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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some more bad polling for Labour, its leader and shadow chance

New Opinium pollCON 41% +1LAB 29% -3UKIP 12%LD 7%
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Ideally, Corbyn & his close comrades would like The Labour Right to drift away without an actual split & right now that looks like happening, its all going very well.
Um, that would be true even if the election were in 2020!
I accept it's all hypothetical because the political system is what it is and Trump won properly by that system.
The other thing is of course where is Clarkson? Why this obsession with May and Hammond?
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/nov/19/brain-drain-southward-310000-graduates-left-north-ten-years?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
The hardening line in EU capitals comes as Nigel Farage warns European leaders that Marine Le Pen, leader of the Front National, could deliver a political sensation bigger than Brexit and win France’s presidential election next spring – a result that would mean it was “game over” for 60 years of EU integration.
According to senior officials at the highest levels of European governments, allowing Britain favourable terms of exit could represent an existential danger to the EU, since it would encourage similar demands from other countries with significant Eurosceptic movements.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen
In case anyone doesn't think the Monarchy will be an issue - it's an absolute certainty that in the first few days of the GE campaign someone will ask Corbyn if he supports the Monarchy. When he doesn't give a clear "Yes" answer then it'll be on the front page of most of the tabloids the next day and become a key campaign issue - guaranteed to do Lab massive damage.
And from there it will move on to Trident - with the backdrop of Trump maybe not providing support.
A very shrewd observation!
So while the article is just yet more pre negotiation posturing it contains a hard truth. In the current climate the UK can't and mustn't be allowed to piggy back on others social capital.
ChristmasBrexit!My ipad is working again thanks. Sunil.
WRONG21st Century Socialism sweeping the nation."appealing to one's prejudices, emotions, or special interests rather than to one's intellect or reason."
https://twitter.com/jamesdoleman/status/800107104119885824
Will the last person at Telegraph Towers please remember to turn off the lights.
"The Hague".
Ikarraaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
Will donate £5 to charity of choice for first person to get pop culture reference
What is it then .?
Blair is delusional, frankly, if he thinks he can come back. So much of his administration's "achievements" are falling apart- devolution to kill Scottish nationalism "stone dead" ( going well especially for the Labour Party (!)), anchoring Britain in Europe (a majority voted to leave), a liberal interventionist foreign policy (Iraq!!). He's utterly kidding himself.
Interesting that a Remainer believes that leaving the EU would be beneficial - unless dealt with....
He should be in court, not in politics.
"trust me" says Tony..... err we did, how did that work out again
Viva the revolution comrades!
As an example, my most recent experience was running a Remain stall in our local market on Referendum Day and being reasonably sure from the responses that the result, in our area at least ,would be close. I don't know what it was in our ward, but overall the Council area was 53k Leave, 33k Remain.
Blair's time is long gone. The country was happy to see him go in 2007. Returning to the fray now would be like Thatcher returning to the front line in 1999. Besides, who would he bat for? His old vision of both Labour and the country is out of step with the times. If he has a new one it'll be closer to May's than Corbyn's.
Interesting observation you make re complacency / lack of conviction, and one I need t give more thought to.
While companies within an industry do tend to cluster, there are only so many locations that offer the fun place to live and the concentration of stimulating people that make them attractive places for business.
Think of where businesses locate in the US. Unless you are fracking, you do not locate in the Dakotas. Extraction industries have to be where the raw material is, and farming has to be where the farmland is. But the knowledge industry is not bound in that manner.
Where do knowledge industries locate? You do locate in the big cities with lots of culture (LA, NY, Chicago), near the beaches or mountains for the outdoor sports California, Florida, Colorado), or near top research universities or the big government labs for the stimulating people (NC's research triangle, Princeton/New Jersey, Cambridge/Boston, Austin, Santa Fe, Albuquerque, Silicon Valley) or near government (DC) and major military bases (San Diego, Norfolk/Virginia Beach). That sounds a lot, but really, there are not that many options for where to locate.
The government could act. I had some hope for George Osborne's northern powerhouse but it seemed to be more about headlines than economics.
Er ... Isn't the problem not that they aren't hearing you, but that you aren't listening to them?
People leaving the north is not a major problem.
Their 10/10 indicator is usually their most accurate one.
The Europond is shrinking.