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  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    20% of students are still resident 5 years after arriving, totalling about 50 000 per year. The other 200 000 leave by then.

    That is why we talk about net migration and include students. Omitting them is just a way of fiddling the figures.
    Indeed. The number of "students" who work cash in hand from the sub continent is staggering, it's an open secret student visa's are used by people from there to simply work here. Many of them work long hours on less than the minimum wage.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,516
    John_M said:

    - Someone who can integrate AWS Lambda into the CI pipeline of an existing Amazon stack.
    - Someone who can write an implementation of STUN and ICE to run over a bespoke network protocol.
    - Someone who can implement custom neural networks in OpenCL.

    Things like that. It's not a matter of a living wage, people who can do things like this well, from a standing start, are expensive.
    Yeah but you can just put those keywords into a CV database and gets loads of matches, innit...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,516
    edited August 2016
    SeanT said:

    I agree with that. Our one trump card is delaying A50 until it suits us. We have to play hardball here. We can go on and on. A50 was never meant to be used, hence they didn't really think about a country that might express an intent to use it, but then hang back.

    Mother Theresa needs cullions of tungsten, but if she can prolong this until 2017, even 2018, the better the deal we will get.

    She will have to face down idiots like IDS, but so be it.
    It's to her advantage that every time it gets tough domestically she can point to a Schultz or a Juncker and say, "We're not going to let the likes of him dictate the timeline. We'll stay as long as it suits us," and she'll have the jingoistic wing onside immediately.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,068
    John_M said:

    - Someone who can integrate AWS Lambda into the CI pipeline of an existing Amazon stack.
    - Someone who can write an implementation of STUN and ICE to run over a bespoke network protocol.
    - Someone who can implement custom neural networks in OpenCL.

    Things like that. It's not a matter of a living wage, people who can do things like this well, from a standing start, are expensive.
    People who genuinely know the AWS stack are unbelievable expensive. One of my businesses is a Platform as a Service sitting atop AWS. We train people up, at massive expense, and then they take an extra zero on their salary and move to the Valley.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    rcs1000 said:

    That article doesn't really match your earlier RT one, except possibly by very selective quoting.

    "Creating problems" is not exactly "making it impossible". Federalists, according to that piece, opposed adding the article which directly contradicts the RT one, for example.

    But ultimately, there is no problem. There will be negotiations prior to the invocation of Article 50, that lead to an agreement of an exit framework (FTA goods and services, small budget payments, etc.), that are followed by Article 50.

    EU governments want an amicable divorce. We will leave.
    There is no such thing as an amicable divorce!

    I cannot see any of that happening, not with the three stooges in charge:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/aug/22/brexit-means-brexit-when-is-big-question

    I think it wise to prepare for a hard Brexit, as that is on the cards. At the moment we are in the phoney war. Prepare your own finances accordingly.
  • John_M said:

    Substitute 'world' and it still applies.

    Of course. But because of freedom of movement you're more likely to find Europeans than others currently located in London. A visa ststem that actively works to attract global talent would be superb.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,516
    edited August 2016

    Of course. But because of freedom of movement you're more likely to find Europeans than others currently located in London. A visa ststem that actively works to attract global talent would be superb.
    A visa system never attracts anybody (that you'd want); it can only help or hinder them once they're already attracted.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,589
    Speedy said:

    The debates can only help by a few points here and there, if you are already way behind they can't do much.

    For Trump to win he has to have a campaign, smile a lot, and keep quiet.
    As Trump himself put it in 1980, someone can win with no brains but a big smile:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5VEjF1uhYo

    Look today, Trump is not into any controversy so the news is all about Hillary and her 15K emails the FBI just discovered.

    Hillary might have caught Trump on Google Trends, but because her email scandal is flaring again, and Trump has not done something stupid to obscure it.
    In this case Bad Publicity is Bad.
    Agree on the emails. On the debates Trump is not so far behind that a good debate performance could not be crucial, he is only a little behind where Romney was 4 years ago, were he to win the first debate, like Romney and follow it up by winning the second debate, unlike Romney he will be right back in contention
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Yeah but you can just put those keywords into a CV database and gets loads of matches, innit...
    I should add, that I would have given my left nut to be able to use AWS Lambda for our unit and functional testing back in the day. No provisioning, infinitely scaleable and cheap as chips. Of course, there was the small matter of the airgap :).
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    rcs1000 said:

    People who genuinely know the AWS stack are unbelievable expensive. One of my businesses is a Platform as a Service sitting atop AWS. We train people up, at massive expense, and then they take an extra zero on their salary and move to the Valley.
    Yep. I noticed globalisation when we started losing our best people to Google, Apple and the Bay in general. It never used to happen and when it started it was impossible to compete. 6-8x the salary + benefits.
  • NoEasyDayNoEasyDay Posts: 454
    John_M said:

    - Someone who can integrate AWS Lambda into the CI pipeline of an existing Amazon stack.
    - Someone who can write an implementation of STUN and ICE to run over a bespoke network protocol.
    - Someone who can implement custom neural networks in OpenCL.

    Things like that. It's not a matter of a living wage, people who can do things like this well, from a standing start, are expensive.
    I had expected a sensible answer

    AWS Lambda ... jeees such low level stuff.
    STUN and ICE....
    Even I can do neural networks

    Can't be bothered to talk.....
    You really don't think we can't recruit theses skills in UK, well I had no probs although they were more expensive from the UK
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,589
    viewcode said:

    What can I tell you, I like rockets. I realise they're pyramids for the 21st century, but they're still wicked cool. We haven't produced something fuck-off-rock-hard techy impressive since Concorde (ARM chips don't count), but America, via SpaceX, Boeing, that rejected StarChaser thing, the Space Launch System, it's just churning them out. I wanted Trump to pick Newt as his VP because he wants to build a moonbase: I mean yes, he's a nutter and Trump is a shit of the first water, but, hello, moonbase?!
    Florida or Texas look your best bets then
  • A visa system never attracts anybody (that you'd want); it can only help or hinder them once they're already attracted.

    If you are a highly-qualified software engineer and you know you can come to the UK, find a relevant job and then stay it would make us a lot more attractive than many other places and would solve a problem that hindering current freedom of movement would create. It would not be perfect, of course, but it would be positive.

  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Romney, as Trump never tires of saying, was a stiff who went AWOL in the campaign.
    Two ways of going AWOL - 1) Not doing anything 2) Not being reported as doing anything.

    Trump could speak in front of 18,000 at Madison Square Garden - but if the media don't report it . . .

    At least Trump isn't going AWOL - but whether that is a good thing or not remains to be seen.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    NoEasyDay said:

    I had expected a sensible answer

    AWS Lambda ... jeees such low level stuff.
    STUN and ICE....
    Even I can do neural networks

    Can't be bothered to talk.....
    You really don't think we can't recruit theses skills in UK, well I had no probs although they were more expensive from the UK
    Fair enough, you asked, I answered, you don't like my answers, such is life.
  • Still hasn't really sunk in that we did so brilliantly at The Brexit Games! Second, and more medals than at London 2012!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Frank Luntz
    If Trump backs off deportation proposal…

    • How many supporters will he lose?
    • How many undecideds will he gain?

    CBS http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/trump-may-back-off-plan-to-deport-11-million-people/


    https://t.co/GCqI9v9VOq
  • NoEasyDayNoEasyDay Posts: 454
    John_M said:

    Fair enough, you asked, I answered, you don't like my answers, such is life.
    AWS Azure there's not a lot to them.

    If you go off shore you can get away with £250 - £300 a day India....Near shore a little more.
    UK we are now at £350 a day. Without eastern Europe and its just my opinion we would be nearer £500 a day.

    CHEAP LABOUR
  • Omnishambles Games...

    When China's women's volleyball team won their nation's 26th and final gold medal of the Rio Olympics, the celebrations were tinged with more than a little annoyance.

    The cause of the irritation was that somehow, once again, an incorrect version of the Chinese flag was hoisted high during the medal ceremony.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-trending-37158742
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Omnishambles Games...

    When China's women's volleyball team won their nation's 26th and final gold medal of the Rio Olympics, the celebrations were tinged with more than a little annoyance.

    The cause of the irritation was that somehow, once again, an incorrect version of the Chinese flag was hoisted high during the medal ceremony.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-trending-37158742

    At least it wasn't upside down half the time.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited August 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    At least it wasn't upside down half the time.
    TBH, you could let them off the first time, it is a very small error by a third party flag maker. But it was clearly pointed out to them and they just went oh nevermind nobody cares and carried on.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,716
    rcs1000 said:

    OK. So you do actually genuinely have any evidence - other than a throw away line by a failed Italian politician in a Russia Today article - that he "wrote Article 50"?

    I mean, seriously.

    The Lisbon Treaty is a horrible disaster, on that we both agree. But where you see conspiracy, I see merely incompetence. The idea that - in marathon negotiating sessions - that there was a secret plan to make leaving the EU near impossible by having a two year period is laughable.
    An interesting question is what the situation would now be if Lisbon hadn't passed, and the UK had voted to leave, but there was no procedure for doing it.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,716
    John_M said:

    According to the author it was drafted with that two year limit in order to make it impractical for any member to actually withdraw.
    If that had been the goal the final step would require unanimity, not QMV.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,316

    If that had been the goal the final step would require unanimity, not QMV.
    Impractical, not impossible ;)
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    TBH, you could let them off the first time, it is a very small error by a third party flag maker. But it was clearly pointed out to them and they just went oh nevermind nobody cares and carried on.
    It's interesting that most of us can spot when it's upside down, we just don't quite know why. Or what's wrong as we squint at it.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Looking at Google I found this item. https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=opinion+polls+pennsylvani&ie=&oe=

    Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania
    CBS News 8 - San Diego, CA News Station - KFMB Channel 8‎ - 1 day ago

    Harrisburg, Pennsylvania - August 21, 2016 - (Newswire.com) ... is conducting opinion polling and analysis on the US Presidential Election ...

    But the page linked to doesn't exist.

    any idea what happened?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited August 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    It's interesting that most of us can spot when it's upside down, we just don't quite know why. Or what's wrong as we squint at it.
    It true of lots of things. I don't buy all of the stuff in Gladwell's book "blink", but there is something in his hypothesis of what is going on when people say that they "gut told them" or "I just knew something wasn't right"...and overwhelmingly you are right when you get a reaction for instance when shown the flag.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,718

    TBH, you could let them off the first time, it is a very small error by a third party flag maker. But it was clearly pointed out to them and they just went oh nevermind nobody cares and carried on.
    I've just come out of an entertainingly pedantic conversation about this article with a friend on facebook, and I was hoping it was going on here too. You didn't let me down, pb.com. The upshot was that the flag labelled 'the correct flag' on the BBC article doesn't appear to be correct - the orientation of the smaller stars is all over the place: only the third one down is correct, and the bottom one is way off. Compare with the orientation of the stars on the wikipedia page:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_of_China#/media/File:Construction_sheet_of_Flag_of_the_People's_Republic_of_China.svg


  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,068
    weejonnie said:

    Looking at Google I found this item. https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=opinion+polls+pennsylvani&ie=&oe=

    Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania
    CBS News 8 - San Diego, CA News Station - KFMB Channel 8‎ - 1 day ago

    Harrisburg, Pennsylvania - August 21, 2016 - (Newswire.com) ... is conducting opinion polling and analysis on the US Presidential Election ...

    But the page linked to doesn't exist.

    any idea what happened?

    There was a Canadian polling firm who released a poll yesterday giving Trump a 5% lead in Pennsylvania. But soon after releasing it, they seemed to disappear from the internet, so I'm not sure how seriously to take it.
  • Cookie said:

    I've just come out of an entertainingly pedantic conversation about this article with a friend on facebook, and I was hoping it was going on here too. You didn't let me down, pb.com. The upshot was that the flag labelled 'the correct flag' on the BBC article doesn't appear to be correct - the orientation of the smaller stars is all over the place: only the third one down is correct, and the bottom one is way off. Compare with the orientation of the stars on the wikipedia page:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_of_China#/media/File:Construction_sheet_of_Flag_of_the_People's_Republic_of_China.svg


    You are told there are three flags, two are incorrect and one is correct. You choose a flag and those host asks if you would like to swap...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,516
    rcs1000 said:

    There was a Canadian polling firm who released a poll yesterday giving Trump a 5% lead in Pennsylvania. But soon after releasing it, they seemed to disappear from the internet, so I'm not sure how seriously to take it.
    Jeez, the Clintons are ruthless.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,718
    SeanT said:

    I agree with that. Our one trump card is delaying A50 until it suits us. We have to play hardball here. We can go on and on. A50 was never meant to be used, hence they didn't really think about a country that might express an intent to use it, but then hang back.

    Mother Theresa needs cullions of tungsten, but if she can prolong this until 2017, even 2018, the better the deal we will get.

    She will have to face down idiots like IDS, but so be it.
    Though the likes of IDS are useful to the process to show the Europeans that we are sincere about leaving abd will do it the hard way, if necessary.
    As you have pointed out, Cameron's mistake wrt negotiation was to take the option of leaving off the table.
  • I seemed to remember a Canadian polling firm had a go at UK politics...whatever happened to them ;-)
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited August 2016
    Poll: Trump Trails Hillary in Ohio, But Kasich Would Be Winning by 24 Points. Poll by Monmouth University - details here, poll report here. Data collected by telephone, 18-21 August.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,316
    Dromedary said:
    The good think about these hypothetical pairings, is that they can never be tested!
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,718

    You are told there are three flags, two are incorrect and one is correct. You choose a flag and those host asks if you would like to swap...
    Ha ha.
    What this also highlights is that red and yellow is - to me eyes, at least - a horrible colour combination for a flag. If you want red, contrast it with white(/and blue/green). If you want yellow, contrast it with blue (or black, if you must). Red and yellow together looks jarring.
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @NoEasyDay

    'May I ask what "high-specialsed technicians immediately." we are lacing in that we need recruit abroad ?'


    That's usually the code for 'we can find somebody from outside the UK to do the job for less money' or otherwise known as the skilled shortage.

  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    An interesting question is what the situation would now be if Lisbon hadn't passed, and the UK had voted to leave, but there was no procedure for doing it.
    Presumably, the legal situation would have fallen back on the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties or, failing anything relevant in that, customary international law.

    While I am not sure, I would suspect the latter would be that, unless explicitly stated otherwise, a treaty ceases to be effective on a Party upon its notification of all the other Parties of its intent to cede and as of the date notified.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    RobD said:

    The good think about these hypothetical pairings, is that they can never be tested!
    One interesting thing is the change in demographics.

    "Clinton is not doing quite as well as Barack Obama did four years ago among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (72% to 10% for Trump compared with 84% for Obama to 14% for Mitt Romney in 2012). Likewise, Trump is not doing quite as well with white voters (45% to 37% for Clinton) as Romney did (57% to 41% for Obama)."

    Shy white Trumpers?
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Get on @Tesco TL the cybernats are going mental over strawberries

    https://t.co/Yq0O6PMTov
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    Here is a very interesting take by Michael Rosenblum on polls for the US presidential election.
    "The American people voted for (Trump) a long time ago.

    They voted for him when The History Channel went from showing documentaries about the Second World War to Pawn Stars and Swamp People.

    They voted for him when The Discovery Channel went from showing Lost Treasures of the Yangtze Valley to Naked and Afraid.

    They voted for him when The Learning Channel moved from something you could learn from to My 600 Pound Life.

    They voted for him when CBS went from airing Harvest of Shame to airing Big Brother.

    These networks didn't make these programming changes by accident. They were responding to what the American people actually wanted. And what they wanted was Naked and Afraid and Duck Dynasty.

    The polls may show that Donald Trump is losing to Hillary Clinton, but don't you believe those polls. When the AC Nielsen Company selects a new Nielsen family, they disregard the new family's results for the first three months. The reason: when they feel they are being monitored, people lie about what they are watching. In the first three months, knowing they are being watched, they will tune into PBS. But over time they get tired of pretending."
    Anyone who's sceptical about what Rosenblum is saying, please watch the following two piece of TV showing Trump:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9OXcrgSVM4

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMKFIHRpe7I

    This is what the guy "Trump" means to millions of people.



  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,410
    edited August 2016
    Cookie said:

    Ha ha.
    What this also highlights is that red and yellow is - to me eyes, at least - a horrible colour combination for a flag. If you want red, contrast it with white(/and blue/green). If you want yellow, contrast it with blue (or black, if you must). Red and yellow together looks jarring.

    Anti-Spanish racism! :)

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,316
    PlatoSaid said:

    Get on @Tesco TL the cybernats are going mental over strawberries

    https://t.co/Yq0O6PMTov

    I think that is a material change in circumstances!!
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,718

    Anti-Spanish racism! :)

    Actually, fair enough, the Spanish flag looks good. Maybe it works if there's much more yellow than red.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    RobD said:

    I think that is a material change in circumstances!!
    I love the casual racism hashtag on tweets about blinking flags on raspberry packs
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited August 2016
    Cookie said:

    Actually, fair enough, the Spanish flag looks good. Maybe it works if there's much more yellow than red.
    It would have been much better if the Republicans had won the civil war. Then the flag would be red, yellow and purple:

    image

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    titter.....

    @BetteMidler: Donald Trump calls on Hillary to shut down her foundation. Meanwhile, we’re all still begging him to choose a more natural color for his.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Cookie said:

    Though the likes of IDS are useful to the process to show the Europeans that we are sincere about leaving abd will do it the hard way, if necessary.
    As you have pointed out, Cameron's mistake wrt negotiation was to take the option of leaving off the table.
    Surely Cameron's mistake was that he did not know what he wanted: he just wanted something, anything, he could present to the British people.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    PlatoSaid said:

    Get on @Tesco TL the cybernats are going mental over strawberries

    https://t.co/Yq0O6PMTov

    @BrianSpanner1: Laugh now.
    Wait till you find out how much raspberry tax we lose when they're sold in England.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    Surely Cameron's mistake was that he did not know what he wanted: he just wanted something, anything, he could present to the British people.
    Very true. Cammo's mistake was thinking he could con the the British People - again - and this time they found him out to be the cheat and a liar that he always was.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Sir Tom Devine (Leading Scottish historian, supporter of Independence):

    At the moment the auguries are moving pretty bad, I would say they are worse than 2014.....

    "At the same time, there has been no intellectual response to the weaknesses of the SNP economic programmes, not simply in relation to the currency, but elsewhere."


    http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14698089.Leading_historian_Sir_Tom_Devine__SNP_has_five_years_before_its_popularity_will_begin_to_decline
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,316

    @BrianSpanner1: Laugh now.
    Wait till you find out how much raspberry tax we lose when they're sold in England.
    What about that grove of raspberry bushes which were being kept under wraps until after the referendum? :D
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    RobD said:

    What about that grove of raspberry bushes which were being kept under wraps until after the referendum? :D
    Shhhh!

    MI7 went to a lot of trouble to hide the Secret Raspberry Fields of Strathmore

    (Used to pick them as a kid - on the first day gorged ourselves silly on them, couldn't look another raspberry in the face all summer long....)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,316

    Shhhh!

    MI7 went to a lot of trouble to hide the Secret Raspberry Fields of Strathmore

    (Used to pick them as a kid - on the first day gorged ourselves silly on them, couldn't look another raspberry in the face all summer long....)
    Titters...

    and on that note, new thread!
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009
    viewcode said:

    I don't think Scotland will split, but not because of Brexit per se: it's simply that, when push comes to shove, they just don't want to leave the UK. I understand there are many Scots who wish to secede, but regardless of their undoubted passion and conviction they are not in a majority.

    Brexit may tilt the balance if the UK economy craters post-Brexit and it becomes in Scotland's economic interest to do so. But unless things really go ka-ka, that's not going to happen.
    Given it needs only a few % to change and almost all young people are for splitting , your view seems a bit hopeful. It is just a case of when, even the fools will realise at some point that Westminster is robbing them.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009
    viewcode said:

    I don't think Scotland will split, but not because of Brexit per se: it's simply that, when push comes to shove, they just don't want to leave the UK. I understand there are many Scots who wish to secede, but regardless of their undoubted passion and conviction they are not in a majority.

    Brexit may tilt the balance if the UK economy craters post-Brexit and it becomes in Scotland's economic interest to do so. But unless things really go ka-ka, that's not going to happen.
    Once teh sh*t sandwich handed out by EU is in place , things will look very very different. Given the mess Westminster have made of the Scottish economy to date , how much worse does it need to get before even jingoistic unionist nutters vote YES.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009
    PlatoSaid said:

    Get on @Tesco TL the cybernats are going mental over strawberries

    https://t.co/Yq0O6PMTov

    Some English have humungous inferiority complex, complaining to Tesco due to them printing the origin of the fruit in the box , surprisingly they only complained about Scotland. Dear Dear how the mighty have fallen , scared by a wee flag on a carton of strawberries. They blubber and whine till they get the Butchers Apron on it to make them feel big again.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009

    @BrianSpanner1: Laugh now.
    Wait till you find out how much raspberry tax we lose when they're sold in England.
    No surprise you are a Spanner fan
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,009

    Sir Tom Devine (Leading Scottish historian, supporter of Independence):

    At the moment the auguries are moving pretty bad, I would say they are worse than 2014.....

    "At the same time, there has been no intellectual response to the weaknesses of the SNP economic programmes, not simply in relation to the currency, but elsewhere."


    http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14698089.Leading_historian_Sir_Tom_Devine__SNP_has_five_years_before_its_popularity_will_begin_to_decline

    Devine is a clever man for sure.
This discussion has been closed.