There’s a new Ipsos-MORI poll reported in the Observer that suggests that more than two thirds would be ready to welcome migrants from Bulgaria and Romania provided that they “learn English, get a job, pay taxes and become part of their local community.”
Comments
So basically, if they blend in so seamlessly that nobody notices them, 68% wouldn't object. Hmm ... well, that's a shock result, isn't it?
The old ones are the best.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA
Any comments that cast doubt on the integrity of Ipsos-MORI will be deleted
A push poll would ask:
So, does candidate X's support for paedophilia concern you?
He also makes an interesting point about the EU debate:
"For as long as I can remember, the European debate has involved an element of snobbery. Supporters of the project are not so much pro-EU as anti-Eurosceptic, seeing themselves as defenders of moderate, decent, civilised values against Blimps, oiks and football hooligans. I’ve lost count of how many people in Brussels have said to me, “You know, Hannan, you’re very broadminded for a Eurosceptic”. They mean to be nice, but they reveal their narcissism.
Well, let me be broadminded now. It may be true that the Eurosceptic movement has more than its share of eccentrics. You know what? That has been true of every movement that takes on the orthodoxy. You can’t read history without being struck by how many oddballs and misfits were attracted, in the early stages, to the campaign against slavery or the campaign for a universal franchise. Any movement that challenges the status quo will attract, as well as principled reformers, people who are simply grumpy about life in general. But this doesn’t make them wrong."
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100252075/shock-poll-69-per-cent-want-to-stay-in-the-eu/
Push poll: A bunch of calls that pretend to be a poll but are really designed to get a message directly to the respondents.
Voodoo poll: A poll with serious methodological problems, often deliberately.
Prod poll (I just made that up): A poll that uses earlier questions to affect the respondent, before asking the question you plan to report, like the classic Yes Prime Minister one.
Agenda-driven poll (I made that up as well): A poll that asks questions that will result in responses that serve the agenda of the people who asked for it, but may actually be valid. For example, asking whether unemployment benefits should be lower, and asking how much they should actually be, will result in contradictory responses, because the respondents over-estimate how much they are. You'd ask the first if you wanted to cut benefits and the second if you wanted to raise them. But they're both meaningful survey results.
An ethical pollster won't do push, voodoo or prod polls, but they probably will end up doing agenda-driven polls, and we just have to be careful how we interpret them.
Romanian and Bulgarian citizens have had a totally unrestricted right to come and live in the UK since 1st January 2007. They have had a totally unrestricted right to set up and run their own businesses and work as self-employed persons in the UK since 1st January 2007.
The main change in 3 days time is that they will now be entitled to work as employees of a 3rd party in an unrestricted manner. For the last 7 years they have had to apply for a Work Permit.
I wonder what the Daily Mail and Daily Express will do when by 31st March/30th June/30th September/31st December 2014 people find they have not been confronted by vast numbers of additional Romanians and Bulgarians hanging out on their village/town/city suburb street corners!
Frankly there is far greater concern in Bulgaria about the British and Germans having bought up so much Black Sea property that Bulgarians have been priced out of housing in their own country.
Can you spot the link?
Perhaps the most famous use of push polls is in the 2000 United States Republican Party primaries, when it was alleged that George W. Bush's campaign used push polling to torpedo the campaign of Senator John McCain. Voters in South Carolina reportedly were asked "Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for John McCain for president if you knew he had fathered an illegitimate black child?"
This hypothetical question seemed like a suggestion, although without substance. It was heard by thousands of primary voters.
McCain and his wife had in fact adopted a Bengali girl.
Bush had previously used push polls in his 1994 bid for Texas Governor against incumbent Ann Richards. Callers asked voters "whether they would be more or less likely to vote for Governor Richards if they knew that lesbians dominated on her staff."
We could do with some over here to replace that great shower of shite we have playing out in Oz
Mr. Eagles, they collapsed faster than Caesar attending the Senate.
ALP for his yellow boxes. I salute his indefatiguability!
Would you vote for a party if you knew that party's leader's father was an immigrant who hated Britain?
Oh, I've given Paul Dacre an idea haven't I?
Do you favour:
1. Staying in the EU under current terms?
2. Staying in the EU if the Government recommends new negotiated terms?
3. Leaving the EU?
It's easy to construct any number of similar examples, and the media can if they wish make it worse by adding 1 and 2 or 2 and 3, reporting "the vast majority of voters reject ...[the third option]". A good poll should usually have two or four options, forcing respondents to lean one way or the other.
So which is it, cheapshots or positive politics You cant have it both ways.
http://www.rsablogs.org.uk/2013/adam-lent/people-hate-politics-politicians-good-reason-change-anytime/
Now without cheating via the usual suspects by the usual suspects ....
There have been at least a few dozen British parliamentarians who have played first class cricket and gone on to become MPs. However only three of these MP's have also become government ministers.
Who are they, which teams did they play for and which constituencies did they serve ?
Lord Home. Played for Oxford, Middlesex and The MCC and he was MP for West Perth and Kinross.
A bit of a political answer there, Easterross, cherry-picking the bits you like.
What's it got to do with you?
In any case, can tim please come back?
A bit of a political answer there, Easterross, cherry-picking the bits you like.
Big Issue sellers nowadays seem to be almost exclusively Roma immigrants. They apparently are self employed doing this and immediately entitled to claim benefits and tax credits.
Or maybe, I'm just bored with your bleating.
Another heavy defeat for England in Australia...
Past performance suggests Spurs get stuffed later today...
*Innocent Face*
You could always go and do something else. its interesting that you never made this sort of comment to a prolific poster who used to make the same points day in and day out
Now personally I, and I suspect a lot of other people on here, would never be happy to see a Labour candidate win a seat. But Nick might almost be the exception given that he is one of the politest and most tolerant of people I have ever come across on this forum. If he treats his constituents with anything approaching the respect he treats the rest of us on here, even those who regularly shoot him down over his views, then I think they are probably very well served.
In addition of course his opponent is one of the most obnoxious MPs currently squatting in Parliament so she would be no great loss to our political scene.
Your mountain building exercises from mounds that hardly even qualify as molehills is rather sad.
As Lord Dunglass he played first class cricket between 1924-7 for Oxford University, Middlesex and the MCC. In 1930 Lord Dunglass was elected as a Unionist MP for Lanark and held the seat until the Labour landslide of 1945. Immediately prior he held his first government post in Churchill's caretaker government.
Lord Dunglass regained Lanark in 1950 but resigned the seat in 1951 when he succeeded his father as the Earl of Home. He then enjoyed several further ministerial posts including Minister of State for Scotland, SoS for Commonwealth Affairs, Lord President of the Council, Leader of the Lords and Foreign Secretary.
I doubt you could ever find a poll that would oppose the immigration of those that want to come here, get a job and fit in with the British way of life in all it's tolerant variety. This poll seems on the limited information available yet another example of that viewpoint.
Off-topic:
Question: What is a period of six consecutive months of negative-growth called...?
Answer: Please provide (with workings)....
Make him England Team Captain and his cricketing skills resemble dog poo as he gets caught out for a duck or at best fewer than 50 runs.
Maybe the answer is for England to just accept it is a mediocre nation in sporting terms like the rest of us (Wales, Scotland and N Ireland) and stop importing South Africans and others and making them pretendee Englishmen in order to put them in your team- discuss!
(retreats into my Highland bunker at this point)
SR, if you plan on laying traps, it's best not to hang a neon sign from it saying, "caution trap here!"
Some of us have had a very different experience with NP. But I'd better shut up, or he'll accuse me of stalking him.
Again.
;-)
http://www.turn2us.org.uk/information__resources/benefits/working_or_looking_for_work/self_employment.aspx
At best, the Observer headline is misleading – welcome “provided that they “learn English, get a job, pay taxes and become part of their local community.” is one hell of a caveat to leave unsaid.
Under such criteria, I’m surprised the result is still only 68%.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-25539843
Root seems to be the golden boy, maybe make him captain now and let him develop, the Saffers did it with Smith and that worked well enough.
Cook is too defensive and made some quite unfathomable decisions this morning.
If you were pro immigration without controls then you would probably say disagree.
I don't think many people, certainly not people on here.
Do you object to people coming here to work, contribute and integrate? bet you don't.
Do you blame people for accessing, free of charge, a first world social welfare/education/health system for themselves and their families given the chance? bet you don;t.
And I'm not sure I know what it means to "fit in" but it certainly doesn't sound like something I'd want to do.
I thought the criteria was being an EU citizen, not 'learning the language', 'working' or 'paying taxes'.
'fitting in' - Whats that doing in a poll question ?
'working HARD' - why not just 'working ?!'
This definitely fits Morris Dancer's 'agenda-driven' poll...
This is not the first one. There was another which said the 18 - 24 olds would vote to stay in.
We have sensible young people growing up.
One rule for us, one rule for them !
One easy step would be to stop recent immigrants claiming Income Support, as they are not available for work.
Another reasonable step would be to stop people claiming child benefit for children living abroad.
You fail to draw a distinction between "live here" and "live here at someone else's expense".
Howzat !! .... Disclaiming peerages runs in the family.
Pay a living wage, as my firm does. This will also cut welfare costs. It also will dispel suggestions that East European workers are undercutting Brit workers.
Regarding those jobs which Brits refuse to do, well there is little choice. Very soon even EU people will not do those jobs as some already don't.
Some analysts predict the pound will be the reserve currency of 2014, with one prediction I read of 1.80 against the dollar.
We are going to be just giving this currency away free to anybody in Europe who wants it, together with free schooling and healthcare for unlimited numbers.
For what must be many, many millions of people, its the offer of a bleeding lifetime. You'd be mad not to take it.
two in three (68%) agree, while 13% disagree"
You got the hard core UKIP vote. Right there.
Do these ex-pat Americans get free welfare? Free schooling in one of the world's best funded public systems? Free healthcare at the point of use immediately for unlimited family members? housing benefits? Child benefits?
Editted-to-add: The Health System is privatised and run from Groningen: If you do not speak Dutch* they refuse to answer why - despite EHIC - you have to pay Euro-375/quarter in fines for being English.
* Except when I told them not to bother me if they can't get their ass-in-gear....
Remember the operative word in the question is "welcome"
I know a Bulgarian, who works damn hard. I bet she and her husband work the hours and sends money to their 15 year old daughter in Bulgaria who lives with her granny. I have nothing but respect for such people. They are sponging of nobody.
But since you ask, yes, if I lost my job I'd be eligible for unemployment benefits.
Perhaps, We are very crowded, house prices are extremely expensive and the winter is total sh8t.
"Not to be a republican at 20 is proof of want of heart; to be one at 30 is proof of want of head."
The same applies just as much to the young today.
* In which I have consumed many a beer when not in Eindhoven. Just to keep the actuary in place...
We aren't comparing like with like though are we? Isn't Germany's benefits system contribution based? isn't their health system a mixture of public and private? Isn't Ireland's health system insurance based?
In the UK all the above are free at the point of use to anyone in the EU who wishes to use them.
What percentage of recent immigrants claim benefits ? 1,2 % max.