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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How strong political views can impact on our ability to analyse data
An interesting infographic from the US.
Source: BestPsychologyDegrees.com
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And I hate it when I'm the last person to post on a particular thread.
It's certainly intriguing, and also probably all too real an effect. We all want our views reinforced to some extent, and are therefore liable to reject items that contradict our world view. It'd be interesting to know if this effect increases or decreases with intelligence.
We see this effect on PB every day, especially when Avery posts one of his yellow boxes ... ;-)
Oh, and the Infographic is pretty pants.
The referee is accosted by Lallana because he wouldn't award Saints a penalty. He should have been sent off immediately and banned. Instead the ref tells him he's changed since he's played for England (i.e. he's become too gobby).
Southamptom refuse to accept it. How peculiar is that? By comparison, people believing what they want to believe is quite normal
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Peacemakers-Months-That-Changed-World/dp/0719562376/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1388767895&sr=8-1&keywords=the+peacemakers+versailles
Don't worry. I posted twice after you.
Think of it as an act of charity ;-)
I'm sure everyone will be able to put a spin on it:
MoE, no change, Broken sleazy (Insert party here) on the slide...
Don't you just love PR disasters. Wonder who's bright idea it was to bury this today?
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/01/02/teachers-vote-labour-lead-41/
Paul Leinster the Environment Agency chief executive later said "Flood risk maintenance will be [further] impacted. All of our work on mapping and modelling and new developments in things like flood warning will also have to be resized. And we're looking at a proportionate reduction in the number of people in flood risk management."
One exactly doesn't back the other up does it.
She supported reunification as the expression of the German people's democratic will. She was nervous about the implications for Europe given the huge weight that a prosperous Germany would have in the continent. She perhaps under-estimated the cost and pain and time to get there, but equally a lot of the challenges at the moment arise from Germany's preponderance (and the disquiet that breeds in Southern Europe)
I think we should all remember that during the period 1990 to 2002 or so, Germany was the sick man of Europe.The costs of reunification were high, and the country was hide-bound by a highly inflexible labour market. How could, people asked, Germany compete with the dynamic economies of Ireland, Spain and Italy?
Germany was able to compete, it turned out, by freeing up its labour market, while on the periphery, governments in boom-time Spain, Portugal and others implemented laws to help protect workers. German labour markets become more efficient, peripheral ones became less.
And, of course, the monetary policy of the ECB - which was designed to help Germany exit its late 1990s slump - threw fuel on the fires of speculative excess in Ireland, Portugal and Spain, creating crazy building booms that only collapsed following the GFC and the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis,
Read the ministers words carefully: Note the word INTENTION (Of Leinster)
Moyes may well have the INTENTION to win the prem, but my bet on that is up shit creek with no paddle atm.
One fed the headline "Flood defences "will be protected".
The other fed ""Environment Agency cuts"will hit" flood defences".
Which news source was it ?
Not Reuters I'm thinking...
UKIP leader Nigel Farage said much more needed to be done to prevent flooding and protect homeowners - and called the government "appallingly inept".
He said: "There are three million homes at risk of flooding in the UK and yet the government is cutting flood defences, allowing thousands of new homes to be built on flood plains, and sitting back and watching the EU block an insurance scheme designed to protect those most vulnerable from losing everything."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-25594526
"The Environment Agency will protect front-line flood defence services despite confirming hundreds of job cuts, the environment secretary says."
Bias BBC !!!!!!
Appealing to teachers shouldn't be a priority.
Lol.
Research in other areas re attitudes/beliefs etc shows pretty much the same. Not only political views.
OT Hail and thunderstorms here in Brighton. I'm pretty near/exposed to the coast so I'm hoping my roof's still on when I get back - if I get back
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9ryU0KE7CIY/TggvkwPreuI/AAAAAAAAF88/fV2M95W0rfo/s400/Gove+on+Strike.JPG
"The image depicts the education secretary alongside union colleagues from Aberdeen’s Press and Journal, distributed across the northern counties of Scotland. He went on a strike for as long as four months after his employers de-recognised the National Union of Journalists.
Indeed, Gove was described by his former shop steward as quite the firebrand:
“He was an active striker, willingly taking his turn on picket duty and going on a small delegation to Strasbourg to press the union’s case”
Not because he went on strike but it showed his hypocrisy up very well.
They can indeed – and I’m obviously afflicted with it as I can’t make head nor tail of the diagram.!
t-witter.com/MartWes/status/419162240479424512/photo/1/large
2 or 4 ?
Not as close as this though
http://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/1/285x214/224406_1.jpg
I haven`t seen Ed Miliband on TV for the last month.Is he abroad?
There is clear discrepancy between what the Environment secretary and the CEO of Environment Agency are saying.And with massive problems expected,should it not the LOTO leading the debate against cuts to flood protection.
I haven`t seen Ed Miliband on TV for the last month.Is he abroad?
SMukesh - I Haven't a clue where Milibad is, however, Patersons shadow has already questioned him a few weeks back:
"Responding to remarks by Owen Paterson that energy companies “let customers down” by not having enough staff on duty to cope with Christmas power cuts, Maria Eagle MP, Labour’s Shadow Environment Secretary, said:
"As the country faces more severe weather, households that went a week without power and suffered devastating flooding expect to see some action from Ministers at long last, not attempts to pass the buck.
"Of course the energy companies must explain why it took so long to get power restored, but Owen Paterson has a nerve pointing the finger at staff being on holiday when he himself has not been seen for days.
"The Environment Secretary has his own questions to answer about his failure to prioritise flood defence investment and deliver the vital flood reinsurance scheme on time, leaving homes without affordable insurance until 2015 and, even then, excluding many properties at risk."
As a proposition it is self evident.
Someone mentioned a study on an earlier thread that took this one stage further. There was apparently a study which suggested that those that work in an industry tended to be poorer investors in it than those that were not because they over exaggerated the importance of their knowledge and analysed the data in ways that met their preconceptions.
That struck me as a more interesting study for this site. Does having a very detailed knowledge of politics actually help or hinder people on here with their betting?
One obvious point is the gross over reaction to every little bump in the road for any politician. Owen Paterson might be the latest example of this but it is an almost daily occurance. If people gambled on next cabinet minister out on this basis they seem likely to lose money. IMO those gambling on success for UKIP might well be guilty of the same fault (but then I would say that wouldn't I?)
(It is relevant to the piece actually)
No poll expected till tomorrow evening, fellow-addicts.
So who won?
And LOL wrt Hilary Benn and Stangate Farm.
http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2014/01/stephen-edwards-the-achilles-heel-of-goves-education-revolution.html#idc-cover
http://www.policyexchange.org.uk/component/zoo/item/call-for-evidence-ofsted
More to the point, you could debate if "risk modelling" is a frontline service.
Fundamentally, though, when did it become ok for a senior government employee to intervene in the realm of elected representatives?