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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gove pushes Boris out off the top slot in ConHome’s latest

The big political betting story this lunch time is that Boris Johnson has been pushed out of the top slot in the Conservativehome survey of next.com leader preferences by Michael Gove.
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Probably should rule him out though as i thought Blair was awful, Hague excellent and even saw redeeming features in IDS...
But he could be comprise candidate/stop Boris/Stop X candidate.
Liked by all wings of the party too.
However they are about as popular with the public these days as holidays to Sharm el-Sheikh.
"Damian McBride, Gordon Brown’s former communications chief who is now back in the Labour fold working for Emily Thornberry, has been tweeting about the offshore fund controversy."
Which is a rather interesting and telling plastering over of history, especially when the tweets are about Cameron and his family.
I was asked if Dave and George told me to write it.
No-one would have thought of Major as an election winner in 1988....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq7f9G-Em0g
Another Dead Cat?
Where's Michael Fallon?
Gove will have a decent legacy in that case
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/03/27/boris-johnson-is-having-a-deeply-unimpressive-referendum-campaign-so-far/
The PM in recent years he most closely resembles in terms of temperament if not personality is Gordon Brown. That's not a happy parallel.
*A clumsy sentence, I know. I was trying to avoid that horrible managerial bollocks phrase 'think holistically'.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/columnists/article4198515.ece
I've honestly no idea what point they're proving now, the world hasn't ended without them, 25k patients have had treatments put back months and for what?
I honestly hadn't noticed Corbyn's campaign launch. I saw a couple of tweets about their PEB but that's it.
Sigh.
I guess I should create PB.com <-> IRC bridge.
(But not today.)
Now: etiquette question for PBers. On checking in, the lady asked me: "Do you mind getting broken up, because I can upgrade one of you to First Class." I immediately put my wife forward and offered to look after our two small children for the seven hour flight at the back of the bus.
She accepted (and then texted me to say she was enjoying vintage Don Perignon.)
What would be appropriate recompense for my extraordinary selflessness?
Your pattern of giving is similar to my own, where I focus on local smaller charities, including hospices.
I don't donate to political parties (I don't believe they deserve my money), nor any longer to the likes of the RSPCA, since they showed their left wing political colours.
In fact I never now donate to large, national charities run entirely on business lines, complete with a main board directors on fancy expense accounts and six figure plus salaries ..... when I give to charity I like to think that it's going to charity, not to further enrich those who already far out-earn me.
The main problem with Gove is not the teaching unions' vitriol towards him, but the fact that, frankly, the man makes Ed Miliband look cool, socially competent, great company to have a pint with and not-at-all-weird.
err, maybe.
We knew about Cameron's family (I guess a lot more people do now because of this) but this exact story was in the Guardian in 2012, a few Tory donors (who would have guessed and JCB guy is saying they are wrong about some key facts) and so far in terms of British elite that is it.
And the rest, well blow me down Putin, African dictators and FIFA...
There has to be more, surely?
The unions were against them, but then they would have been against the lighting of the first fire. Incidentally if the ATL does merge with the NUT I shall resign from it.
He is very, very MC dinner party friendly. The obvious compromise post-Cameron PM amongst everyone I know.
That is no mean feat.
Would make Gove easily to sell as a liberal Tory in the mould of Cameron.
Gove is not. And no party leader has won a General Election in the past 25 years, either in the UK or the US, without passing the "would you have a pint with them" test.
A reputation for competence and common sense would easily trump a bit of uncoolness, especially verses a terrorist sympathising magic money tree marxist
Trump 39 .. Cruz 30 .. Kasich 24
Clinton 50 .. Sanders 44
Clinton 45 .. Trump 42
Clinton 43 .. Cruz 43
Clinton 35 .. Kasich 51
Sanders 48 .. Trump 40
Sanders 46 .. Cruz 38
Sanders 40 .. Kasich 46
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf
Insufficiently vociferous on the picket line, too smiley-Jemima in the photos, not really ever able to follow through on the threats of leaving or moving abroad.
My fb feed today is full of foolish mates who are striking despite receiving subsidised training and being in a great job with tremendous prospects. They're all smiling. Fools.
Nothing to hide, nothing to fear
Both are of course gross oversimplification shut I think rather like Reagan he has a very much 'good guys/bad guys' view of the world and can't deal with nuances.
The point is that if you replace "education" with "criminal justice" or "criminology" then most people who would make your statement would be equally happy with it. The point is that Gove was happy to deride (no doubt left-wing, commie, trendy, safe-space-loving) academics and expert practitioners in education, but he's listened to their equivalents in criminal justice.
Stop thinking about the producers - start thinking about the consumers.
More parents like Gove (because he cares about education) than teachers dislike him.
http://m.huffpost.com/uk/entry/9076940
https://twitter.com/paddypower/status/717665085938921472
Yes I don't think (insert massive multinational corporation) will fit your creative talents.
[notes on paper....oh shit if we give this guy a job, we are definitely going to be in the s##t for some advert that doesn't embrace a multicultural multi-faith modern world our brand tries to portray]
As for thinking about 'producers' rather than 'consumers' I assure you that I spend all my time in teaching thinking about what is best for the children in my care. So do almost all teachers of my acquaintance. The others don't last long. And of course being much closer to them than Gove (and I might add, rather more intelligent than he is) has it occurred to you that when I criticise the government's policy or more often, its implementation, it might be because I am right and he is wrong?
As for his interest in the welfare of prisoners, a man who worked at News International and sat in cabinet with Huhne and Laws no doubt feels a certain comfort in dealing with them
Liberal reformers are often disliked by those who are impacted by the reforms. I apologise if you're one of the great exceptions - but a family member has worked in the management of several schools; the stories I hear of incompetence and lack of motivation amongst the teaching profession boggle the mind of anyone who works in other areas.
I see Gove as a reforming professionaliser - this can only be good for the consumers; not only children but society at large who benefit from a better education youth.
The sad irony is that by treating teachers as enemies he made us enemies (to quote Sayers, 'treat a man like dirt and he'll act dirty'). That didn't have to happen (he followed Ed Talksaloda 'I don't care about education I'm marking time until I get to the Treasury' Balls, FFS, everyone was thrilled to see someone who clearly did care about education) and the consequences have been incredibly damaging, both for teaching and for children's education. It proves he is not suitable to be PM.
Now if you will excuse me, I have to fetch my car. Will try to reply to any other comments later.
"Etiquette question for PBers. On checking in, the lady asked me: "Do you mind getting broken up, because I can upgrade one of you to First Class." I immediately put my wife forward and offered to look after our two small children for the seven hour flight at the back of the bus.
She accepted (and then texted me to say she was enjoying vintage Don Perignon.)
What would be appropriate recompense for my extraordinary selflessness?"
Virtue is its own reward....
Done this way, with massive centralisation and prescription, they have massively increased our workload, reduced our pay, made people think we are left wing lunatics (you and Roger have both made that rather lazy assumption today) and literally brought the state education system to the brink of collapse. That's not needed or desirable.
I responded to all your points directly. If there are straw men there it's because you set them up.
PS 'who benefit from a better education youth.'
I'm assuming it was an autocorrect mistake and not an ironical attempt to prove your own point.
http://calvinayre.com/2016/04/05/business/panama-papers-link-amaya-gaming-insider-trading-investigation/
TBH, when it comes to tales of online gambling operations, hard to beat the Full Tilt Poker, well we need a US payment processor, ok we have so much cash lets just buy a bank and put everything through as online purchases of golf balls.
http://www.irishexaminer.com/business/paddy-power-to-axe-hundreds-of-professional-roles-in-ireland-391388.html
The seven women and three men will respond to a 14-section questionnaire on how the supporters died.
One question asks if the fans were unlawfully killed in the 1989 disaster.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-35979802
https://twitter.com/MartinDaubney/status/717701876817530881
I don't for a minute believe Khan is an extremist or supporter, but its a bit of a stretch to say he takes them on.
http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-35968787
RACCCISTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT...oh wait there is another picture the other way around...still RRRRRRACCCCISTTTTTT as "that lil white girl [in the old photo] looks fierce. The beautiful black girl [in the new photo] looks pissed,"...
Need SAFE SPACE SAFE SPACE....don't you dare put your hand up, this is a SAFE SPACEEEE...
It must be a real scream to work there. Fantastic sense of humour.
@davieclegg: The question Richard Lochhead is facing: "Did you leak a 13 year old email about Kez Dugdale and have you heard of Alistair Carmichael?"
But I see that you haven't responded to my comments about just how much reforming the teaching profession still seems to need...
There are great teachers - I'm sure you're one; a couple of my mates are too. But other people who I went to school with have become teachers in subjects at which they were during 5th form mediocre at best. They're posting '23 sleeps till holidays' or something similarly mindless on fb. That inspires little confidence. I'm not sure anyone absorbed in the day to day work of any non-commercial (and many commercial jobs) job has objectivity about the state of the profession.
Having said that, Boris is having a very bad war. I don't think it's his support for Brexit, I think it's the half-heartedness of his support for it. Once he was decided he should have known that was him and he had to demolish Dave and Remain or be demolished.
Rooms are really nice. We were upgraded as we needed a cot and the room might have been a little small without it, so was really pleased. Also, breakfast was great but unfortunately my daughter vomited all over the floor during it
He would be an awful choice for the Conservatives (look at his poll ratings), but the Conservatives love him and right now they don't care what the general public think, because they arrogantly assume that there will be no electable alternative to them at the next general election.
Talksport is good when r5L gets too sanctimonious,
R5L good for the adverts or when they're talking bollocks on Talksport.
Radio 4 for the cricket, and occasionally "in our time"
...Baking you a cake obviously.