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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jacob Rees-Mogg heads for the favourite slot in the TMay successor betting as the DDavis decline continues
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On Brexit (and indeed on various other things) he is, as they say, "sound", but he has no front-bench experience and no sign of wanting to get any.
DOWN WITH GRAVITY!
UP WITH LEVITY!
A more realistic future may lie in television, either as the new Boris on panel shows, or the new Brian Walden.
But to whom?
german election campaign something of a damp squib as former coalition partners find they cant really attack each other due to shared responsibility for previous administration
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/bundestagswahl/bundestagswahl-warum-die-themen-dieses-wahlkampfes-nicht-zuenden-15149796.html
Robert Lee was the Confederacy's leading general, and an extremely skilled military tactician. There's quite a bit about him as a person that was interesting too. He was a key figure in the history of the US, and the South in particular. In some respects he was a "nicer" man than many of the North's politicians and generals.
I would teach children about him, and not instigate cultural vandalism.
There are remarkably few figures who'd make the cut in the UK, and we'd be pulling down most statues of Cromwell, Henry VIII and most of those on the plinths in Traflagar Square if we followed the same approach.
CDU 40%
SPD 24%
Linke, FDP, Greens, AfD all on 8%
so called Jamaica government ( black, yellow green ) forecast
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/f-a-z-wahlbarometer-so-wollen-die-deutschen-waehlen-14406977.html
More seriously, you're right but you are also presupposing no change in said great offices. We are one unguarded comment away from a new Foreign Secretary. And we're talking about Boris 'I will add Papua New Guinea to my global itinerary of apology' Johnson.
We could also consider Justice as one of the great offices, as it is a merger of the Lord Chancellor's role with aspects of the Home Office, both of them great offices of state. I mention this because while I do not see David Liddington as a contender, I do see him as someone who could be easily moved. A Leaver there, possibly with a party responsibility on the side, could easily move into the frame.
At least I hope so, because if Boris resigns his realistic replacement would be Liam Fox.
are they going to dig the bodies up ?
He was a traitor to the Republic who commanded the forces of an illegal succession that killed hundreds of thousands.
It is a very easy answer, when you think about it.
Hint - he had once commanded the second-largest army in Europe.
Normally, I would agree that change was possible but with the exception of Liddington I don't think our zombie PM is powerful enough to remove any of the other players. There seems to be an armed truce in the party at the moment and I think it will stay that way until May goes.
The South's legal apparatchiks also held that the US was a union of states, not a country, so any state could legally secede (in which incidentally they were wrong, but it doesn't alter the fact that this was what they thought).
Calling Lee a traitor would be the equivalent of calling Nicola Sturgeon a traitor. Which so far nobody has done so far as I know. Indeed she would be a worse traitor as she has actively tried to secede, he merely bowed to he will of others.
Edit - PS you mean secession not succession.
Lose one to events? Possibly, even probably.
I think Hammond will stay put and Rudd is genuinely loyal to May. But one more Boris gaffe and I think he'll decide the £2 million a year he could make on the after dinner circuit will be too tempting to refuse any more.
Re double negatives, no accounting for taste.
In the end it came down to them really liking having slaves and seeing black people as sub-human.
Wellington probably
you must think the Irish are stupid
I suppose they'll have to pull the statue down now?
Just under two weeks until F1 returns.
"He would be a gift for the Marxist class politics of Corbyn."
They are very similar. Their selling point is that do what the say on the tin. However, JRM looks more comfortable under questioning. Jezza struggles to hold in his inner mardy arse, although he is getting better at it.
You are right, it was Wellington in 1828.
And it's secession, by the way.
Rugby league is subjective, like all sports. When it comes to arguing about respective merits, it can get rather feisty.
Good Scotch whisky is of course to any other similarly named product. And yes, I’ve tried ‘good’ Japanese products.
I think we can all agree that was the right thing to do in Palmyra. The band and Baez's cover should probably be banned too.
And most people don't research or think, just echo.
In reply you make an accurate but totally irrelevant point to deflect attention from your blunder.
And then, to misquote the great Kevin O'Higgins, the SNP wonder why they are becoming a laughing stock.
I'm not convinced your comparison holds up.
But he is not necessarily well served by contemporary politicians of any stripe.
The Mogglodytes are numerous.
This is really simple.
I have no idea what I am supposed to have been quoting (mid or otherwise) of Kevin O'Higgins.
On your other point, I disagree. While it would be unfair to compare Sturgeon to Davis, she suffers next to Lee. He opposed secession, emancipated his slaves and took no action against the Union until Virginia was itself invaded. I would add that all but one state in the south voted for secessionist candidates in 1860, although of course such a ballot was hardly representative given the bias of the franchise towards big landowners.
If he was a traitor, so is she.
I will admit however that I picked that comparison precisely because I knew how much it would annoy Alistair.
The problem for the Brexiteers is that everyone else on their list is either lukewarm at best or severely compromised by past incompetence.
Populist revolutions get taken over by the fanatics, so JRM is a reasonable punt. Lack of suitability is never a bar in leadership contests.
Moreover his oath as a member of the Virginia militia was to defend Virginia.
Can you not see how your points don't measure up or to be exact, apply rather better to you?
Lay Mogg if you can, his price is a nonsense
Anyway, I have work to do. Have a good morning!
Lee himself admitted that secession was equivalent to revolution. A large percentage of Virginians, including a portion of Lee's family, remained loyal to the United States. Lee's personal 'honour' inspired him to fight in defense of slavery.
While Sturgeon might have played fast and loose as a politician, as far as I'm aware her behaviour has remained within constitutional bounds.
There is really no comparison.
No. Just no.
The Tories' only chance is to behave like grown ups. They're currently making a pig's ear of this over Brexit. No need to make matters worse by replacing the mediocre May with someone even less likely to widen the Tories' appeal.
It's as if our political parties are in a bizarre competition to see which of them can win a self-harming competition.
The identity aspect does seem critical, as it has in more recent political times.
That's what Mogg is.
I'm going to cry like a disgraced televangelist if the final two in the next Tory leadership contest are David Davis and Jacob Rees-Mogg.
I'll spoil my ballot paper, unless they allow a write in candidate.
So, the question is, what is his support amongst MPs?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/guides/z3xhhv4
I'm not sure why we rush to put statues up in the first place. I'd never put a statue up to anyone living. It's a good job Leeds didn't honour Jimmy Saville in the same way. And surely Boudicca was a war criminal? Murdering most of Colchester was a touch extreme.
All 'heroes' can go through a revisionist phase. I remember discussing this very fact with RL fans, He's been a good player for you, I said, but hold off on the statue. He might go into management. Always a bad move
Theresa May has well and truly fucked the Tory party.
I'd suggest trying to line up behind someone rather than just Not X, Y, Z (and W too).
A fie on Theresa May, like a Jihadi convert she's strapped on the suicide belt of Brexit and she doesn't care who she takes down with her.
I've gone to that twitter page and read it but he doesn't seem to be anybody of any relevance to anything. He's gone to a wedding recently. And likes music I've never heard of.
Amazing how people are talking about the Tories needing to widen their appeal after getting over 14m votes. All they need to do is assuage enough people in marginals not to vote for Corbo.
Lee isn't fit to lick the boots of Grant.
The Old Confederacy should suck it up, they lost, plus the North paid for Reconstruction.
... In this enlightened age, there are few I believe, but what will acknowledge, that slavery as an institution, is a moral & political evil in any Country. It is useless to expatiate on its disadvantages. I think it however a greater evil to the white man than to the black race, & while my feelings are strongly enlisted in behalf of the latter, my sympathies are more strong for the former. The blacks are immeasurably better off here than in Africa, morally, socially & physically. The painful discipline they are undergoing, is necessary for their instruction as a race, & I hope will prepare & lead them to better things. How long their subjugation may be necessary is known & ordered by a wise Merciful Providence....
"...The painful discipline they are undergoing, is necessary for their instruction as a race...." - even in the context of the time, this is rather self-serving BS. The only 'necessity' was that the prosperity of the South depended almost entirely on slavery.
May shat the bed when she called the election she said she never would.
(edit... Well, no more than occasionally, anyway.)
They may have had a legal right to protest and be offensive. But others are entitled to object and protest also. And there is a moral difference between those who use their right to free speech to champion Nazism and the oppression of blacks and those who use this same right to protest against these things. The former are morally disgraceful. Trump failed to make - and perhaps even understand - this distinction in his comments on the violence. That is why he is rightly being criticised.
I was not a big fan of Obama TBH. But he was right when he said that slavery was America's original sin. Its consequences are being played out on the streets of Virginia.
Still, I am not a Tory Party member, so I guess if the Tories think one of these two is the way forward then elect one of them leader and see what the voters think.
(Edit) Nor are his statues emblems for lost causers and white supremacists.
As was the African economy before the British Empire arrived on the scene.
Read here yesterday Napoleon reintroduced it to France.