politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » An indication that we’re heading for a very flaccid Brexit?
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Second hand tech store which takes game trade-ins.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Max, CEX?
Yeah, I've been looking to do that, but it's a time/money issue as well as timing it right (the edition keeps appearing and disappearing and I don't have much cash to spare at the moment).0 -
Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
I thought you were going to say it was Ed Balls...Morris_Dancer said:Public Service Announcement (as I think there's at least one other chap in the Morley & Outwood constituency here):
If you hear someone knocking on your door in the early hours, don't answer it (perhaps check through the window).
It may be a gang with club/knives trying to get your car keys.
Edited extra bit: anyway, time for me to be off.0 -
Farage continues his quest for a role in the Trump administration.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-383551080 -
Bored of brexit....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpMbrmnoGkE0 -
yay!!!!!!!0
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Muzza to win for those who have him at evens and need a win after missing out on Ore!foxinsoxuk said:Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
I'm sure political calculus had the replacement seat for morley and outwood going red again after the boundary changes. Think that was on GE2015 polling figures tho and corbyns probs affected those.0
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Nearly time for tonight's Bond film on ITV4 - 'Brexit is Forever' (or something like that)
I assume that 'The Great Escape' is also a Brexit themed film.0 -
Would Spurs fans vote Bale still?Scrapheap_as_was said:
Muzza to win for those who have him at evens and need a win after missing out on Ore!foxinsoxuk said:Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
Is this inside info that there is no Leicester campaign for Vardy?foxinsoxuk said:Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
not much of one that I am aware of on the message boards.
Surely team of the season though?0 -
Team of the season? Team Brexit, surely!0
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How's that Gloriously Socialist Brexit thing working out for ya?0 -
Maybe "You only vote twice"?SandyRentool said:Nearly time for tonight's Bond film on ITV4 - 'Brexit is Forever' (or something like that)
I assume that 'The Great Escape' is also a Brexit themed film.0 -
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Good King TSE looked out
On the pb website
That night AV was talked about
With long posts, all o’er trite.
Dimly shone the thread that night
And ripostes all were cruel
E’en so the interest was slight
Most of the thread, thin gruel.
"Oh God, AV is tiresome now
And SeanT’s cursing’s stronger.
Fails my heart, I know not how,
I can go no longer."
"Keep the links, bookmark the page,
Make your comments boldly
Thou shalt find fellow posters’ rage
Freeze thy blood less coldly."
Along the AV trail they plod,
Agreed what had been hinted.
AV, they argued, off should sod -
Their thoughts could not be printed.
Therefore, you posters, all be sure
Wealth or rank possessing
Ye who now AV ignore,
Shall yourselves find blessing
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I would for sure - but then I've got £££ on Sir Muzza - so it's him all the way.foxinsoxuk said:
Would Spurs fans vote Bale still?Scrapheap_as_was said:
Muzza to win for those who have him at evens and need a win after missing out on Ore!foxinsoxuk said:Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
In a parallel universe Mo Farah should be hosing up on achievements but questions hanging against him...
But sadly Murray is a shoo in again.
I'd like Brownlee or one of the Kennys0 -
O/T: Rogue One is superb!0
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applause!MrsB said:Good King TSE looked out
On the pb website
That night AV was talked about
With long posts, all o’er trite.
Dimly shone the thread that night
And ripostes all were cruel
E’en so the interest was slight
Most of the thread, thin gruel.
"Oh God, AV is tiresome now
And SeanT’s cursing’s stronger.
Fails my heart, I know not how,
I can go no longer."
"Keep the links, bookmark the page,
Make your comments boldly
Thou shalt find fellow posters’ rage
Freeze thy blood less coldly."
Along the AV trail they plod,
Agreed what had been hinted.
AV, they argued, off should sod -
Their thoughts could not be printed.
Therefore, you posters, all be sure
Wealth or rank possessing
Ye who now AV ignore,
Shall yourselves find blessing0 -
Beeb teeing Murray up by having him on near the end too..0
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I have gone for a top 3 place. at 11's, but only for £2Scrapheap_as_was said:
I would for sure - but then I've got £££ on Sir Muzza - so it's him all the way.foxinsoxuk said:
Would Spurs fans vote Bale still?Scrapheap_as_was said:
Muzza to win for those who have him at evens and need a win after missing out on Ore!foxinsoxuk said:Any musingson the SPOTY?
I think Bale for a top 3 finish is value, lots of Welsh voters and 11 on Betfair. Max Whitlock also value for a top 3 perhaps.0 -
Morris Dancer, thanks for the tip off about the bad guys out and about in Morley, much appreciated.0
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@Monksfield - I hate that, and I hate it because it works. I do in fact now believe that Claire Balding is vaguely important, and yet I think we can all hang on to the anchor in life that she's just a quite average and uninteresting person.
The Beeb is both loathsome and outstanding.0 -
Is he British or Scottish tonight though?
;-)0 -
Laura Trott/Kenny is my local superstar and I wouldn't mind her taking my money and that was before I knew she was a Spurs fan.0
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Murray probably wins because there is no obvious "anti" candidate.
Skelton, Kenny (Both of them), Whitlock ... split field allows Murray through the middle.0 -
I've backed Laura Trott a while back.Scrapheap_as_was said:Laura Trott/Kenny is my local superstar and I wouldn't mind her taking my money and that was before I knew she was a Spurs fan.
Definitely won't win.0 -
The figure to watch is past vote recollection in the polls. If pollsters start finding fewer and fewer people who say they voted Leave, you know the mood has changed.
That figure will be amusing - come 10 years when the success or not of Brexit is clear, I am very certain the voter recollection will bear very little relation to reality.0 -
NEW THREAD
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Good point to watch, though need to watch for differential mortality.kle4 said:The figure to watch is past vote recollection in the polls. If pollsters start finding fewer and fewer people who say they voted Leave, you know the mood has changed.
That figure will be amusing - come 10 years when the success or not of Brexit is clear, I am very certain the voter recollection will bear very little relation to reality.
Success has many arents, but failure is an orphan.0 -
That's right: Electoral Calculus have the new Batley and Morley as having a notional 2015 Labour majority of almost 5,000 (9.5 percentage points).paulyork64 said:I'm sure political calculus had the replacement seat for morley and outwood going red again after the boundary changes. Think that was on GE2015 polling figures tho and corbyns probs affected those.
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/calcwork.py?seat=Batley and Morley
Adjusting for the current national polling average makes it much closer - Labour are predicted to win the new seat by one percentage point or about 500 votes. It would be Labour's 170th-safest seat according to their calculations.
http://tinyurl.com/glvrv9x0 -
Where is it, please? It's not appearing on my Vanilla list.TheScreamingEagles said:NEW THREAD
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http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4398/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-the-plan-for-a-progressive-alliance-might-have-an-itsy-bitsy-t#latestAnneJGP said:
Where is it, please? It's not appearing on my Vanilla list.TheScreamingEagles said:NEW THREAD
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