I think she absolutely walks a confidence vote at the moment. Would be surprised if the 'no confidence' total reaches 75.
Unfortunately that would make it harder to be rid of her later. This is a daft way to proceed.
Australian PM Julia Gillard won a 2012 leadership spill against former PM Kevin Rudd before Rudd beat her in a leadership spill the following year. However the Australian Labor Party was trailing.by a significantly larger margin in the polls than the Tories are
The no confidence letter count resets to zero, presumably, after a vote?
I just don't see what is in it to have a confidence vote now. She won't lose it, because Brexit, and there isn't an obvious successor, so she'll also get the 'steady as we go' vote. There isn't an election imminent, and we're polling in the 40s.
Thinking aloud, and contingent on a positive answer to my first question, the only advantage to having a vote now would seem to be that it resets the count to zero....
On the other hand there have been some distinct murmurings over the past couple of weeks - Boris, obv (but that's not really news), but also Nick Boles, Sarah Wollaston. Nicholas Soames, Grant Schapps again. I thought that was just noise and the usual suspects, but maybe there is something more concerted going on.
There have - but no more than usual for any Tory leader, as far as I can remember.
I don't think plotters have the numbers. Would be hilarious if they think they do but actually don't. As you say, makes it harder to change leader in future....
It was patently obviously not the case for TPC. A shame for the charity recipients but not a shame that such tolerance of such behaviour has come to an end, spectacularly so.
The real victims are the Social Injustice Warriors of pb.com who fought rearguard actions for Toby Young, the Presidents' Club, etc. and are finding themselves on the wrong side of a culture shift.
Its been clear since the reshuffle that the Tories have had it with her... Nice lady I'm sure she it and she's given is a good shot at lasting after her election meltdown but... She's a dead woman walking.
It was patently obviously not the case for TPC. A shame for the charity recipients but not a shame that such tolerance of such behaviour has come to an end, spectacularly so.
The real victims are the Social Injustice Warriors of pb.com who fought rearguard actions for Toby Young, the Presidents' Club, etc. and are finding themselves on the wrong side of a culture shift.
ICYMI: ”We know no spectacle so ridiculous as the British public in one of its periodical fits of morality”. Lord Macaulay.
Comments
I don't think plotters have the numbers. Would be hilarious if they think they do but actually don't. As you say, makes it harder to change leader in future....
The Tory vote of confidence is very rapid.
In 2003 the threshold to trigger a vote was reached just before 11am on Tuesday.
The following day IDS lost the vote.
If the leader loses the vote they are automatically barred from standing in the subsequent leadership election.
The Labour Party take note.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/01/24/exclusive-donald-trump-told-theresa-may-could-become-new-churchill/
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/teens-roam-streets-with-rifles-as-crime-swamps-sweden-q83g055k9
http://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/david-miliband-labour-brexit-1-5368187
(Actually a pretty dry article from Miliband...)
I thought there weren't internal Schengen borders?