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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The UKIP leadership race – Alastair Meeks marks your card

As Mike Smithson pointed out last week, these are fallow days for political betting. We have been spoiled in recent years with a nonstop cavalcade of elections, referendums and leadership contests. We are suffering withdrawal pangs.
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If this one doesn't win there is no justice.
The Conservatives lost one argument on the design of the single currency and some of them having stopped sulking yet.
http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0570302/mediaviewer/rm4206471936
Have to admit I'm surprised how many are gay.
Mr Bolton has an impressive back story. In another party he could have a career.
Now, since we're on a new thread, shall we leave it there?
On second thoughts, anyone want to discuss shoes?
Meanwhile, a new thread about the UKIP leader. I know betting opportunities are few and far between atm but we might as well discuss who might be the next head of the National Trust, for all that UKIP is related to party politics.
... so he'd be the ideal leader ?
It won't, because those things are already the accepted norm. 'Islamophobia' is far more insidious than blowing up school children.
The only hope of a revival for either party is if it doesn't happen.
Can we have a thread on this ??
It has to be the asteroid miner or homosexual donkey raped my horse man for me.
Blistering brilliant piece Alastair.
http://www.espn.co.uk/football/story/3174603/liverpool-reach-agreement-to-sell-philippe-coutinho-to-barcelona-sources
http://www.ukipdaily.com/ukip-leadership-hustings/
So the horse just stood there and let it happen? The supposedly straight horse? Yeah, right. I've got bad news for Rees-Evans: no way is that horse straight. It stood there and it loved it. It is a gay horse which probably causes floods.
Perhaps they'll even start campaigning for Remain to keep their best platform alive.
https://twitter.com/Cemlyn/status/893170423696961536
Also, too short for me but those of you with moneybags might like 1.11 on Merkel staying Chancellor.
"Bad luck caused by disturbed fairy forts is causing dips in a major road between County Kerry and County Cork, an Irish member of parliament has said."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-40863737
A Government source told Sky News ministers and officials have been working flat out to draw up the position papers, aware that the Brexit deadline is fast approaching.
"Position papers may determine whether or not we can move to the second stage of negotiations, work in recess is vital," said the figure.
"We never sleep."
The Government is planning a ministerial write round - where relevant ministers beyond the Cabinet are given sight of the position papers - for the week beginning 21 August, suggesting papers could be published from that week onwards.
On the other hand a massive asteroid strike destroying all higher lifeforms does put Brexit into perspective, and something to look forward to...
http://all-that-is-interesting.com/iceland-elves
Talking of fantasy, Honda believe their engine will outperform Renault by the end of the season:
https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/honda-engine-renault-target-939204/
I have not yet ruled out their achieving a podium this season - is anyone offering odds on that ?
I once called Nick Palmer the Richard Nabavi of the Labour party; I fear the converse may no longer be true.
It's only a matter of time.
Even if we assume the reliability is, as appears to be the case, much better, that still leaves a lot of horsepower to make up.
A podium only seems credible at somewhere like Abu Dhabi (maybe) or, more likely, Singapore, but they're still going to be the 4th fastest at the absolute best.
I'd want long triple figure odds on a McLaren podium.
If it's a "No", you win the bet (which will pay out more than you spent on your deeply out the money Puts), and if it's a "Yes", then the Spanish stock market trades down 15%, and you make good money there.
For the record, this is not investment advice.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-40869269
Anyway, I must be off.
It struck me today how quickly it will seem to future Historians that we went from "There probably wont be an EU referendum" to "Leave win the EU referendum". It seems to have caught both sides on the hop. The Remainers, who quite understandably cant seem to rationalise that the move from dismissive in 2014, to complacent in 2015, to defeat in 2016 has actually happened, and the Kippers who, in 2014, probably imagined the route to victory was achieved by making the case for Brexit gradually via gaining parliamentary seats.
It is like a boxer, cruising towards a unanimous points victory vs an underdog, getting knocked out in the last round. He cant understand the twist at the end of the story, while victory destroyed the winner by virtue of being World Champion too early in their career.
You see it as an internal fight between two camps in domestic politics in which one side has 'won', but unfortunately there is nobody to call time and let you savour the victory. Brexit is the beginning, not the end, and the people who fought for it have no clue how it will deliver anything other than their own self-satisfaction.
But I was a kipper, and all I wanted was to win the referendum.. and we did and that's that. I am happy
The people who REALLY wanted Brexit were UKIP, even if they had to gain it with help from Conservatives who probably weren't all that bothered.
But I have no wish to reopen the great ABBA debate, so I'll drop it.
That's an absolutely awesome list.
But if Aiden Powlesland is Foinavon, who will be Poppam Down?
McLaren Honda have the great advantage now of not really caring if they lunch a few more engines along the way, so their ability to bring engine upgrades is greater than any of the other teams. I'd want reasonably long odds, but I think there is a real chance (though not overwhelming likelihood) of a podium before the season is out.
They have what appears a very decent chassis, and one of the best drivers on the grid. They only have to get lucky once.
https://news.vice.com/article/what-an-ex-soldiers-fortified-bulgarian-compound-says-about-the-uk-independence-movement
I reluctantly decided not to include in the main article the detail about him urinating in a bottle to reduce his carbon footprint.
He is also extremely fit. His first marathon was at 21, he explains, with a full rucksack, when he was in the parachute regiment.
"I was young and single and I read in a book that ninjas, when they were working, would kill someone 25 miles from where they lived," he said. "So I decided that since we were in a similar profession I should do that. I substituted the killing for a visit to a bookshop. Theological books. That was the extra weight."
For some reason Alastair's thread reminded me of that.
How did that not make the cut?
* his solution was give it to @Charles and let him deal with it!
I especially enjoyed how Colin Jordan had to resign as leader of the British Movement after shoplifting a pair of red knickers from M & S.
I just can't see the link to ninjas assassinating people. Did he used to hit random people with his rucksack?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z8ZiiHYHtdE
Hopefully, the horse defended his honour.
I cannot see a pair of plan cotton knickers in red, so I would think it likely that these were the lacy, stringy kind that are OK to wear for about 2 hours and after that you want to rip them off before you sweaty-itch to death.
Although I appreciate the donkey man is something a bit special.
(we use it as a museum and charitable venue as as the HQ for both Bulldog and The Fore Trusts, any other ideas gratefully received)
I'd seriously consider voting for Corbyn ahead of any of them.
Not Macdonnell or Gove, obviously, but Corbyn - well, on a forced choice it would be possible.
Where is everybody?
And now you've turned up.