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Opinium: Apart from vaccines more think LAB would be doing better – politicalbetting.com
Opinium: Apart from vaccines more think LAB would be doing better – politicalbetting.com
An interesting new polling approach from Opinium features in its latest poll and in the chart above. The sample was asked: Please imagine Labour had been in government for the last couple of years instead of the Conservatives. Do you think they would have done a better or worse job in each of the following areas?
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Tories are in the minority so perhaps this is to be expected. It is just the non Tory majority is very divided and less efficiently distributed by constituency.
Today's quite extensive poll in the mail is actually quite reasonable for HMG
THIS IS RIDICULOUS
As I said, I downloaded the app half an hour ago. Took 1 minute to set it up with Apple Pay
I just, as a test, ordered 1 bottle of red wine. A decent Trivento Reserve Malbec. £8 at Sainsbury's. £8 + £.180 delivery from Gorillas
This is 10pm on a Sunday
I ordered it, as in clicking my phone, at 9.54pm. The app said "it will be there in 9 minutes". And it was. I have just collected it at the door. THE PROCESS FROM ORDER TO DELIVERY TOOK 9 MINUTES
Opinium would still give Boris a majority of about 30
On the one hand, Heroin.
On the other, Lucy in the tralalala.Sky with fucking Diamonds.
Who is to say who was right?
https://twitter.com/PoliticsForAlI/status/1449845803506356234
@PoliticsForAlI
NEW: Forcing GPs to do more face-to-face appointments is ‘harassment’ and ‘discrimination’, the head of the British Medical Association has said
Via @Telegraph
7:30 PM · Oct 17, 2021"
It is not a matter of competition, both Right wing terrorism and Islamist terror are real threats.
They are sustainable - they use bicycles. They have darkstores across London, ready to go
I asked my bicycle guy how come it was so fast. He said "as soon we get your order people start rushing around in Kentish Town, fulfilling your order, and that means we can get it to you in ten minutes, as we promise"
It would be interesting to see how they cope with an order of 30 items rather than 1. Can they do this in 10 minutes? But who knows. Maybe they can
They are apparently German, and they also have vigorous competitors, already
I don't see why their model should fail, it does not have the intrinsic flaws of Uber. And the convenience is insane. You've forgotten a few items from your shop, and you're about to cook? Don't go back to the supermarket, use Gorillas, it will be there in 10 minutes. Ditto late night groceries
Already Trump is on 46%, Le Pen is on 45% in some polls next year, still not enough to win at the moment but in a decade?
Crime figures would have been entertaining though - or, at least, any interview in which the Home Secretary was asked to quote them.
They aren't showing any particular interest in Labour. They're just fed up and probably wouldn't vote if the election was tomorrow. But you'd be mistaken to think that only Remain fanatics feel like that.
That does not seem sustainable to me. As the guy said, people start rushing around when the order comes in. People starting to rush around costs money.
There is no “either / or”, it is both.
However, my concerns are the same as I posted yesterday namely that when it is right wing terrorism it rightly gets called out but when it is Islamic radicalist terrorism, there is a defensive reflex on a good swathe of the commentariat to try and do everything to deflect from the issue. That means the underlying problems just get swept under the carpet.
Which doesn’t help because, to put it bluntly, terrorism from radical Islamic fundamentalists is killing a lot more people than right wing terrorism. Both are threats but we can’t dispute the numbers.
This new density also means the loveliest tower of all, the Gherkin, is about to disappear from view entirely. IT will be completely surrounded
On the other hand, London will have an entirely unique skyline. It might look like an ugly Satanic splodge of steel and glass, but it will be very different to anywhere else
But that could easily go pear shaped if inflation runs away.
Sir K need to try and frame it as "Are you better off than when you voted to leave in 2016?"
He also needs to clear the barnacles as Lynton would say e.g. ditch the identity stuff. It's the economy stupid. Ignore the culture war. But that is very hard for Labour - possibly impossible with current membership.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-58947172
Not sure this is really a way to get high wage, high skill employment improving our productivity.
Not convinced someone can pull it off a second time.
If products can be delivered at such notice for so little, then Amazon will do it eventually, and the rest are dead.
I find a good test is whether people bring up a topic automatically and / or as a non-sequitur as it shows it’s on their mind and they are passionate. The only ones who do are the devout Remainers. The supply chain issues have got traction but there is a general acceptance it’s a global issue.
There are several years to go and SKS may hit it out of the park but it doesn’t feel like it now and many people look to have made their mind up about him.
The concern is that people get locked into these jobs when they are young, thinking it’s decent wages and a free lifestyle. Then, before you know it, you are 30+ and you have no skills. And your job has been automated.
Same with Deliveroo, Uber Eats, and so on. One of them will become the amazon of meal delivery.
Unless, of course, amazon take over Gorillas AND Deliveroo and Uber and become the amazon of EVERYTHING
Everyone was right except you and Lou Reed.
You have the floor.
Even on a Sunday the Co=op and Whole Foods are open until 9 or 11pm. And there are dodgy tiny stores which sell basic stuff 24/7/356, on my streetcorners
Yet none of them can match the convenience of this. I can order a rather decent bottle of red at 10pm on Sunday and it is here in 9 minutes? Even if Tesco Extra is open this late on Sunday AND it has that nice red it would take me 25 minutes to complete the process of walking down, finding it, buying it, coming back
It is quite revolutionary IF IT IS SUSTAINABLE
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/10/17/sir-david-amess-murder-suspect-had-considered-killing-mps-telegraph/
"Sir David Amess murder suspect had considered killing other MPs, the Telegraph understands
The investigation into the tragic death of the MP suggests he was not specifically targeted, but may have been picked at random"
But then we don't have shops open. Or trains before 10:30am or after 9pm either.
Tralalalala.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_in_the_United_Kingdom
Edit: though I think you are missing the final “la”.
It is not remotely sustainable.
Unless a UK Stasi comes about.
And even then...
The worry for the Conservatives has to be that political winter is coming, the lead they have in the barn might not be huge- can it survive a couple of years of tax rises and spending restraint with an election shortly after?
(That's BoJo's biggest problem. The winning strategy tends to be to be Scrooge in the aftermath of the election, so you can be Santa as the next election approaches. Covid has blown that one out of the water, rather.)
So I hear.
If he's operating solidly on this basis all night, that's £7.20 an hour. Before any costs.
It's kind of the investors to fund your wine ordering habits like this, but the idea that this sort of thing is in any way sustainable at this sort of rate is for the birds. I doubt its profitable at £5 a delivery.
Religion is very weird and disassociative, for instance the Christian texts are extremely clear that believers need to sell all their stuff and give the money to the poor, but there are millions of believers who apparently take the texts very seriously, yet never once do that, even though they would only have to take what they claim to believe seriously for a couple of minutes to do it. So it's not implausible the right intervention can increase the probability that someone acts on the non-homicidal part of their chosen book of holy stupid bullshit, while avoiding the homicidal parts.
You'll excuse my concern.
In Acts, some believers sold their possessions and held everything in common, but that clearly wasn't universal - Ananias and Sapphira sin and die in Acts 5 because they sell land and supposedly give the money over in this way - but actually hold a lot of money back. Its made very clear that they were free to have not sold the land - their sin is lying to Peter that they were giving over all the money.
It's fairly clear in some of the letters that many New Testament Christians retained property - even in one case (Philemon) the owner of a slave who runs away.
This isn't to say that many western Christians today aren't far too materialistic, but it's very unfair to say that any Christian who hasn't sold everything and given it away to the poor is ignoring some sort of biblical instruction.
Let's be optimistic, and say that a cyclist can make four deliveries an hour. Let's pay him £10/hour. That means that just the labour cost of delivery is £2.50. And that's before any other costs whatsoever.
Now, it may be possible with a sufficiently dense network, electric bikes, and multiple stops per trip, to get up to six deliveries an hour (although that seems hellafast to me). That's still a delivery labour component of around £1.70-80. Based on some very aggressive assumptions.
Now. Can it be made to work? Yes, probably. But you need to spend a *lot* of money on hyperlocal distribution centres, and you need to charge decent markups on everything. (I.e. retail margins 15% above your local corner store plus a £2.50 charge.)
There were a dozen Uber-type businesses - some sold to Uber/Lyft, some closed down, and Uber was Uber...
The question is whether there is a sustainable business model at the end of it, with positive unit economics. And the answer to that is maybe.
As far as I can tell, you need a lot more infrastructure and capital than Uber, and therefore your cash burn will be horrendous. Even once you reach scale, you'll also be pretty low margin: ultimately, people will pay £10 to £100 of groceries delivered (and where drivers don't have to return to the depot between deliveries). But will they be prepared to pay £4 to get a £10 bottle of wine delivered? Maybe. I can certainly see it working in Manhattan and Camden and Chelsea. But I struggle to see it working once the population density thins out.
As an aside, I've just looked at their site now that most eateries are closed and highlighted are several alcohol delivery services.
No other part of NHS is subject to access league tables blaming them for workforce shortages, publicly shaming with patient feedback texts, & CQC hit squads blaming them for failing. If general practice was an employee, it would claim harassment, discrimination, victimisation
https://twitter.com/CNagpaul/status/1449667564653748225
To channel another PBer, maybe they need to pay more (or offer better terms) to attract more doctors. Or more back to full-time rather than part-time practice.
One problem is they are trapped in a vicious circle. Increased demand (and Covid restrictions) worsen service which raises stress (including abuse and assault) which means more people leave which makes the service worse which increases stress (including abuse and assault) which...