politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Moggsy edges up to a new high in the next CON leader betting

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Thanks to the Tory party's quasi AV voting system for leader, MPs can stop them reaching the final two
They haven't said that for months.
I know what I'll infer from that.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/981878889365626880
https://twitter.com/markiepants/status/981880886277955584
https://twitter.com/markiepants/status/981877667128578049
Martin was a fair enough cop. He was using an illegal shotgun, the burglar was both unarmed and running away therefore no threat, and he had repeatedly said he would use violence. Although the burglar shouldn't have been there Martin's defence was to say the least shaky.
Here we have somebody in his late seventies struggling with an armed (admittedly not well-armed, but still a screwdriver is potentially lethal) burglar in his own house. The burglar gets stabbed. That's just karma.
Unless the survivor rang at him with a machete yelling threats, Plod are almost certainly going to drop the case (unless the investigating officer is even more useless than Cressida Dick).
We have a whole load more of these sorts of media appearances to look forward to:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vZZjD3p9K4
Other hybrid comic character / politicians are available.
I don't think Mogg will even stand, but if he did he has very little chance of reaching the final two.
So I'm happy to be sure of it even if you aren't.
We need to form a clear view of what happened. Obviously I do not expect that to be made in public.
Lay the second favourite
Lay the third favourite too.
The point isn't that Tory MPs are incredibly wise. The point is that if there are a very large number of "anyone but [insert name here]" MPs out there, it's a huge problem for that person. And that's the position with WRM, in my view.
Bear in mind that Alison remains in post till October. Until we know how all the parties involved self-identify on race/gender/orientation issues, it's a difficult call to make.
A police male voice choir is changing its name and distancing itself from its force after being told it went against equal opportunities policies.
Derbyshire Constabulary Male Voice Choir was asked to become a mixed-voice group in September last year. But chairman Kevin Griffiths said it would be "difficult" to hire the 50 women needed to balance the sound.
Derbyshire Police chief constable Peter Goodman said the group was "incompatible" with force policies.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-derbyshire-43646802
Who breaks a Brexit-loon upon a wheel?
The people promoted to those roles will be the ones to watch - as with Major and Hurd in 1990. But as yet we don't know who they will be so all else is very speculative.
I wouldn't risk money on the 'next Tory leader/next PM market' at the moment. Too many unknown unknowns.
I know the government takes note of discussions on here, I am trying to help them come across as proactive rather than reactive. By thinking ahead to the time the anger and the need to respond to Putins crime against us, and the Putin regime still taking piss out of us on a daily basis just like everyday this week, or relations maybe even worse, whilst we are actually attending his World Cup party? It’s political madness to think we can still go party there and put ourselves in that silly situation.
Also, After a series of polling and voodoo phone polls the government will be seen to be reacting rather than leading. So act now. Calm proactive pull out ahead of any polling will seem more principled in the long run, and allow FA more time to make alternative arrangements.
Hunt is now 21s on Betfair, do I start to lay some of my stakes? Or should I wait for his price to fall a bit more, if so, what odds?
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jacob-rees-mogg-best-prime-minister-second-favourite-best-prime-minister-exclusive-new-poll-the-a8205521.html
With that I have to go out. Have a good afternoon everyone.
https://www.cps.gov.uk/publication/decision-charge
Westminster [parts of it are Tory, Westminster North is Labour]
the City [this in in East Central London, not West London]
Chelsea [this is South West London, the clue is in the postcode, SW3]
Putney [south of the river, South West 15, and only just Tory by a tiny majority anyway]
Fulham [South West 6]
Richmond Park [in the far SW of the capital, again south of the water]
Hillingdon etc [some parts of it are Tory, not all by any means]
It will be no different next time in all likelihood
Interesting lady, nearly became an MP herself in 2010, would have in 2015 if she had stood again.
Chelsea Tory MP and Tory Council in Kensington and Chelsea.
Fulham Tory MP.
All those areas make up the West Central London Assembly seat which is also Tory so I was correct to say West London was mainly Tory still even if you just confine it to central West London
I rather like JRM but I don’t think he’s the answer for next PM, and he’s the only Tory politician named impromptu by my colleagues on the left/centre-left for anyone but.
The really good way to annoy Putin is to Remain in the EU, on the condition of accelerated Ukranian membership.
Its a bit different for the police and I think people are getting a bit confused. It is standard to make an arrest when there has been a violent death. It means if things turn out to be materially different from what you expected things the accused have said to you are admissible, searches of his person are justified etc. It does not by any means mean that the person is going to ever face a court.
Other than that, a useful poll.
It was to do with fitting her name on the ballot paper after she had revealed when she was a journalist they had to use a smaller font to fit her name on the article.
There must be a lot of Rubles being handed over every night on when Corbyn is going to face the inevitable.
"Wait, wait, we'll say it was Porton Down and Corbyn will still be backing us" (general laughter). "I know, I know, we'll say it was the Americans, that always presses his buttons". Etc, etc.
I could see him being popular, though perhaps not everywhere.
And Pharaoh said: “How dare you accuse me of slavery. This is a vile smear. I have been an anti-slaver all my life. I would not tolerate slavery in my country.” And Moses said: “Well, what about those slaves over there?” And Pharaoh replied: “Well OK, there may be pockets of slavery but the idea that Egypt has a systemic problem with it is frankly offensive.”
https://www.ft.com/content/825b2518-38b3-11e8-8b98-2f31af407cc8
We do not need stand-up comedians for Prime Minister. Look what happens when you appoint one to Foreign Secretary.
Caligula was a better judge of character than May...
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/15/LondonParliamentaryConstituency2017Results3.png
Is it worth laying off or hanging on in case he drifts in further?
It's just that The Moggster collects children rather than man-hole covers....
"So Pharaoh’s supporters organised a counter demonstration by a group called Jews for Slavery, which Pharaoh said represented a legitimate strand of opinion within the Jewish community. Jews for Slavery insisted there was no slavery in Egypt because the slaves were happy to work for a Pharaoh who was a man of peace who worked for the oppressed masses and had been an anti-slaver all his life."
Although, as been proven again today, he likes to keep people in the dark.
Do either of them have PCP bases? I'd guess most MPs have been put off Boris by his overweening ambition (sadly, not matched by overwhelming competence). I'm sure Mogg will have some on the right on his side, but they must be wary, surely, of having such an old-fashioned fellow as leader?
Again hardly 'overwhelmingly Labour'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5582015/Scotland-Yard-chief-Cressida-Dick-vows-gangs-Al-Capone-tactics.html
But where’s the mayor?
https://order-order.com/2018/04/05/city-hall-khan-work-cant-comment-knife-crime/
I do not expect him to get past 4/1, at best, until a leadership election has been called.
1. Those people who know they know nothing; and
2. Those people who do not know they know nothing.
1. History
2. Archaeology
3. Law
4. Transport policy
5. Religion
6. The workings of the Labour Party
7. The workings of other parties
8. Journalism
9. [... that's enough, Ed.]