politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bookies holding back payment to Alabama punters because the re

Roy Moore refuses to concede, says "we also know that God is in control" https://t.co/1sJSZehJKH https://t.co/IXqp0xvnhB
Comments
-
First.0
-
Pleased to have sat this one out, could be weeks before we get an official result. Bookies are right to hold on for the formal announcement - however annoying it might be, it’s better than them having to pay out both sides!0
-
Close? Wasn't there a couple of points in it?0
-
I see failing Facebook are trying to cover their arses today.
Can’t understand why anyone would believe Fake News Facebook.
Sad.0 -
It could be worse. It could end up in the Supreme Court.
Bush v Gore was bad for punters0 -
It is remarkable how a country as rich and powerful as the United States with such a long democratic tradition is so incompetent at organising elections.0
-
Rick Sanatorium?!0
-
Good afternoon, everyone.
Very informative thread. I had no idea God was registered to vote in Alabama.0 -
Do you not remember the Santorum surge?tpfkar said:Rick Sanatorium?!
0 -
One for Mr Eagles.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/12/egyptian-singer-shyma-sent-prison-two-years-explicit-music-video/
An Egyptian pop singer has been sentenced to two years in prison for "inciting debauchery" after a music video showing her suggestively eating a banana was ruled to be too sexually explicit.0 -
Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.0 -
There’s nothing worse when you make eye contact with a woman eating a banana.Sandpit said:One for Mr Eagles.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/12/egyptian-singer-shyma-sent-prison-two-years-explicit-music-video/
An Egyptian pop singer has been sentenced to two years in prison for "inciting debauchery" after a music video showing her suggestively eating a banana was ruled to be too sexually explicit.0 -
Mr. Eagles, I imagine Crassus would suggest a Parthian beverage was worse.0
-
Been trying to forget....TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you not remember the Santorum surge?tpfkar said:Rick Sanatorium?!
0 -
A Parthian beverage won’t lead to a multi-million sexual harassment case.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Eagles, I imagine Crassus would suggest a Parthian beverage was worse.
0 -
Off topic.
I really regret subscribing to a sadomasochistic text chat service.
I replied STOP, so they sent even more.0 -
https://www.yahoo.com/news/blogs/ticket/spreading-santorum-protest-page-dropped-first-page-google-190115107.htmlTheScreamingEagles said:
Do you not remember the Santorum surge?tpfkar said:Rick Sanatorium?!
Google eventually dropped it. Thank Christ.0 -
Mr. Eagles, well, no. But mostly because the recipient will die from having molten gold poured down their throat.0
-
I hope you sing the same tune if the amendment is defeated, as it will be our sovereign parliament saying no need for another vote.TheScreamingEagles said:
To ensure a sovereign Parliament gets a meaningful vote.Sandpit said:
Have any of the proponents of this amendment managed to articulate what exactly it sets out to achieve?tpfkar said:
Of all the amendments in play, I can't get my head around why the Government are going to the wall on this one. So what if there's a meaningful vote before they sign? If there's no parliamentary majority for it it's toast anyway.kle4 said:
Probably a mistake, but they've prepared the way for a loss, or someone has, with months of build up to it.Scott_P said:@BBCNormanS: Hmm....PM rebuffs call by @Anna_Soubry to accept “meaningful vote” amendment. Sounds like Govt going to try and tough this one out #PMQs
Perhaps scared of what happens if parliament votes it down? I think that's the point.
Personally I'd accept the amendment. They won't get credit for it, but it saves a defeat and at worst the intent is mischievous, and at best as noble as you've suggested. Same reason I was glad of the outcome of the A50 case.
0 -
The probability of a 1.5% margin being overturned is almost infintesimally small.0
-
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.0 -
Omarosa Manigault Newman, one of Donald Trump’s most prominent African American supporters, plans to leave the administration next month, the White House has said.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/dec/13/former-apprentice-contestant-resigns-from-trump-administration
At this rate, it will be just Trump and Sarah Huckabee Sanders left by 2021.0 -
I always thought him a guiding hand, not so direct.Morris_Dancer said:Good afternoon, everyone.
Very informative thread. I had no idea God was registered to vote in Alabama.
Of course, proponents of divine providence usually point to their success as proof of God's favour, not their defeats. As I recall Charles I refusing to accept gods will that he had lost angered many, if we take people's words at face value.0 -
Mr. kle4, reminds me of when people who survive a plane crash or suchlike 'thank God'. I always wonder they don't blame him for the crash and for the killed. It just seems odd to me.0
-
Try LOUISETheScreamingEagles said:Off topic.
I really regret subscribing to a sadomasochistic text chat service.
I replied STOP, so they sent even more.0 -
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines0 -
I recall India had a huge problem of people facing very serious criminal charges being in office, up to murder, but a alleged mass murderer? That's big. Not unique, remarkably.AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
What's Duterte up to these days?0 -
The problem with Moore's excuse for failing to concede and holding out for a recount is that the margin is pretty big i.e. 1.5% or 21,000 votes, or three times the official recount margin. The fact that results have been overturned where the margin was wafer thin doesn't wash as a justification in this case.
What this is instead about is the Republicans trying to delay Jones taking his seat as long as possible, for the sake of skewing the arithmetic in the Senate for another couple of months.0 -
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines0 -
Mr. Phil, I read that a recount could still happen, but Moore would have to pay for it.0
-
ChapeauTissue_Price said:
Try LOUISETheScreamingEagles said:Off topic.
I really regret subscribing to a sadomasochistic text chat service.
I replied STOP, so they sent even more.0 -
Jones couldn’t take his seat until the start of January anyway.Wulfrun_Phil said:The problem with Moore's excuse for failing to concede and holding out for a recount is that the margin is pretty big i.e. 1.5% or 21,000 votes, or three times the official recount margin. The fact that results have been overturned where the margin was wafer thin doesn't wash as a justification in this case.
What this is instead about is the Republicans trying to delay Jones taking his seat as long as possible, for the sake of skewing the arithmetic in the Senate for another couple of months.0 -
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines0 -
I'm continually confused about this man Moore versus the 80s Radio 2 DJ and his all time best song.........
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XhP8EKqReAg
0 -
I wonder how many contributors to the 2016 recount effort were pure observers of democracy, and so wish to contribute to Moore's recount fund?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Phil, I read that a recount could still happen, but Moore would have to pay for it.
https://www.jill2016.com/recount0 -
According to the magnificent Liam Fox, we share those values!AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
0 -
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines0 -
I am sure that some of the IRA Hunger Strikers stood for election from their cells - but it was a long time ago and I may be misrememberingOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
0 -
Just did the research - and indeed Bobby Sands did get elected from Prison (he died shortly thereafter)oxfordsimon said:
I am sure that some of the IRA Hunger Strikers stood for election from their cells - but it was a long time ago and I may be misrememberingOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
It was his case that caused the 1981 Representation of the People Act to be passed banning those from serving jail terms from being candidates0 -
By-election April 1981: Fermanagh and South Tyrone PartyOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
Anti H-Block Bobby Sands 30,493 51.2
UUP Harry West 29,046 48.8 +20.8
Majority 1,447 2.4
Turnout 59,538 86.9 −0.2
Anti H-Block gain from Independent Republican0 -
You are quite right; recall the case now. Seem to recall though that other Republicans have served jail terms and stood for, and been elected to Parliament later.oxfordsimon said:
Just did the research - and indeed Bobby Sands did get elected from Prison (he died shortly thereafter)oxfordsimon said:
I am sure that some of the IRA Hunger Strikers stood for election from their cells - but it was a long time ago and I may be misrememberingOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
It was his case that caused the 1981 Representation of the People Act to be passed banning those from serving jail terms from being candidates0 -
Alan Mullally: 'Chucking a beer over James Anderson’s head? I once put a dead shark in Mike Atherton’s bed'0
-
Hence the 1981 Representation of the People Act.Pulpstar said:
By-election April 1981: Fermanagh and South Tyrone PartyOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
Anti H-Block Bobby Sands 30,493 51.2
UUP Harry West 29,046 48.8 +20.8
Majority 1,447 2.4
Turnout 59,538 86.9 −0.2
Anti H-Block gain from Independent Republican0 -
There is nothing to stop someone who has served a sentence from standing - but you cannot stand whilst serving (at least that is my understanding)OldKingCole said:
You are quite right; recall the case now. Seem to recall though that other Republicans have served jail terms and stood for, and been elected to Parliament later.oxfordsimon said:
Just did the research - and indeed Bobby Sands did get elected from Prison (he died shortly thereafter)oxfordsimon said:
I am sure that some of the IRA Hunger Strikers stood for election from their cells - but it was a long time ago and I may be misrememberingOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
It was his case that caused the 1981 Representation of the People Act to be passed banning those from serving jail terms from being candidates
Of course, if you are convicted whilst sitting and sent down then other rules apply!0 -
WE already knew we would be waiting till January for the 'official' result.Sandpit said:Pleased to have sat this one out, could be weeks before we get an official result. Bookies are right to hold on for the formal announcement - however annoying it might be, it’s better than them having to pay out both sides!
0 -
-
I'm still don't understand the point behind the amendment.
If it passes there are two options.
One is that we crash out without a deal, as whatever the deal, the die-hard remain MPs will never agree with it.
Surely no one wants that?
Unless we go back to the EU and say "We can't get it through Parliament, so can we modify it as Parliament wants, which according to underpants man, will be no FOM, overseeing by the EU courts and full payments to you for membership of the common market and customs union." In other words ...Remain.
Ah, I see it now. The Labour party can blame the rebel Tories for reneging on the referendum result, or else muddy the waters a lot. Not very cunning but very transparent.
There will be no second option.0 -
F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.0 -
Tusk declares EU policy on immigration a failure
usual suspects are outraged at attack on TMerkel
https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article171560580/Tusk-loest-Eklat-um-Fluechtlingspolitik-in-der-EU-aus.html0 -
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.0 -
Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.0
-
If it passes there are two options:CD13 said:I'm still don't understand the point behind the amendment.
If it passes there are two options.
One is that we crash out without a deal, as whatever the deal, the die-hard remain MPs will never agree with it.
Surely no one wants that?
Unless we go back to the EU and say "We can't get it through Parliament, so can we modify it as Parliament wants, which according to underpants man, will be no FOM, overseeing by the EU courts and full payments to you for membership of the common market and customs union." In other words ...Remain.
Ah, I see it now. The Labour party can blame the rebel Tories for reneging on the referendum result, or else muddy the waters a lot. Not very cunning but very transparent.
There will be no second option.
A minority government will not be able to determine the form of Brexit without winning the agreement of MPs. It seems pretty clear that MPs won’t vote to overturn the referendum result but beyond that all possible forms (that were argued for by various Leavers) including EEA membership, customs union membership, CETA or WTO are legitimate endpoints.
A majority government that can whip its MPs successfully will be able to determine those terms.0 -
Having been in power for 12 years and having come through elections successfully, I think you must operate on the assumption that a) she is not a moron; and b) she has and had a democratic mandate to do what she did; and c) no one else would have been able to do it any better.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.
0 -
I didn't know that one had been that close.RobD said:
Hence the 1981 Representation of the People Act.Pulpstar said:
By-election April 1981: Fermanagh and South Tyrone PartyOldKingCole said:
I can’t think of a recent example of someone who has been to prison standing, but there must be one.RobD said:
I believe you are only barred if you are currently in prison.OldKingCole said:
Would they be permanently barred in the UK?AlsoIndigo said:
Amateurskle4 said:
Incredible people are still eligible after having been so removed. I assume an issue with voting them in.TheScreamingEagles said:Should also be remembered that Roy Moore was twice removed as Chief Justice of Alabama for not following the law/instructions of the Supreme Court of the United States.
He’s the epitome of a sore loser.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/783379/jail-no-barrier-to-political-career-in-philippines
Anti H-Block Bobby Sands 30,493 51.2
UUP Harry West 29,046 48.8 +20.8
Majority 1,447 2.4
Turnout 59,538 86.9 −0.2
Anti H-Block gain from Independent Republican
A victory obtained by traditional voting practices?0 -
Mr Polruan,
The Remainers have a majority in Parliament. They will use it to water down the UK Leave demands as much as possible and the EU will obviously be happy with the result.
A legitimate question. What then was the point of the referendum if the voters can be ignored?
0 -
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.0 -
.0
-
52% of the voters might have to accept a deal that has been decided by parliament. But as those 52% didn't know what they were voting for, I can't see how you can say that they are being ignored.CD13 said:Mr Polruan,
The Remainers have a majority in Parliament. They will use it to water down the UK Leave demands as much as possible and the EU will obviously be happy with the result.
A legitimate question. What then was the point of the referendum if the voters can be ignored?0 -
Be interesting to see their comparative populations (and what those "tails" on 7 are!)Philip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.0 -
It isn't that gerrymandered - and in more normal circumstances it guarantees the Democrats a House seat when more normal-looking boundaries could give a sweep. The Voting Rights Act 1965 mandates a majority-minority district (#7) so that partially explains the weird shape, reaching into the suburbs of both Birmingham & Montgomery. A more UK-style approach would be to start with seats based on the four large cities (all 180-220k or so).Philip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.0 -
I think someone (Mr Sandpit?) mentioned there might be a problem with young drivers such as Sirotkin: Williams' main sponsor is Martini, and they require older drivers who can publicise their drinks in all relevant countries. Stroll is 18, and Sirotkin is 22.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.
I daresay Williams can straighten that out, though.0 -
Mr. E, decision isn't made yet, but that would help.
Mr. Topping, I referred specifically to migration. Or do you think Merkel throwing open the borders of her country to let in anyone who turned up was a wise decision?0 -
The referendum question was binary - as long as we cease to be members of the EU, the voters have not been ignored.CD13 said:Mr Polruan,
The Remainers have a majority in Parliament. They will use it to water down the UK Leave demands as much as possible and the EU will obviously be happy with the result.
A legitimate question. What then was the point of the referendum if the voters can be ignored?
I would have thought that anyone who believes that the majority in the referendum actually voted for something different to what was stated on the paper should be pushing for a second referendum to seek clarification unless they are happy for the voters’ representatives in Parliament to do the job.0 -
While Die Hard is definitely a Christmas movie....F1 is definitely not a real sport...throws hand grenade and legs it.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.0 -
What have UKIP got to hide?
Ukip to face tribunal over use of data in EU referendum campaign
Information commissioner announces inquiry into parties’ use of personal information after Ukip’s refusal to cooperate
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/13/ukip-to-face-tribunal-over-use-of-data-in-eu-referendum-campaign?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other0 -
It was a decision taken for perfectly rational reasons. So yes I do think it wise.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. E, decision isn't made yet, but that would help.
Mr. Topping, I referred specifically to migration. Or do you think Merkel throwing open the borders of her country to let in anyone who turned up was a wise decision?0 -
Mr. Urquhart, I find your lack of judgement disturbing.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Topping, I fear the near future will prove your assessment to be severely wrong.0 -
Very, very fast driving and 15% ABV alcoholic drinks just go together like a horse and carriage, don't they? One doesn't have to be a prissy nanny-statist to find it a bit odd.JosiasJessop said:
I think someone (Mr Sandpit?) mentioned there might be a problem with young drivers such as Sirotkin: Williams' main sponsor is Martini, and they require older drivers who can publicise their drinks in all relevant countries. Stroll is 18, and Sirotkin is 22.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.
I daresay Williams can straighten that out, though.0 -
True, plus maybe a 52 to 48 split requires a compromise so as not to ignore about half the voters.Polruan said:
The referendum question was binary - as long as we cease to be members of the EU, the voters have not been ignored.CD13 said:Mr Polruan,
The Remainers have a majority in Parliament. They will use it to water down the UK Leave demands as much as possible and the EU will obviously be happy with the result.
A legitimate question. What then was the point of the referendum if the voters can be ignored?
I would have thought that anyone who believes that the majority in the referendum actually voted for something different to what was stated on the paper should be pushing for a second referendum to seek clarification unless they are happy for the voters’ representatives in Parliament to do the job.0 -
District 7 is a majority-minority district as set out by the Voting Rights act 1965. It was deliberately created to ensure at least one majority-minority seat in Alabama by taking the mainly African American bits of Birmingham and Montgomery. It permanently ensures one Democrat seat but at a cost of making the other 6 seats RepublicanPhilip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.-1 -
Not to mention all that bubbly that gets sprayed around after the race (Do they still do that? I haven't watched F1 in years)Ishmael_Z said:
Very, very fast driving and 15% ABV alcoholic drinks just go together like a horse and carriage, don't they? One doesn't have to be a prissy nanny-statist to find it a bit odd.JosiasJessop said:
I think someone (Mr Sandpit?) mentioned there might be a problem with young drivers such as Sirotkin: Williams' main sponsor is Martini, and they require older drivers who can publicise their drinks in all relevant countries. Stroll is 18, and Sirotkin is 22.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.
I daresay Williams can straighten that out, though.0 -
They certainly do...A corbynista has the contract for it....Carolus_Rex said:
Not to mention all that bubbly that gets sprayed around after the race (Do they still do that? I haven't watched F1 in years)Ishmael_Z said:
Very, very fast driving and 15% ABV alcoholic drinks just go together like a horse and carriage, don't they? One doesn't have to be a prissy nanny-statist to find it a bit odd.JosiasJessop said:
I think someone (Mr Sandpit?) mentioned there might be a problem with young drivers such as Sirotkin: Williams' main sponsor is Martini, and they require older drivers who can publicise their drinks in all relevant countries. Stroll is 18, and Sirotkin is 22.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.
I daresay Williams can straighten that out, though.0 -
Mr. Rex, yes, although some alternative or other is used at races like Abu Dhabi.0
-
That or the German electoral system is a grave warning to us all about how complicated voting systems make it incredibly difficult to bring about a change in government.TOPPING said:
Having been in power for 12 years and having come through elections successfully, I think you must operate on the assumption that a) she is not a moron; and b) she has and had a democratic mandate to do what she did; and c) no one else would have been able to do it any better.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.
Merkel has failed, utterly, and the AFD winning 94 seats is symptomatic of that. Yet still Merkel won't budge, and the AFD are, of course, too right wing to do business with.
So you get a situation where the Germans will carry on sticking their fingers in their ears and going la la la, I'm not listening to you, which will mean the far right will continue to grow.
Contrast and compare that to GE2015 and GE2017, where UKIP won 12.6%, forced a referendum, then condemned themselves to irrelevance (1.8%) at GE2017 - effectively neutering the British "far" right.
For all its flaws, the British electoral system isn't half bad.
European history has given its cultures good reason to fear the rule of the mob, but in Britain revolution has largely taken place peacefully at the ballot box, with once mightly leaders humbled and brought to heel.
It is this difference between the UK and the rest of the EU states that makes our democratic cultures so fundamentally incompatible.0 -
What do you foresee in the near future?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Urquhart, I find your lack of judgement disturbing.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Topping, I fear the near future will prove your assessment to be severely wrong.0 -
The problem being that it is not in the hands of the MPs to make those decisions, for all we wish it were. If the Government has negotiated a settlement and the MPs vote it down then the only realistic option on the table is a WTO relationship and no Brexit deal. Because I don't think there is a cat in hells chance that the EU are going to turn around and agree to renegotiate for something else with only a couple of months left before the deadline.Polruan said:
If it passes there are two options:CD13 said:I'm still don't understand the point behind the amendment.
If it passes there are two options.
One is that we crash out without a deal, as whatever the deal, the die-hard remain MPs will never agree with it.
Surely no one wants that?
Unless we go back to the EU and say "We can't get it through Parliament, so can we modify it as Parliament wants, which according to underpants man, will be no FOM, overseeing by the EU courts and full payments to you for membership of the common market and customs union." In other words ...Remain.
Ah, I see it now. The Labour party can blame the rebel Tories for reneging on the referendum result, or else muddy the waters a lot. Not very cunning but very transparent.
There will be no second option.
A minority government will not be able to determine the form of Brexit without winning the agreement of MPs. It seems pretty clear that MPs won’t vote to overturn the referendum result but beyond that all possible forms (that were argued for by various Leavers) including EEA membership, customs union membership, CETA or WTO are legitimate endpoints.
A majority government that can whip its MPs successfully will be able to determine those terms.
I want MPs to vote on the final deal. But the idea that, realistically, the choice will be anything but 'The Deal' or 'No Deal' is pretty fanciful.0 -
Not only is it a Christmas Movie but, according to Empire Magazine, it is the top Christmas Movie of all time.FrancisUrquhart said:
While Die Hard is definitely a Christmas movie....F1 is definitely not a real sport...throws hand grenade and legs it.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.0 -
7 is exceptionally gerrymandered. Those twiddly bits at the edges are taking chunks out of other districts which would make them competitive to make a super safe D seatPhilip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.
0 -
Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?0 -
I am sure some will try. I have no idea how successful they would be.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?0 -
Alternatively you could argue that in 2017 Merkel was humbled at the ballot box, whereas in the UK, equivalently dominant leaders like Thatcher or Blair never were.kyf_100 said:European history has given its cultures good reason to fear the rule of the mob, but in Britain revolution has largely taken place peacefully at the ballot box, with once mightly leaders humbled and brought to heel.
It is this difference between the UK and the rest of the EU states that makes our democratic cultures so fundamentally incompatible.0 -
How does the number of terrorist incidents in Germany vs here stack up?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?0 -
If you took a more representative election, those bits might be the only thing keeping the seat in the D column.Alistair said:
7 is exceptionally gerrymandered. Those twiddly bits at the edges are taking chunks out of other districts which would make them competitive to make a super safe D seatPhilip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.0 -
The choice will also include “extend and fudge” and “don’t leave”. The reason that the government aren’t prepared to give ground here is that when the deal can’t live up to the mutually incompatible promises they’ve made, it has to be forced through and ancient history before the next GE. If they’re still negotiating and not making progress at that point they’re toast. So “extend and fudge” must be opposed even if it’s in the national interest.Richard_Tyndall said:
The problem being that it is not in the hands of the MPs to make those decisions, for all we wish it were. If the Government has negotiated a settlement and the MPs vote it down then the only realistic option on the table is a WTO relationship and no Brexit deal. Because I don't think there is a cat in hells chance that the EU are going to turn around and agree to renegotiate for something else with only a couple of months left before the deadline.Polruan said:
If it passes there are two options:CD13 said:I'm still don't understand the point behind the amendment.
If it passes there are two options.
One is that we crash out without a deal, as whatever the deal, the die-hard remain MPs will never agree with it.
Surely no one wants that?
Unless we go back to the EU and say "We can't get it through Parliament, so can we modify it as Parliament wants, which according to underpants man, will be no FOM, overseeing by the EU courts and full payments to you for membership of the common market and customs union." In other words ...Remain.
Ah, I see it now. The Labour party can blame the rebel Tories for reneging on the referendum result, or else muddy the waters a lot. Not very cunning but very transparent.
There will be no second option.
A minority government will not be able to determine the form of Brexit without winning the agreement of MPs. It seems pretty clear that MPs won’t vote to overturn the referendum result but beyond that all possible forms (that were argued for by various Leavers) including EEA membership, customs union membership, CETA or WTO are legitimate endpoints.
A majority government that can whip its MPs successfully will be able to determine those terms.
I want MPs to vote on the final deal. But the idea that, realistically, the choice will be anything but 'The Deal' or 'No Deal' is pretty fanciful.0 -
It is not just the number of terrorist incidents that is important - it is other incidents and the reaction of the authorities to them. That is where the real problems lie.TOPPING said:
How does the number of terrorist incidents in Germany vs here stack up?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?0 -
Does all that make Merkel a moron?kyf_100 said:
That or the German electoral system is a grave warning to us all about how complicated voting systems make it incredibly difficult to bring about a change in government.TOPPING said:
Having been in power for 12 years and having come through elections successfully, I think you must operate on the assumption that a) she is not a moron; and b) she has and had a democratic mandate to do what she did; and c) no one else would have been able to do it any better.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.
Merkel has failed, utterly, and the AFD winning 94 seats is symptomatic of that. Yet still Merkel won't budge, and the AFD are, of course, too right wing to do business with.
So you get a situation where the Germans will carry on sticking their fingers in their ears and going la la la, I'm not listening to you, which will mean the far right will continue to grow.
Contrast and compare that to GE2015 and GE2017, where UKIP won 12.6%, forced a referendum, then condemned themselves to irrelevance (1.8%) at GE2017 - effectively neutering the British "far" right.
For all its flaws, the British electoral system isn't half bad.
European history has given its cultures good reason to fear the rule of the mob, but in Britain revolution has largely taken place peacefully at the ballot box, with once mightly leaders humbled and brought to heel.
It is this difference between the UK and the rest of the EU states that makes our democratic cultures so fundamentally incompatible.0 -
How many crowds were chanting "Death to the Jews" in London last w/e?TOPPING said:
How does the number of terrorist incidents in Germany vs here stack up?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?0 -
I just cashed out on Betfair. A bird in the hand... not that there are many political bets with a result in the near future in which to invest my modest winnings. Is there a market on whether Mrs May will win the vote this evening?0
-
Mr. Topping, not sure, and that's only one part of what I think the problems will be.
Anyway, I've got to go now.0 -
-
Here you are https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alabama's_congressional_districtsTheWhiteRabbit said:
Be interesting to see their comparative populations (and what those "tails" on 7 are!)Philip_Thompson said:
Is it gerrymandered or is it just that DNC voters are concentrated? Those don't look like exceptionally bizarre boundaries.Tissue_Price said:
Indeed only 1 and 6 could potentially have had more blue voters from 7. 5 and 3 would stay red either way.0 -
He's an idiot with little self awareness.williamglenn said:0 -
It makes her an autocrat who was able to impose mass immigration not just on her own country, but the rest of the Schengen zone. Now the EU is demanding countries that won't take in "their fair share" of immigrants pay €250,000 per immigrant.TOPPING said:
Does all that make Merkel a moron?kyf_100 said:
That or the German electoral system is a grave warning to us all about how complicated voting systems make it incredibly difficult to bring about a change in government.TOPPING said:
Having been in power for 12 years and having come through elections successfully, I think you must operate on the assumption that a) she is not a moron; and b) she has and had a democratic mandate to do what she did; and c) no one else would have been able to do it any better.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.
Merkel has failed, utterly, and the AFD winning 94 seats is symptomatic of that. Yet still Merkel won't budge, and the AFD are, of course, too right wing to do business with.
So you get a situation where the Germans will carry on sticking their fingers in their ears and going la la la, I'm not listening to you, which will mean the far right will continue to grow.
Contrast and compare that to GE2015 and GE2017, where UKIP won 12.6%, forced a referendum, then condemned themselves to irrelevance (1.8%) at GE2017 - effectively neutering the British "far" right.
For all its flaws, the British electoral system isn't half bad.
European history has given its cultures good reason to fear the rule of the mob, but in Britain revolution has largely taken place peacefully at the ballot box, with once mightly leaders humbled and brought to heel.
It is this difference between the UK and the rest of the EU states that makes our democratic cultures so fundamentally incompatible.
It is the clearest example of the democratic deficit at the heart of the EU I can think of - that one country's leader can unilaterally impose a policy that has such a profound, dramatic and destabilising effect on every other country, without the citizens of that country having recourse to reject that leader at the ballot box.
And that is what makes her a moron.0 -
That you or I know about? No idea.Ishmael_Z said:
How many crowds were chanting "Death to the Jews" in London last w/e?TOPPING said:
How does the number of terrorist incidents in Germany vs here stack up?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Topping, enclaves, rising crime/terrorism, little integration, rowing back of crucial values (it's already happening with free speech).
Mr. Tyndall, any chance that MPs will try and make the choice between the deal or status quo (ie remaining)?
You think the UK is without its extreme Jihadist element?0 -
'Extend and fudge' is also not in our hands. That requires the agreement of all 27 other EU countries. 'Don't leave' will destroy the political system in this country and simply hand ammunition to the extremists.Polruan said:
The choice will also include “extend and fudge” and “don’t leave”. The reason that the government aren’t prepared to give ground here is that when the deal can’t live up to the mutually incompatible promises they’ve made, it has to be forced through and ancient history before the next GE. If they’re still negotiating and not making progress at that point they’re toast. So “extend and fudge” must be opposed even if it’s in the national interest.Richard_Tyndall said:
The problem being that it is not in the hands of the MPs to make those decisions, for all we wish it were. If the Government has negotiated a settlement and the MPs vote it down then the only realistic option on the table is a WTO relationship and no Brexit deal. Because I don't think there is a cat in hells chance that the EU are going to turn around and agree to renegotiate for something else with only a couple of months left before the deadline.Polruan said:
If it passes there are two options:CD13 said:I'm still don't understand the point behind the amendment.
If it passes there are two options.
One is that we crash out without a deal, as whatever the deal, the die-hard remain MPs will never agree with it.
Surely no one wants that?
Unless we go back to the EU and say "We can't get it through Parliament, so can we modify it as Parliament wants, which according to underpants man, will be no FOM, overseeing by the EU courts and full payments to you for membership of the common market and customs union." In other words ...Remain.
Ah, I see it now. The Labour party can blame the rebel Tories for reneging on the referendum result, or else muddy the waters a lot. Not very cunning but very transparent.
There will be no second option.
A minority government will not be able to determine the form of Brexit without winning the agreement of MPs. It seems pretty clear that MPs won’t vote to overturn the referendum result but beyond that all possible forms (that were argued for by various Leavers) including EEA membership, customs union membership, CETA or WTO are legitimate endpoints.
A majority government that can whip its MPs successfully will be able to determine those terms.
I want MPs to vote on the final deal. But the idea that, realistically, the choice will be anything but 'The Deal' or 'No Deal' is pretty fanciful.0 -
If you are prepared to wait, Sadiq Khan as next London mayor at 1.33 looks attractive to me, a return of about 13% p.a. over two and a half years. Hard to see Labour losing in London before the GE and hard to see Sadiq not wanting a second term, since he has stood down from parliament.partypoliticalorphan said:I just cashed out on Betfair. A bird in the hand... not that there are many political bets with a result in the near future in which to invest my modest winnings. Is there a market on whether Mrs May will win the vote this evening?
0 -
Correct. Williams need a someone over 25 for promotional purposes. Sirotkin and Kvyat are both too young. Maybe they can get away with using reserve driver Paul DiResta, but that’s pushing it a little and I can’t imagine Bacardi would be too happy.JosiasJessop said:
I think someone (Mr Sandpit?) mentioned there might be a problem with young drivers such as Sirotkin: Williams' main sponsor is Martini, and they require older drivers who can publicise their drinks in all relevant countries. Stroll is 18, and Sirotkin is 22.TonyE said:
He comes with about £10m in funding I hear. I guess that swayed the decisionMorris_Dancer said:F1: according to Twitter, Sirotkin's now favourite for the Williams seat. The Russian driver was an oft-mentioned name for Toro Rosso, but it was felt he was too young/inexperienced, I think.
Not sure if any other seats are unresolved once Williams announce their line up.
I daresay Williams can straighten that out, though.0 -
What was the practical alternative to Merkel's decision back in August 2015? Any other approach certainly wouldn't have relieved other EU countries of the burden of dealing with refugees - quite the contrary.kyf_100 said:
It makes her an autocrat who was able to impose mass immigration not just on her own country, but the rest of the Schengen zone. Now the EU is demanding countries that won't take in "their fair share" of immigrants pay €250,000 per immigrant.TOPPING said:
Does all that make Merkel a moron?kyf_100 said:
That or the German electoral system is a grave warning to us all about how complicated voting systems make it incredibly difficult to bring about a change in government.TOPPING said:
Having been in power for 12 years and having come through elections successfully, I think you must operate on the assumption that a) she is not a moron; and b) she has and had a democratic mandate to do what she did; and c) no one else would have been able to do it any better.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Brooke, not really EU policy so much as Merkel being a moron.
Merkel has failed, utterly, and the AFD winning 94 seats is symptomatic of that. Yet still Merkel won't budge, and the AFD are, of course, too right wing to do business with.
So you get a situation where the Germans will carry on sticking their fingers in their ears and going la la la, I'm not listening to you, which will mean the far right will continue to grow.
Contrast and compare that to GE2015 and GE2017, where UKIP won 12.6%, forced a referendum, then condemned themselves to irrelevance (1.8%) at GE2017 - effectively neutering the British "far" right.
For all its flaws, the British electoral system isn't half bad.
European history has given its cultures good reason to fear the rule of the mob, but in Britain revolution has largely taken place peacefully at the ballot box, with once mightly leaders humbled and brought to heel.
It is this difference between the UK and the rest of the EU states that makes our democratic cultures so fundamentally incompatible.
It is the clearest example of the democratic deficit at the heart of the EU I can think of - that one country's leader can unilaterally impose a policy that has such a profound, dramatic and destabilising effect on every other country, without the citizens of that country having recourse to reject that leader at the ballot box.
And that is what makes her a moron.0