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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Disastrous favourability ratings for Johnson in Scotland but a
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Disastrous favourability ratings for Johnson in Scotland but a glimmer of hope for Starmer
Regular PBers will know that at this stage before a general election I take much more notice of leadership ratings than voting intention polls. With the former those sampled are asked for simply an opinion whereas with voting questions they are asked to predict what they might or might not do in 3/4 years time when they could not even turn out. When tested in real elections such as 1992 and 2015 the leader ratings have got the outcome right while the voting polls have been wrong.
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Pilots Union Balpa: BA pilots have voted to accept a package of job losses and pay cuts aimed at avoiding more redundancies
Big fail for McCluskey and Starmer who backed the Unite union in proposing strike action
There is only one thing that can stop this, a vaccine. Only the government can approve a vaccine - not the public. Why is it taking so long to progress a vaccine? There are several good candidates, but there is an insistence on following the traditional slow testing regimes that were not designed for the crisis we are in, which calls for the fastest possible response. The government has to move soon on this, or it is likely to lose control of events later in the year.
OT. If the Conservatives want to save the Union, they should replace Boris.
Boris needs to conclude brexit then call it a day
It's arguable that the Union is beyond saving, or at the very least that it might be salvageable but neither the Tories nor Labour are willing to try, for their own selfish reasons. No number of leadership changes is liable to deal with that.
The senior SCons had their preferred replacement lined up and ready to go the nano second Carlaw announced he was. Some even mentioned Ross in their "so sad to see Carlaw go" statements so eager were they to get on with the defenestration.
https://twitter.com/EstherMcVey1/status/1289185662483087361?s=20
Aim is for a vaccine with at least one year`s effectiveness. UK gov has already placed order.
If the opposition to the SNP consists entirely of Tories then they'll keep winning 60% or more of the popular vote every time an election is held.
It was obvious he was a massive drag on SCon popularity.
https://twitter.com/MeanwhileScotia/status/1289156596178845698?s=20
Either you regard Scottish MPs as MPs, or you don't, in which case the Union is a lie and a phantasy.
> Orkney Nationalist Party
> Shetland Home Rule Party
> Pictish Freedom Front
Which is what the Unionists are doiung all the time.
All the **** time
Maybe the problem is with the English voters ...
The government has been very proactive in their strategy - providing funding, accelerating from phase 1/2 to phase 2b/3 immediately, securing supply agreements and purchasing their own vaccine manufacturing strategy. Kate Bingham deserves a lot of praise and, I hope, a peerage in due course
The government has made a lot of mistakes and deserves criticism. Their vaccine strategy is an area they should be praised
* time for my regular reminder that Grunenthal should be ashamed of themselves for their refusal to compensate non German victims
Okay?
Perhaps it's a pipe dream.
In principle there's no reason why a federal system comprising four states, in which one of them just happens to be much larger than the other three, cannot work. In practice, excuses are invented because it doesn't suit the two major parties at Westminster to split up the big train set. Therefore, the unresolved tensions within the structure of the United Kingdom will continue to build until it collapses.
There won't be a referendum until 2024. The Tories will tempt the Nats to do a suicidal UDI (I don't think Sturgeon is that stupid, other Nats may be).
So the next indyref will be in the latter half of the 2020s, under probable PM Kier Starmer. Justifiably a generation after the latter, but with much water and Brexit under the bridge. Hard to call.
He has a considerable working class following though in England and Wales that isn't replicated in Scotland. Do they simply prefer dour personalities?
B ut there may be other reasons ...
In the last leadership election (or the last but one - I can't remember if Mr Carlaw was opposed) Prof Tomkins actively espoused a split-off and got a flea in his ear, hence the election of Ms Davidson.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/31/us/politics/joseph-biden-vice-president.html?action=click&module=Top Stories&pgtype=Homepage
‘Mr Speaker we must be willing to give up not just a part, but if necessary the whole of our constitution, in order to preserve the remainder of it!’
Good night.
EDIT - seen that @ydoethur beat me!
https://www.lbcnews.co.uk/uk-news/government-warned-that-police-will-need-army-support-to-fight-summer-of-serious/
Few in Seattle have A/C, which I'm guessing is situation for most in UK?
Vanilla knew this, but somehow failed to tell us, with a - you know - email.
There is a fix. It's not complex.
I am doing it now, but it will take 24 hours to fully propogate over the Internet.
Thank you!
"England doesn't need to be broken up into a collection of artificial cantons for any reason, least of all in an effort to satisfy Scotland that will most likely fail anyway.
In principle there's no reason why a federal system comprising four states, in which one of them just happens to be much larger than the other three, cannot work. In practice, excuses are invented because it doesn't suit the two major parties at Westminster to split up the big train set. Therefore, the unresolved tensions within the structure of the United Kingdom will continue to build until it collapses."
In principle there is, actually: a federation in which any one part can routinely over-rule any combination of the other parts by being much bigger is never going to work as a union of equals. See "The Breakdown of Nations" by Leopold Kohr. Hence Germany and the USA are successful federations because no one state can rule the roost, and Europe is a less successful federation because Germany is so strong. But I agree with the first sentence: the UK in its present form is probably not going to persist, so it's hardly worth breaking up England to make a federation work.
https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/english-independence-polling-by-panelbase-1-6745542
I have an elderly family friend who goes on and on about how wonderful Brexit is, taking back control etc. But he cannot bear Johnson and regards him as a clown.