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My 100/1 tip for next Prime Minister Jeremy Hunt is setting his sights on Number 10. https://t.co/IgCwfMN8dO pic.twitter.com/w3gH3zJXVe
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Gove
Johnson
Hunt
all of whom are top Tories.
If you mean you don't like them then that's neither here nor there. Even when I thought he was a ridiculous bananaman I still would have acknowledged David Miliband as one of the countries then top politicians.
F1: that was not a thrilling race. And the only reliability failure lost me a bet that was otherwise on to win.
One or two interesting things to cover in the post-race ramble, though.
Son and family are definitely coming for Christmas, too, which is a mixed blessing.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5118213/Iran-airs-allegations-against-detained-British-woman.html
The worst the guardian could dig up was the likes of JRM having shares in a company that everybody knew he worked for and done nothing remotely wrong. When you have to spin the queen having £3k in bright house as the major scandal that is quite a good sign.
There appeared to be far less proper investigation of what dodgy shit non-famous people are up to.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2017/11/abu-dhabi-post-race-analysis-2017.html
As an aside I was intrigued today to see another step in the institutionalisation of Food Banks. Hellmans/Colemans/Knorr brands adopting two special logos on promotional packs in the run up to Christmas. " Fight UK Hunger " and the Trussell Trust logo with 5p per pack donated.
While Food Banks aren't as new as some on the Left say they are and I'd rather big food companies spent their Ad budgets on social ends than celebrity endorsements or giving away free Lego etc it seems like a cultural marker. " Fight UK Hunger " is a stark phrase. Turning the Trussell Trust logo into a product endorsement so one Britons food is bought by another Briton buying one brand of Food rather than another is fairly extraordinary in a so called welfare state.
I suspect some of this is just Food Banks are a conveyor belt that's very difficult to get off once they've been set up and become part of the " System ". The fairly shameless manner in which UC has been rolled out is a case in point.
Counterintuitively I stopped donating to our local one after Brexit. A community that seen a collosal expansion in it's Food Bank over 10 years which then votes heavily for that kind of economic shock is in late decadence in my view. And the predictable and predicted devaluation and inflation is biting hard locally coupled with UC and the benefit freeze.
This Irish border question has been getting worse with the new boy:
A new cold wind has been blowing from Dublin this week on the vexed issue of the Irish land border. The previous Irish position of preparing for a technological solution to minimise border disruption has been overturned. Enda Kenny, Taoiseach until June, had implicitly accepted that a border would be necessary, and had begun preparations, along with the British, to minimise disruption. Quiet contacts had been taking place between officials north and south of the border. As the new Fine Gael government team led by Leo Varadkar has found its feet all of that has begun to change.
First the Irish Foreign Minister, Simon Coveney, said that no border is acceptable. Another government spokesman said that no technological solutions could make a border acceptable. Then in Brussels last week, Leo Varadkar said that the border was Britain’s not Ireland’s problem and that Irish work on technological solutions would cease.
https://policyexchange.org.uk/irish-border-and-brexit/
Germany has 1.5 million regular users of foodbanks, whilst here it is about 1.2m parcels in total in the whole of 2016.
http://www.dw.com/en/germanys-food-pantries-struggle-to-meet-rising-demand/a-37148492
.....he also said that the border should be moved to the Irish Sea. What this implied was that no customs checks should be done at the land border, which would remain largely as invisible as it does today. Instead customs checks would occur at seaports and airports.
This idea apparently came as a surprise to officials in Ireland’s Department of Foreign Affairs, and does not seem to have been based on much thought or analysis. Such ideas are incoherent and unhelpful.
If neither Boris nor Gove ends up as the candidate of Leave backing MPs then I would have thought David Davis, who actually did back Leave at the time of the EU referendum, would be more likely to end up as the Leave candidate in the Cabinet to take on Rudd than Hunt would be.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit-divorce-bill-to-be-kept-secret-5qc35cfl8
I was in on Hunt at 110. Thanks TSE.
If this comes to pass (and the fact that it is now in the papers seriously running probably means it wont now :-) ) - then I am in for a very very decent payday.
I fecking hate typing on a phone.
The Prime Minister doesn't have the courage to tell the British people how much of OUR money she has had to pay to the EU in order to even begin talking about a trade deal.
Political cowardice of the first order but then presumably she doesn't want a war within the Conservative Party.
The figure will come out - eventually.
Edit as I also said FPT, it's in the Irish interest for the British to own the problem of how to create the soft border they say they want.
Dr Graham Gudgin is Policy Exchange’s Chief Economic Adviser. He is currently Honorary Research Associate at the Centre for Business Research (CBR) in the Judge Business School at the University of Cambridge. He is also visiting Professor at the University of Ulster and Chairman of the Advisory Board of the Ulster University Economic Policy Centre, and was senior Economic Adviser at Oxford Economics from 2007 to 2015. He was Director of the ESRC-funded Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre from 1985 to 1998 when he became Special Adviser to the First Minister in the NI Assembly until 2002. Prior to this he was economics fellow at Selwyn College, Cambridge and a member of the Cambridge Economic Policy Group under Wynne Godley.
How unlike a Nat to play the man, not the ball......
I prefer having an idea where analysis stops and opinion starts.
There are certainly a lot of opinions about the doc's analyses.
'Brexit report promoted by right-wing press condemned by economic experts'
https://tinyurl.com/zyjua9g
Our TT food bank offers the general Summer Holiday top up for anyone with Free School Meals eligibility upto 3 kids per family. It reports being in crisis for donations yet has bolted on a broad additional eligibility criterion. Nor is it clear how these school holiday schemes are reflected in the TT figures.
Still for me it seems a weird cultural moment to see an hypothecated " Fight UK Hunger " logo tying Food Aid to consumption of certain Big Brands. I genuinely don't know what to think.
Also, surely the real priority (from an economic perspective) for the Republic is as soft as possible a Border with the UK as a whole. It won't make much economic difference to the UK where the border is.
I don't recall such uncritical acceptance during SindyRef1.....
Quite a Damascene conversion!
Wow. Just wow.
Edit to add: This is why charities shouldn't indulge in the political, because they end up as the tools of the virtue signallers: the producer interest of the third sector.
If Brexit turns into a shambles Hunt can still say he voted remain but changed his mind to commit to the will of the people, absolving himself of any blame.
Hunt has put himself in a position where he can have his cake and eat it. Had Boris chosen this strategy he would now be unassailable. Hunt has played a blinder and 100/1 could be value bet of the millennium!
More than can be said of others that spring to mind....
I don't recall such scepticism during SindyRef1.....
Quite a Damascene conversion!
This is a classic prisoner's dilemma
Love this line:
"I’ve a hunch that “driverless cars” are not the miracle solution, and my scepticism is reinforced because so many politicians are trying to get into them..."
"What few seem to have realised is that the agreed divorce payment will be set in stone at the end of the A50 period"
No deal, no divorce payment.
In other words, Ireland will help UK achieve what it set out to.
Simple solution: NI stays in the Customs Union. After all, they voted to stay IN.
It can be a transition only if we know what we are transiting to.
What you are saying is not transition but an extension of the Art.50 2 year period which is explicitly mentioned in Art.50.
I am sure blue-rinse Tories respect damascene conversions to their point of view too!
He is easy on the ear and eye and doesn't come across as an absolute charlatan -although he may well be exactly that!
Ireland is not run by "cucks" who will allow UK nats to impose a border or "PC SJWs" who want to give away border policy to their neighbours.
However, Ireland does not seem to be taking a position of active enmity toward the UK. Ireland is instead looking for a very good DEAL, so they can MIGA.
"Suck it up, losers".
Why not say now that the objective of trade negotiations is tariff free trade, and we can all forget about hard borders between north and south and also between Dover and Calais.
Oh, no, that would require Brussels to be sensible and aim for a win-win rather than a lose-lose just to frighten anyone else who might be thinking about leaving.
The longer this all goes on, the stronger my Leaverness. The City of Culture spite makes me (almost) want to start burning EU flags in the street.
In any case, rich Brexiters should help the anti-foreigners.
Lol
That will put those leave B's in their place.
Lol
Bloody brilliant on here.
https://twitter.com/GreenKeithMEP/status/934828102232010753