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SUNDAY TIMES LEAD: ‘Brexiteer Plot’ by @ShippersUnbound pic.twitter.com/70OGZyDhvO
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SUNDAY TIMES LEAD: ‘Brexiteer Plot’ by @ShippersUnbound pic.twitter.com/70OGZyDhvO
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More hysteria & posturing.
For remain voters, the things they said they would most like to retain are freedom of movement (36%), tariff-free market access (27%) and continued co-operation on policing and security (19%). Notice that while opposition to Brexit is often talked about in terms of economic risk, of tariffs and market access, what Remains would most like is to retain the right to live and work in the EU. Perhaps that’s because it’s a direct benefit – most of us do not run or work in business that directly export to the EU - but then, most of us will never take up the opportunity to live elsewhere in the EU either.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/02/02/what-do-public-want-brexit-negotiations/
Among those people who voted Leave back in 2016......Top is the ability for Britain to control immigration (45%)
Please God no.
Exclusive: Former cabinet minister warns the next six months are 'decision time' over UK's withdrawal from EU"
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-dominic-grieve-running-out-time-customs-union-boris-johnson-michael-gove-a8193106.html
Whether anyone from the Back to the Victorians tendency could in fact win a vote of confidence, as Churchill did in 1940, is I think, and soncerely hope, unlikely.
A constitutional crisis, followed by a coupon election, at least as far as the Tories wre concerned, would follow.
To crash out of our trading arrangements with the EU, and with all those countries with which the EU has agreements, in a disorganised manner would be - errrr... - unpleasant. And the government would be blamed. So, I suspect that in the event of being unable to pass the bill, Mrs May would resign. I don't believe any other Conservative could get the bill passed, and therefore I expect there would be a general election.
I do not know what happens next.
REMAIN 48%
Labour also need to be careful not to overplay their hand by mindlessly opposing anything rather than being constructive about things. They have their own rebels and have managed to say nothing that might offend anyone so far.
Given we know Corbyn wants us out, it’s possible he might whip an abstention were it not for the fact that the Bill falling takes the government down with it.
Britain remaining a full member of the EU: 4% (-4)
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/4pm5gpsp72/InternalResults_180117_AnthonyBrexitQs_w.pdf
You don't have to be so subtle about it TSE. You should tell us how they love extra pineapple on pizza and read books praising Hannibal every night, just to be absolutely clear how much you hate them.
Otherwise we might run away with the idea you think they have a point about May, and then where would you be?
Leave EU with limited trade deal, control of immigration but barriers (to trade): 39
Leave EU but stay in single market - free trade on exports but follow some (regulations): 15
That does make sense given that Fox's job would then become pointless.
That the government would be fronted by some of the most loathed and hated politicians in the country,
Is George Osborne coming back?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/04/theresa-may-tories-leadership-contest
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/04/when-brexit-fails-it-wont-be-fault-of-tory-right-jacob-rees-mogg
1. The BBC
2. The House of Commons
3. The House of Lords
4. The courts
5. The civil service
6. The EU
7. Remain voters
8. The Bank of England
9. British businesses
10. The Irish
Have I missed anyone out?
https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/960050349326381056?ref_src=twcamp^share|twsrc^m5|twgr^email|twcon^7046|twterm^1
Journalists
A government of all the shits.
A streaker ran through a church. They caught him by the organ.
Did he Swell up?
No.
Sure?
Yes, Positive.
Bach had 14 children. He was always complaining he didn't have enough stops on his organ.
How does an organist change a lightbulb?
Holds it up and wait for the world to revolve around them.
How do you make $1 million dollars?
Start with $2 million and work as an organist.
Next Sunday, there will be a brief organ recital by the organist of St Martin in the Fields. Our organist Mr Dobson will prevent the entertainment.
Ken Clarke
Tony Blair
The Guardian
George Osborne
This is a party supported by leavers, who want an ideological Brexit. Pragmatic one nation conservatism and economic prudence are old news.
Why bother stretching a veneer over this. I am not sure what popularity Jeremy Hunt has to offer anyway.
Six Nations: stunning last minute victory for Ireland, but Scotland... well. That wasn't good.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/04/when-brexit-fails-it-wont-be-fault-of-tory-right-jacob-rees-mogg
He’d be very popular with me.
"Time to declare victory and bring the boys home" as Senator George Aiken didn't quite say about the Vietnam quagmire.
Admittedly that is true of pretty much every member of the Commons aside from McDonnell.
Edit - and that may be unfair to the Maoist. He is at least reasonably intelligent and has had an actual job.
Your best bet might be to preempt the drift and elevate the most sensible Brexiteer now.
:rock-moggster:
Incidentally, this is a good article and the reason why staying in the EU is also a bad option. There are no good Brexit options
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/03/brexit-redcar-bracknell-steel
When Theresa May formed her first Cabinet I would have said that David Davis was that individual, but my opinion of the master negotiator has rather declined.
Michael Gove has, to my surprise, said some positive things as Environment Secretary, but I'd never be able to describe the Tory Maoist as sensible.
The nation that had it all and threw it away to go back to the thirties.
Things that particularly caught my eye were:
Italy (+10) to win the first half at 2.
Italy/England for half/full time winners at 8 (if that sounds fanciful, it would've paid off last year).
NB Italy to win the first half at 5.5 is available but I think if that happens England will still win overall, so I prefer the other bet, at longer odds.
I did look at England winning the second half by more than 14 points at 1.9, but the odds are a bit tight.
Incidentally, with boost those odds are 2.05 and 9.
But Remainers, when your Last Best Hope is Dominic Grieve.....
*titter*
https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/959748824398008320
https://twitter.com/mrtcharris/status/960073144001232897
That's what the LibDems are for.
I suspect rather than block Brexit, enough Labour MPs in leave-voting seats would abstain. Or get an imprtant appointent to remove some wisdom teeth. After all, how many want to block Brexit and then immediately have to face their electorate in a General Election?
TSE et al bang on about JRM’s reactionary views. The true reactionaries are people like Grieve, who’s views on popular sovereignty would fit well in the 19th century.
I give him some kudos.
Hopefully we will do so again but the juxtaposition is unfortunate wouldn't you agree?
Edit. - I have to go and play the organ including blowing an 8 foot horn. Have a good morning.
(Why @OldKingCole as a remainer, chose to highlight that decade, I don't know...)
However, one couldn't say that the thirties were, for many people, a decade the enjoyed. And I wouldn't say the fifties, because, especially as I was young then, it was a decade of hope.
Perhap I should have just said some dimly remembered fantasy time, as Victorian derring do!
How much more outlandish can the proposed new Cabinets become?
(But we got there in the end: as they say about our American cousin - a day late and a dollar short)
That means I suspect they will need at least some support from both Remain and Leaver MPs.
Therefore I wonder if we will see split tickets rather than Dream Teams.
Hunt & Gove vs. Johnson & Rudd vs. Williamson & Leadsom perhaps...
Others will have a better guess as to the combinations...
That would mean for instance that in the EU/Japan trade deal, which is currently being negotiated, Turkey would apply the reduced tariffs on Japanese imports but would not be party to the deal to reciprocally reduce tariffs on exports to Japan
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/02/03/experience-tells-britain-needs-leave-customs-union/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw
Chancellor: Amber Rudd
Foreign Secretary: Dominic Grieve
Home Secretary: Anna Soubry
According to wiki he was originally elected in 1918 as a Tory at the age of 21, but by 1922 (it doesn't say when) he had resigned the whip and successfully defended his seat as an independent against the Tories in 1922 and 1923.He joined Labour in March 1924, was elected as a Labour MP in 1926, and was a Labour Cabinet Minister in 1929-31.
Based on that it seems fair to characterise him as a Labour politician despite his youthful folly
After 1932, with Neville Chamberlain as CoE we had one of the fastest growing economies in the world including cutting edge automotive, aircraft and telecommunications. The NE was grim but Midlands and SE were booming with low unemployment. Foreign and Colonial policy wasn't great, of course.