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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With ballot packs just about go out Davey is the clear favouri
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With ballot packs just about go out Davey is the clear favourite for LD leadership
When former Environment Cabinet minister last ran for the Lib Dem leadership just over a year ago he had big obstacle to surmount – his gender. There was a strong view in the party that then was the time for first female leader and my sense was that Davey felt this as well. He went through the motions but at least his decision to run meant that there was a contest.
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The combined county and district and London elections next year will provide a big first test for Davey
For example:
@Mexicanpete As somebody who dropped out of University my honest belief is that it has done me no negatives in life.
As well as Davey I'd give a shout out to Clegg himself and Danny Alexander especially.
I have more respect for someone taking one job like that and being an honest broker that clearly works for them than going around on the speech circuit raising the same amount of money pimping themselves out to whoever writes a cheque while pretending to be independent.
Facebook bores me now but its a good company for keeping in touch with people. I have family in multiple countries and its a good way for people to keep in touch with pictures of grandchildren etc
Interesting prediction from December 1982 at 16 mins 40 secs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iv0UZGJzVQY&lc=UgxR9Zln6S8i1lhBcPd4AaABAg
Facebook is an absolute arse of a corporation and it's fundamentally bad for democracy and privacy. It is a complete contradiction of what Clegg should stand for, to be working for Facebook.
The fact we're so reliant on it, is what makes it so dangerous in my view. I'm just as reliant on it as you, I am trying my best to get off it.
Capital values tax!
Please don't associate everything I say with "the left". Not only is "the left" not one group of a hivemind, it's also not entirely represented by me. I'm fairly sure I'm excluded since I've praised Blair.
Pre-technology mistakes by referees would happen and you'd just have to shrug and say "swings and roundabouts" over the 38 games there'd be mistakes in your favour and against . . . but that's not happening repeatedly over the 38 games and if I was a Bournemouth fan I'd be rather bitter about that.
I don't understand why people beyond Carole Cadswallop hate Facebook so much?
Its good for keeping in touch with distant family. I primarily use it to put up pictures of my children which can then be instantly seen by their grandparents etc
Great during lockdown or whenever you can't see the people you love as often as you like.
The last thing anyone should want is a Megacorp deciding who has the right to speak and who does not.
If you are stupid about the way you use it then it can be used as a tool for bad things. But the same is true of a car, a mobile phone or any other piece of modern equipment or service. You just have to be sensible.
Moreover if you are worried about privacy issues you shouldn't be online at all.
The advertising bit is apparently immensely powerful too but I don't understand it. My wife pays some young woman with an asymmetric hair cut and a thumb ring to do it for her and says the returns are very good.
So it has great utility and you don't have to look at the photos of Lancasters with 50% opacity poppies photoshopped on to them and all the rest of the nonsense if you don't want to.
Musk jokingly challenged Johnny Depp to a cage fight, when asked about texts the actor had allegedly sent threatening to cut off his penis.'
In our gym the main channel for communication is a private FB chatroom.
As someone who did my first website in about 1994 and was a blogger for years and years - it crept up and surprised me about 5 years ago just how far FB permeates.
As for FB being targeted - partly there are some real questions, partly they are a convenient Aunt Sally that some like to unite around attacking. It makes them feel part of a group.
It used to be MacDonalds, who are a good company. Then it has been Nick Clegg, and more recently Toby Young has been one.
(Fuck off with Dura - that's a homophone for a whisky.)
Does your daughter use it for her pub? There could be quite a lot of benefit in a village group with that at the core of it. A village is about the right scale as a community to be wired via FB.
Watching how one of our local Councillors used it to cement a place at the centre of the community was quite something.
Still doing it now he is our MP but it is up for grabs whether it is really a good forum for an entire constituency. It occupies the place that Grant Shapps constituency forum did 10-12 years ago when he was innovating with that.
Reading last night's thread almost all of it seemed to be outbursts from a number of us about pensioners; can't remember if I commented.
There seems to be a perception that pensioners all live in castles with gold plated vegetable patches and sometimes relocate to cruise ships.
That's only some of them. There are plenty who only have the state pension plus a small occupational, and spend their holidays looking after grandchildren and in guesthouses, or at home.
You could equally argue that not using FB is excluding 75%, or the MP's column in the local paper is excluding all those who don't read it.
Nothing is stopping them signing up its true but a lot of us merely don't want to a service that we neither need nor want because its convenient for someone else to use.
If your gym organises through facebook I can assure you there will be people who think like that who have considered your gym seen the facebook requirement and taken themselves to another gym. They won't tell you or complain they will merely take there wallet elsewhere.
I can probably estimate that if coach puts out a gym announcement, perhaps 75% of members would see it via Facebook the same day.
From the point of view of the business, the FB benefit is the community that already exists to reach out into, plus contact can be that much more frequent, plus that it gives you a whole infrastructure you would otherwise need to self-maintain.
On a more general point, it is quite interesting the numbers of organisations / businesses that put more work into their FB presences rather than their websites these days.
I've never really had trouble cooking rice, either - though Aldi flavoured or ready-to-go rice has been a guilty secret in my cooking for quite some time for a flexible carb portion of all kinds of meals, especially during lockdown.
This stat startled me though. 80% of Trumps advertising g budget in 2016..
https://twitter.com/plural_vote/status/1287593084264443904?s=09
Brilliant resource for natural history. On a bunch of moth and insect related sites. If I have a weird parasitic wasp drawn to the moth traps, I now have the specialist for parasitic wasps at the Natural History Museum able to ID it for me (and in turn, very excited that he has a new information point for records he would never have had a few years back.)
In turn I now know that the spread of this Stauropoctonus bombycivorus is probably the reason that my Lobster Moths (upon which it predates) have drastically reduced in numbers, sad to report.
My dog trainer only takes bookings via a private Facebook group. So I am forced to use it. The real problem with the internet is that, within any market segment, it drives everything toward one dominant supplier.
No-one is suggesting devising measures that hit the poorest pensioners, but the fact of poor pensioners is a poor argument for seeking unreasonably to protect the benefits of the richer ones.
A truly great actress, albeit according to reports a very bad sister. However, being a sister to Joan de Havilland-Fontaine can’t have been easy.
One is Ed Davey.
The other is self-inflicted total oblivion.
(Obvs more pensioners own homes outright, but Housing Benefit would perhaps skew to younger groups).
The stats are a black art as we all know, as you can make them say whatever you want depending on your adjustments (eg people wanting to talk about UK as unequal often take GINI numbers on pre-benefit system figures - which is designed to make it more equal), but the average pensioner household income after housing costs is around £320 a week and has not increased since 2010. Hardly rolling in gold dust.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/878009/pensioners-incomes-series-2018-19-report.pdf
I'd certainly agree on very high pension incomes, which I may not reach - I am of the generation that had my pension arrangements significantly damaged in the Gordon Brown period, so I am partly in property now.
But I don't think there is anything like as much money there to raid as people imagine.
My suspicion is that it would only add a fraction of a % to the total tax take.
If you want a straw in the wind, a proposed 2.5% tax on all income earned by over-40s would raised about £15bn - 2% of govt expenditure.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/over-40-tax-ministers-social-care-money-billions-raised-government-a8671406.html
'How do you know if you are old? Fall down; if you are young people will laugh; if you're old, people will panic.'
When we moved to this town, at 60+, we had a son living round the corner and a daughter with a job where she could manage her own hours living 40 minutes drive away. Son's job has now taken him out of UK and daughter has, very sadly died. Nearest relative, in a geographical sense, is eldest grandson 45 minutes away with a time-consuming job.
It's not too bad in that another son lives about 90 minutes away, although he has a demanding, time-wise, job.
If you look at textual analysis of the English language as actually used across centuries there is no such split, people use less and fewer interchangeably.
Anyone pushing prescriptivist bollocks on this is being a total smug utterly wrong wanker.
Are they eligible to vote?
Are they leftish, orange, eco
As you know, I lost my last parent in the autumn - and we were deliberately in a house ideally placed for walking to town centre etc.
My intention is to keep it, but due to Corona I have been living on my own since then - and as a Type I diabetic I always have a risk of an incident which might require third party help. All it takes is for me to get my several times daily treatment slightly wrong, once, or have a virus which interferes etc.
In those circs you either have arrangements where you see someone daily, or you run the risk of being found in a coma or dead days later should you have an issue.
Still reflecting on plans, but it will probably involve having a lodger for the long-term, and redesigning the house to facilitate.
Also plays havoc with pension plans, but that is another story.
No one ever said "there's fewer water in this glass than that one"
Fewer applies exclusively to countable things.
Now it's "He shot me."
Are they adults? if so, act like adults. However, I suspect most won't take much notice of the quaranrine restriction anyway. They're always the people who know best.
They are always 7 or 8 years away from their best ever performance.
As my daughter pointed out when she was twelve. "When you talk about less qualified people, what exactly do you mean?"
The rule is that you go home, using public transport, and stay there for a fortnight. Don’t leave the house unless you (a) have to or (b) want to.
That is not quarantine. Quarantine is what they did in Vietnam, where people returning to the country were put in army camps at the point of entry under full isolation for fifteen days.
For all the good this policy will do, they might as well not bother. Although in fairness that’s the way say, Dominic Cummings has been behaving anyway.
Not sure Sir Ed can pull that off.
You have more (greater number of) qualified people.
You have better (more suitably) qualified people.
You point out another thing. Exaggeration. That goes with the territory.
Polly T managed to shriek about ethnic cleansing some time ago. My pet hates include ... journalists, vegans and anti-vaxxers. Any Venn diagrams about?
Edit. Thank you for pointing out the obvious about 'less' and 'fewer'. Unlike her dad, she meant it as a joke.
Anyone who wants to claim that fewer must always be used rather than less for countable nouns must struggle with saying "there is one fewer cup on this table than before" without sounding like an idiot.
I'm pretty okay with being counted alongside Alfred the Great here.
e is less than pi.
https://youtu.be/UzPh89tD5pA
So people saw they could go to Spain and ignored the small print that the countries listed for travel without quarantine was subject to change.
And they aren't prepared for 2 weeks in quarantine which for my family would have had zero impact except not possibly skipping a bit of exercise.
Yet even though it's quarantine would have had zero impact we didn't go because well it didn't make much sense to go.
One thing I have noticed while tying to touch type in a lot of programs is that I get a lot of what i call DOubled CApitals, particularly at the beginning of sentences; this is another thing where I think my touch typing instincts are not getting on well with modern software.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/23/us/politics/pentagon-ufo-harry-reid-navy.html
And you can have fat gits.