politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories need to move the agenda off the NHS if they’re to h
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Australian PM Julia Gillard won a 2012 leadership spill against former PM Kevin Rudd before Rudd beat her in a leadership spill the following year. However the Australian Labor Party was trailing.by a significantly larger margin in the polls than the Tories areRichard_Nabavi said:0 -
Mike got any holidays booked soon?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.
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There have - but no more than usual for any Tory leader, as far as I can remember.Richard_Nabavi said:
On the other hand there have been some distinct murmurings over the past couple of weeks - Boris, obv (but that's not really news), but also Nick Boles, Sarah Wollaston. Nicholas Soames, Grant Schapps again. I thought that was just noise and the usual suspects, but maybe there is something more concerted going on.Mortimer said:The no confidence letter count resets to zero, presumably, after a vote?
I just don't see what is in it to have a confidence vote now. She won't lose it, because Brexit, and there isn't an obvious successor, so she'll also get the 'steady as we go' vote. There isn't an election imminent, and we're polling in the 40s.
Thinking aloud, and contingent on a positive answer to my first question, the only advantage to having a vote now would seem to be that it resets the count to zero....
I don't think plotters have the numbers. Would be hilarious if they think they do but actually don't. As you say, makes it harder to change leader in future....0 -
+1HYUFD said:
The hypocrisy of the home of page 3 moaning about this dinner is ridiculousdr_spyn said:A late arrival at the sleaze ball...
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/9562929036341329930 -
I’ve got a romantic getaway starting this Friday ending on Sunday night.GIN1138 said:
Mike got any holidays booked soon?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.0 -
WiFi?TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve got a romantic getaway starting this Friday ending on Sunday night.GIN1138 said:
Mike got any holidays booked soon?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.0 -
Does the vote itself happen very quickly after the letter threshold is reached?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.0 -
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I’m still in the bad books from last year when Mrs May scheduled the general election to coincide with my girlfriend’s birthday. Richard_Nabavi said:
WiFi?TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve got a romantic getaway starting this Friday ending on Sunday night.GIN1138 said:
Mike got any holidays booked soon?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.0 -
Yupwilliamglenn said:
Does the vote itself happen very quickly after the letter threshold is reached?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.
The Tory vote of confidence is very rapid.
In 2003 the threshold to trigger a vote was reached just before 11am on Tuesday.
The following day IDS lost the vote.
If the leader loses the vote they are automatically barred from standing in the subsequent leadership election.
The Labour Party take note.
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So she knows the score, that's good.TheScreamingEagles said:I’m still in the bad books from last year when Mrs May scheduled the general election to coincide with my girlfriend’s birthday.
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Mike's holiday fund account is quite clearly linked to his trading account on the popcorn futures market!GIN1138 said:
Mike got any holidays booked soon?TheScreamingEagles said:FWIW I think if 100 or more Tory MPs fail to back Mrs May then she’s toast.
JRM’s displeasure with David Davis today, I think the latest letters are coming from the hardcore Leavers.
PS - I spent tonight discussing the Tory leadership/Vote of Confidence rules with a former SPAD.0 -
”We know no spectacle so ridiculous as the British public in one of its periodical fits of morality.”rcs1000 said:
+1HYUFD said:
The hypocrisy of the home of page 3 moaning about this dinner is ridiculousdr_spyn said:A late arrival at the sleaze ball...
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/9562929036341329930 -
The real victims are the Social Injustice Warriors of pb.com who fought rearguard actions for Toby Young, the Presidents' Club, etc. and are finding themselves on the wrong side of a culture shift.TOPPING said:
It was patently obviously not the case for TPC. A shame for the charity recipients but not a shame that such tolerance of such behaviour has come to an end, spectacularly so.
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The Conservatives continue to supply us with months of innocent amusement.GIN1138 said:0 -
Any resemblance to a Sontaran is purely coincidental.williamglenn said:'Strong and stable' becomes 'safe and ethical'.
https://twitter.com/BBCNews/status/9562952317916651530 -
Its been clear since the reshuffle that the Tories have had it with her... Nice lady I'm sure she it and she's given is a good shot at lasting after her election meltdown but... She's a dead woman walking.Scott_P said:0 -
Laugh it up Dr Palmer but next week it could be Jezza in the 333rd leadership crisis.NickPalmer said:
The Conservatives continue to supply us with months of innocent amusement.GIN1138 said: 0 -
Trump told May she could 'be the next Churchill' (I think Boris believes he has that vacancy filled
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/01/24/exclusive-donald-trump-told-theresa-may-could-become-new-churchill/0 -
On topic: Mike gently suggests that they move the agenda on from the NHS, and lo and behold.NickPalmer said:
The Conservatives continue to supply us with months of innocent amusement.GIN1138 said:0 -
ICYMI: ”We know no spectacle so ridiculous as the British public in one of its periodical fits of morality”. Lord Macaulay.Dura_Ace said:
The real victims are the Social Injustice Warriors of pb.com who fought rearguard actions for Toby Young, the Presidents' Club, etc. and are finding themselves on the wrong side of a culture shift.TOPPING said:
It was patently obviously not the case for TPC. A shame for the charity recipients but not a shame that such tolerance of such behaviour has come to an end, spectacularly so.0 -
Had to double check that this article was in The Times and not the Daily Express.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/teens-roam-streets-with-rifles-as-crime-swamps-sweden-q83g055k90 -
Wow. Can't afford to breach the paywall, but see also https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organized_crime_in_Sweden.AndyJS said:Had to double check that this article was in The Times and not the Daily Express.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/teens-roam-streets-with-rifles-as-crime-swamps-sweden-q83g055k90 -
The king over the water?
http://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/david-miliband-labour-brexit-1-5368187
(Actually a pretty dry article from Miliband...)0 -
That could be fun. Hope he keeps a note of what he says, in case the interviewer coms back to it later!Scott_P said:0 -
lol, a hard right Brexit? Righto.williamglenn said:The king over the water?
http://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/david-miliband-labour-brexit-1-5368187
(Actually a pretty dry article from Miliband...)0 -
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/01/24/spain-beefs-border-security-fears-exiled-catalan-leader-plotting/
I thought there weren't internal Schengen borders?0 -
You can have borders, you just don't check passports. (Just like between Ireland and the UK during the Troubles.)RobD said:http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/01/24/spain-beefs-border-security-fears-exiled-catalan-leader-plotting/
I thought there weren't internal Schengen borders?
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New thread....0
