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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast: Brexit, Zac’s by-ele

A huge amount has happened in UK politics since the last show two weeks ago and joining Keiran Pedley (@KeiranPedley) are Asa Bennett (@AsaBenn) of the Telegraph and Leo Barasi (@leobarasi) of noiseofthecrowd.com
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And I see West Ham and Chelsea fans are disgracing themselves, what a terrible legacy for the Olympic Stadium.
Shame on West Ham
And she needs one of at least Fox and David to recant and support her.
http://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2091623
@foxinsoxuk 's link is pretty interesting. Maybe for now you are right.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3775069/No-job-t-Britain-s-blueprint-curb-EU-migrants-post-Brexit-revealed-rigorous-points-based-system.html
Kill the ones who could easily survive & fight for the lives of the ones who have almost no chance.
Ironic, really, isn't it? Life is indeed a lottery.
Good evening, everyone - and goodnight, for I am off to bed.
When you thought it couldn't get worse (sorry if it's been posted)
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/donald-trump-will-he-win-us-presidential-election-2016-hillary-clinton-a7380621.html
If the UK regains control of the borders then it makes life harder for everyone else. Poorer and weaker states can't export their poverty and unemployment away, and wealthier ones like the Netherlands and Germany are liable to have to accommodate more migration than before. Thus, any talk of compromises appears moot: the EU might, conceivably be willing to bargain if we agreed to swallow the whole EFTA/EEA package, including total freedom of movement, although I have my doubts even of that - but the only likely alternative seems to be quite a limited agreement. I don't see how the UK is likely to get some kind of broad-based settlement on continuing seamless access to the single market if it won't give the other member states the freedom to dump as much of their excess labour here as they like.
Leave on Leave violence ;-)
Almost/ if not all surgery will be done remotely by surgeons working on computers.
We'll obviously have local clinics to give the oldies that injection with some nice music and a last hit of opiates to bring a smile to one's face.
In thirty years time the whole complexion of health will be fundamentally changed. I doubt hospitals as we see them now will exist. And thirty years from then..., god knows what it will look like.
Jesus wept. Have you ever been to London? Or anywhere?
True words from Leo.
You should have said Roger...... about being in Italy obviously; not about Trump
I am not, of course, saying that the latter scenario will come to pass - although I do think it quite likely - and a lot will depend on the popularity of the government at the time.
Nevertheless I would expect the second percentage to be two or three points lower than the first.
Good. Sounds like still a bit of a messy situation though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-37767046
Robotic surgery is coming for many things - in Leicester our gynecological cancer surgery is done robotically, with the surgeon sitting in the corner controlling the robot.
I saw a demonstration of a heads up VR style display for operating recently. The surgeon was operating manually, albeit with automated instruments, but able to see round corners and zoom to his hearts content, illuminate what he chose and even adjust the contrast for dissection.
Good results, but certainly not cheap! We return to squaring the circle of health being beyond price, but healthcare having a limited budget.
A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the total 100 Senate seats as a result of the 34 seats to be contended at the 2016 US Senate elections. Independent or any other party Senators caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market.
Admittedly it will involve a lot of if statements on the year but I guarantee 100% accuracy.
Otherwise it is all a bit Deep Thought!
It decisively endorsed it.
In the public sector I was reliant on HR to sort out the paperwork on recruitment. They have been decimated. Christ knows how much more complicated and convoluted the whole process will be with these madcap ideas thrown into the mix.
But...I feel particularly sorry for the entrepreneurs, the wealth creators who rely on access to labour, free markets, and liberalism. The ideas that May is contemplating is worthy of the Stasi. Bureaucracy and form after form.
I'm a lefty and I can see the kind of problems we are encountering. Surely it shouldn't be left to people like me to champion free market capitalism?
Export of excess labour from poorer/struggling areas to wealthier/stronger ones is a fact of life. It happens within and between countries all the time. The difference between the current situation w.r.t. the UK and EU, and that which pertains after border control is re-established, is simply that the British Government will regain the means to control unwanted forms of immigration. It doesn't necessarily follow that it will, but the ability to elect a Government which can plausibly promise to use those tools is, at least, restored to the electorate.
There is no benefit to the UK in importing unemployed Spanish graduates to work as coffee shop baristas, least of all in London. No developed economy that is not only as relatively densely populated as ours, but also has a significant natural rate of population growth, should be importing more labour except to fill *essential* vacancies at home, once it has been demonstrated that the required employees cannot be provided by the domestic workforce.
Clinton +14 (not a typo!)
Clinton 51, Trump 37
Link - which is great - it posts new polls numerous times every day:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/#now
A bit harsh on Jack straw.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37779423
London will still import tens of thousands of people. It just won't have quite so many Bulgarian brickies and Spanish waiters. And Roma Big Issue sellers. The low skilled.
Note, however, it will still have PLENTY of these: 3m have come in the last ten years and probably another 300,000 will come before final Brexit, and after that immigration will still be high by historic standards - net 200,000 annually or more. It will take TMay half a decade to get it anywhere near 100,000.
@seanT
Mate, mate.....lIve in the real world......Try and sort out your HR process to manage it. You have your vacancies....what hoops do you have to jump through to select your candidates? To even think about who you can even interview. And then you get through that.... And then you offer. Then you have to go through some jobsworth to vet whether they are low skilled or not. Or from what country. And it all takes time....and you want to get on with your business. And what about their qualifications. What if you have a Polish lumpen who is a self taught brilliant programmer?
The problem is you do not have a HR team....you have to fill in your tax returns...you are a start up tech firm (the Apple of the future). Your candidate has qualifications but cannot vouch for them.
What May is proposing is a nightmare and an affront to capitalism. And why is it people like me...lefties...that are pointing this out?
You need to lose that ideological bullshit that is turning your brain to mush......
Quite right. Weird how once libertarian rightwingers have suddenly become defenders of government meddling and snooping in the affairs of private businesses.
Chickens coming home to roost about the consequences of awakening the left-nativist anti-immigration dragon with their petty nationalist project.
That said, he deserved the noose, but all the Nazis did.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2044694/woman-sexually-assaulted-in-virtual-reality-by-pervert-cyber-groper/
Employment rates for EU migrants are very high...
Clinton 1.215
Trump 5.95
Sanders 305
Pence 880
Biden 970
Wondering whether Clinton may have to get out of bed some time in the next 12 days to say something about Russia, Syria, and Iraq? That'd be about 9 million people in 1945. Are you a rope salesman or what?
https://twitter.com/danieljhannan/status/791399249904795648
Actually, I lie. I didn't think that at all, and in fact worried that nativist morons will try to send these nice guys back to where they came from.
Nate Silver currently has the chance of Democrats (incl independents) having 53+ as 21.9% i.e. 4.57 in Betfair speak. On Betfair, it is currently 2.2 to 2.68 so it is a definite lay. Perhaps punters don't really understand the rules.
However, as always, DYOR.
https://hillaryspeeches.com/scheduled-events/
I worry about an earthquake / Vesuvius eruption combination.
What May is proposing is a hell of alot more complicated (times 1000) than the likes of Germany simply putting a control over the ascension of new countries for a period. We have those in place at the moment that manages our immigration from outside the EU.
Probably 99% of businesses who employ over say 30 staff would like easy access to consider EU staff without jumping through hoop after hoop.