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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Maybe LAB leadership contests can become an annual event
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Maybe LAB leadership contests can become an annual event
TELEGRAPH: Matt shoots, scores. #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/DLSVXuTLks
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He just mentioned immigration - how's your process doing?
I wonder who'll pay for it?
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/jul/21/2016-worlds-hottest-year-on-record-un-wmo?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
Even further - the Shi'a-Sunni schism, i.e. 632 AD
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/21/the-tories-are-destroying-labour-with-their-progressive-policies/
Hopefully they are right and next year will be better.
As you can see (and as should be no surprise), there is a very high level of correlation between employment rate and unemployment rate.
Now: US unemployment is 4.9%. Which means employment should be... oooh... around 62.5%.
Would anyone care to guess what the actual US employment rate is?
My guess: 62.4%
Surely such things are not material?
See: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS12300000
That's a HUGE difference, and one that correlates with US unemployment closer to 9%.
Now look at this: US unemployment vs US food stamps
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/jul/21/sections-of-great-barrier-reef-suffering-from-complete-ecosystem-collapse?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
Its just that we have got this odd idea that things shouldn't change, also another odd idea that if the activities of any plant or animal except homo sapiens impact on the ecosystem it is a normal and natural part of Evolution, but activities of homo sapiens that have such effects are an unnatural abomination.
My last chart. Change in the absolute number of people employed 2014 vs 1999:
test
Basically an independent arab nation was promised as in return for tbem helping overthrow the Ottoman empire in WW1.
Instead they were balkanised into several artificial colonies, sorry league of nations mandates, within the British and French empires with highly artificial boundaries.
I see the Donald has promised an end to crime and violence in the USA. That is even better than free owls!
I don't use that devalued word lightly, but can't think of a better one.
Labour's eco system. built up over a century and more, it is dying before our very eyes and there is little that can be done to stop it,...
Of course your point about councils going against national govt is valid. However it isn't really the ball game. National govt is where the action is and Labour are nowhere. They also don't seem to be hurting Conservatives in Conservative areas.
Nothing its supporters have ever enthused about. Parliamentary socialism is a contradiction in terms.
I think your right in the sense Labour will take some mayorities, and hold onto their traditional key councils. But ultimately what is the point if it can't win the country.
Interesting times.
Realistically there is no major challenger to replace Labour as official opposition. Even if Corbyn leads Labour to a worse defeat than Michael Foot did, what's going to happen next? Corbyn will have been shown to have failed, will leave in disgrace and be spoken about in similar tones to Foot. Labour will enter a period of rebuilding and eventually will, sadly, return to office.
Sensible Labour folks should sit down and stop being hysterical. Start planning your post-2020 rebuilding now.
EDIT: Perhaps start by figuring an answer to these questions
1: What does your vision of what Labour stands for?
2: How is it paid for?
http://www.thenational.ae/business/economy/brexit-sparks-fresh-free-trade-talks-between-the-gulf-and-uk
This is so different from the public perception. Osborne was exactly the sort of Chancellor that this country needed to address issues like inequality and unemployment. Will Hammond be able to keep up this remarkable record? Time will tell but I do not get the impression that he is driven by anything like the passion for fairness or helping the poor that Osborne showed.
I am still gutted that the Cameron/Osborne government has gone. Although I believe that Brexit was the right choice the price was extremely high. We have had the privilege of one of the best governments doing the right things for the whole country that we are likely to see.
2. By rich Tories. (FWIW I was told by an estate agent - in the 1970s! - "no one ever nought their first home honestly".)
And if that's good enough for you I really do hope you meet a slow and painful death.
20% of the voters want a hard left party, and another 10% will vote Labour out of traditional loyalty.
The Tories recognised that the writing was on the wall and were in position to dump IDS and unite around a new leader. Two years later, they'd elected David Cameron.
By contrast, Labour has been taken over from within by an evangelical group which is comprehensively trashing the party machine. Deselections (or non-selections where seats are redrawn) have been threatened by Corbyn. The leadership is at war with his parliamentary party. Large parts of the party are at war with its MPs. The union leaders, for their own ends, are on the side of the wreckers.
You say there's no alternative to Labour but that's incredibly complacent. Politics abhors a vacuum and an alternative will rise given enough opportunity. It might be the Lib Dems or it might be a breakaway party; both are possible, though Labour's fortunate that the Lib Dems are currently extremely weak. Even so, that's not something that can be guaranteed to remain the case, particularly if in alliance with an SDP2.
I suspect that Hammond will have his hands firefighting a serious Brexit recession and not have time for other matters. It is going to be all hands to the pumps to steady the ship over rest of this Parliament (which will run its full course or near as damn it imho).
Though do remember that the heydey of Cameron/Osborne was when they were in Coalition rather than majority government. Increasingly the coalition will be seen as a golden era of sane government.
I am concerned about May's authoritarian tendencies. This may prove unfair and simply a reflection of her role as Home Secretary but it worries me. I am also worried about the likes of David Davis and Fox in the government. We shall see.
I completely agree about the Coalition and accept that Danny Alexander should get considerable credit for steering Osborne in the right direction.
The Liberals collapsed almost to nothing in the middle part of last century.
It can happen.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/full-transcript-donald-trump-nomination-acceptance-speech-at-rnc-225974
Calm down. Donald Trump is a poor man's Barry Goldwater. Hillary Clinton is going to obliterate him.
oh dear, my small wager on hilary just started looking poor.
I think May 'may' be more effective on blue-collar conservatism and meritocracy than you might think.
When does the court case run its course?
Promised LandSocialist Utopia at last.I thought last night's results were a little straw in the wind that Labour's image isn't suffering quite as much as I would have expected from the wall to wall national media coverage of their problems.
Which I suspect is also an indication that Corbyn isn't as universally disliked out in the real world as you would think from the behaviour of the MPs.
The other side of is coin - possibly - is that getting rid of Corbyn might actually cause more problems for Labour than some of the ABC people on here might think?
I really think Clinton has a hell of fight on her hands now.
Frank Luntz on Newsnight said basically if Trump can make the election about Hilary and her failings he can do it.