politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not long to go until those end of year political bets are reso
Comments
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No, but denying the underlying worsening of race relations due to racist police actions does not help.MaxPB said:
Are you saying that armed black people ambushing uniformed officers is ok?surbiton said:
Are you saying that the killings of unarmed blacks [ or, any people ] by the police is OK ?RobD said:
Oh, sorry, you were referring to people killed by police I think.surbiton said:
How many unarmed blacks were killed, you right-wing zealot ?PlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
That figure looks to be down on 2015:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2015/jun/01/the-counted-police-killings-us-database
BLM doesn't mean other lives do not, and of course the main taker of Black Lives via murder is other Blacks. America is a very sick society.0 -
Just supposing it was true for a moment that Russia had interfered in the US elections by hacking one of the political parties and releasing e-mails and other documents that caused them embarrassment. If that were the case would Obama's response not be the most pathetic response in modern times? Expel 35 diplomats. I mean, really, such an act would be amount to a declaration of war and his response is to expel 35 diplomats and shut down 2 "intelligence centres" (excuse me??)?
Putin is right to find this response so derisory as to not to require a response. Obama has finished as he has ruled, fine words and no action worth a damn. Within months of Trump Obamacare will have been reformed (not necessarily for the better of course) and it will be like the last 8 years never even happened. I cannot think of a President in recent times who has achieved so little. It's sad. He's a clever and articulate man but my lord, has he underperformed in office.0 -
I wasn't denying it. It's curious, from all the news reports I thought that it had become a bigger problem recently when in fact the number killed has gone down by a third.foxinsoxuk said:
No, but denying the underlying worsening of race relations due to racist police actions does not help.MaxPB said:
Are you saying that armed black people ambushing uniformed officers is ok?surbiton said:
Are you saying that the killings of unarmed blacks [ or, any people ] by the police is OK ?RobD said:
Oh, sorry, you were referring to people killed by police I think.surbiton said:
How many unarmed blacks were killed, you right-wing zealot ?PlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
That figure looks to be down on 2015:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2015/jun/01/the-counted-police-killings-us-database
BLM doesn't mean other lives do not, and of course the main taker of Black Lives via murder is other Blacks. America is a very sick society.0 -
Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.0 -
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.0 -
We didn't vacate the field in June, as far as the EU leadership is concerned we were never committed to that field and vacated it when we didn't join the Euro. Why you still don't understand that is beyond me, even if we remained a non-Euro member could never lead the union.foxinsoxuk said:
If Germany was a threat*, then perhaps vacating the field to them in June was not wise.Speedy said:In anticipation of Trump's alliance with Russia, in a trip down history Thatcher was planning an alliance with the Soviets against Germany:
https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/814850338742304768
Thatcher was right, Germany is dominating Europe now and we desperately need allies against them.
*Germany is not. This is not 1939 or 1914, Germany is a free-market democracy with the rule of law and a dynamic capitalist economy. We should copy them rather than be afraid of them.0 -
Taking the figures from the Officer Down Memorial PagePlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
https://www.odmp.org/search/year?year=2016
yes, 62 is a large increase from 39 last year but not from 59 in 2010 or 68 in 2011, so maybe this is just natural variation. If not, then Obama must have done a fine job getting the numbers down in the intervening years.0 -
DavidL,
That is just delusional on your part. It is like saying that Scotland, NI and Wales will try and control the UK. It just is not going to work and in the EU it is Germany and France who will control things with other allies such as Austria, Benelux and Denmark. The UK is on the path to diminished power in Europe and Germany is once again in the ascendant. This is what Brexit fundamentally means and it is something we have to get used to along with higher prices in the shops. I for one did my weekly shop today and noticed that some significant price increases had occurred.0 -
Shop somewhere else then. It's a free market.The_Taxman said:DavidL,
That is just delusional on your part. It is like saying that Scotland, NI and Wales will try and control the UK. It just is not going to work and in the EU it is Germany and France who will control things with other allies such as Austria, Benelux and Denmark. The UK is on the path to diminished power in Europe and Germany is once again in the ascendant. This is what Brexit fundamentally means and it is something we have to get used to along with higher prices in the shops. I for one did my weekly shop today and noticed that some significant price increases had occurred.0 -
London 2016
Like Sadiq says, terrorism is part and parcel of living in a big city
https://twitter.com/standardnews/status/8149277946480517160 -
Rubbish. England is approximately 85% of the UK which is why it dominates. Germany is at most 25% of the EU which is why it will not.
And inflation is still under its target of 2%.0 -
What products were the increases for? Genuinely interested,The_Taxman said:DavidL,
That is just delusional on your part. It is like saying that Scotland, NI and Wales will try and control the UK. It just is not going to work and in the EU it is Germany and France who will control things with other allies such as Austria, Benelux and Denmark. The UK is on the path to diminished power in Europe and Germany is once again in the ascendant. This is what Brexit fundamentally means and it is something we have to get used to along with higher prices in the shops. I for one did my weekly shop today and noticed that some significant price increases had occurred.0 -
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I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.0 -
Unfortunately, all parts of the British free market are affected. And given the fall of GBP and progressively more difficult access to non-UK markets, shopping in other markets is less available.Luckyguy1983 said:
Shop somewhere else then. It's a free market.The_Taxman said:DavidL,
That is just delusional on your part. It is like saying that Scotland, NI and Wales will try and control the UK. It just is not going to work and in the EU it is Germany and France who will control things with other allies such as Austria, Benelux and Denmark. The UK is on the path to diminished power in Europe and Germany is once again in the ascendant. This is what Brexit fundamentally means and it is something we have to get used to along with higher prices in the shops. I for one did my weekly shop today and noticed that some significant price increases had occurred.0 -
Germany has literally moved to the centre of the EU as a result of eastern expansion.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.
Still, Finland, Greece and Italy are all showing 40-46% Leave in the latest ORB euromonitor. ORB said we were 46% five days before we voted out.0 -
There is a difference between carping from the sidelines and leaving the stadiumPhilip_Thompson said:We didn't vacate the field in June, as far as the EU leadership is concerned we were never committed to that field and vacated it when we didn't join the Euro. Why you still don't understand that is beyond me, even if we remained a non-Euro member could never lead the union.
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Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.0 -
It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill0
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Those projections were computed before Merkel's admittance of mass migrants and before the UK Brexit vote. I think it's safe to say we can pop them in the bin now.The_Taxman said:However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population
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Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.0 -
Mike Smithson to receive an OGH0
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The EU isn't the stadium. It's a six-a-side pitch at the council sports centre where flabby has-beens with receding hair go to play.viewcode said:
There is a difference between carping from the sidelines and leaving the stadiumPhilip_Thompson said:We didn't vacate the field in June, as far as the EU leadership is concerned we were never committed to that field and vacated it when we didn't join the Euro. Why you still don't understand that is beyond me, even if we remained a non-Euro member could never lead the union.
A mere 12% of the global economy after we leave (it was 30% in 1980) and is projected to have just a single nation that will be in the world's eight largest economies in 2030.
It's a shrinking market for us in terms of share and nominal sales.
It's old. It's dated. It's last century. A Betamax solution in a Netflix world.
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The same was said of Nixon and I suspect he was considerably more cunning than Trump.AlsoIndigo said:
There wont be clear grounds.Blue_rog said:
Really? Are you suggesting that as the Republicans have a majority in Congress that they would traduce the American people and refuse to impeach if there are clear grounds?RobD said:
Presidents are impeached by Congress, so that looks unlikely in the near term.Blue_rog said:If a link between trump and the Russians hacking the Democratic election campaign can be proved, would that be treason and grounds for impeachment ?
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JohnO's Dukedom lost in the post?TheScreamingEagles said:It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill
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Statistics versus Plato's moral certainty...DecrepitJohnL said:
Taking the figures from the Officer Down Memorial PagePlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
https://www.odmp.org/search/year?year=2016
yes, 62 is a large increase from 39 last year but not from 59 in 2010 or 68 in 2011, so maybe this is just natural variation. If not, then Obama must have done a fine job getting the numbers down in the intervening years.
Tough call.
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EU member states = 27 (or 28 inc. UK)
Non-EU member states = 166* (or 165* excl. UK)
(* UN member States)0 -
Yup, and my GCMG.RobD said:
JohnO's Dukedom lost in the post?TheScreamingEagles said:It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill
I really want a GCMG, I begged Dave when he was compiling his resignations honours.0 -
Anna Soubry doesn't seem bothered:isam said:
https://twitter.com/Anna_Soubry/status/814888964507267073
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Never mind the truth when there are #PlatofactsNigelb said:
Statistics versus Plato's moral certainty...DecrepitJohnL said:
Taking the figures from the Officer Down Memorial PagePlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
https://www.odmp.org/search/year?year=2016
yes, 62 is a large increase from 39 last year but not from 59 in 2010 or 68 in 2011, so maybe this is just natural variation. If not, then Obama must have done a fine job getting the numbers down in the intervening years.
Tough call.0 -
It's a fair point, but I don't see the one outweighing the other. As for the other countries "delud[ing] themselves that there was a balance of interests" I'm not sure that's the case. There's a bit in John Major's autobiography about how the smaller nations would wait to see what Germany would say in council, then enthusiastically agree. There are scenarios under which the Eurozone or EU will collapse, but they all involve the larger countries: due to German size and the desire to protect themselves from the Russians, I don't think the peripheral countries will act as a counterweight.DavidL said:Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.
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Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise that there are alternatives to German domination either inside the Euro or out of it and start to act as a bloc to offset Germany's control of the ECB with more expansive policies that so many of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.0 -
Delighted to hear. Huzzah for the EU.DavidL said:
Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:
"More dominate"? Really?The_Taxman said:Speedy.
Ironically, the UK leaving the EU makes Germany even stronger, I read some statistics somewhere and it identified the German economy accounting for 17% of the EU's GDP at the moment. Once the UK leaves the EU, the German economy will account for 25% of the EU economy. However demographics are predicted to clip the German population down whilst the UK experience significant growth in population but this will not be until most people who comment on PB are long dead.
So, Brexit again proves to be counter to UK interests in that it makes Germany more dominate over our nearest continent.
What will hopefully happen is that the rest of the EU (75%) will have to recognise thatmany of them require. The UK's departure will shake up the EU in interesting ways, hopefully for the better for them and for us.
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.
Just out of interest, "we need a growing EU as a successful trading partner ".
How would you describe it to date?0 -
Not Andy Murray, please -- no-one should be knighted while they are still playing.TheScreamingEagles said:It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill
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To Is am
I can only feel that the leavers feel threatened by Farron. Not sure why, he's only the leader of a third party after all. Maybe Farron is touching a few raw nerves in the leave camp. I'm watching a George Gently re-run at the moment on Drama. Lots of racism depicted from the late 60s, Enoch et al. It did remind me a little of the referendum campaign. I am getting annoyed with the Leavers who keep saying they aren't racist. Maybe they aren't but there probably are enough to sway the vote who were racist. 2 words....fellow travellers.0 -
Assumptions...viewcode said:
Unfortunately, all parts of the British free market are affected. And given the fall of GBP and progressively more difficult access to non-UK markets, shopping in other markets is less available.Luckyguy1983 said:
Shop somewhere else then. It's a free market.The_Taxman said:DavidL,
That is just delusional on your part. It is like saying that Scotland, NI and Wales will try and control the UK. It just is not going to work and in the EU it is Germany and France who will control things with other allies such as Austria, Benelux and Denmark. The UK is on the path to diminished power in Europe and Germany is once again in the ascendant. This is what Brexit fundamentally means and it is something we have to get used to along with higher prices in the shops. I for one did my weekly shop today and noticed that some significant price increases had occurred.
It's quite possible that in a few years' time, agricultural imports will be cheaper; the one-off hit to sterling is permanent (as much as currency movements can be); tariffs could be both up and down in a few years, depending on the source of goods.
GDP, in five years' time... who the heck knows.
If you're SeanT, it doesn't matter; if you're a pensioner, probably bad news; if you're young, could go either way.
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That's it. Better check at the Walton Post Office tomorrow. I hope No 10 sent it by recorded mail.RobD said:
JohnO's Dukedom lost in the post?TheScreamingEagles said:It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill
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All three are confirmed.DecrepitJohnL said:
Not Andy Murray, please -- no-one should be knighted while they are still playing.TheScreamingEagles said:It's Sir Andrew Murray, Sir Mo Farrah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill
It really is Sir Andy Murray, Sir Mo Farah, and Dame Jessica Ennis-Hill.
For me, all three deserve their honours.0 -
It has been a serious drag on our growth since 2007. Prior to that it was pretty helpful. German policies of running a large surplus and a public sector surplus have aggravated the problems others in the EU have faced.TOPPING said:
Delighted to hear. Huzzah for the EU.DavidL said:
Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:The_Taxman said:
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.
Just out of interest, "we need a growing EU as a successful trading partner ".
How would you describe it to date?0 -
It's almost like a high profile, concerted campaign of awareness raising has had an effectRobD said:
I wasn't denying it. It's curious, from all the news reports I thought that it had become a bigger problem recently when in fact the number killed has gone down by a third.foxinsoxuk said:
No, but denying the underlying worsening of race relations due to racist police actions does not help.MaxPB said:
Are you saying that armed black people ambushing uniformed officers is ok?surbiton said:
Are you saying that the killings of unarmed blacks [ or, any people ] by the police is OK ?RobD said:
Oh, sorry, you were referring to people killed by police I think.surbiton said:
How many unarmed blacks were killed, you right-wing zealot ?PlatoSaid said:I hold media/Obama/Hillary's pandering to BLM responsible for the latter
http://nypost.com/2016/12/30/number-of-cops-killed-in-line-of-duty-this-year-spikes-drastically/
"Ambushes in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and other shootings around the country led to a sharp increase in the number of police killed in the line of duty this year.
From Jan. 1 through Wednesday, 135 officers lost their lives. Some died in traffic accidents, but nearly half were shot to death. That’s a 56 percent increase in shooting deaths over the previous year.
Of the 64 who were fatally shot, 21 were killed in ambush attacks often fueled by anger over police use of force involving minorities...
That figure looks to be down on 2015:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2015/jun/01/the-counted-police-killings-us-database
BLM doesn't mean other lives do not, and of course the main taker of Black Lives via murder is other Blacks. America is a very sick society.0 -
No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.DavidL said:
It has been a serious drag on our growth since 2007. Prior to that it was pretty helpful. German policies of running a large surplus and a public sector surplus have aggravated the problems others in the EU have faced.TOPPING said:
Delighted to hear. Huzzah for the EU.DavidL said:
Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:The_Taxman said:
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.
Just out of interest, "we need a growing EU as a successful trading partner ".
How would you describe it to date?0 -
He's had almost zero time with both houses under democratic control. Due to the delay in Al Fraken being seated (6 moths) and I'll health of other Dem Senators there was only a filibuster proof senate majority for 70 odd days in the first two years. And after that the Reps simply filibustered everything in the Senate.DavidL said:Just supposing it was true for a moment that Russia had interfered in the US elections by hacking one of the political parties and releasing e-mails and other documents that caused them embarrassment. If that were the case would Obama's response not be the most pathetic response in modern times? Expel 35 diplomats. I mean, really, such an act would be amount to a declaration of war and his response is to expel 35 diplomats and shut down 2 "intelligence centres" (excuse me??)?
Putin is right to find this response so derisory as to not to require a response. Obama has finished as he has ruled, fine words and no action worth a damn. Within months of Trump Obamacare will have been reformed (not necessarily for the better of course) and it will be like the last 8 years never even happened. I cannot think of a President in recent times who has achieved so little. It's sad. He's a clever and articulate man but my lord, has he underperformed in office.0 -
The impact of a hard Brexit on Britain and the rest of Europe could mean it becomes “mission impossible” for Theresa May, the head of the German motor industry association has warned.TOPPING said:No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.
In comments that will frustrate Downing Street, Matthias Wissmann suggested that the effects of the UK leaving the European Union’s single market were so great that Britain should be made to stay inside it. That would probably mean that Britain would have to continue paying into the EU’s budget and accept freedom of movement rules that have been ruled out by Mrs May.
Mr Wissmann, president of the VDA, said that the UK’s exit from the single market and customs union would have “massive negative effects” for Britain and the remaining EU countries. He said that there was “deep reciprocal dependency” between the car industries in Germany and the UK, with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/britain-could-be-forced-to-stay-in-single-market-ghd5n76560 -
Looking back at the Presidential election night broadcasts, it seems as if the American media was refusing to accept the evidence in front of them - States that slipped into Republican hands (Florida, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wisconsin, Georgia) were just not called for long periods after it became apparant which way the wind was blowing.
All good for betters of course - but someone should have a look at it.0 -
.
I wonder what caused the bump in the 70s?TheScreamingEagles said:twitter.com/Mark_J_Perry/status/814540714205921280
0 -
Don't be ridiculous. We will remain one of their larger customers.TOPPING said:
No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.DavidL said:
It has been a serious drag on our growth since 2007. Prior to that it was pretty helpful. German policies of running a large surplus and a public sector surplus have aggravated the problems others in the EU have faced.TOPPING said:
Delighted to hear. Huzzah for the EU.DavidL said:
Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:The_Taxman said:
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.
Just out of interest, "we need a growing EU as a successful trading partner ".
How would you describe it to date?0 -
On topic
I think I have £2 on Enda Kenny still be Irish PM tomorrow night0 -
Violent political militancy and IIRC there was some blowback from the revelations of SerpicoRobD said:.
I wonder what caused the bump in the 70s?TheScreamingEagles said:twitter.com/Mark_J_Perry/status/814540714205921280
0 -
So what will change about their trade surplus when we leave? That was your point. Or do you think that without the UK's support Germany will falter?DavidL said:
Don't be ridiculous. We will remain one of their larger customers.TOPPING said:
No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.DavidL said:
It has been a serious drag on our growth since 2007. Prior to that it was pretty helpful. German policies of running a large surplus and a public sector surplus have aggravated the problems others in the EU have faced.TOPPING said:
Delighted to hear. Huzzah for the EU.DavidL said:
Quite the contrary, Mr Topping, I wish them well. We need a growing EU as a successful trading partner. Most of the Eurozone has been in recession for a lot of the last 10 years. They have been so because of German orientated monetary policies. This really cannot continue.TOPPING said:
Quite dramatic, David. It's a trading bloc with competing self-interests. In several areas there have been moves towards further union. You are describing it as though the EU is a game of Risk.DavidL said:
Nature abhors a vacuum. Whilst the UK was a part of the game the others could delude themselves that there was a balance of interests. Now they have to face reality. We have seen signs of a Latin bloc developing already to offset the Germanic bloc. The Germanic bloc has generally been supported by the UK rather than opposed. We have persuaded ourselves it was in our interests and more "market orientated". Things will change. Let's watch how. From a safe distance.viewcode said:
I did an article in (oh god thinks for a minute) 2013(?) about the most significant trading partners of each of the then-EU28. Germany has land or water borders with approx thirteen countries, and is the most significant trading partner of (from memory) eleven of them. It has achieved local hegemony and it is difficult to see UK withdrawal from the European theatre as decreasing German domination.DavidL said:The_Taxman said:
We are or soon will be outside it. All well and good. No need to make such a dramatic song and dance about it; makes you sound like one of those who wishes failure upon it.
Just out of interest, "we need a growing EU as a successful trading partner ".
How would you describe it to date?
But that doesn't play into the narrative of the UK being bullied by the nasty old EU.0 -
http://nypost.com/2016/11/06/could-trump-or-clinton-face-impeachment-as-president/TheScreamingEagles said:
Not true.Ishmael_Z said:Impeachment is for misconduct *in office*; Trump hasn't been in office yet. That rules out impeachment for now. Separately, there is an offence of treason, but it only applies to waging war against the US or aiding their enemies in war. For now he is in the clear.
You can be impeached for crimes committed before taking federal/executive office.
cf Spiro Agnew who asked the House to begin impeachment investigations into him for allegations relating to his time as Governor of Maryland.
There's other examples, for example Federal Judges impeached for crimes before they joined the federal bench.
The term high crimes and misdemeanours is purposely vague, of course it relies on the House and Senate not to use it as a political weapon but exclusively for high crimes and misdemeanours.
for both views. Prof Schickler agrees with me it has to be while in office, Prof Gerhardt disagrees but suggests that if you commit your misdemeanors and then get elected by voters who are on notice of them, that wipes the slate clean.0 -
In the end, Obama was quite an unexceptional President.
High hopes of course unmet. But four or eight years of more would hardly be a catastrophe, in current circumstances...0 -
Small print:Scott_P said:
The impact of a hard Brexit on Britain and the rest of Europe could mean it becomes “mission impossible” for Theresa May, the head of the German motor industry association has warned.TOPPING said:No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.
In comments that will frustrate Downing Street, Matthias Wissmann suggested that the effects of the UK leaving the European Union’s single market were so great that Britain should be made to stay inside it. That would probably mean that Britain would have to continue paying into the EU’s budget and accept freedom of movement rules that have been ruled out by Mrs May.
Mr Wissmann, president of the VDA, said that the UK’s exit from the single market and customs union would have “massive negative effects” for Britain and the remaining EU countries. He said that there was “deep reciprocal dependency” between the car industries in Germany and the UK, with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/britain-could-be-forced-to-stay-in-single-market-ghd5n7656
"with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles"
That is why he is so desperate to avoid British tariffs on German cars.0 -
86% imported vehicles suggests a low price elasticity of demand.Speedy said:
Small print:Scott_P said:
The impact of a hard Brexit on Britain and the rest of Europe could mean it becomes “mission impossible” for Theresa May, the head of the German motor industry association has warned.TOPPING said:No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.
In comments that will frustrate Downing Street, Matthias Wissmann suggested that the effects of the UK leaving the European Union’s single market were so great that Britain should be made to stay inside it. That would probably mean that Britain would have to continue paying into the EU’s budget and accept freedom of movement rules that have been ruled out by Mrs May.
Mr Wissmann, president of the VDA, said that the UK’s exit from the single market and customs union would have “massive negative effects” for Britain and the remaining EU countries. He said that there was “deep reciprocal dependency” between the car industries in Germany and the UK, with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/britain-could-be-forced-to-stay-in-single-market-ghd5n7656
"with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles"
That is why he is so desperate to avoid British tariffs on German cars.0 -
And the leavers are cheering higher prices for 2 out of every 5 cars sold in the UK?Speedy said:"with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles"
That is why he is so desperate to avoid British tariffs on German cars.
I didn't see that on your bus...0 -
The Man Who Gave The Beatles Away: Alan Williams, who was the Fab Four's first manager, has died aged 86
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4077232/The-Man-Gave-Beatles-Away-Alan-Williams-Fab-Four-s-manager-died-aged-86.html0 -
-
It is also true that Obama has spent more hours playing golf than any other president including Eisenhower.Alistair said:
He's had almost zero time with both houses under democratic control. Due to the delay in Al Fraken being seated (6 moths) and I'll health of other Dem Senators there was only a filibuster proof senate majority for 70 odd days in the first two years. And after that the Reps simply filibustered everything in the Senate.DavidL said:Just supposing it was true for a moment that Russia had interfered in the US elections by hacking one of the political parties and releasing e-mails and other documents that caused them embarrassment. If that were the case would Obama's response not be the most pathetic response in modern times? Expel 35 diplomats. I mean, really, such an act would be amount to a declaration of war and his response is to expel 35 diplomats and shut down 2 "intelligence centres" (excuse me??)?
Putin is right to find this response so derisory as to not to require a response. Obama has finished as he has ruled, fine words and no action worth a damn. Within months of Trump Obamacare will have been reformed (not necessarily for the better of course) and it will be like the last 8 years never even happened. I cannot think of a President in recent times who has achieved so little. It's sad. He's a clever and articulate man but my lord, has he underperformed in office.
Not only that, I also read that his family holidays and travel have cost over $80million over the cause of eight years.
In all a worse president than even Carter, as was foretold by some of us on PB.0 -
Only 15 months in prison for a gang rape....
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4076394/Five-Afghan-teenagers-convicted-gang-raping-boy-knife-point-Sweden-NONE-deported-homeland-dangerous.html
0 -
So no change on their surplus?DavidL said:0 -
-
Britain's natural rival is whoever dominates the continent.foxinsoxuk said:
If Germany was a threat*, then perhaps vacating the field to them in June was not wise.Speedy said:In anticipation of Trump's alliance with Russia, in a trip down history Thatcher was planning an alliance with the Soviets against Germany:
https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/814850338742304768
Thatcher was right, Germany is dominating Europe now and we desperately need allies against them.
*Germany is not. This is not 1939 or 1914, Germany is a free-market democracy with the rule of law and a dynamic capitalist economy. We should copy them rather than be afraid of them.
The UK has never looked if that country was a democracy, a monarchy or a dictatorship.
In 1914 Germany was a quazi-democracy ruled by the nephew of the King, and we still went to war with them.
In this case Britain's and Germany's economic and political interests collide, it doesn't matter if they are a democracy or not if you have opposing interests, the national interest comes first.0 -
Some of the old fashioned Mother/Father Nature stuff is rather good too. For instance one can walk, say, ten miles on a couple of thousand calories from last year's sunshine.SeanT said:This is brilliant, and cheering, and startling
https://www.buzzfeed.com/daves4/2016-is-the-fuetch?bftw&utm_term=.faVmGNKyO8#.xj11XZlweB
Technology is transforming everything, and usually very much for the better.0 -
Cameron left politics because he knew that he had set his country up for the humiliation to end all humiliations by allowing it to vote for something that cannot be delivered.SeanT said:
lol. How are are they gonna MAKE us stay inside it?Scott_P said:
The impact of a hard Brexit on Britain and the rest of Europe could mean it becomes “mission impossible” for Theresa May, the head of the German motor industry association has warned.TOPPING said:No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.
In comments that will frustrate Downing Street, Matthias Wissmann suggested that the effects of the UK leaving the European Union’s single market were so great that Britain should be made to stay inside it. That would probably mean that Britain would have to continue paying into the EU’s budget and accept freedom of movement rules that have been ruled out by Mrs May.
Mr Wissmann, president of the VDA, said that the UK’s exit from the single market and customs union would have “massive negative effects” for Britain and the remaining EU countries. He said that there was “deep reciprocal dependency” between the car industries in Germany and the UK, with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/britain-could-be-forced-to-stay-in-single-market-ghd5n7656
They really don't understand the psychology of Britons.0 -
3 months more than for putting a bacon sarnie outside a mosque thoughFrancisUrquhart said:Only 15 months in prison for a gang rape....
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4076394/Five-Afghan-teenagers-convicted-gang-raping-boy-knife-point-Sweden-NONE-deported-homeland-dangerous.html0 -
Third: https://www.statista.com/statistics/267252/key-automobile-markets-of-bmw-group/Scott_P said:
Counting not a strong suit amongst the Leave crowd then...DavidL said:So third largest then. Not bad really for such a pathetic lost little country is it?
How's your arithmetic?0 -
I can count to 3. Apparently others are struggling...FrancisUrquhart said:Two words.....Monty Hall...
I understand there are some primitive tribes where the numbering scheme consists entirely of 1, 2, many.
I didn't realise they were posting here.0 -
0
-
http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-germany-economy-uncertainties-idUKKBN14G14O?il=0
Eric Schweitzer, the leader of the DIHK (German Chambers of Commerce), saw considerable risks for Germany related to Brexit as well as Trump's election.
"I fear there is something deceptive about the relatively good economic situation right now," he said. "The Brexit vote could still hit the EU economy and especially the German economy. Donald Trump's critical comments on free trade in his campaign are causing a lot of uncertainty at German companies."0 -
Welcome, but what a silly post. I am not a Leaver, but if Leavers are being unjustifiably accused of crimes of which they are not guilty they are entitled to protest their innocence as loud and long as they like, even at the risk of Mr Pseudonymous on the interweb "getting annoyed" about it.Daveyboy1961 said:To Is am
I can only feel that the leavers feel threatened by Farron. Not sure why, he's only the leader of a third party after all. Maybe Farron is touching a few raw nerves in the leave camp. I'm watching a George Gently re-run at the moment on Drama. Lots of racism depicted from the late 60s, Enoch et al. It did remind me a little of the referendum campaign. I am getting annoyed with the Leavers who keep saying they aren't racist. Maybe they aren't but there probably are enough to sway the vote who were racist. 2 words....fellow travellers.
33% of Asians, 25% of blacks and 30% of muslims voted to leave (Ashcroft poll 24/6). I bet you didn't know that. Were they mainly racists, do you think?0 -
Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....Scott_P said:
I can count to 3. Apparently others are struggling...FrancisUrquhart said:Two words.....Monty Hall...
I understand there are some primitive tribes where the numbering scheme consists entirely of 1, 2, many.
I didn't realise they were posting here.0 -
I think this is a completely false choice. We are better than that. Despite appalling decisions like this.SeanT said:
In the end I would vote for a Fascist party, rather than allow this hateful shit to continueFrancisUrquhart said:Only 15 months in prison for a gang rape....
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4076394/Five-Afghan-teenagers-convicted-gang-raping-boy-knife-point-Sweden-NONE-deported-homeland-dangerous.html
Indeed I've thought this might be a good quiz for pb-ers
If you had a hypothetical choice, between voting for a hard right, Fascist or Front National type party, or your country becoming majority Muslim, which would you choose?
Those are the alternatives, pb-ers:
Muslim or Le Pen.
Farage or Shariah
Unquestionably, I would vote Farage. I would almost certainly vote Le Pen or Wilders. Indeed I would probably vote for Mussolini, in preference to Britain becoming majority Muslim.
What do other pb-ers think?0 -
I have to do a double check when I read it...I presumed it was 15 YEARS....but apparently not.SeanT said:
In the end I would vote for a Fascist party, rather than allow this hateful shit to continueFrancisUrquhart said:Only 15 months in prison for a gang rape....
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4076394/Five-Afghan-teenagers-convicted-gang-raping-boy-knife-point-Sweden-NONE-deported-homeland-dangerous.html
Indeed I've thought this might be a good quiz for pb-ers
If you had a hypothetical choice, between voting for a hard right, Fascist or Front National type party, or your country becoming majority Muslim, which would you choose?
Those are the alternatives, pb-ers:
Muslim or Le Pen.
Farage or Shariah
Unquestionably, I would vote Farage. I would almost certainly vote Le Pen or Wilders. Indeed I would probably vote for Mussolini, in preference to Britain becoming majority Muslim.
What do other pb-ers think?0 -
This is not a question of probability. It's a question of arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....
How many make 3?
Apparently beyond some.0 -
Simple probability was beyond you, so I don't think you have much of a leg to stand on when poking fun at people when it comes to maths.Scott_P said:
This is not a question of probability. It's a question of arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....
How many make 3?
Apparently beyond some.
0 -
He backed a loser and the electorate gave him the middle finger. His position was untenable.williamglenn said:
Cameron left politics because he knew that he had set his country up for the humiliation to end all humiliations by allowing it to vote for something that cannot be delivered.SeanT said:
lol. How are are they gonna MAKE us stay inside it?Scott_P said:
The impact of a hard Brexit on Britain and the rest of Europe could mean it becomes “mission impossible” for Theresa May, the head of the German motor industry association has warned.TOPPING said:No more BMWs for us then in the brave new world ahead. That'll learn 'em.
In comments that will frustrate Downing Street, Matthias Wissmann suggested that the effects of the UK leaving the European Union’s single market were so great that Britain should be made to stay inside it. That would probably mean that Britain would have to continue paying into the EU’s budget and accept freedom of movement rules that have been ruled out by Mrs May.
Mr Wissmann, president of the VDA, said that the UK’s exit from the single market and customs union would have “massive negative effects” for Britain and the remaining EU countries. He said that there was “deep reciprocal dependency” between the car industries in Germany and the UK, with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/britain-could-be-forced-to-stay-in-single-market-ghd5n7656
They really don't understand the psychology of Britons.
There is nothing more to it.0 -
One of the three is Germany itself. It is not an export market. And more than 10% of all BMWs sold in the UK. You think that they are going to want tariffs on those if they can possibly stop it?Scott_P said:
How may markets appear above the UK in that chart?DavidL said:How's your arithmetic?
Here's a clue. It's more than 2...
And the EU (which does not appear as an aggregated figure on that chart would also appear above it.
So, tell us again how 10% is the 3rd largest customer?0 -
I am not poking fun at people when it comes to maths. I am talking about arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Simple probability was beyond you, so I don't think you have much of a leg to stand on when poking fun at people when it comes to maths.
Can you count to 3?
Maybe English is the problem?0 -
On inspection three countries appear above the U.K. on the chart linked to by David.FrancisUrquhart said:
Simple probability was beyond you, so I don't think you have much of a leg to stand on when poking fun at people when it comes to maths.Scott_P said:
This is not a question of probability. It's a question of arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....
How many make 3?
Apparently beyond some.
How post-truth is this going to get?!0 -
Given the failure of the German car companies to embrace the coming electric car revolution, things will really change in the next few years.... And no, a couple of models aren't proof that they are.Scott_P said:
And the leavers are cheering higher prices for 2 out of every 5 cars sold in the UK?Speedy said:"with German cars accounting for half of all new cars registered in Britain, which imports 86% of its vehicles"
That is why he is so desperate to avoid British tariffs on German cars.
I didn't see that on your bus...
The problem (as the German government see it) that the car companies are refusing to invest in the production plants - north of 50% of the value of an electric car is in the battery/drive train. The car companies are hoping that it will all go away - and if it doesn't they will buy from China. It's going to be the Kodak story all over again.
Especially since there isn't enough capacity on the planet to supply them. Guess who will own the majority of Li battery production in the world in a couple of years?0 -
True, but you didn't say exportDavidL said:One of the three is Germany itself. It is not an export market.
One of their larger customers. Not the largest, or the 2nd largest, or in fact the 3rd largestDavidL said:Don't be ridiculous. We will remain one of their larger customers.
No, I don't think they want tariffs, but as ever that is not the real problem. The integrated International supply chain for car parts within the customs union would be crippled if we left. That's what they are worried about.DavidL said:And more than 10% of all BMWs sold in the UK. You think that they are going to want tariffs on those if they can possibly stop it?
0 -
NEW THREAD
0 -
Even the women's legs and obvious flexibility doesn't attract me to ballet. Our challenge is to keep what we value and fight for it. The rule of law, liberal tolerance, freedom of expression, equality and respect for difference. We have taken these principles for granted and we don't do enough to enforce them through our society tolerating the abuse and debasement of women and other minorities. We need to do better, not waste time on false choices.SeanT said:
Oh FFS. It's an hypothesis.DavidL said:
I think this is a completely false choice. We are better than that. Despite appalling decisions like this.SeanT said:
In the end I would vote for a Fascist party, rather than allow this hateful shit to continueFrancisUrquhart said:Only 15 months in prison for a gang rape....
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4076394/Five-Afghan-teenagers-convicted-gang-raping-boy-knife-point-Sweden-NONE-deported-homeland-dangerous.html
Indeed I've thought this might be a good quiz for pb-ers
If you had a hypothetical choice, between voting for a hard right, Fascist or Front National type party, or your country becoming majority Muslim, which would you choose?
Those are the alternatives, pb-ers:
Muslim or Le Pen.
Farage or Shariah
Unquestionably, I would vote Farage. I would almost certainly vote Le Pen or Wilders. Indeed I would probably vote for Mussolini, in preference to Britain becoming majority Muslim.
What do other pb-ers think?
It's a choice, unlikely to be realised but not impossible. Yes it is stark and horrible. But it is a choice. And we are pb, and we are adults. So you CHOOSE.
Anyone who doesn't have the balls to choose is a ballet loving gimp.
CHOOSE0 -
SeanT said:
This is brilliant, and cheering, and startling
https://www.buzzfeed.com/daves4/2016-is-the-fuetch?bftw&utm_term=.faVmGNKyO8#.xj11XZlweB
Technology is transforming everything, and usually very much for the better.
Sorry for pouring cold water on the brilliant hi-tech future:
https://twitter.com/internetofshit/status/803642028009684992
https://twitter.com/marcoarment/status/810158022987223042
https://twitter.com/dtjohnnymonkey/status/811408691123482624
https://twitter.com/bdsams/status/811323647860342784
https://twitter.com/internetofshit/status/809790197013614593
https://twitter.com/WoelAJilliams/status/812310180868345860
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One of them is Germany. We are the BMW's third largest export market. This is just silly.TOPPING said:
On inspection three countries appear above the U.K. on the chart linked to by David.FrancisUrquhart said:
Simple probability was beyond you, so I don't think you have much of a leg to stand on when poking fun at people when it comes to maths.Scott_P said:
This is not a question of probability. It's a question of arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....
How many make 3?
Apparently beyond some.
How post-truth is this going to get?!0 -
Delete duplicate post.0
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Oh, export.DavidL said:
One of them is Germany. We are the BMW's third largest export market. This is just silly.TOPPING said:
On inspection three countries appear above the U.K. on the chart linked to by David.FrancisUrquhart said:
Simple probability was beyond you, so I don't think you have much of a leg to stand on when poking fun at people when it comes to maths.Scott_P said:
This is not a question of probability. It's a question of arithmetic.FrancisUrquhart said:Not sure you have a leg to stand on, mr no clue about simple probability....
How many make 3?
Apparently beyond some.
How post-truth is this going to get?!
Going to bed now v happy to reassemble soon.
Bon Nuit.0 -
Goddamn it, "The Winter Soldier" is a brilliant film...0