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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betfair punters now make it a 50-50 chance that Trump won’t complete a full first term
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Arsenal and Chelsea to come next ....
Edit and clearly no third term.
Yes we need to change things to achieve this, but the values are closer to Conservative values than people make out. Corbyn's vision needs to be shown up for what it is: 1970s managed decline, where everyone knows their place and no-one can get on.
Thanks for the description of the CNN coverage. Hardly surprising that is their take. I cannot stand Trump, but he has a valid point on much of the media.
We still talking about Bernie
Tory Dementia tax is.
The idea that you can buy a pile of bricks, do nothing to it and sell it for more than you bought it for is a particularly British delusion.
https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/921124688146952194
If Warren is Dem. nom. Trump gets a second term.
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/2018-shaping-big-democrats/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41551096
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4998366/Camila-Batmanghelidjh-denies-blame-Kids-Company-demise.html
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-4997182/Reddit-user-reveals-Starbucks-holiday-cup.html
The tories are just the party of people obsessed about Brexit, buy to let landlords and pensioners.
@joncstone: May told EU leaders she needs a deal she can sell to people back at home - she needn't worry, they’re not getting a meaningful vote on it!
But they lived in a decade of managed decline.
No-one had the imagination to think big. Much like with Brexit, to be honest.
She's right to be angry. With every cut to council services, the demand kept on rising.
Until it tipped over.
Unfortunately, she's also a bit of an arse. And was in above her head.
This is exactly what happens when you rely on volunteers/charities to run essential state services.
It usually comes back within a few minutes, has been occasionally longer.
@Alistait:
The idea that you can buy a pile of bricks, do nothing to it and sell it for more than you bought it for is a particularly British delusion.
@dixiedean:
It is a particularly south-eastern (and some other areas) delusion), Prices have been steady or falling for a number of years in many parts of the country.
@HYUFD:
Generally the further they are away from London
@dixiedean:
This is generally true. However, the growth in Cities continues. Manchester, Newcastle, (the 2 I am most familiar with) are being re-populated, and are seeing price rises near the City Centres. The further away there is no price rise/ falls. So the solution is not so easy. We need to find soome way to encourage people to move out.
I love living in the countryside, but the infrastructure is falling behind rapidly.
Public transpoort being slashed. Poor broadband. Intermittent phone cooverage.
Under these circumstances, what possible reason would there be for a young family, or small business to move here?
btw, this is not a Party political point. Both major parties have been at fault.
Labour ignores rural areas, because there are few votes/seats to be won here.
Conservatives because they win anyway, and their client vote doesn't want development.
But, to solve the Housing problem we need to attack supply AND demand. Which means booth building more houses in popular areas AND making rural economies more attractive places to live and invest in.
I wish I could say it was an excellent trading bet.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/08/02/next-chancellor-after-osborne-betting/
I think Mike said he would take away my ability to publish threads after that piece.
It is a particularly south-eastern (and some other areas) delusion), Prices have been steady or falling for a number of years in many parts of the country.
@HYUFD:
Generally the further they are away from London
@dixiedean:
This is generally true. However, the growth in Cities continues. Manchester, Newcastle, (the 2 I am most familiar with) are being re-populated, and are seeing price rises near the City Centres. The further away there is no price rise/ falls. So the solution is not so easy. We need to find soome way to encourage people to move out.
I love living in the countryside, but the infrastructure is falling behind rapidly.
Public transpoort being slashed. Poor broadband. Intermittent phone cooverage.
Under these circumstances, what possible reason would there be for a young family, or small business to move here?
btw, this is not a Party political point. Both major parties have been at fault.
Labour ignores rural areas, because there are few votes/seats to be won here.
Conservatives because they win anyway, and their client vote doesn't want development.
But, to solve the Housing problem we need to attack supply AND demand. Which means booth building more houses in popular areas AND making rural economies more attractive places to live and invest in.
Good luck with that
Theresa May is more Scarlett than Rhet at the moment sadly.
1970 to 1974 we had a party line phone; different numbers but the same phone line as our next door neighbour, so if they were on the phone we had to wait to make a call. Is that not the same. cutting edge tech?
The GPO, British Rail, British Steel, BOAC, British Airways... bywords for efficiency and customer service. Why wouldn't you want to go back to the good old days?
I was there but I'm not sure what the 70s luxury equivalent of the iPhone was but I distinctly remember having to save up for a suit and I was a middle-ish ranking civil servant. Any offers for iPhone equivalent?
The LD President just said we would be legally required to impose tariffs.
Edit: To be fair, when she was corrected she kind of clarified.
Get him into the cabinet soon, please.
The most popular Tory policy? Brexit.
Very much against the prevailing view on here.
And it has been the same across the country.
You might not like it chum, but you're in the minority. Brexit is popular.
Well, there were 8 track cassettes (though only for the top 1%), and for urgent messages, telegrams reached the recipient in a matter of days. And polaroid cameras.
40-45% of the country backs hard Brexit, I would say barely 10% of PBers at best
It's a point of view I guess...
Although by March 2019 frankly most of us won't give a damn!
https://twitter.com/timjn1/status/920199246426632192
Canada producer leaves TV amid flurry of sexual abuse allegations
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-41685262
Best get the things sorted so we won't have our planes grounded etc. and just get on with it.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brits-keener-on-single-market-access-than-full-immigration-control-brexit-poll-shows-a3594611.html
Last October Sky had as many as 52% putting immigration control first and 40% the single market.
http://news.sky.com/story/more-than-half-favour-immigration-controls-over-trade-poll-reveals-10604088
But let's assume you're right. Just as with the trade in goods, the trade in tourism is currently massively imbalanced in the EU's favour. In the case of Spain, the collapse of tourist flights between the UK and EU would cause a huge economic collapse of a key industry and an associated weakening of property prices in resorts that could have wider ramifications. The same risks apply in varying degrees to the likes of Greece, Cyprus, Malta, Italy, France, Austria..... etc. By contrast, reverse risks to UK tourism would be more than offset by the numbers choosing to take staycations here.