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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Six times as many LD supporters say they’re concerned about BR

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  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    isam said:

    "Let's be clear: because she's a black journalist. All black people must know each other, right"

    Seriously?

    She is black. And Trump asked if she was friends with the CBC.

    I think you are trying wayyyy to hard to take offence.
  • Nuttall reaches a tearfully toddleresque end stage after having exhausted all other possibilities in trying to avoid taking responsibility for his words and actions.

    https://twitter.com/LeftieLawyer/status/832586116364718081

    Is he weeping for those fallen "close friends"?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,214
    edited February 2017
    Scott_P said:

    Seriously?

    She is black. And Trump asked if she was friends with the CBC.

    I think you are trying wayyyy to hard to take offence.
    Why would it offend me?! Are you crazy?

    I just noted that you were relating highly spun negative views of Trump. But the quote that I posted of yours implied that Trump thinks all black people know each other, which I find a ludicrous proposition. More likely she tried to make out he wasn't including minorities, and he shut her up by saying I'd love to, and as it turned out, she IS friends with them, so a happy ending
  • BudG said:

    You will never stay green on a market like this by just betting. Because even if you back everyone on the list, the next person added to the market will be a large red. They key is to do some laying as well, preferably on someone you backed at high odds whose price has fallen.

    That's the plan. Not many have fallen so far iirc.
  • Paul Nuttall doesn't seem to be an entirely felicitous choice of leader for UKIP.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,214
    Wow! If proof is found that Nuttall was at Hillsborough this is going to be a fantastic reverse "I bet a muslim did it!" when a shooter attacks.

    Still, as long as it's someone you disagree with who cares?!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    Michael Crick has already demonstrated that Nuttall has form for falsely claiming to be in the terraces.
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    chestnut said:

    The quarterly value of sales rose, Jonathan.

    The quarterly comparison of money spent/value to the same period last year was a 4.9% increase.
    Figure 1 at the link https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/bulletins/retailsales/jan2017
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Michael Crick has already demonstrated that Nuttall has form for falsely claiming to be in the terraces.

    He may be in more trouble

    https://twitter.com/michaellcrick/status/832519093609705472
  • Paul Nuttall doesn't seem to be an entirely felicitous choice of leader for UKIP.

    Nuttall’s appointment as leader is either two years too early, or two years too late. - Although the Stoke result will probably confirm it was both…
  • Mr. Borough, can't speak for Labour, but Cooper was very lacklustre last time. Does she even want the job?
  • He doesn't jusr get things wrong now or then, he lies. He is one of the most dishonest commentators broadcasting today. And obviously that is saying something.

    He looks to be a left of centre commentator who is very good at doing what a lot of right of centre commentators do. I can see why right wingers would hate him.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,214

    He looks to be a left of centre commentator who is very good at doing what a lot of right of centre commentators do. I can see why right wingers would hate him.

    "He's one of our own!!!"
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,073

    He doesn't jusr get things wrong now or then, he lies. He is one of the most dishonest commentators broadcasting today. And obviously that is saying something.
    Nonsense. He is pretty much the only intelligent talk show host and if you listen to his show regularly it generates moments of real insight.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    isam said:

    Sacked? Hung, drawn, and quartered surely.

  • Mr. Borough, can't speak for Labour, but Cooper was very lacklustre last time. Does she even want the job?

    True. Who would though?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,073

    I see both Brexit and Trump coming about because of a period of economic stagnation, and ironically just about as we exit stagnation. Over the lSt year there are real signs of economic recovery in China and the EZ as well as here and the USA. I am not yet sure whether tbis is very good timing (smoothing the bumps) or very bad timing pushing us back into recession.
    I agree with rcs. Unlike the US, UK, Japan, and a minority of the EU countries like Greece, core EU nations haven't over-relied upon debt, public or private, and many of their companies are in great shape irrespective of the politics. For investing, Europe, Japan and select emerging markets are likely to be the places to be for 2017-18, not the UK or US.
  • Nuttall’s appointment as leader is either two years too early, or two years too late. - Although the Stoke result will probably confirm it was both…
    These two years would give him time to read his own website.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,073

    True. Who would though?
    Wanting the job should be a disqualification.

    Cooper was, and is, however, immensely disappointing. An empty vessel, pleasant though she may be.
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    edited February 2017

    1
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Trump to use National Guard to round up illegals?

    "Sean Spicer, Mr Trump's spokesman, said the suggestion was "100 per cent false". "

    So, that's a yes then.


    Perhaps the bait to catch the leaker - don't journo's watch GoT ?

  • David Clegg of the Daily Record thinks that SindyRef2 is inevitable:

    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/like-death-taxes-shambolic-management-9832446

    He suggests in early 2019, after the Brexit deal has been agreed but before it takes effect.
  • Incidentally, some may be interested in a reasonably long ramble I had about coins and money in history: http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2017/02/coins-and-money-in-history.html
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,393

    David Clegg of the Daily Record thinks that SindyRef2 is inevitable:

    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/like-death-taxes-shambolic-management-9832446

    He suggests in early 2019, after the Brexit deal has been agreed but before it takes effect.

    It's definitely inevitable, alas.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    IanB2 said:

    I agree with rcs. Unlike the US, UK, Japan, and a minority of the EU countries like Greece, core EU nations haven't over-relied upon debt, public or private, and many of their companies are in great shape irrespective of the politics. For investing, Europe, Japan and select emerging markets are likely to be the places to be for 2017-18, not the UK or US.
    I'm a cautious investor, widely diversified. 2016 was a fantastic year, by recent standards. Bearing in mind the FTSE 100 rose by ~19%, I'm still delighted when I get a double digit return.

    Looking for similar this year. Fingers crossed :).
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    David Clegg of the Daily Record thinks that SindyRef2 is inevitable:

    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/like-death-taxes-shambolic-management-9832446

    He suggests in early 2019, after the Brexit deal has been agreed but before it takes effect.

    You lost me at "Daily Record".

    The SNP are discovering political gravity - they are well on the turn.
  • He suggests in early 2019, after the Brexit deal has been agreed but before it takes effect.

    Trouble is it won't be agreed until the last possible moment.
  • Trouble is it won't be agreed until the last possible moment.
    If then.

    If the SNP do press for a second referendum (and as I've previously argued I think they should) Theresa May has an awkward hand to play. Just saying no is going to look very high-handed.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,410
    TGOHF said:

    You lost me at "Daily Record".

    The SNP are discovering political gravity - they are well on the turn.
    I agree with that. 50% will soon seem an impossible act for them to repeat. (And I did predict that they would get 50% in 2015....)
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    If then.

    If the SNP do press for a second referendum (and as I've previously argued I think they should) Theresa May has an awkward hand to play. Just saying no is going to look very high-handed.

    She can say: "Yes. After Brexit."

    It would be incredibly damaging to try and do it at the same time.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,410
    Scott_P said:
    Be a cold day in Hell when I get lectured by Tony Blair on the truth.....
  • If then.

    If the SNP do press for a second referendum (and as I've previously argued I think they should) Theresa May has an awkward hand to play. Just saying no is going to look very high-handed.
    The PM could quote Alex Salmond that the next Indyref2 should be 18 years after the last.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Be a cold day in Hell when I get lectured by Tony Blair on the truth.....

    If Blair is really as toxic and irrelevant as his critics aver, there’d be no need for all this fury. Blood vessels could remain unburst and eyes unpopped. The reaction to Blair’s speech suggests something else. It suggests that he must have a point. The very virulence of the manner in which his speech has been traduced hints at some dark but gnawing fear deep within the Brexit psyche: the fear of being found out. Because if that weren’t the case you could just greet Blair’s remarks with a shrug.

    QED
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695

    If then.

    If the SNP do press for a second referendum (and as I've previously argued I think they should) Theresa May has an awkward hand to play. Just saying no is going to look very high-handed.
    Perhaps the only route for May would be to 'take back control' and legislate in Westminster for a referendum where she would control the timing.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited February 2017

    She can say: "Yes. After Brexit."

    It would be incredibly damaging to try and do it at the same time.

    Or, more tactfully, she can follow the suggestion of David Clegg and say, "Yes, as soon as practical after the exit deal is agreed." It would be extremely hard for the SNP to argue against that, because they are the ones who are saying the terms of the Brexit deal are crucial.

    In practice, of course, "as soon as practical after the exit deal is agreed" means many months after the Article 50 period has ended.

    Edit: It occurs to me that Nicola Sturgeon has given a rather handy weapon to the PM, which can be used against any Tory (or other English) MPs trying to sabotage or diss the final deal.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,073
    John_M said:

    I'm a cautious investor, widely diversified. 2016 was a fantastic year, by recent standards. Bearing in mind the FTSE 100 rose by ~19%, I'm still delighted when I get a double digit return.

    Looking for similar this year. Fingers crossed :).
    A shame there isn't a Democratic President, then, since history suggests markets tank under Republicans. I doubt you'll get even a positive return from the FTSE this year.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @tompeck: Whatever you think of Blair, one thing is clear. He's no Rebecca Long-Bailey.

    :smile:
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Scott_P said:

    If Blair is really as toxic and irrelevant as his critics aver, there’d be no need for all this fury. Blood vessels could remain unburst and eyes unpopped. The reaction to Blair’s speech suggests something else. It suggests that he must have a point. The very virulence of the manner in which his speech has been traduced hints at some dark but gnawing fear deep within the Brexit psyche: the fear of being found out. Because if that weren’t the case you could just greet Blair’s remarks with a shrug.

    QED
    Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,410
    Scott_P said:

    If Blair is really as toxic and irrelevant as his critics aver, there’d be no need for all this fury. Blood vessels could remain unburst and eyes unpopped. The reaction to Blair’s speech suggests something else. It suggests that he must have a point. The very virulence of the manner in which his speech has been traduced hints at some dark but gnawing fear deep within the Brexit psyche: the fear of being found out. Because if that weren’t the case you could just greet Blair’s remarks with a shrug.

    QED
    Fuck off. Please. Just fuck right off.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,384
    Great to see Tony Blair back. Even in his dotage he make the rest of them look like minnows.

    Lets see if the 48% can be mobilized. I have a feeling he's going to make a difference
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Roger said:

    Great to see Tony Blair back. Even in his dotage he make the rest of them look like minnows.

    Lets see if the 48% can be mobilized. I have a feeling he's going to make a difference

    It was refreshing.
  • Roger said:

    Great to see Tony Blair back. Even in his dotage he make the rest of them look like minnows.

    Lets see if the 48% can be mobilized. I have a feeling he's going to make a difference

    Cheers Roger, I’ll take that as confirmation that Blair’s intervention will change diddly squat.
  • Play nicely people, this should lighten the mood.

    A lawyer in Australia has been sent a shirt decorated with ejaculating penises from her tailor, after a legal spat.

    http://www.rollonfriday.com/TheNews/AsiaNews/tabid/359/Id/4984/fromTab/359/currentIndex/1/Default.aspx
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695

    Fuck off. Please. Just fuck right off.
    I was never a Blair supporter, even in 1997, but the one thing no-one can deny is that he gets under the skin of his opponents like nobody else.

    If Blair sticks at it over the next two years and we see him in vintage opposition mode I would forgive him all his past mistakes.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    IanB2 said:

    A shame there isn't a Democratic President, then, since history suggests markets tank under Republicans. I doubt you'll get even a positive return from the FTSE this year.
    My eggs aren't in one basket. It's just that equities did very well last year. Nothing more profound than that. It's the equivalent of making the horns against evil. Didn't want @rcs1000 pointing out that my wealth manager under-performed against the major indices ;).
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    fil nouveau
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100



    I was never a Blair supporter, even in 1997, but the one thing no-one can deny is that he gets under the skin of his opponents like nobody else.

    If Blair sticks at it over the next two years and we see him in vintage opposition mode I would forgive him all his past mistakes.
    Blair defeats Tories. They hate him for that.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    Scott_P said:

    If Blair is really as toxic and irrelevant as his critics aver, there’d be no need for all this fury. Blood vessels could remain unburst and eyes unpopped. The reaction to Blair’s speech suggests something else. It suggests that he must have a point. The very virulence of the manner in which his speech has been traduced hints at some dark but gnawing fear deep within the Brexit psyche: the fear of being found out. Because if that weren’t the case you could just greet Blair’s remarks with a shrug.

    QED
    No fury here, this Brexiteer finds Blair's intervention very amusing.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,384
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything.
    He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.
  • new thread

  • tlg86 said:

    No fury here, this Brexiteer finds Blair's intervention very amusing.
    I do hope they run approval ratings for Blair again - so we can see how this intervention has resurrected his dire ratings......
  • Memories of Iraq may mean today’s impressive performance was just too brittle, too late.

    As the Remainer audience slowly departed from the windowless room in the bowels of Bloomberg, it was worth remembering that this was an impressively glitzy City bunker. But a bunker nevertheless.


    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/tony-blair-brexit-warning-bloomberg-analysis-of-comeback-tour-guitar-solo_uk_58a71c21e4b045cd34c0fbba?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506
    edited February 2017
    Scott_P said:

    If Blair is really as toxic and irrelevant as his critics aver, there’d be no need for all this fury. Blood vessels could remain unburst and eyes unpopped. The reaction to Blair’s speech suggests something else. It suggests that he must have a point. The very virulence of the manner in which his speech has been traduced hints at some dark but gnawing fear deep within the Brexit psyche: the fear of being found out. Because if that weren’t the case you could just greet Blair’s remarks with a shrug.

    QED
    I'm sure there are a lot of people, like me, who will never forgive Blair for his brown-nosing Bush over Iraq, and the consequent suffering and death. However, he wasn't all bad and on this he's right; we are entitled to a say on the final deal. Irrespective of the details of the legalities, surely we're entitled to that!
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,384
    Jonathan said:

    Blair defeats Tories. They hate him for that.
    Jonathan said:

    It was refreshing.
    Watching the Trump love-in on here last night I got a sense of the new right-wing transatlantic alliance. Not helped I admit by Netanyahu and Trump posing as mating slugs. Yes. He was refreshing.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,652

    The term "fake news" is now banned on PB

    It's become a cliche for people avoiding proper analysis.



    Well said. What is wrong with 'calumny'? Virtue-signalling should also get the chop. Sanctimonious is fine.
This discussion has been closed.