Morning Consult/Politico poll today:Do you believe the U.S. should still withdraw its military presence in Afghanistan if it means it creates an opening for Al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups to establish operations in Afghanistan?45% — still withdraw40% — don’t withdraw
Comments
However in both cases there was a clear partisan divide, 62% of Republicans in the 16th August poll opposed withdrawal if it let Al Qaeda back in while Democrats by 44% to 36% still supported it.
In the 25th August poll 59% of Democrats still supported the withdrawal even if it led to the return of Al Qaeda and terrorist groups to only 32% of Republicans who would still support the withdrawal
https://morningconsult.com/2021/08/16/afghanistan-withdrawal-taliban-polling/
https://morningconsult.com/2021/08/25/afghanistan-withdrawal-relocation-poll/
CON: 39% (-1)
LAB: 31% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+1)
LDM: 8% (-1)
SNP: 5% (=)
RFM: 4% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 25-26 Aug.
Changes w/ 17-18 Aug.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/08/27/voting-intention-con-39-lab-31-25-26-aug?utm_source=twitter+&utm_medium=website_article&utm_campaign=voting_intention
I have to praise it like I should.
‘Therefore I will give thanks unto thee, O Lord, among the heathen, and I will sing praises unto thy name.’
Do you perhaps mean 15?
‘And he sent out arrows, and scattered them; lightning, and discomfited them.’
@kallmemeg
·
1h
Sparkles Festival Watch Sparkles
Today is about when we’d expect to start seeing a ‘festival effect’ - if there is one - from BH weekend events:
• Creamfields
• Reading
• Leeds
• Victorious
• All Points East
• Manchester Pride
But maybe if there hadn't been religion and hence everyone whapping great buildings for god and pictures of god and jesus, etc, they would have turned their hands to something else creative. As it was all the creative lot had their hands full of all the religious commissions.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
Paul Mainwood
@PaulMainwood
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10m
A UK vaccine supply update.
If you can't be bothered with a thread, then TL;DR:
There's plenty of doses. There's plenty of mRNA doses. There may be very good reasons not to offer teenage vaccination, or to start a >50s booster programme, but they are not supply-based.
As well of course as most of the earliest universities and seats of learning and schools and many of the early hospitals being founded by religions too
Exodus 3:7
“I have observed the misery of my people who are in Labour,” Jez's voice called out to him (Exodus 3:7). Jez then charged Johnny Mc to lead the Corbynites out of bondage and bring them to the Promised Land. He also told him to use his brother Piers as his spokesman, because “he can speak fluent gibberish”
Aug 27: Wallace criticises FCDO staff who left identifying docs at Kabul embassy
Aug 31: Raab criticises ‘military’ intel failings
Sept 1: Wallace contradicts Raab, says he thought ‘game was up’ in July
Sept 2: Raab says he & Wallace had same intel
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1433458282631516164
I am on Raab @ 25/1, and Wallace @ 16/1
There may be a quibble if not all Americans may think an Al Qaeda attack is particularly likely
So literally one could now say 'Vote Green, Go Blue!' under UK FPTP
Eric Topol
@EricTopol
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2h
3 Southern states are newly leading the US pandemic and currently have more new cases/100,000 people than any country of the world
KJV, or Tarantino.
South Korean sources had great intel on Kim's preparations to invade in 1950. MacArthur's intelligence chief discounted its value.
If you can't be bothered with a thread, then TL;DR:
There's plenty of doses. There's plenty of mRNA doses. There may be very good reasons not to offer teenage vaccination, or to start a >50s booster programme, but they are not supply-based.
https://twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1433455570271473671?s=20
Infratest dimap / ARD: SPD 25 % (+4%) | CDU/CSU 20 % (-3%) | GRÜNE 16 % | FDP 13 % | AfD 12 % | DIE LINKE 6 % | Sonstige 8 %
Changes with 19 August.
https://twitter.com/Wahlrecht_de
Another dire poll for Laschet
RomanianCanadianBritish tennis sensation Raducanu already a break up in the tennis.This is a beautifully crafted tweet that many people are misunderstanding.
This will be the CDU and Laschet's defeat
In practice, pace isam, I'd expect about half the Green vote to go Labour in marginals, not least as the Greens won't stand everywhere. But I do see them potentially moving into 3rd place, since they stand for some widely-recognised distinctive things (Corbynism plus added greenery), unlike, well, almost anyone else at the moment. They need to avoid disappearing down the trans feud rabbithole, though.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bavaria_Party
https://www.popsci.com/environment/vegan-milk-ice-cream-tastes-real/
...The California startup skips the udder by adding cow DNA to a prolific strain of a fungus called Trichoderma reesei. Give those modified microbes a little sugar and a stint in a fermentation chamber and they churn out a mixture of dairy proteins, including casein and whey, that are molecularly identical to those that give products made with regular old moo juice their wonderful consistency. From there it’s simply a matter of adding a bit of water and some plant-based fats to create creamy goodness that requires no animals at all.
Perfect Day’s research found that its process generates 85 to 97 percent fewer greenhouse gas emissions than conventional dairy production. It also doesn’t use any of the hormones or antibiotics (or, for that matter, land) needed to keep that immense livestock machine running. You won’t find any lactose or cholesterol, either....
You’ve got to feel sorry for Northants. They’ve been much the better side for three and a half days and Miles Hammond and Tom Lace have somehow stolen the match from them on the last afternoon.
That being said, FPTP makes it really hard for parties to break through. How do they convince people (and their supporters tend to be well educated and capable of understanding technical ) that their votes are not wasted?
And it's a chicken and egg issue: they don't get the local votes, and therefore they don't get seen as a challenger, and therefore they don't get the local votes.
I think they need (a) a really charismatic leader, and (b) to have popular policies that allow them to be differentiated from the other parties (particularly the Left wing ones).
Right now, I'm not sure they have either.
I believe the NFT of my avatar is worth $150k...
On the first part, I'd agree re Biden not taking a political hit. The US people generally want out of Afghanistan so it's a popular decision.
The problem for Biden comes with the second part. Three of his key election brand platforms were competence, compassion and decency. I'd argue the way the withdrawal was done has seriously damaged the first but maybe not permanently. However, he will definitely take a permanent hit on the other two (anyone who says Biden is compassionate will get laughed at given his "that was four or five days ago" comment).
All these three points were supposed to be differentiators with Trump. If you are going to pitch Biden as an hard ass, American first President, why not go for the real thing. That is another issue.
Finally, people had issues with Biden pre-Afghanistan - questions over his mental capabilities, the rise of inflation etc. What has happened only builds on these.
Short of that though yes unless there is another terrorist attack on US soil planned in the Middle East or Afghanistan or North Africa then it is unlikely any administration for the foreseeable future will be significantly different from Biden's on foreign policy
This is according to one pollster. Yes ,their claimed 7.5% SPD lead is large.
But look at the distribution - I don't think it's the CSU letting the side down*
(*don't overthink it)
And also, only some religions went all out for idolatry and art (not quite the same thing). Some eschewed them, and to this day I find the bare austerity of many Presbyterian kirks calming.
As so often said on PB: dodgy conclusions come from inherently biased samples.
I’d be surprised if the Greens polled more than 3% at the next election .
I will not be taking any questions at this time.
Thank you.
You can be an atheist and still appreciate the artworks the Vatican has and commissioned even if the kirk is more pious in its worship
Clearly it is Laschet and the CDU who will have lost it this time
One third of EFL footballers have no plans to get coronavirus vaccine
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2021/09/01/revealed-one-third-efl-footballers-have-no-plans-get-coronavirus/
Fox News: The voters want Biden impeached why aren't the traitors in Congress impeaching Biden?
Root out.
Sorry again.
Plus even today it is the church and religious bodies providing soup kitchens and homeless shelters, not big corporations
@SunetraGupta's latest, "There isn’t a case for mass ‘booster’ jabs"!
https://twitter.com/s8mb/status/1433471557616246784?s=20
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-58421178.amp
https://news.sky.com/story/amp/covid-19-sage-advisers-sent-suspicious-packages-reveals-member-whos-been-targeted-by-anti-vaxxers-12397573
I've written to you previously about your wonky child.
And of course you are also wrong about most big corporations. One company I have contracted to regularly has been meeting its commitment to donate several hundred thousand pounds each year to local charities even when it was £2 billion in debt. Perhaps the big difference is that a lot of companies just get on and do it without making a song and dance about it.
Oh and the idea that the Church should be praised for commissioning all that art and architecture when they would happily have condemned and probably killed off anyone who did the same thing but without the religious connections is rather perverse. They were more than happy to destroy any great works of art that were not 'Christian'. The destruction of the Library of the Serapeum in Alexandria is just one small example.
Clearly you're not familiar with Proverbs 5:19 or Ezekiel 23:20 or Pulp Fiction, all of whom I am trying to work into PB headers.