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  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    Quicker to just marry a UK citizen, no?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Every British government since the Anglo-Irish Treaty as allowed free entry of Free State/Republic citizens, in the interest of the British labor supply. Very few exceptions, for example in lead up to D-Day.

    Not surprising that current government does not (apparently) plan on abrogating this policy - because THAT would truly be a self-denying ordinance.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited July 2020

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    edited July 2020
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    Which is exactly the case if someone flies from Bucharest to Dublin to London.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited July 2020
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example if there was full unchecked free movement from the Republic to GB
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It's a well known fact that Irish lasses are desperate to marry Romanians who are keen to be taxi drivers in the UK three years hence.

    If you look at match.com it's full of "My name is Niko. I am from Bucharest. I would like to meet beautiful Irish girl for marriage and potential Irish citizenship so I can move to Catford and drive and drive an Uber."
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    Yes. The whole of the UK. NI is the UK. My country. Not something for the Conservative and Unionist Party to just throw away against the wishes of NI. Laws and Treaties and Agreements involving the UK involve the UK. Not bits of it excluded. HYUFD seems utterly obsessed with ending free movement within the Union he claims to be the proponent of. A pity we can't end free movement instead out of Epping. Build a Wall!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    If they have a valid Romanian passport they will be let in. Just as you will be let into France due to your valid British passport.

    It is not entry into the UK that is prohibited, it is working.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited July 2020

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    She's also overlooked the prevailing wisdom that London is finished. Perhaps she means York?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    Because we are being beseiged by foreigners! Argh! They keep coming to pollute our natural bodily fluids with their evil chlorine! We have to keep them out!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,222

    Scottish independence would be Putin's worst nightmare because it would provide inspiration to those within his own empire who oppose his imperialism.

    In the unlikely event that’s true, the evil old fuck sleeps more soundly than he deserves.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    Because we are being beseiged by foreigners! Argh! They keep coming to pollute our natural bodily fluids with their evil chlorine! We have to keep them out!
    Have you ever seen a liberal drink tap water, RP?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example if there was full unchecked free movement from the Republic to GB
    Migration isn't about checks at the border.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    Yes. The whole of the UK. NI is the UK. My country. Not something for the Conservative and Unionist Party to just throw away against the wishes of NI. Laws and Treaties and Agreements involving the UK involve the UK. Not bits of it excluded. HYUFD seems utterly obsessed with ending free movement within the Union he claims to be the proponent of. A pity we can't end free movement instead out of Epping. Build a Wall!
    I did make that mistake, but i believe HYUFD is of the fairer sex.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    How will you distinguish between genuine tourists and illegal workers at the border?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    If they have a valid Romanian passport they will be let in. Just as you will be let into France due to your valid British passport.

    It is not entry into the UK that is prohibited, it is working.
    Which they will do checks to ensure you will not be doing
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Free movement has NOTHING to do with the borders.

    Free movement means that Irish citizens can come here and legally live and work.

    Restricted movement means that non Irish EU citizens can come here for tourism etc but need a visa to be able to work. How does flying via Dublin magically give you proof of right to work?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    How will you distinguish between genuine tourists and illegal workers at the border?
    You'll ask them, silly.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    How will you distinguish between genuine tourists and illegal workers at the border?
    In the same way we do for every non EU nation now
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    No they don't.

    Deportations would only be necessary if people illegally start working in this country after legally entering the country. Since they will retain full rights to legally enter the country they'd have no need to travel via Dublin or anywhere else.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Waking up are you? This has always been the elephant in the room. Free movement in the EU, Free movement in the CTA and no intra Irish border means anyone can wander in. But as Philip keeps pointing out the ability to arrive unchecked isn't the same as the ability to legally work/ reside, and illegals can just fly into anywhere instead of that roundabout route.

    We *cannot* take back control of our borders as your party promised. It was a lie or they are stupid or both.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    How will you distinguish between genuine tourists and illegal workers at the border?
    In the same way we do for every non EU nation now
    How's that then?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    If they have a valid Romanian passport they will be let in. Just as you will be let into France due to your valid British passport.

    It is not entry into the UK that is prohibited, it is working.
    Which they will do checks to ensure you will not be doing
    No they won't. You will be allowed in without checks along those lines just as we will be allowed to fly to there.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    You just admitted that the only remedy would be deportation, so why do checks on the border matter?
    As they reduce the number of deportations you have to deploy resources to do
    How will you distinguish between genuine tourists and illegal workers at the border?
    In the same way we do for every non EU nation now
    But we don't do that at the border now. We never have.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Straw Poll time. Who is arguing with HYUFD in the expectation that she will admit she was wrong?

    If we can convince HYUFD that we are a representative sample of the population, will she be forced to bow to the wisdom of polls and back down?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    As from December there will be a points system you need to meet to migrate to the UK, if there are no checks on migration from the Republic to GB then Romanians could still pursue free movement from Bucharest to Dublin to London

    How will a points system stop someone coming to visit Salisbury cathedral and then working cash in hand at a carwash?
    You could do that coming from outside the EU, if you did you would be an illegal immigrant who could be deported
    So, why would a Romanian go via Dublin to enter the UK? How do they benefit from adding a thousand miles and a massive amount of hassle?

    Or do you think that travelling via Ireland magically absolves you of the requirement to have an appropriate work permit in the UK?
    As there will be less checks than at Dover or Heathrow than if they fly to Bristol or take the ferry to Liverpool for example
    If they have a valid Romanian passport they will be let in. Just as you will be let into France due to your valid British passport.

    It is not entry into the UK that is prohibited, it is working.
    Which they will do checks to ensure you will not be doing
    How?

    "Are you coming to the UK to work?"

    The reality is that border control in the UK, for visitors from the EU, Switzerland and a number of other partner countries exists to check people have valid passports.

    You won't even need to have memorised your response to the border agent: "No, I is here for my cousin's wedding. He marry Irish girl who is desperate to be together with Romanian Uber driver" then
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    So you accept that the Scots will almost certainly have a legal right to enter, live and work in England post independence. It's unlikely that they will withdraw from the CTA, and it's unlikely that we will (or could) insist that they leave. That's all we needed to establish.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Well actually they won't. There is no "passport control" for movement between the CTA. They would need to present their passport to work though.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited July 2020

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of ID will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB via Dublin and bypass free movement restrictions
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of ID will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB via Dublin and bypass free movement restrictions
    How do they bypass free movement restrictions?

    Free movement restrictions don't mean people can't enter this country. They mean they can't legally work in this country and need proof of right to work to get a legal job and settle down.

    How does flying via Dublin magically get you proof of right to work in the UK?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited July 2020
    I think Philip takes great pleasure arguing with HYUFD because she was a remainer. We like to think that Brexiteers often didn't know what they were voting for. It doesn't help when remainers masquerading as Brexiteers don't know what either were voting for.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    alex_ said:

    I think Philip takes great pleasure arguing with HYUFD because she was a remainer. We like to think that Brexiteers often didn't know what they were voting for. It doesn't help when remainers masquerading as Brexiteers don't know what either were voting for.

    No. HYUFD is a fool and it is embarrassing he or she is a part of my party. Completely ignorant.

    How can I criticise people supporting other parties for the mote in their eyes if don't tackle the beam in HYUFD's?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Valid right to work is needed to get a job not for tourism.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 1,993
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    So you’re not anticipating equivalence and minimal change in financial services in the final EU-UK trade agreement? Have you told the City of London and the Chancellor?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    alex_ said:

    I think Philip takes great pleasure arguing with HYUFD because she was a remainer. We like to think that Brexiteers often didn't know what they were voting for. It doesn't help when remainers masquerading as Brexiteers don't know what either were voting for.

    No. HYUFD is a fool and it is embarrassing he or she is a part of my party. Completely ignorant.

    How can I criticise people supporting other parties for the mote in their eyes if don't tackle the beam in HYUFD's?
    A party you don't always vote for anyway, you voted New Labour, you voted Brexit Party, you cannot claim the Tory Party as your own
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited July 2020
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And who decide that an Irish Driver's'licence is easier to fake than a Romanian passport.

    But how is this Romanian going to get into Ireland in the first place...?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    MCALPINE'S FUSILIERS
    The Dubliners

    As down the glen came McAlpine's men
    With their shovels slung behind them
    'Twas in the pub they drank the sub
    And up in the Spike you'd find them
    They sweated blood and they washed down mud
    With pints and quarts of beer
    And now we're on the road again
    With McAlpine's Fusiliers

    I stripped to the skin with Darky Flynn
    Way down upon the Isle of Grain
    With the Horseface Toole, then I knew the rule
    No money if you stop for rain
    McAlpine's God was a well filled hod
    Your shoulders cut to bits and seared
    And woe to he with a love for tea
    With McAlpine's Fusiliers

    I remember the day that the Bere O'Shea
    Fell into a concrete stairs
    What the Horseface said, when he saw him dead
    Well, it wasn't what the rich call prayers
    I'm a navvy short was the one retort
    That reached unto my ears
    When the going is rough, well you must be tough
    With McAlpine's Fusiliers

    I've worked 'till the sweat has had me bet
    With Russian, Czech and Pole
    On shuddering jams up in the hydro dams
    Or underneath the Thames in a hole
    I grafted hard and I've got me cards
    And many a ganger's fist across me ears
    If you pride your life, don't join by Christ
    With McAlpine's Fusiliers
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited July 2020
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
    You can even use a driving licence or any other form of photo ID under CTA, far easier than having to present your passport at Heathrow or Dover if you go straight to GB
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
    You can even use a driving licence under CTA, far easier than having to present your passport at Heathrow or Dover if you go straight to GB
    And that helps people get right to work how?

    For the umpteenth time free movement has NOTHING to do with the border.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
    You can even use a driving licence under CTA, far easier than having to present your passport at Heathrow or Dover if you go straight to GB
    How do i go about getting hold of a fake Irish Driver's licence?

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
    You can even use a driving licence under CTA, far easier than having to present your passport at Heathrow or Dover if you go straight to GB
    How do i go about getting hold of a fake Irish Driver's licence?

    And an Irish Drivers Licence doesn't count as proof of right to work in the UK.

    Heck a UK Drivers Licence doesn't either.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Valid right to work is needed to get a job not for tourism.
    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707
    HYUFD said:

    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you

    What will immigration control do? Send a van round to remind them to go home? Perhaps you could put an aerial on it and tell people it can detect their presence.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:



    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions

    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Might arose a bit of suspicion if they don't speak great English though. Safer to pose as an Eastern European i reckon. What "fake ID" are you anticipating them using? A Dublin Library card?
    You can even use a driving licence under CTA, far easier than having to present your passport at Heathrow or Dover if you go straight to GB
    How do i go about getting hold of a fake Irish Driver's licence?

    And an Irish Drivers Licence doesn't count as proof of right to work in the UK.

    Heck a UK Drivers Licence doesn't either.
    Baby steps first Philip. I'm becoming increasingly concerned that our Romanian is not actually going to be able to get into the country, after we've been assuring HYUFD all evening that that basic threshold requirement would be a doddle.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    sarissa said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    So you’re not anticipating equivalence and minimal change in financial services in the final EU-UK trade agreement? Have you told the City of London and the Chancellor?
    If we go to WTO Terms no but we may still get a deal
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    alex_ said:

    Straw Poll time. Who is arguing with HYUFD in the expectation that she will admit she was wrong?

    If we can convince HYUFD that we are a representative sample of the population, will she be forced to bow to the wisdom of polls and back down?

    Alex, it's LadyG. who has undergone PB gender reassignment not HYUFD, who remains Mr ***** *****. of Epping Forest.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    HYUFD said:

    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you

    What will immigration control do? Send a van round to remind them to go home? Perhaps you could put an aerial on it and tell people it can detect their presence.
    I think what they do is insert a microchip.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,217
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
    Wouldn't it be simpler to just enter the country on their Romanian passport?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    alex_ said:

    Straw Poll time. Who is arguing with HYUFD in the expectation that she will admit she was wrong?

    If we can convince HYUFD that we are a representative sample of the population, will she be forced to bow to the wisdom of polls and back down?

    Alex, it's LadyG. who has undergone PB gender reassignment not HYUFD, who remains Mr ***** *****. of Epping Forest.
    Apologies, i was sure at some point that HYUFD revealed himself/herself to be female. That's a shame.
  • Gabs3Gabs3 Posts: 836
    edited July 2020
    www.twitter.com/majian53/status/1285179986643750913
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,935
    edited July 2020
    No meddling in the Brexit referendum, but apparently in Scottish independence referendum

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/07/20/russia-report-kremlin-tried-meddle-scottish-independence-vote/

    Edit: I see I'm late to the party. I knew it would be a damp squib!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Valid right to work is needed to get a job not for tourism.
    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you
    Immigration control don't keep tabs on tourists so no it is not. What tabs do you think immigration control is placing on tourists that legally fly into the UK every single day!?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    alex_ said:

    alex_ said:

    Straw Poll time. Who is arguing with HYUFD in the expectation that she will admit she was wrong?

    If we can convince HYUFD that we are a representative sample of the population, will she be forced to bow to the wisdom of polls and back down?

    Alex, it's LadyG. who has undergone PB gender reassignment not HYUFD, who remains Mr ***** *****. of Epping Forest.
    Apologies, i was sure at some point that HYUFD revealed himself/herself to be female. That's a shame.
    PB is gender neutral so it doesn't really matter either way
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
    Wouldn't it be simpler to just enter the country on their Romanian passport?
    No, as they will then be on the immigration authorities radar
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
    Their passport would let them fly directly into the UK. So they have no reason to ditch it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Valid right to work is needed to get a job not for tourism.
    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you
    Immigration control don't keep tabs on tourists so no it is not. What tabs do you think immigration control is placing on tourists that legally fly into the UK every single day!?
    If you think immigration control takes no note of 'tourists' from poorer parts of the world to the UK you are very naive
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
    Wouldn't it be simpler to just enter the country on their Romanian passport?
    No, as they will then be on the immigration authorities radar
    Why would they? And what difference would that make?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    So, what you're saying is that this will successfully weed out those Romanians who are unable to persuade the Romanian government that they deserve a passport.
    And since Ireland is not in Schengen I'm curious how the Romanians without a Romanian passport got into Ireland.
    With the passport they then ditched to get into GB
    Wouldn't it be simpler to just enter the country on their Romanian passport?
    No, as they will then be on the immigration authorities radar
    At least there won't be any excuse for not getting a job in HYUFD's brave new world. Hell, we might need to offer the Romanian a job themself, as there's bound to be a labour shortage.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:



    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Likely to be better than the deal we had with EFTA via the EEA? Or are we just running to stand still?
    The EU are all over the place at present over covid and their budgets and no sign of a brexit deal on the table
    Thats as mebbe. Not an answer to my question though. Is Raabs negotiation for the status quo? Or something less, or something better?

    What could be better than the free access that we have to the EFTA countries at present?
    We voted to leave so we have to create new trading relationships

    The EU is over in the UK for better or worse and many think it will be better, others worse and only time will tell

    It is true covid has complicated it especially for the EU
    Still not answering the question. Is the new deal a continuation of the status quo, or is it inferior?

    In other words is a reduced trading arrangement being pitched as a success?

    I did see this interesting polling recently:

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1276518082190721026?s=19
    I have no idea but going back is not an option

    It certainly is an option.

    I expect we will be back in within a decade or so, if they will have us.
    Which they won't, because we are hopelessly divided on this topic and that's not likely to change in anything other than the very long term.

    In any event, (a) nobody outside of the readership of the New European wants to go through another umpteen years of arguing over the EU, and (b) Scottish secession will be along before very much longer to deplete any remaining appetite amongst the English electorate for endless constitutional wrangling, as well as to tip the balance of power further against both pro-EU sentiment and the political forces that espouse it.

    Grands projets have no attraction to a fed-up populace that wants nothing more than a bit of peace and quiet for a change.
    MAybe true for the next 10 years but by the time and independent Scotland and a united Ireland are enjoying the benefits the EU, little England will feel increasingly isolated.
    Even then it would still have Leave voting Wales but of course if the UK ended up with a WTO terms deal with the EU that would obviously mean Scotland would have to face tariffs on its exports to England if it voted for independence and rejoined the EU, England being its largest export destination, unless and until any trade deal was agreed with the EU as well as Scots having no free movement to England
    Irish have free movement to the UK while in the EU, so why shouldn't Scots? I suspect though that the flow would be to Sxotland in any case.
    They have passport free movement via the CTA, the Irish will not have free movement to GB once the transition period ends to migrate here unless they have the necessary points we need
    Are you sure about that?
    Yes, those in the Republic will have free movement to Northern Ireland only, not mainland GB
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/899755/UK_Points-Based_System_Further_Details_Web_Accessible.pdf

    Common Travel Area (CTA)
    4. The Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, which is currently before Parliament, clarifies the immigration status of Irish citizens and confirms there will be no change to their rights to freely enter, live and work in the UK without requiring permission. There will continue to be no routine immigration controls on journeys from within the CTA to the UK, with no immigration controls whatsoever on the Northern Ireland – Ireland land border. The Government will continue to work closely with CTA partners to facilitate legitimate travel within the CTA while tackling abuse of these arrangements.
    Northern Ireland is part of the UK, I was referring to GB.

    If we go to WTO terms Brexit there will be tariffs on exports from the Republic to GB and I also think it likely there will ultimately be no free movement from the Republic to GB either in such circumstances.

    All previous legislation is based on UK (including NI) and Republic relations, not GB and Republic relations as it would be to all intents and purposes if the transition period ends with no trade deal for the UK with the EU but NI still in the customs union and most of the single market unlike GB
    The issue of tariffs (or not) has no bearing on the Common Travel Area, nor on the rights of the Irish to live and work in the UK (and vice-versa) without restriction. Those are bilateral agreements that - in one form or another - long predate the EU.

    You can think all you like that it might change in the future (and it may), but what will be the impetus for a change? It be rather unpopular in the Republic, extremely unpopular in Northern Ireland, and it's hard to see it being a great vote winner in Great Britain.
    If we are to end free movement from the EU then obviously it cannot come in through the backdoor via the Republic, hence the Withdrawal Agreement effectively enables ad hoc migration controls on immigration from the Republic to GB, not full free movement across the Irish Sea from Dublin.

    The more it looks like EU migrants are trying to use the Republic as a backdoor the more those controls will have to be tightened further
    OK.

    Think back fifty years.

    We were not members of the EEC and nor was Ireland. We had the Common Travel Area with Ireland.

    If you were a citizen of country with no visa requirements for Ireland (like the US) you could fly to Dublin and then drive into Northern Ireland, and probably get the ferry to the UK.

    That loophole has always existed.

    Here's the thing.

    Being able to get into a country is not the same as being able to work and reside in a country. A Romanian could get a flight to Dublin (post Brexit), and then get a bus to Belfast and then come across by ferry to the UK. But why would he bother? He can come to the UK by waving their passport (there is after all no visa issue), and then ignore the residency rules. That's how we get Albanian car washers. They don't need the Northern Irish loophole.
    50 years ago there was no free movement and far fewer US citizens would want to use Ireland to get to GB than those from say Eastern Europe.

    Albanians and Romanians can come here automatically to work now under free movement rules, once the transition period ends in December that will no longer be the case
    Which doesn't make Ireland relevant at all. The only way they could use Ireland as a backdoor is if they could get Irish citizenship which they can't.
    They can if for instance they have been resident in Ireland for 3 years and marry an Irish citizen
    So you're worried we are going to be seeing Albanians and Romanians going to live in Ireland for three years, marrying an Irish citizen, claiming citizenship . . . All to move to the UK via the backdoor?
    It is a possibility yes if it is the only route for them to get to work in London for example
    You are insane.

    And the law and government policy is the Irish keep free movement. With the whole of the UK.
    No it isnt, as if we allow free movement from the EU to the island of Ireland and then unchecked free movement from Ireland to GB then by definition we still do not have full control of our borders
    Nobody said there wouldn't be checks. We established that there would be checks. What's at issue is whether those "checks" can prevent an Irish citizen from entering, living and working in the UK as a matter of legal right. Which they don't.

    But anyway, did the whole issue of the Irish border/backstop pass you by completely???
    Of course not, my original point was an independent Scotland in the EU would face tariffs on exports to England, as the Republic would in the event of a WTO Brexit and there would also be checks on free movement from Scotland exactly the same as there will have to be from the Republic
    There is no such thing as "checks on free movement". The Irish will have to go through passport control when they fly into the country . . . But then again so do I. Even someone from Epping has to too.

    There won't be restrictions on free movement for the Irish. Their passport will still be proof of right to work in the UK.
    Under the CTA you do not even need to show your passport to come into GB from the Republic, any form of id will do, there is your loophole for Eastern Europeans with fake IDs to come into GB and bypass free movement restrictions
    Er - UK and Irish citizens don't have to show their passports when moving within the CTA. Eastern Europeans do. Quite why they would seek to use 'fake ID' instead of a valid passport is a bit of a mystery though. High risk, i would suggest.
    If they are coming from Ireland the default position will be no passport checks, hence far easier for them to use fake IDs, they do not have to present themselves as Eastern European
    Valid right to work is needed to get a job not for tourism.
    Once in the country far easier to go awol if you got in with an Irish ID card than if you have a Romanian passport and immigration control keeping tabs on you
    Immigration control don't keep tabs on tourists so no it is not. What tabs do you think immigration control is placing on tourists that legally fly into the UK every single day!?
    If you think immigration control takes no note of 'tourists' from poorer parts of the world to the UK you are very naive
    We should have put them in charge of our COVID-19 contact tracing. A missed opportunity.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,707
    HYUFD said:

    If you think immigration control takes no note of 'tourists' from poorer parts of the world to the UK you are very naive

    Will the EU become a poorer part of the world after Brexit?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    Democrats pushing Biden as the Scarecrow from the Wizard of Oz
    https://twitter.com/RepStevenSmith/status/1285337937824055302?s=20
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139

    HYUFD said:

    If you think immigration control takes no note of 'tourists' from poorer parts of the world to the UK you are very naive

    Will the EU become a poorer part of the world after Brexit?
    Most of the Eastern part for the time being yes
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,599
    RobD said:

    No meddling in the Brexit referendum, but apparently in Scottish independence referendum

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/07/20/russia-report-kremlin-tried-meddle-scottish-independence-vote/

    Edit: I see I'm late to the party. I knew it would be a damp squib!

    I wonder why they didn't try to meddle in the Brexit referendum.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 36,002
    HYUFD said:

    The end of the Union would weaken both Scotland and England's presence in the world

    As Brexit weakens the UK's presence in the World
This discussion has been closed.