politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Vladimir Putin link looks set to dog the Trump campaign
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Vladimir Putin link looks set to dog the Trump campaign right through to November
Above is a new ad from the Clinton campaign seeking to raise doubts over Trump’s linkages with the Russian President Vladimir Putin. It seems to have been aimed at the Republican party establishment and I think it is very effective.
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I find it had to believe that Hillary doesn’t know the answer to her own a smear campaign.
Ladbrokes are offering 6\1 that he gets replaced.
At Betfair, Paul Ryan can be backed at 100, Kasich at 620, Pence at 870, Bush, Cruz and Rubio each at 1000., and Johnson at 210.
Congresswoman Karen Bass (California, Dem) has started a petition (with hashtag #DiagnoseTrump) calling on "mental health professionals" to urge the Republican party to "conduct an evaluation" of Trump's mental health.
She means well, but she should have asked me to write the copy; I'd have written it much better.
It's possible that this could hurt Trump's chances a lot, even finish them. He wields his bravado skilfully, and it's been a strength not a weakness, but his lack of self-control is another matter.
The medical report on himself that Trump has released, signed by a real medic, reads almost like a parody.
"Mr Trump has had a recent complete medical examination that showed only positive results"
Well that's a relief. His heart rate wasn't negative, then.
"Actually, his blood pressure, 110/65, and laboratory test results were astonishingly excellent"
I'm not making this up. Those are quotes from the signed statement by Harold Bornstein - a medic who says he has been Trump's personal physician for 35 years - published by Donald Trump himself on his website. The statement is heads "To Whom My Concern" (sic). It ends
"If elected, Mr Trump, I can state unequivocally, will be the healthiest individual ever elected to the presidency".
Being able to state something without equivocation doesn't make it true, even if you're a quack. It doesn't even make it sensible.
Starting a sentence with "Actually", followed by a comma - I wonder how often Trump himself does that in his books?
June Bamber
Nevill Bamber
Sheila Caffell
Daniel Caffell
Nicholas Caffell
Bit like “Tell Sid!"
Clinton 50 .. Trump 42 - RV
Clinton 51 .. Trump 44 - LV
http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1180a1The2016Election.pdf
I can't imagine.
There was an article about two weeks ago in the Christian Science Monitor about how Michael Dukakis spends his days wandering the streets of Boston in a mildly disheveled state, picking up litter and tossing it into the nearest garbage can. Sometime this morning, as he performs this particular civic duty, haunted by visions of Willie Horton, he will stop, pump his fist victoriously in the air once, and not know why….
I don't have a problem with a non-interventionist foreign policy. I have a real problem with a virtue signalling foreign policy.
Interesting to see a explanation of Moniker's reasoning.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-18287223
Would you really have sent in the troops?
He stands up for Russian interests, not those of someone else. Trump regards himself as an American nationalist standing up for American interests - that's his brand. So he regards Putin as being like-minded, and as long as it doesn't clash with his own and American interests, he's OK.
You may not agree with Trump (and I don't), but you don't need to bring in conspiracy theories. You can leave that to Hillary.
Clinton 81.9 .. Trump 18.1 - Polls Only
Clinton 75.0 .. Trump 24.9 - Polls Plus
Clinton 90.7 .. Trump 9.2 - Nowcast
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
This dismal candidate, Mrs Clinton, thought her husband's bimbo eruption with Miss Lewinsky was part of a " vast right-wing conspiracy ". A kook.
The fact I've been rubbish at the race weekend bets [those offered in my regular pieces] makes the wait easier to bear. It's irksome when I'm doing pretty well, like in 2012, because it disrupts a good run.
"He attacked Cameron for cronyism for producing a resignation honours list. Yet he had lobbied for his own crony to appear on the list. He told journalists that Chakrabarti was ‘fiercely independent’. But she wasn’t, and he knew she wasn’t. Because if she had been, she would have turned down his offer of a peerage out of hand.
But Corbyn is not alone in his duplicity. To listen to some of her defenders, you would think Chakrabarti was some innocent dupe who had just rolled into Westminster on the back of a turnip truck. Instead of what she is, which is just another sanctimonious, self-righteous, Left-wing moraliser who adopts ‘do as I say, not as I do’ as their rallying cry."
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3727401/DAN-HODGES-Arise-Lady-Chakrabarti-poster-girl-squalid-hypocrisy.html#ixzz4GcxpPuYY
Sanctions have been reasonably effective, and are as far as action can reasonably go.
https://twitter.com/cosentino/status/266042007758200832/photo/1
You should only worry about the Tatars who are just innocent victims every time.
Also, if you don't think there's an issue with partial reporting or a deliberate effort to distort or hide the truth from the public after the Rotherham disgrace then I'd invite you to reconsider whether that's really the case. Having a media we can trust it's an optional extra for a functioning society, it's essential.
Interesting. How quickly the idea that running your own affairs = greater prosperity is taking root.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/08/06/treasury-looks-at-quitting-the-single-market-as-city-rejects-nor/
The wife of the murdered fencing team leader fought for 20yrs to get details of the police operations/negotiations with Palestinians. The German authorities pretended they didn't have any records...then someone leaked a batch to her. She finally secured several thousand pages of evidence showing the full horror of it all.
It all sounds so incredibly reminiscent of a culture of cover-up re Cologne et al.
The most depressing part of the whole docu was that it's taken 43yrs for the Germans to recognise the 12 murdered with a memorial. And they've never been honoured/mentioned at any Olympics - it'd spoil the atmosphere/not appropriate/blah blah handwaving.
Well worth watching.
If you were saying it is not terrorism related (like after the recent London stabbings) while not mentioning Allahu Akhbar etc then that would be duplicitous.
Oscar Pistorius has been treated at a private hospital in Pretoria after suffering injuries in jail.
Saying it is 'thought' to be terrorism and not including information most people would regard as rather confirming that is not accurate reporting.
I'd like Gary Johnson to win. He won't, of course, but that leads me to wonder how much of his support is unhappy Republicans who will grit their teeth and vote Trump when it comes to it. That said some of them would probably rather have Clinton than him win anyway.
Trump is your man. Deal with it.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/tim-kaine-rust-belt-voters-trump-226747
It's indicative of the parlous state of US politics that it's come down to a choice between two deeply unpleasant characters, but there it is. America is screaming out for a change, but only ever seems to get offered more of the same.
Bit like us, really !
Out of interest which of the US pollsters work to the same standards as our own?
The problem I see is that Trump is not a normal Republican candidate so as with the referendum it makes it difficult to use past demographic data as I suspect Trump will attract a different demographic to the previous GOP candidates along with a whole slew of people who haven't bothered to vote for ages.
Russian backed separitists in sovereign countries Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine have a common theme. Putin is a leader with form. Trump likes him.
http://www.270towin.com/
There's not really a precedent. During "the troubles" it was only the terrorist organisations that had guns and bombs, and even where new ones formed, they still had an organisational structure complete with a PR department to issue warnings and claim responsibility (giving a pre-arranged code word). There weren't second-generation Irish immigrants having a rush of blood and mowing down bus queues in the name of a united Ireland.
2012. 57.5%
2008. 62.3%
2004. 60.4%
2000. 54.2%
If a quarter of those non voters come out of the woodwork and vote Trump then Hillary is toast.
We play each other in football this afternoon.
Wow, apparently were planning a rocket attack from an offshore Indonesian island.
Article doesn't say where they got the rockets, or if their plan was viable, but clearly in some parts of the world these things are not as difficult to get hold of as they should be.
Now there's a report of an attack which would appear to be a slam-dunk case of terrorism being reported as 'thought of' being terrorism. If the chap hadn't actually shouted anything, I suspect it'd likely be reported as mental illness.
I hope you're right. I suspect you're not.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/08/06/you-dont-need-to-settle-for-the-future-the-tories-are-creating/