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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Davis still firm favourite to succeed TMay while Johnson slips to 5th
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http://www.parliament.uk/documents/lords-committees/eu-select/Correspondence-2017-19/09-08-17-Letter-from-David-Davis-MP.pdf
Current cabinet all tainted, sadly, by the bolleaux that has been the past three months. Very difficult to hold their heads up and say either "I agreed with that" or "I disagreed with that".
Will be a back-bencher. Not DD, who has shown himself better than expected (he did after all single-handedly create his current role for himself) but is nevertheless yesterday's man.
And they'll be at least one Brexiteer in the final two, IMO.
The Conservatives, however, will continue to decline until such point as they find a candidate who can make irrelevant their referendum vote.
Rudd is more of a Morgan than a Thatcher, and Hammond more of a Clarke than an Osborne. In short, they don't have the desire or the popularity within the PLP or the party at large.
I'm still yet to be convinced that Davis wants it. Bojo would be foolish to stand again and fail, esepfizlaly as he is just young enough to try again.
What the members want is someone to stir the sinews (Boris without the bollocks), with experience and a back story (Davis without the age and past failures), with reliability (Green without the history of mediocrity) or a woman (Rudd without the charisma bypass, Ruth without the Holyrood commitments).
JRM is a non-runner, clever and entertaining as he is. His appeal remains far too niche to win an election.
In other words, there isn't a candidate on that list that the members would give a majority to, so we are stuck with TM for the foreseeable.
She should take a leaf out of Michael Howard's book and promote some of the fresh faces, so one or two will be ready for 2019; but, of course, she lacks the power to hire and fire at will.
Deadlock? We'll see. Nature abhors a vacuum, so Conference will be a crucible for new faces to shine and old faces to counter their all-too-well-known weaknesses.
Raab, Cleverly, McVey?
See you in Manchester.
Labour got away with blue (red?) murder in 2017 GE.
JackW of this parish, presumably?
Not only have they retained Malan, but they've called up Mason Crane.
Didn't Simon Kerrigan teach them anything?
Remember if Gove had won the Tory leadership contest, he would have kept Osborne on as Chancellor.
Osborne won't be the Mandelson to Gove's Brown though.
University workers are overwhelmingly left wing, but school teachers are not.
Mind, oddly, at various times some of the leading Conservatives have been shorter for next Prime Minister than for next leader of the Conservative party.
Young people like travelling.
So I would major on stuff like the prospect of a currency crisis and the imposition of exchange controls.
How many people under say 40 have even heard of exchange controls?
Jennings is another we would never have picked but he was so pitifully out of form he should have gone before Old Trafford, and today's decision is a merciful release.
If Woakes is fit he will surely replace R-Jones.
I know nothing of Crane, although I'm moderately surprised that the selectors think another Hampshire man is the best replacement for Dawson. If Crane isn't the best spinner in Hampshire, is he likely to be the best in England? What has Rashid done to upset people?
Do I detect excessive KP influence?
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england/content/player/632172.html
No, I don't get it either.
Rashid's issue is that he doesn't offer control by bowling far too many four balls.
The next leader needs to have personality, but also needs a programme to sell.
Agreed, he/she needs to highlight Corbyn's weaknesses on economy/defence/everything, but the key is positive policies for those who think the 'establishment' and the status quo couldn't give a rat's arse about their concerns.
Want the 30-49 vote? Pick a 30-49 leader who knows about finding a mortgage deposit, has kids in school, hasn't been wearing Oxford Union undies since leaving their private nursery and possesses both a sense of humour and self-awareness.
Should be easy.
Does is matter if they have a spinner who isn't economical? They have plenty of bowlers who can keep it tight.
According to Atherton, Strauss sets the parameters/targets but Bayliss and the selectors do the selecting, but Root has a lot of influence, which explains why Ballance got back in the team.
I can understand the control argument, what would/did happen, is batsmen would be cautious against Anderson, Broad, Woakes, and Stokes, then unleash against Rashid.
Personally I'd have Rashid in the team, his strike rate is comparable to Ali's.
There were some helpful posts but would be grateful if anyone could give a comprehensive reply.
eg I have family in Canada and thought I might open an account there - but have been advised that you probably need a Canadian NI number (or equivalent) to do so.
Can anyone advise what they have done.
I would basically like to open an account and just deposit say £1,000 in it for now. But crucially it must be able to receive international transfers - so a substantial sum could be transferred in future at short notice.
Hameed
Westley
Root
Hales
Stokes
Bairstow
Ali
Woakes
Broad
Anderson
In the first Ashes Test
Boris Johnson ally Ben Wallace threatens to go 'Game of Thones' on Michael Gove and give him a penectomy.
http://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/tv/news/michael-gove-game-of-thrones-tory-leadership-brexit-boris-johnson-ally-threatens-theon-greyjoy-a7113656.html
Confused....
Could I just ask you what are your views on mechanics.
eg Could you do it at say Bank of Ireland in London or to be 100% safe must you physically go and do it in Dublin?
Key point raised on here last week is you must not be dealing with a UK subsidiary.
Being an England selector should be the easiest job in the world. Seven players pick themselves and with three genuine all-rounders in the side (Stokes/Ali/Bairstow) you have huge scope as regards the other four places. You can spend your entire time just looking for those four additional players - and they come up with Dawson, Jennings, Malan.....? Even Westley and R-Jones are questionable, although worth a little run now.
Tell Root and Strauss to pick the side they want and sack Bayliss, Whittaker, Fraser and the rest.
Hard pounding this, gentlemen; let's see who will pound longest.
Bayliss is out of the country a lot of the time and anyway on current form deserves the sack. I really don't see why Root and Strauss can't do the job alone. If they need advice or help they can ask for it.
You forgot Ali. If those four plus Ali can't do the job, you are in trouble anyway. Rashid does at least give you an extra dimension. Dawson does not, unless you are playing for a draw on a dead pitch.
I will be trying to keep the conversation away from Brexit.
One of my dearest friends was so left-wing that he made Skinner look like Thatcher. Yet we'd chew the cud and remain friends at the end of the evening.
An example: I drove him to his house in my landy. He pointed at the hillside above his house and said: "That was a coal mine until **** Thatcher shut it."
The hillside was grassland with small bits of concrete protruding. This was the early nineties, and most of the mines closed in the eighties were still unlandscaped. So I asked him when the mine closed. He replied: "a hundred years ago. It's still ******* ***** **** ***** **** **** that **** **** sh*t **** ***** **** bit*h Thatcher's fault!"
Yet he only wanted a better life for all. Perhaps that's the real centrist position: wanting things to improve for all.
You will need to go to the foreign country and open the bank account there. There may very well be laws requiring you to have a local address. (In the UK, as I'm sure you know, banks require an awful lot of documentation to let you open an account.) The US is far more flexible.
If you open a US dollar bank account - for example - with Citibank UK, it is still a UK account, and therefore could in future be affected by the UK government.
I agree about Rashid, but I fear he has incorrectly been pigeonholed as a one day player only. And for a leggie, he's still pretty young.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/07/the-worst-problem-on-earth/528717/
On a vaguely similar line (ish), two S African rugby teams are joining the Pro 12 rugby (The league of Celts and Italians). I shall be fascinated to see how the travelling affects them, and having to play on the high Veldt in high summer one week, and the likes of Glasgow in depths of winter the next.
I would vote Corbyn in a choice between the man with the gay donkey obsession, the Jezziah and being tortured horribly to death over several hours while listening to Brown's budget speeches.
If you replace Corbyn with Gove I would choose death.
And yet we did vote Conservative in 2010. He promised to set us free to teach and stop meddling...first lie in a distinguished career of deception.
On the subject of Rashid, most leg spinners bowl release balls, which is why it was fading from fashion before Warne arrived. But they also provide a genuine attacking option when the ball is old. If they are wily and experienced, or utterly brilliant. Crane is neither.
If anyone wants to see a rather clever introduction, check out Stuart McGill's Cricinfo page. Although even that isn't as good as David Gower's.
It is therefore my intention to contribute less for a period of time and pursue other interests.
I hope everyone will discover the secret of being nicer to one another as no one has the an easy answer to the most complex issues facing the UK and the entire World.
I will dip in from time to time but for now all the very best to everyone no matter that we may not share the same view of politics.
The council confirmed that "strengthening works" - carried out on estates under government order across the UK in the wake of Ronan Point - may never have happened on the Ledbury.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-40891474
For context, Ronan Point is a world-famous structural failure from 1968 - it's in a book I recently purchased on structural failures. The idea that the required works were not performed after it is staggering.
Although Labour will probably still try to blame May ...
If for sake of argument I went to Dublin and tried to open an account with Bank of Ireland, would they insist on an Irish address?
I have other reasons anyway personally, but even if I didn't, putting some assets beyond the ability of Corbyn, McDonnell, and the likes of Milne to screw them up seems like a sound insurance policy.
Feels churlish to point out that Corbyn is trying to help those without the luxury of enough to put in offshore accounts and that might be a good thing
Different countries have different rules. If you want a US account then Citibank is the best one to use. You can go to any Citibank branch in the USA with a passport and a bank statement/utility bill for proof of address. You don't need a US address to do this. They'll set up the account there and then with online banking too. You can receive and send international payments using the online banking system.
Even easier is Ireland. The best bank to go for in Ireland is Ulster Bank, because it is set up in Northern Ireland as well, so the staff are used to opening accounts for Brits in Ireland and vice versa. Just ring up their customer service (0345 366 5592 - I've got it in my phone!) and say you want to open an account in the Republic of Ireland. Or you can do it online. They'll send you a form to fill in, and then you need to go to a branch of RBS or Natwest in the UK with passport and proof of address. They will verify your identity and then send the application directly to Ireland via their internal post, so you don't even need to go to Ireland to do it. You don't need an Irish address either - all correspondence comes to the UK.
Hope this helps!
Seriously, Remainers need to get over themselves.