dem's have made an effort by all accounts to match the districts with candidates and message. Historic gains is fantasy land, any gains are likely to be modest.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Ah, I think there's a distinction between becoming a Lord and becoming a member of the House of Lords. To become the latter you have to put on fancy dress and play some mediaeval charades.
So 'Lord Heywood' is correct, but he didn't become a member of the Lords.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
No, just putting it in the EU CU.
Seems very generous to me. Full EU benefits at no financial cost.
A change in their constitutional settlement without a referendum? I thought that was one of the pillars of the GFA?
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
Not the UK, just the six counties.
Oh, so just an effective permanent annexation of a neighbour's territory? Completely reasonable!
If you can come up with a solution to enable frictionless trade without customs and regulatory alignment then there's no problem. So far Brexiteers haven't been able to...
Mutual recognition of each other's standards. That was hard.
It's not on offer, and even if it were, it still wouldn't solve the customs question.
Combined with mutual collection of tariffs it absolutely would. But it is amazing how you say "you can't think of anything" when you really mean "the EU won't allow it so we should support annexation of UK territory".
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
No, but it is Remainers who are supporting the EU annexing British territory in perpetuity.
Remainers don't support Brexit. If as you imply Brexiteers don't support it either, why are we doing it?
You are doing some fantastical logical somersaults to avoid drawing attention away from the EU's completely unreasonable position of annexation. Bravo!
FPT I see Rasmussen have just put the Republicans 1% ahead in the generic ballot.
Although as most of the votes will now have been cast, it may be a little on the late side
Or reflect the votes actually cast....an early exit poll?
That is also possible.
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just. 2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats. 3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona. 4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it. 5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8. 6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
Pretty much agree, I expect the GOP will take Montana as well and possibly Florida so 53/54 in the end. Texas will be more comfortable.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
No, but it is Remainers who are supporting the EU annexing British territory in perpetuity.
Remainers don't support Brexit. If as you imply Brexiteers don't support it either, why are we doing it?
You are doing some fantastical logical somersaults to avoid drawing attention away from the EU's completely unreasonable position of annexation. Bravo!
The British government's position for decades has been that it's up to the people of the island of Ireland to decide.
They reaffirm as a binding obligation that they will, for their part, introduce the necessary legislation to give effect to this, or equally to any measure of agreement on future relationships in Ireland which the people living in Ireland may themselves freely so determine without external impediment.
Listening to Ireland today, is it really their position that the UK should be locked in to another geography's customs laws in perpetuity with no option for ever leaving?
I suspect Leo Vodka's rhetoric hides an appreciation of the risks to Eire of UK's non EU status, regardless of the nature of that status.
He has probably been emboldened by the number of UK Remainers who support the EU's annexationist position over UK territory.
I couldn't possibly comment
Ah, the search for traitors has resurfaced.
Vote Leave Avoid Responsibility.
paranoid too
Yes, paranoia is the default hallmark of the more demented Leavers.
Commonsense would tell you that the referendum result would be more likely to become a consensus matter if Leavers sought to engage with Remainers' concerns instead of seeking to grind them into the dust, but Leavers and commonsense long since underwent a judicial separation.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
I notice that Trump is playing the immigration card. What a surprise. Am I wrong, or did Europeans wrest most of the mainland from the red Indians, or, in the Southwest, from Mexico?
I notice that Trump is playing the immigration card. What a surprise. Am I wrong, or did Europeans wrest most of the mainland from the red Indians, or, in the Southwest, from Mexico?
Effectively, I think genocide was the name of the game
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
It was mentioned yesterday he had lung cancer
Thanks Big g never read that.
It came up when Andrew Marr was interviewing James Brokenshire who of couse is recovering from it
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
Sincere condolences, Barnesian. That is indeed shockingly sudden.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
There's an interesting stat doing the rounds on the news networks. Everyone agrees that the Dem route to taking the Senate is a difficult one tomorrow, and indeed the GOP could pick up a couple, but the interesting stat is that not one of the Senate dems up for reelection in 2020 is in a state Trump won in 2016.
It would be surprising if the Dems don't do quite well down ballot. 8 years of Obama almost destroyed the Dems as a national party outside Congress. The GOP - if I remember correctly in the almost mind numbing drum beat of the last week or so -holds 36 governorships and 67 of the 99 state legislative bodies. The only way from an achievement like that for the GOP is down, which bodes well for the dems..
FPT I see Rasmussen have just put the Republicans 1% ahead in the generic ballot.
Although as most of the votes will now have been cast, it may be a little on the late side
Or reflect the votes actually cast....an early exit poll?
That is also possible.
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just. 2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats. 3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona. 4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it. 5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8. 6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
Pretty much agree, I expect the GOP will take Montana as well and possibly Florida so 53/54 in the end. Texas will be more comfortable.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
Yes so I believe in contrast to blood cancers .Such as myeloma where new drugs are helping many people live for many years with a treatable if not curable condition.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
Yes so I believe in contrast to blood cancers .Such as myeloma where new drugs are helping many people live for many years with a treatable if not curable condition.
My best friend in England is battling myeloma. He's having a bit of a tough time.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
Thank you all for your condolences. I wasn't going to say but I just blurted it out. We had just celebrated our 50th wedding anniversary so we had had a very good life together.
I find PB, midterms and Brexit usefully distracting but I'm still in deep shock and my thoughts keep returning to my wife and our life together.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
There's an interesting stat doing the rounds on the news networks. Everyone agrees that the Dem route to taking the Senate is a difficult one tomorrow, and indeed the GOP could pick up a couple, but the interesting stat is that not one of the Senate dems up for reelection in 2020 is in a state Trump won in 2016.
It would be surprising if the Dems don't do quite well down ballot. 8 years of Obama almost destroyed the Dems as a national party outside Congress. The GOP - if I remember correctly in the almost mind numbing drum beat of the last week or so -holds 36 governorships and 67 of the 99 state legislative bodies. The only way from an achievement like that for the GOP is down, which bodes well for the dems..
I think that these figures are somewhat exaggerated by the number of low population states the Republicans have compared with the Dems having Cal, NY etc but there is no doubt that this has damaged the party nationally and arguably cost Hillary the election.
Thank you all for your condolences. I wasn't going to say but I just blurted it out. We had just celebrated our 50th wedding anniversary so we had had a very good life together.
I find PB, midterms and Brexit usefully distracting but I'm still in deep shock and my thoughts keep returning to my wife and our life together.
FPT I see Rasmussen have just put the Republicans 1% ahead in the generic ballot.
Although as most of the votes will now have been cast, it may be a little on the late side
Or reflect the votes actually cast....an early exit poll?
That is also possible.
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just. 2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats. 3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona. 4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it. 5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8. 6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
Pretty much agree, I expect the GOP will take Montana as well and possibly Florida so 53/54 in the end. Texas will be more comfortable.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
That happened to my wife on holiday in Ireland this summer. I took her into A&E in Galway on 30 August with a cough, breathlessness and a pain in her shoulder to check she was fit enough for the journey home. She was kept in, diagnosed with Stage 4 lung cancer, and died on 23 September in hospital in Galway. She never made it home. It was shockingly sudden.
Very sad to hear of Jeremy Heywood's death at such a young age. He kept working, in what must be a very high-stress job, until surprisingly recently, which shows remarkable dedication.
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
Yes it is very sad. There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
A friend of mine aged 50 went from pain in the shoulder to death from lung cancer in 6 weeks. Sometimes it is very quick.
Yes so I believe in contrast to blood cancers .Such as myeloma where new drugs are helping many people live for many years with a treatable if not curable condition.
My best friend in England is battling myeloma. He's having a bit of a tough time.
Hope they can get your friend into remission in many cases with myeloma they can for many years.
Comments
Last minte Democratic party polling has Dems in front 48-47% in Nevada.Dems backed in to 4-7.North Carolina has a 3pt Dem lead and Arizona in front by 1 point.GOP 4-6 in Arizona,best priced 6-5 for a Blue win.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/05/youth-vote-democrats-midterms-nextgen-tom-steyer-trump
Would certainly leave the US pollsters in a tricky position, since all the weightings would be skewed wrong if the Young voters really are coming out to give Donald John a kicking....
We'll find out in... ohhh... a little but more than 24 hours time.
My predictions are as follows:
1. The Democrats will take the House, but only just.
2. The Republicans will take North Dakota and Missouri, but will miss out in Florida (by a minuscule margin), and the other Democrat held seats.
3. The Democrats will take Nevada by a tiny margin, but will miss out in Arizona.
4. Texas will be surprisingly close, but Cruz will hold it.
5. The Democrats will do well in the Governors races, coming out +7 or +8.
6. Turnout will be lower than expected.
Some of the Times' journalism is pretty good, too.
Other than that...
Import substitution rules, OK.
I'd expect the Democrats to win the House by about 225-230 to 205-210, and for the Senate to be R52 D 48.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1059474880914251777
Perhaps if we close our economy off temporarily we can create our own smartphone giants and then launch back into an unsuspecting world and steal Apple's lunch.
Alexander De Grand; Facist Italy & Nazi Germany
It seems the British Steradent dental cleaner company is dissolved.
NBS news "Record turnout upends mid-term predictions",
The Blues GOV operation is taking credit but it is overall good organisation which can achieve maximum differential turn-out.Dems are still very hopeful of historic gains.
https://greatwen.com/2012/04/17/secret-london-the-mystery-of-londons-world-war-ii-railings/
Also, I doubt that pots and pans were turned into spitfires; the aluminium would be the wrong grade. I believe that even recycled aircraft aluminium is too poor a quality to be used in new airplanes.
The Sunday Times lasts me all week on holiday.
What a happy family the EU is.
Mr. Theo, welcome to PB. Some people seem quite keen on that.
Mr. Eagles, how is that karma? What evil was done?
I know he was nominated for a peerage by the PM when he retired on health grounds a few weeks ago, but did he live long enough to take it up?
https://twitter.com/hhesterm/status/1059388156720701442
Seems very generous to me. Full EU benefits at no financial cost.
https://twitter.com/RichGreenhill/status/1057301051517362176
And he was cheated, by the press...
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/05/trump-cnn-suppression-polls-961460
Pretty sick joke when Republicans start complaining about vote suppression.
Hammond says you cannot use an in-year underspend to fund recurring costs.
He says he was “quite surprised” by the negative reaction to his remark. And he was disappointed too, he says.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/05/brexit-eu-and-ireland-will-never-accept-time-limited-backstop-says-dublin-politics-live
He should have run his speech past me first! I pointed out the blunder immediately he said it.
No, but it is Remainers who are supporting the EU annexing British territory in perpetuity.
Got it.
Vote Leave Avoid Responsibility.
There was no mention that I have read of the type of cancer.That seems to have taken him so quickly at a young age.
So 'Lord Heywood' is correct, but he didn't become a member of the Lords.
http://cain.ulst.ac.uk/events/peace/docs/dsd151293.htm
They reaffirm as a binding obligation that they will, for their part, introduce the necessary legislation to give effect to this, or equally to any measure of agreement on future relationships in Ireland which the people living in Ireland may themselves freely so determine without external impediment.
Commonsense would tell you that the referendum result would be more likely to become a consensus matter if Leavers sought to engage with Remainers' concerns instead of seeking to grind them into the dust, but Leavers and commonsense long since underwent a judicial separation.
Am I wrong, or did Europeans wrest most of the mainland from the red Indians, or, in the Southwest, from Mexico?
It came up when Andrew Marr was interviewing James Brokenshire who of couse is recovering from it
It would be surprising if the Dems don't do quite well down ballot. 8 years of Obama almost destroyed the Dems as a national party outside Congress. The GOP - if I remember correctly in the almost mind numbing drum beat of the last week or so -holds 36 governorships and 67 of the 99 state legislative bodies. The only way from an achievement like that for the GOP is down, which bodes well for the dems..
I suspect that - like Maine - it's a place where an independent minded Senator can establish a decent presence.
I find PB, midterms and Brexit usefully distracting but I'm still in deep shock and my thoughts keep returning to my wife and our life together.
Must be off now.
We must help each other.
We must help each other.