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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    As it would be a foreign power and England would correctly put its own interests first in any trade negotiations and if Scotland left to join the EU because of No Deal it would have to accept that would mean tariffs put on Scottish exports to England
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,149

    kle4 said:

    Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    Plenty.
    I hadn't noticed many, sorry if that's the case. You?
    Not me, no, not even a little bit. But I think there's a quite a few, from the 'it's nothing to do with us' side (notwithstanding it is currently a part of the UK so yes it is something to do with the rest of the UK), to the 'it'd be good for all the nations of the UK to go their own way', to 'How dare they not like the UK, just bugger off and it'll be tory heaven' side.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,357
    Ave_it said:

    My mobile is being weighed down by Scotland. Please get rid of it

    I could suggest where you could stick it
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Georgia had breached 5000 test confirmed Covid deaths - as ever the real figure will be higher. Will now easily be into a run of days of 50%+ excess deaths from Covid.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,357
    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    Tim, I agree there are many sensible intelligent people on here that would wish us well, but a fair rump who only harbour ill wishes unfortunately, it is an extremely sad fact.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,357
    Nigelb said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    I don’t know about most, malcolm. Certainly the loudest voices.

    I don’t want to see Scottish independence, either, but that is no reason to deny another referendum, if that’s the democratic will of Scotland. Nor is it reason to seek anything but a cooperative relationship, should Scotland become independent.
    Most was a bit over the top Nigel, but at least a very vocal minority as you say.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599

    Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    Whatever they want to do should be respected.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    malcolmg said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    Tim, I agree there are many sensible intelligent people on here that would wish us well, but a fair rump who only harbour ill wishes unfortunately, it is an extremely sad fact.
    Before the Act of Union England fought more wars against Scotland than any other nation bar France, after a likely bitter divorce do not expect a love in
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    There's something wrong with their polling if Vauxhall wasn't one of the 138 seats they would have held.
  • HYUFD said:

    malcolmg said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    Tim, I agree there are many sensible intelligent people on here that would wish us well, but a fair rump who only harbour ill wishes unfortunately, it is an extremely sad fact.
    Before the Act of Union England fought more wars against Scotland than any other nation bar France, after a likely bitter divorce do not expect a love in
    Do you think we'll wage war against France too after Brexit?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
    A Tory government would never hold a referendum on the monarchy so it is not an issue, if there was to be one it would be under Labour and in the unlikely event there was a vote for a republic there would be a Labour government implementing it.

    There is nothing unconservative about wanting to regain sovereignty from Brussels .

    I do not loathe Scotland, I want it to stay in the UK, I loathe the SNP
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited August 2020

    HYUFD said:

    malcolmg said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    Tim, I agree there are many sensible intelligent people on here that would wish us well, but a fair rump who only harbour ill wishes unfortunately, it is an extremely sad fact.
    Before the Act of Union England fought more wars against Scotland than any other nation bar France, after a likely bitter divorce do not expect a love in
    Do you think we'll wage war against France too after Brexit?
    Well given the current turn of events who knows, Barnier is French of course (though as I have Huguenot ancestry so partly am I)
  • HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    But you voted against Brexit in 2016 for some unfathomable reason!
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    malcolmg said:

    Ave_it said:

    My mobile is being weighed down by Scotland. Please get rid of it

    I could suggest where you could stick it
    I'm coming up to Ayr on Monday to visit my investment properties. I will bring you your handout from London when I am there
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited August 2020
    Alistair said:

    Georgia had breached 5000 test confirmed Covid deaths - as ever the real figure will be higher. Will now easily be into a run of days of 50%+ excess deaths from Covid.

    Looking at Georgia annual death stats August is their normally lowest month so they are probably running at 60%+ excess deaths at the moment.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,036
    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    As it would be a foreign power and England would correctly put its own interests first in any trade negotiations and if Scotland left to join the EU because of No Deal it would have to accept that would mean tariffs put on Scottish exports to England
    Why would it be in our benefit to pay more for whisky?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720
    Andy_JS said:

    There's something wrong with their polling if Vauxhall wasn't one of the 138 seats they would have held.
    Presumably LD rather than Tory gain.

    It is easy to forget that just over a year ago in May 2019 the LDs had outpolled Lab 19.6% to 13.7% in national elections, including in London.

    Last few years have been very volatile. The current apparent stasis may not last.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    As it would be a foreign power and England would correctly put its own interests first in any trade negotiations and if Scotland left to join the EU because of No Deal it would have to accept that would mean tariffs put on Scottish exports to England
    Why would it be in our benefit to pay more for whisky?
    We have our own developing whisky industry

    https://www.englishwhisky.co.uk/
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Nigelb said:

    One thing that it’s possible polls are not picking up is the shy Trump abandoners.
    Certainly in the red areas in swing states, those Republicans who have switched are very hesitant to talk about it (& if their neighbours are true believers, who can blame them ?). Do the polls pick them up ?

    The undecideds from last time around are also breaking significantly for Biden this time around. Will they turn out ?

    I had a drink 2 weeks ago with a lovely couple from Louisiana. They are voting Biden - but volunteered that they just didn’t talk politics because all of their neighbours were pro Trump (they said their neighbours were driven by the fact their taxes were lower under Trump)

    You could well be on to something although n=1
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
    A Tory government would never hold a referendum on the monarchy so it is not an issue, if there was to be one it would be under Labour and in the unlikely event there was a vote for a republic there would be a Labour government implementing it.

    There is nothing unconservative about wanting to regain sovereignty from Brussels .

    I do not loathe Scotland, I want it to stay in the UK, I loathe the SNP
    A Labour government arranges a referendum which results in a 52% majority for abolishing the monarchy. There is a GE before terms have been agreed for the monarch to step down. What should the position on Monexit in the tory manifesto be?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,222
    Inside Ed Markey's unlikely emergence as an icon to Gen Z activists
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/513131-inside-ed-markeys-unlikely-emergence-as-an-icon-to-gen-z-activists

    I think he might just see off the young Kennedy challenge.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,036
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
    A Tory government would never hold a referendum on the monarchy so it is not an issue, if there was to be one it would be under Labour and in the unlikely event there was a vote for a republic there would be a Labour government implementing it.

    There is nothing unconservative about wanting to regain sovereignty from Brussels .

    I do not loathe Scotland, I want it to stay in the UK, I loathe the SNP
    So you only loathe half of Scotland. Not so bad then.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
    A Tory government would never hold a referendum on the monarchy so it is not an issue, if there was to be one it would be under Labour and in the unlikely event there was a vote for a republic there would be a Labour government implementing it.

    There is nothing unconservative about wanting to regain sovereignty from Brussels .

    I do not loathe Scotland, I want it to stay in the UK, I loathe the SNP
    A Labour government arranges a referendum which results in a 52% majority for abolishing the monarchy. There is a GE before terms have been agreed for the monarch to step down. What should the position on Monexit in the tory manifesto be?
    Well we would try and reverse it as Labour did Brexit but technically there should still be a brief Republic to respect the vote then a grand Restoration of the monarchy a la 1660 once the Tories win the election
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Boris was entitled to his holiday. He was helping out a backward country. Very disappointing those on benefits had to publicise his location.

    Such a nasty country!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    As it would be a foreign power and England would correctly put its own interests first in any trade negotiations and if Scotland left to join the EU because of No Deal it would have to accept that would mean tariffs put on Scottish exports to England
    Why would it be in our benefit to pay more for whisky?
    We would drink less of it. Jeffrey Bernard believed that both whisky and, say, vodka make you an alcoholic but that whisky makes you mad over and above being an alcoholic in a way other drinks don’t.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,036

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    But you voted against Brexit in 2016 for some unfathomable reason!
    The reason is simple. He follows the orders of whoever is leading the Tory Party at the time. Cammo said vote Remain, he voted Remain. Now Bozo says Hard Brexit - you know the rest.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited August 2020

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Sounds like project fear to me.
    That's all they've got. There is no positive vision of Union to sell to the people of Scotland.

    Or Yorkshire, for that matter.
    It worked in 2014.

    It also worked in Quebec in 1995 where it was not love of Canada which saw a 51% No vote but companies starting to move out and fear of the economic damage with the carrot of devomax.

    It almost worked in 2016, most of the 48% like me did not vote Remain out of any love of the EU but because we feared the economic damage of leaving it
    And yet you are now the biggest pompom waver for Bozo's rock-hard no-deal Brexit. Funny old world.
    No I still would prefer a deal but I also respected the will of the people to leave the EU
    Which is why you are and will forever be a tory in name only. No true Conservative would "respect the will of the people" as expressed in something as unBritish and as profoundly incompatible with the constitution as a referendum. They might think for other reasons that leaving the EU was a good thing and that the Crown in Parliament should cause it to happen, but that's not the point.
    Well they also won a majority in Parliament to deliver Brexit last year and it was delivered.

    Sure, a majority to enact a referendum result.

    I am not trolling when I say that you are no conservative, it is just the case. What scuppers you is the quite likely hypothetical case of a referendum on abolishing the monarchy. If you would respect the will of the people on that you are no tory, and if you wouldn't then why do you have to on brexit?

    As a bonus point you are also the most virulent anti-unionist posting on this site, because no one could seriously support a union when they loathed a member of it as much as you hate Scotland. Subjugationist, perhaps.
    A Tory government would never hold a referendum on the monarchy so it is not an issue, if there was to be one it would be under Labour and in the unlikely event there was a vote for a republic there would be a Labour government implementing it.

    There is nothing unconservative about wanting to regain sovereignty from Brussels .

    I do not loathe Scotland, I want it to stay in the UK, I loathe the SNP
    So you only loathe half of Scotland. Not so bad then.
    I love going to No voting Edinburgh yes, I try and avoid Yes voting Glasgow unless I have to.

    Similarly I know many Europeans who post Brexit love going to Remain voting London, Oxford, the Cotswolds or Edinburgh or Bath etc but would not touch Brexitshire with a bargepole
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Charles said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that it’s possible polls are not picking up is the shy Trump abandoners.
    Certainly in the red areas in swing states, those Republicans who have switched are very hesitant to talk about it (& if their neighbours are true believers, who can blame them ?). Do the polls pick them up ?

    The undecideds from last time around are also breaking significantly for Biden this time around. Will they turn out ?

    I had a drink 2 weeks ago with a lovely couple from Louisiana. They are voting Biden - but volunteered that they just didn’t talk politics because all of their neighbours were pro Trump (they said their neighbours were driven by the fact their taxes were lower under Trump)

    You could well be on to something although n=1
    The main thing I am thinking of in this area is that due to turnout filters there is a strong chance Likely Voter screens would knock out 2012 Obama - 2016 Did Not Vote - 2020 Biden voters from their response.
  • Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    Want them to? No. Understand why they may want to? Yes.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    Nigelb said:

    Inside Ed Markey's unlikely emergence as an icon to Gen Z activists
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/513131-inside-ed-markeys-unlikely-emergence-as-an-icon-to-gen-z-activists

    I think he might just see off the young Kennedy challenge.

    O'Rourke has endorsed Kenndy

    https://twitter.com/joekennedy/status/1297257055217160193?s=20

    It looks close

    https://twitter.com/rmc031/status/1296519761518567429?s=20
  • Alistair said:

    Georgia had breached 5000 test confirmed Covid deaths - as ever the real figure will be higher. Will now easily be into a run of days of 50%+ excess deaths from Covid.

    Which Georgia? The State of the USA, or the ex-member of the USSR?
  • HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    As it would be a foreign power and England would correctly put its own interests first in any trade negotiations and if Scotland left to join the EU because of No Deal it would have to accept that would mean tariffs put on Scottish exports to England
    Why would it be in our benefit to pay more for whisky?
    Whiskey can be better: https://bushmills.com/intl/

  • sarissasarissa Posts: 1,993
    HYUFD said:

    I don’t see how immediate Scottish membership of both the Euro and the EU would give rUK a “bloody nose”. It would be good for them and by extension us.

    It would mean tariffs on Scottish exports and English exports if we were on WTO terms Brexit and border posts across the Scottish border
    I thought WTO rules didn’t cover financial services, which is where the ‘rUK dependency’ you’re so fond of emphasising arises.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    sarissa said:

    HYUFD said:

    I don’t see how immediate Scottish membership of both the Euro and the EU would give rUK a “bloody nose”. It would be good for them and by extension us.

    It would mean tariffs on Scottish exports and English exports if we were on WTO terms Brexit and border posts across the Scottish border
    I thought WTO rules didn’t cover financial services, which is where the ‘rUK dependency’ you’re so fond of emphasising arises.
    They do cover most of the 70% of Scottish exported goods that go to England
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Only Donald can save USA

    Ave it now comes off the fence and endorses Donald Trump as president of the USA
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,486
    Andy_JS said:

    Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    Whatever they want to do should be respected.
    Yup. I’m a proud Englishman and feel that Scotland would be better going its own way. I would advocate our being a very friendly neighbour and partner.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Alistair said:

    ydoethur said:

    Alistair said:

    Today's Covid hospital patient total is 834 - down about another 10% in a week - and it looks like it could scrape in just below 800 tomorrow.

    Incidentally, 30% of all remaining Covid patients are now in Scottish hospitals. As I've pointed out before, at the peak of the pandemic the number of hospital patients per head of population was approximately the same in all four constituent parts of the UK, so why the current figures are so skewed is anyone's guess.

    Its strange given the amazing job Saint Nicola has done compared to Beastly BoZo . . .
    We don't know whether this is a weakness or a strength. For all we know the Scottish NHS is being hyper cautious and is worried about letting those recovering from Covid go home too soon.

    But I'm totally guessing as to the possible causes, which is why I contented myself with reporting the apparent anomaly.
    Indeed, we may well have "Saved the NHS" by sacrificing patients.
    Scotland's overall Covid death rate is a little lower than that in Wales and substantially lower than that in England (Northern Ireland does much better than Scotland, but I think that it probably benefited from relative geographic isolation and prompt action by the Republic.) OTOH, it has been oft reported that a greater proportion of Scottish Covid deaths have happened in care homes.

    I suppose what could be happening is that...

    1. The disease spread unevenly through the UK, hitting London first and hardest. This would mean that lockdown measures started to come into force at an earlier stage in the pandemic in Scotland, limiting its severity
    2. The Scottish NHS panic flapped at the start of the pandemic, like everyone else, and threw out as many frail old people as quickly as possible to free up hospital beds. The situation in the care homes then developed in a similar fashion to the rest of the UK
    3. However, perhaps the Scottish NHS modified its practices at some point and began to keep recovering Covid patients in hospital for longer? Therefore, later on in the pandemic, it has done a better job of keeping its Covid patients alive, which has helped to suppress the Scottish mortality rate further - but also means that they have more Covid patients left in hospital now than might be expected

    If a record exists of the average length of hospital stay for a Covid-19 patient in each of the four home nations, then this might yield evidence for point 3.
    The other weird thing is Scotland has less Covid ICU patients
    My inner Grammar Nazi just decided to attack Poland.
    I do this deliberately
    Well I certainly hope you wouldn’t attack Poland by accident!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited August 2020

    Andy_JS said:

    Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    Whatever they want to do should be respected.
    Yup. I’m a proud Englishman and feel that Scotland would be better going its own way. I would advocate our being a very friendly neighbour and partner.
    You can advocate what you want, given the main reason Scotland would likely vote for independence is a No Trade Deal WTO terms Brexit that would mean tariffs and customs posts along the border if they then left the UK to rejoin the EU
  • fox327fox327 Posts: 370
    It looks like the Oxford COVID vaccine trial in the US is finally starting, with research locations in 36 states. The planned Primary Completion Date is 2nd December 2020.

    https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04516746?term=vaccine&recrs=abdf&cond=COVID-19&phase=0123&sort=nwst&draw=2
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Alistair said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    The EU likes a lot of fudge but the Euro entry rules are strict
    That’s easy. Just hire Goldman Sachs

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/greek-debt-crisis-goldman-sachs-could-be-sued-for-helping-country-hide-debts-when-it-joined-euro-10381926.html?amp
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Number (3) is possible, but difficult. And it would require the support of the IMF and the World Bank.
    Is there not a way around #2?
    Actually, a mix of two and three is probably the easiest option of all for an independent Scotland. The Scottish Groat would be pegged one-to-one with the Euro, and the ECB (on the basis that Scotland would be joining the EU in due course) could help support the peg.
    Couldn't Scotland simply jump straight to #2?

    It takes unanimity to join the EU and it takes unanimity to amend the EU treaties (including the single currency rules).

    So with the unique nature of Scotland leaving the UK and rejoining the EU could it not simply seek to jump straight from Britain & the pound to ending a transition period immediately in the EU & the Euro?

    That would take unanimous agreement but so does simply joining in the first place. And if the EU decides it wants to facilitate Scottish membership of the EU (and inflict a bloody nose upon the UK) they could simply agree to it could they not?
    Spain.
    If the referendum isn't wildcat and is endorsed by the UK Parliament then I don't think Spain will have a problem with it. Spain will have a problem giving succour to a wildcat referendum.
    Spain won't want to make it easy and painless for Scotland to join.
    Why?
    Catalonia.
    “No because if you are thinking about Catalonia the situation is very very very different to the Scottish situation." Estaban Pons
    So you're quoting one MEP at me.

    Ok.
    Think about it logically. The Spanish are desperate to avoid giving succour to the Catalonians.

    If Scotland goes independent then how do they do that?
    1: Act with impotent rage against newly independent Scotland while not preventing it from becoming independent?
    2: Insist that the situation in Scotland is nothing like the situation in Catalonia?

    Realpolitik would mean they would need to need to go down route 2, which means they'd want to facilitate making things relatively simple for Scotland to show how different that is to Catalonia and how it was more a unique issue with the UK.
    Last year proved the Spanish don’t behave rationale where Catalonian independence is concerned
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707
    Looks like a major police failing to miss this.

    https://twitter.com/thesundaytimes/status/1297219655220822016?s=21
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,222
    Ave_it said:

    Only Donald can save USA

    Ave it now comes off the fence and endorses Donald Trump as president of the USA

    As if we needed more reasons to want him to lose...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,222
    Charles said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that it’s possible polls are not picking up is the shy Trump abandoners.
    Certainly in the red areas in swing states, those Republicans who have switched are very hesitant to talk about it (& if their neighbours are true believers, who can blame them ?). Do the polls pick them up ?

    The undecideds from last time around are also breaking significantly for Biden this time around. Will they turn out ?

    I had a drink 2 weeks ago with a lovely couple from Louisiana. They are voting Biden - but volunteered that they just didn’t talk politics because all of their neighbours were pro Trump (they said their neighbours were driven by the fact their taxes were lower under Trump)

    You could well be on to something although n=1
    I don’t think a Louisiana is a swing state... but that does conform with similar accounts. Even a percent or so of such voters unreached by polling would make a significant difference.

    (And surely, n=2 ? :smile: )

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    edited August 2020
    O/T

    They're showing The Bridge again on BBC4. On atm.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    Ave_it said:

    Only Donald can save USA

    Ave it now comes off the fence and endorses Donald Trump as president of the USA

    Did you support him last time?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,222
    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Inside Ed Markey's unlikely emergence as an icon to Gen Z activists
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/513131-inside-ed-markeys-unlikely-emergence-as-an-icon-to-gen-z-activists

    I think he might just see off the young Kennedy challenge.

    O'Rourke has endorsed Kenndy

    https://twitter.com/joekennedy/status/1297257055217160193?s=20

    It looks close

    https://twitter.com/rmc031/status/1296519761518567429?s=20
    I wouldn’t bet on the race, as too hard to call.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,533
    Andy_JS said:

    O/T

    They're showing The Bridge again on BBC4. On atm.

    Brilliant series - see it if you haven't already.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    edited August 2020
    Last night we were discussing the old Sunderland South constituency and how it might have voted in 2019 had it still existed. One of the main experts on this subject on the VoteUK forum has done some calculations and come up with the following:

    Con 39% Lab 38% BP 13% LD 6%.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    sarissa said:

    #3 - How did Denmark manage in 2015? Pegged to the Euro, 450 million krone ($30 billion) foreign currency reserves and they still managed to give the international currency sharks a bloody nose.
    They started in 1818 and had £50bn in reserve. Which is about one year's tax take in Scotland.
  • Re: Kennedy v Markey, not sure too many Mass voters waiting to get the word from Beto.

    Interesting race, to say the least. Very 21st-century, yet with echoes of political paddywackery going back over a century to the days James Michael Curley did battle versus John "Honey Fitz" Fitzgerald, young JK's great-great-grandfather (as in the infamous "Bubbles" affair).

    BTW Kennedy HAD been leading for months in the polls, despite a number of gaffes and missed opportunities, until about a month ago, when - coincidentally or not - the Boston Globe endorsed Markey.
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 757
    edited August 2020
    If Indyref2 was "split" it would be fun to watch Yes/Remainovs argue for No Deal when the Covid Debt is put on the table, and the No/Leavers argue for a People's Vote on the negotiation.
  • sarissa said:

    #3 - How did Denmark manage in 2015? Pegged to the Euro, 450 million krone ($30 billion) foreign currency reserves and they still managed to give the international currency sharks a bloody nose.
    They started in 1818 and had £50bn in reserve. Which is about one year's tax take in Scotland.
    Didn't they save the money they got from selling Danish Virgin Islands to Uncle Sam in 1917? Think what they could achieve with the nest egg Trumpsky would give them for Greenland!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    fox327 said:

    It looks like the Oxford COVID vaccine trial in the US is finally starting, with research locations in 36 states. The planned Primary Completion Date is 2nd December 2020.

    https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04516746?term=vaccine&recrs=abdf&cond=COVID-19&phase=0123&sort=nwst&draw=2

    The big tests for the Oxford/AZ vaccine are in Brazil (started June 28) and South Africa (July 1). If you assume they vaccinate 1,000 people in each country a week, then there are now about 14,000 people having been given either the vaccine or a placebo.

    Now, it typically takes 2-3 weeks for the immune system to develop the required neutralising antibodies (although it's possible a heightened T cell response may come sooner), so we can probably expect the first meaningful (albeit limited) data to arrive imminently, perhaps as soon as next week.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:

    Omnium said:

    malcolmg said:


    Scotland they are mainly in HDU if really sick , only in ICU if on ventilator, as far as I am aware.

    What's the dream Scottish Nationalist path now Malcolm?

    The SNP isn't quite what it was. Scottish Nationalism though is very much on the up.

    Economically the idea is facing some hurdles.

    Diplomatically too - I'm not sure the EU is that keen now.

    I imagine you'll be generally of the view to wait a small while. Would you target a 2024 date? (There's a nice 10 year thing that can be sold in Westminster)

    (It clashes with a likely GE, and that's not so good)



    Sooner the better for me. If they do not make next year a vote on independence then the SNP will suffer badly. Will take time to organise referendum and then negotiate the split.
    So if you could choose? 2024 seems a nice date to me - not a rush (10 years).

    I really don't want to see Scotland go, but if it is going to do so (and I think that likely) I'd really like you guys to have the best of the winds on your backs.

    The covid thing has made this a bit more tricky, but perhaps a little bit of wind is out of the sails all round. Scotland, if it departs, will wish to seek the good wishes of the rest of us, and there's no doubt that you'll have them. No barging on really.

    Thanks, nice to see an intelligent decent post , most on here only wish us ill and are praying we end up destitute and wrecked, extremely sad.
    malcolm, I think there are a fair few on this site who believe firmly in self-determination. I for one think it silly for Westminster to talk about not allowing another referendum when the SNP is so dominant in Scotland and is calling for one. And even without neighbourly goodwill, it would simply be in England's self-interest to have a prosperous and happy Scotland on its doorstep post independence.
    If Scotland was granted indyref2 and voted Yes London would correctly treat Edinburgh in as tough a manner as Brussels has treated London, no favours and as a foreign power
    Why, and why would that be correct rather than idiotic?
    It was foolish of the EU to behave like a jilted lover, and it would be foolish of rUK to behave similarly.
  • MorganMorgan Posts: 3
    malcolmg said:


    PS: the same dumb Fcuks then wonder why England is hated across the world.

    It isn’t. There’s only one country where so many people support whoever is playing against England, where so many call the local branch of the Anglican church something other than Anglican, where I’ve seen Twining’s English Breakfast tea described on a cafe notice board as simply “Breakfast Tea”, and where supermarkets’ own brands of English mustard are called simply “mustard”. It’s a small country that cooperated with England in establishing and running the British Empire funnily enough. It’s the only country in the world where so many people hate the English. Even diehard Irish republicans have never hated the English - it was the “Brits” they had a problem with. You should get out some more, Malcolm. Englishness is mostly a highly respected brand, e.g. in the US, on the continent, in Africa, in Asia. It’s only in one single small country that it’s widely hated. Never mind the Barnett formula and all the subventions. Even mention of such matters by someone speaking in an English accent can be met with foaming xenophobic hatred as if the person “would” say such things because they are an “FEB”.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    I wish Tony Blair was still prime minister. He was miles better at the job than anyone else since he stepped down.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,935
    edited August 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    I wish Tony Blair was still prime minister. He was miles better at the job than anyone else since he stepped down.

    He'd be entering his twenty third year in power as PM (and coming up to his sixth GE). Walpole eat your heart out.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Morgan said:

    malcolmg said:


    PS: the same dumb Fcuks then wonder why England is hated across the world.

    It isn’t. There’s only one country where so many people support whoever is playing against England, where so many call the local branch of the Anglican church something other than Anglican, where I’ve seen Twining’s English Breakfast tea described on a cafe notice board as simply “Breakfast Tea”, and where supermarkets’ own brands of English mustard are called simply “mustard”. It’s a small country that cooperated with England in establishing and running the British Empire funnily enough. It’s the only country in the world where so many people hate the English. Even diehard Irish republicans have never hated the English - it was the “Brits” they had a problem with. You should get out some more, Malcolm. Englishness is mostly a highly respected brand, e.g. in the US, on the continent, in Africa, in Asia. It’s only in one single small country that it’s widely hated. Never mind the Barnett formula and all the subventions. Even mention of such matters by someone speaking in an English accent can be met with foaming xenophobic hatred as if the person “would” say such things because they are an “FEB”.

    The Scottish Episcopal Church is not "the local branch of the Anglican church" because it's not under the jurisdiction of what Charles would call ++Cantab, and it's not unique either because there's the Episcopal Church in the States. It's not called Anglican because it isn't Anglican.

    I am English and live in England and I support whoever is playing against England to the hilt in any football match ever played because of the overall rise in national c**tishness with every victory in every competition.

    Your view of the origins of the British Empire displays a borderline racist contempt for the contribution of the people of Wales and NI.

    It is true that I spend more time in the Highlands n Islands than the central belt, but I have never, ever encountered anything worse than being treated as a bit of an idiot, and I get that in England too, so we can't rule out a non racist explanation.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Are there any non-Scots here besides myself who want Scotland to go independent?

    I'm guessing maybe Beibheirli_C but I'm not sure about her.

    I did until I found out you did then I changed my mind.
  • MorganMorgan Posts: 3
    IshmaelZ said:

    Morgan said:

    malcolmg said:


    PS: the same dumb Fcuks then wonder why England is hated across the world.

    It isn’t. There’s only one country where so many people support whoever is playing against England, where so many call the local branch of the Anglican church something other than Anglican, where I’ve seen Twining’s English Breakfast tea described on a cafe notice board as simply “Breakfast Tea”, and where supermarkets’ own brands of English mustard are called simply “mustard”. It’s a small country that cooperated with England in establishing and running the British Empire funnily enough. It’s the only country in the world where so many people hate the English. Even diehard Irish republicans have never hated the English - it was the “Brits” they had a problem with. You should get out some more, Malcolm. Englishness is mostly a highly respected brand, e.g. in the US, on the continent, in Africa, in Asia. It’s only in one single small country that it’s widely hated. Never mind the Barnett formula and all the subventions. Even mention of such matters by someone speaking in an English accent can be met with foaming xenophobic hatred as if the person “would” say such things because they are an “FEB”.

    The Scottish Episcopal Church is not "the local branch of the Anglican church" because it's not under the jurisdiction of what Charles would call ++Cantab, and it's not unique either because there's the Episcopal Church in the States. It's not called Anglican because it isn't Anglican.

    I am English and live in England and I support whoever is playing against England to the hilt in any football match ever played because of the overall rise in national c**tishness with every victory in every competition.

    Your view of the origins of the British Empire displays a borderline racist contempt for the contribution of the people of Wales and NI.

    It is true that I spend more time in the Highlands n Islands than the central belt, but I have never, ever encountered anything worse than being treated as a bit of an idiot, and I get that in England too, so we can't rule out a non racist explanation.
    Don’t call me a racist. I didn’t say the English and the Scots were the only countries that set up and ran the British empire. You might as well call yourself racist for not mentioning Irish people from the 26 counties in the days when the UK was the UKGBI.

    I take your point about the Scottish Episcopalians but it is pedantic because they are part of the Anglican Communion which is what I meant. They recognise the Archbishop of Canterbury as the head of it if not his “jurisdiction”. I do not know the precise ecclesiastical terminology but of course the Scottish Episcopalians are Anglican. They are part of the Anglican Communion, unlike the Church of Scotland and the Calvinist Scottish churches which would run a mile rather than appoint a bishop.

    England is a strong brand around the world, and if you hate the English despite being English then that’s your problem because I was talking about how the English are perceived by others and so was Malcolm. Just that he was wrong because the only country where hatred of the English is widespread is Scotland. There are parts of Wales where it’s quite widespread but they’re only parts and most of Wales is fairly positive about the English.

    During your stays in Scotland haven’t you noticed things like the tea and the mustard? Perhaps you should come and live in Scotland rather than simply visit and you might realise that if you are ethnically English and you express a view about how things should be here that is at loggerheads with the views of some ethnic Scots, your ethnicity will probably be an issue just as much as if you are black English in conversation with a group of white English BNP supporters. Scotland is back in the 1950s as far as multiculturalism is concerned, and the whole “independence within the EU” line is a dog whistle, bearing in mind EU membership requires a hard border on the Tweed because rUK will be outside the CU and SM and there is no GFA equivalent and nor would the EU agree one. The line is the political equivalent of supporting whoever is playing against England. The message is “We’re not inward looking; it’s only the English that we hate.”
  • MorganMorgan Posts: 3
    Morgan said:

    IshmaelZ said:



    The Scottish Episcopal Church is not "the local branch of the Anglican church" because it's not under the jurisdiction of what Charles would call ++Cantab.

    I don’t know who Charles is, but you mean Cantuar not Cantab.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Morgan said:

    Morgan said:

    IshmaelZ said:



    The Scottish Episcopal Church is not "the local branch of the Anglican church" because it's not under the jurisdiction of what Charles would call ++Cantab.

    I don’t know who Charles is, but you mean Cantuar not Cantab.
    Fuck sorry you are abs right. Archbishop of Cambridge indeed.

    You'll meet Charles if you stick around.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Morgan said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Morgan said:

    malcolmg said:


    PS: the same dumb Fcuks then wonder why England is hated across the world.

    It isn’t. There’s only one country where so many people support whoever is playing against England, where so many call the local branch of the Anglican church something other than Anglican, where I’ve seen Twining’s English Breakfast tea described on a cafe notice board as simply “Breakfast Tea”, and where supermarkets’ own brands of English mustard are called simply “mustard”. It’s a small country that cooperated with England in establishing and running the British Empire funnily enough. It’s the only country in the world where so many people hate the English. Even diehard Irish republicans have never hated the English - it was the “Brits” they had a problem with. You should get out some more, Malcolm. Englishness is mostly a highly respected brand, e.g. in the US, on the continent, in Africa, in Asia. It’s only in one single small country that it’s widely hated. Never mind the Barnett formula and all the subventions. Even mention of such matters by someone speaking in an English accent can be met with foaming xenophobic hatred as if the person “would” say such things because they are an “FEB”.

    The Scottish Episcopal Church is not "the local branch of the Anglican church" because it's not under the jurisdiction of what Charles would call ++Cantab, and it's not unique either because there's the Episcopal Church in the States. It's not called Anglican because it isn't Anglican.

    I am English and live in England and I support whoever is playing against England to the hilt in any football match ever played because of the overall rise in national c**tishness with every victory in every competition.

    Your view of the origins of the British Empire displays a borderline racist contempt for the contribution of the people of Wales and NI.

    It is true that I spend more time in the Highlands n Islands than the central belt, but I have never, ever encountered anything worse than being treated as a bit of an idiot, and I get that in England too, so we can't rule out a non racist explanation.
    Don’t call me a racist. I didn’t say the English and the Scots were the only countries that set up and ran the British empire. You might as well call yourself racist for not mentioning Irish people from the 26 counties in the days when the UK was the UKGBI.

    I take your point about the Scottish Episcopalians but it is pedantic because they are part of the Anglican Communion which is what I meant. They recognise the Archbishop of Canterbury as the head of it if not his “jurisdiction”. I do not know the precise ecclesiastical terminology but of course the Scottish Episcopalians are Anglican. They are part of the Anglican Communion, unlike the Church of Scotland and the Calvinist Scottish churches which would run a mile rather than appoint a bishop.

    England is a strong brand around the world, and if you hate the English despite being English then that’s your problem because I was talking about how the English are perceived by others and so was Malcolm. Just that he was wrong because the only country where hatred of the English is widespread is Scotland. There are parts of Wales where it’s quite widespread but they’re only parts and most of Wales is fairly positive about the English.

    During your stays in Scotland haven’t you noticed things like the tea and the mustard? Perhaps you should come and live in Scotland rather than simply visit and you might realise that if you are ethnically English and you express a view about how things should be here that is at loggerheads with the views of some ethnic Scots, your ethnicity will probably be an issue just as much as if you are black English in conversation with a group of white English BNP supporters. Scotland is back in the 1950s as far as multiculturalism is concerned, and the whole “independence within the EU” line is a dog whistle, bearing in mind EU membership requires a hard border on the Tweed because rUK will be outside the CU and SM and there is no GFA equivalent and nor would the EU agree one. The line is the political equivalent of supporting whoever is playing against England. The message is “We’re not inward looking; it’s only the English that we hate.”
    I have lived in Scotland.

    I just don't think there is much mileage in all this nation a hates/resents/envies nation b discussion. We should deprecate those feelings and those who seek to exploit them, but there's not a lot you can do about them. You just have to accept their political consequences.

    I don't hate England i just like it when we lose the footie.

    Yes, the Wales/NI point was a weak one.
This discussion has been closed.