The final month of the beaten incumbent US President’s looks set to be how he’ll be remembered. With so many millions of Americans being affected this could have an impact if he does decide to run at WH2024. It could also undermine the Republicans in the the critical Georgia runoffs on January 5th.
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Everybody's first!
Happy Christmas.
From cases
From hospitalisation data
Christmas 2020 UK top five singles
1 Don't Stop Me Eatin' - LadBaby
2 All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
3 Last Christmas - Wham!
4 This Christmas - Jess Glynne
5 Boris Johnson... - The K's
Christmas 2020 UK top five albums
1 McCartney III - Sir Paul McCartney
2 Evermore - Taylor Swift
3 Together at Christmas - Michael Ball and Alfie Boe
4 Classic Diamonds - Neil Diamond and LSO
5 Music Played by Humans - Gary Barlow
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-55436050
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1342554825465196544?s=20
https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1341572295769415682?s=20
https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1341867546065182720?s=20
https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1341861971096952834?s=20
This is not 2017-19 when it was possible to at least make an argument that supporting the Govt was tantamount to abandoning their supporters who still held out hope of avoiding Brexit altogether. Harping back to Brexiteers “promises” that haven’t been realised cut no ice, when everyone knows they were phoney.
By Christmas and lack of in person early voting days completely screws up any analysis.
I remain out of the market.
Republican voters must be thoroughly at a loss to know what on earth they are voting for.
Presidency is probably a lot of work if you want to achieve something... lot less otherwise I'd imagine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOBBJYe_HZg
You can argue that Labour should vote against as a united party. But the priority should be unity, not their position on the deal itself. If the whole thing is a disaster then it will be easy to point to the previous 4 years of opposition to Brexit, as opposed to one vote on the final deal (after we've already left).
SR BA PPE (Open)
It's hardly the same for Sturgeon. She hasn't just been hammered in SNP heartlands for opposing Brexit.
Now is not the time for virtue signalling on Brexit.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1376653/eu-news-emmanuel-macron-france-superstate-angela-merkel-germany-brexit-latest
The problem is that Brexit isn't the solution. And by 2024 that will be painfully obvious. Selling this as the Tory Brexit disaster will be easier if they are not seen as complicit in bringing it in.
Except that they won't. One quick horror for swathes of the population will be the ending of EU subsidies and investments. For all of the "what did the EU ever do for us" comments the truth is quite a lot in the areas that voted leave. That cash is gone, and the Tories aren't replacing it...
If Brexit wasn't a solution to the problems in Labour heartlands, then the solution is to focus on things which might be. Not continue to focus on Europe. One thing that has often been pointed out as a benefit of Brexit. It will be impossible to blame the EU on our problems in future. Which will make it more important to focus on things that will actually make a difference.
Perhaps once we get through Christmas the government might want to put better arrangements in for the trucks they are going to park at Manston / Ashford / the M20
The Conservatives pretty much mirrored Labour spending plans throughout the 2000s. That didn't prevent them making political hay post the financial crisis, however much Labour tried.
Perhaps the plan is to outsource facilities for truck drivers to foreign governments?
Sadly, I also don't see KS as being the leader to do that either.
https://twitter.com/ClarenceHouse/status/1342394677652303873?s=20
Is this right? Funny if it is - no longer being under the yoke of the ECHR was a major part of Brexit for the ERG
Dear Keir Starmer
it’s is NOT a binary choice about picking the lesser of two evils in the national interest.
Only someone living at the backend of the universe the last six years could possibly view this as a binary vote. Where has you been? What gimmickry are you playing at? If parliament says no, Boris can speak to EU to roll on the transition.
It’s not panto season with anyone saying “oh no he can’t” because, yes he can. It’s exactly the same as with May’s deal when she said it’s this or nothing, but ended up in that third option to re open the in un-reopenable.
If parliament doesn’t pass it before the 1st it’s not inevitably no deal brexit. That is a lie. That is a lie by scoundrels. It can be more transition, would EU say no to more transition if parliament reject and government asked for hasty transition extension?
There is no way any opposition party can whip this. There is not a single reason any MP of any party should feel there is a gun to their head if they don’t like this deal and don’t want to vote for it.
I doubt those drivers will ever go to Britain again. I can't blame them.
To oppose the deal based on views on Brexit or what was (completely unrealistically) promised by Brexit advocates is looking back not forward. And just creating new splits and problems for party management for no reason. And Starmer also needs to put to bed any lingering idea of a lobby within the party for advocating a return to the EU. In the short to medium term anyway. If that comes about organically in the future then so be it. But i doubt there's any serious appetite in the country for reliving that debate. Too many people misread polls about "with hindsight a mistake to leave". That should not be taken as a proxy for rejoining.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Manston+International+Airport/@51.340751,1.36377,6545m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m5!3m4!1s0x0:0x25806d69d8b574b1!8m2!3d51.3469491!4d1.3586653
I would concede though. If the Europe nations rush to ratify this and Boris needs Starmer’s votes, it points to exactly who is shafting who in this deal, does it not?
There is a difference between George Osborne lying about an emergency budget and the logistics industry laying out in detail how the deal fucks them and by them they mean you.
People will learn the difference. Quickly.
Would Andrew Neil would have done even better?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WIKg3Qexn7U
The devil is in the detail - it always is and 1,246 pages suggests a lot of detail.
Boris Johnson's predictably bouncy optimism sounds even more hollow than usual - I appreciate a Deal represents the avoidance of chaos but to dress it up as the greatest event since the last one is absurd.
What it has done is turn the page on a significant chapter in British history - I suspect our relationship with the EU will improve markedly now we are on the outside. The problem for us is and remains to be the failure of anyone in power to advance a coherent argument for the way forward for the United Kingdom.
For that reason, the Deal, for all its not doubt many limitations, will go ahead simply because there's no stomach to countenance the opposite whether that may be a descent into the chaos of WTO or a return for more negotiation. It's done - for better or worse, we have to move on and start having a proper national conversation about the way forward.
Disagree with Starmer's stance if you must. But once he's made his stance clear, his MPs (particularly his front bench) should back it.
AstraZeneca / Oxford - 100m
Novavax - 60m
Sanofi / GSK - 60m
Valneva - 60m (with an option for 130m more)
Pfizer/BioNTech - 40m
Johnson & Johnson - 30m
Moderna - 7
Of these, AstraZeneca will hopefully be approved in the next few weeks. Novavax and J&J should get results in January (and if they're positive) could be approved by the end of the first quarter.
The Sanofi vaccine is being pushed back to (at earliest) the second half of 2021, so we shouldn't expect too much from that. Valneva is very early stage (it's in Phase 1 / 2 at the moment, but because it uses actual inactivated CV19 as its material, it has a high likelihood of success.)
If Novavax and J&J and AZN are all approved in Q1, then the pace of vaccinations should be pretty quick by the middle of next year.
Fingers crossed.
In the US, they have special truck lanes on the Canadian border where (assuming you've done your paperwork properly in advance) you don't even have to slowdown.
Now, doesn't mean it won't be more hassle than now. But let's not pretend it'll be disastrous.
The Government have an EIGHTY SEAT majority, and it’s government alone who have negotiated it, created the deal. If the only way they can get votes for it is they have run the clock down, that goes completely against the better democracy they claim brexit is all about. It goes against all democracy.
If you tolerate having to vote for this because the clock has run down, burning down the parliament will be next.
To believe in democracy you have to believe everyone in parliament can vote with their conscience on what they think of the deal, for the country and their constituents, without the weapon of no deal held to their heads.
If then it passes, it passes. That’s democracy saying yes. And, if governments deal can’t pass despite an eighty seat majority over all other parties, democracy is saying no.
If you are selling anything else, any snake oil politics, no ones buying.
INSURRECTION ACT NOW!!!
Its Stamer's call not mine. Its a risk either way.
HAH. Small chance of that.
The year after Brexit, world economic growth sped up (Somewhat ironically, a consequence of the Eurozone returning to reasonable levels of growth).
We benefited.
Economists make predictions. Sometimes they're right, sometimes they're wrong.
It's like weathermen: they're often wrong, but that doesn't make their forecasts useless.
My argument is simply about what Labour needs to do to move on. Accept the world as it is and look forward, not the world as some might like it to be and look back.
If we are very lucky the good people at places like Toyota and Nissan will reconfigure their supply chain so that their UK factories uniquely don't operate to their just in time model and will remain open.
Once we are in government the gender neutral bathrooms will take care of themselves. Until then, we should shut up about stuff that makes us look out of touch with the average person in the street. And I include Israel - Palestine on that list.
Per kilometre. They don't earn when sat in queues. Yes, this queue is days longer than they will be next year. But they will still be lengthy and pointless.