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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories who want TMay out well before the general election are

I’ve been of the view since June that TMay’s objective was to try to remain in office to fight the next election which, if she succeeded, would make amends for GE17.
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She must go.
The PCP should stop thinking they are as impotent as a eunuch.
Green's reported comments about the Lib Dems or Greens speaks of a man crossing his fingers rather than planning for action of his own. Did the Romans hope a new barbarian tribe would attack their enemies, or plan and execute their own actions?
To defeat Labour is in the Conservatives' hands, hoping that diminutive leftwing parties will help them is folly at best.
I did criticise Green for being a wet some time ago. I seem to recall some sort of eagle-ish fellow saying he was alright
Once again, the Morris Dancer lightweight-o-meter (which saw through Burnham when others were praising him) proves accurate.
Also FPT: which pb'ers will be at Manchester next week? I'm assuming bigjohnowls will be there...
Heard all this before about some bloke called James.
James Gordon Brown
How did that end?
Alas I won't be in Manchester next week.
I know it won't happen there, but the best value venue for that lunch would be Gideligh Park on Dartmoor. £60 a head for a Michelin 2 Star 2 course lunch! Brilliant value. I can drive you from Exeter.....and back!
I know people who worked in Gordon Brown's Downing Street - and that doesn't exactly sound like the description I've heard!
join together and sing Kumbayakeep their differences to themselves for a year or so and get behind the negotiationsI’d have thought Mrs May leaves office in the summer of 2019.
The amount of squabbling that is going on seems to be producing very few results. We just seem to be ignoring the ticking clock. Like the Soviet Union - nothing matters except ideological purity.....
As for being in Manchester next week - I am in Manchester every week
Spin in other words
Has anyone seen the new Victoria film? Trailer made it seem like a 'Stalin and his Ukrainian peasant friend' levels of offensive given the millions allowed to die under her rule (eg https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1057/978-1-137-59416-7_11)
If she tries to stay put after then then and only then will a move be made
This time inside it'll be worse because Mrs May lost Dave's majority against Jeremy fecking Corbyn.
"Lunch. When? Where?"
(Who gets to pick the wine?)
Manchester absolutely hates the Conservatives ! Even during Torymania when the locals were on Andy Burnham crushed everyone else for the mayoralty, and that was when the blue team was winning Tees valley, West Midlands...
Surely Birmingham would have been a better choice with Andy Street being mayor and all.
She's not all bad, she got rid of the horrid Victoria Borwick.
They've alternated with Birmingham in recent years
One can't really blame the very decent but rather ineffectual Green for sticking with May, and everything he said about her - ("“She’s warm, has a sense of humour, she’s good company and she is, as has been observed, fantastically hardworking and conscientious … The more people see that, the better she will do politically,”) - apart from the last bit, is entirely defensible.
None of it makes her a good leader, though - and the idea that she can credibly lead the Tories into the next general election is the sheerest fantasy.
When everyone was fawning over and I kept on warning people she was a pound shop Gordon Brown.
I've been to party conferences in Bournemouth, Brighton, Glasgow, and Birmingham and Manchester is by far the best venue. it is also the biggest media centre outside London.
Now I'm persona non grata, and I only get pleb seats.
Next week my Mum's having an operation, and I have to stay in Dore and be a good son.
1. Pub - three pints, or equivalent, maximum.
2. Restaurant - a glass of two of white wine to get started, with olives and a few thin slices of Iberico ham; then oysters; then very garlicky fish soup; then chorizo, egg and chips; then some kind of mousse or crème caramel; then cheese; all with appropriate wines - the filthier the better.
3. Cigar place for a Montecristo No. 2 and two or three Macallans.
4. Pub - Guinness, or whatever, until closing or death, whichever comes first.
Throw in the discussion, the laughs, the anecdotes, and that is what I call the Mother of All Lunches. I used to do these quite regularly when younger and based in London. What larks they were. Let is do this. How to organise?
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/27/business/economy/wealth-inequality-study.html
It's shorthand for RWWWRRRRAAAAAAAARRRRRRGGGGHHH
and a vein going off.
Which it usually is, though not an excuse to be crappy.
Not entirely convinced of the wisdom of throwing a couple of pints of Guinness in on top of that little lot!
A similar proxy bet on UK politics (at least right now) is by buying/shorting BAE shares, I recon.
Any other highly political stocks?
2. Restaurant - glass or two of champagne, Bolly is fine, while standing around.
2a. Restaurant - ice cold meursault (Michelot out of preference) with smoked salmon, brown bread, lemon. Then either - kidneys (pink), thin chips, an egg, with an '05 cru bourgeois, or perhaps a 2007 4th/5th growth. Or game, I'm fine with game, any of them grouse for preference - plus everything and also extra bread sauce and game chips. Then a savoury - angels on horseback, with the remainder of the wine, then bread and butter pudding and cream, with a 1995 Rieussec, then cheese with a '77 port, Fonseca perhaps. Then a brandy or two.
3. Then collapse while watching the racing.
Or...prawn cocktail then fish and chips in the pub with Bolly throughout is also good.
Oh my days. Not done that for a while.
Edit: sorry *wakes up* were we talking about politics?
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/09/the-tories-are-giving-jeremy-corbyn-a-clear-run-at-no-10/
The article also says the Tories must build homes urgently or lose.
There is a hell of a lot resting on Javid, and no sign whatsoever of action.
I'm developing a Mancunian accent.
I find that alarming.
I think we should let Ms Cyclefree choose the venue.
The largest supplier of chicken to UK supermarkets has been tampering with food safety records in moves that could dupe consumers into buying meat past its use-by date.
An investigation by the Guardian and ITV News recorded undercover footage of workers altering the slaughter date of poultry being processed at a 2 Sisters Food Group plant. The group produces a third of all poultry products eaten in the UK and supplies top grocers including Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Marks & Spencer, Aldi and Lidl.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/28/uks-top-supplier-of-supermarket-chicken-fiddles-food-safety-dates?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
If you think Corbyn might become PM, pretty much the same play except obviously even more emphasis on shorting utilities and housebuilders.
However, I personally wouldn't recommend any of the shorts at the moment because the timescales are too long and, even if the reasoning is correct in the medium term, you might lose your shirt in the short term. Better simply to invest in a diversified portfolio but outside the UK, which is a reasonable investment even if things don't turn out disastrously.
http://britainelects.com/2017/09/27/previews-28-sep-2017/
Oh god....
Ben Stokes sparks outrage after a shocking Snapchat video emerges of him mocking Katie Price's disabled son
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4929800/Shocking-footage-shows-Ben-Stokes-foul-mouthed-outburst.html
Which reminds me of Dr Kennedy, as played by Frederick Treves: "Ah, Mrs Rowe, we' thought we'd have some tea, some cakes, or hot buttered toast, or something." The housekeeper Mrs Rowe was not credited in that episode,, but has always been my favourite character.