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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Andy Murray’s SPOTY victory could help the IndyRef NO campaign
If you don’t believe that sport and politics are intricately linked just look at the Tweet above from the Mail’s Matt Chorley a few minutes after Andy Murray’s historic victory at Wimbledon in July. That Cameron was pictured against the backcloth the Saltire next to a smiling Alex Salmond was widely seen as a political coup for the SNP leader.
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/sports-personality/25386015
If there is an Indy referendum angle, it's more that there can be no complaints of pro-English bias. That said, in an independent Scotland a Scot will always be SPOTY.
Superduper Poster Of The Year
Well done to Murray, 2012 removed the "British when winning, Scot in losing" tag in my eyes. Exceptional performance to win Wimbledon under the pressure placed on any home player.
Spurs are becoming independent from the top 5 however.... Cookie or AVB having the worst Winter 2013?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10519073/Alex-Salmond-asked-Prince-Charles-for-flight-to-Mandela-funeral.html
Joan Fontaine has died. She and her sister (Olivia DeHavilland) are the only siblings to have won leading Academy Awards.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joan_Fontaine
The sisters' cousin was Geoffrey DeHavilland, the famous aircraft designer who set up the company that designed the Mosquito, Comet and Trident planes.
In any case, one of the main reasons that the Commonwealth exists is because the Scots enthusiastically helped to create, build and sustain the British Empire.
http://www.sify.com/sports/murrays-mom-disappointed-at-non-inclusion-of-tennis-for-2014-cw-games-news-news-kj1ougcehii.html
Didn't watch it, as it clashed with Homeland, but I'm glad Murray won. 55% is a crushing margin of victory too.
Probably marginally helps No, not so much as a positive impact as the avoidance of a negative one had he lost.
The organiser, incidentally, won £100,000 in a poker tournament and lost all interest in politics to take up poker professionally. Temperamentally, I think, he could only really have one big thing in his life - I like to think that having a few other interests makes for more durable political people in the end...
- "Archery and tennis from the 2010 games were replaced on the sports program with triathlon (for the first time since 2006) and judo (first time since 2002)."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Commonwealth_Games#Sports
1) It can be watched by many more spectators on the course;
2) It is much more exciting for TV spectators.
I love triathlon. I could play football if I wanted (poorly), and do archery (equally poorly). If I had set out to so a triathlon at the 2012 Olympics, I'd probably be just about finishing the swim now ...
Hmmm, a ‘political coup’ or a tacky stunt ? – Meanwhile, the rest of the world saw Andy Murray’s preferred flag of choice.
http://img.thesun.co.uk/aidemitlum/archive/01751/murray_1751244a.jpg
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-25389760
Oh hang on, it's the evil baby-eating Tories ...
(Although Frank Field needs a great deal of credit as well)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25396103
Point of order: "They [building firm profits] have soared 557% since this government took office - even though homes have been built at their slowest rate witnessed in peacetime for almost a century."
Isn't that factually inaccurate? I thought homes now were being built at a more rapid pace than during most/all of Labour's recent time in office.
He is 12 months too late - paying the price for being cautious.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-25389760
Automatic life sentences are meaningful and make for excellent politics, but deeply shitty government. Courts should have some discretion based on hearing what actually happened.
I have extracted a couple of statements from the key findings of the release:
• seasonally adjusted starts are now 89% above the trough in the March quarter 2009 but 34% below the March quarter 2007 peak; completions are 40% below their March quarter 2007 peak
• annual housing starts totalled 117,110 in the 12 months to September 2013, up by 16% compared with the year before; annual housing completions in England totalled 107,950 in the 12 months to September 2013, a decrease of 8% compared with the previous 12 months
Bearing in mind that property sales transactions and mortgage approvals have been running at around 40% of pre-crisis peak for most of this year, the ratio of speculative private sector house building to known current demand is probably at its historical high.
I notice no answers .... not one .... to Saturdays JackW Chrimbo Quiz ....
So I've written to Santa and he's agreed no Christmas presents or nosh or booze unless the question is answered.
And there's more as the question was Labour orientated Santa has also confirmed that they get to keep Ed Balls as a prize !!
So here it is again :
Who are these three Labour worthies and what historic post links them all :
a. Was he still platting his hair as leader. No ice axe required.
b. A French Lieutenants Woman's father in law
c. Thelma had become a bit of a crow for some years.
Lab 1.81-1.82
Con 2.26 -2.28
BDSM Historic Holidays At Auchentennach Castle - Have A Spanking Good Time In The Highlands !!
Is there a whacking profit to be made ??
Automatic life sentences are meaningful and make for excellent politics, but deeply shitty government. Courts should have some discretion based on hearing what actually happened.
I will leave it to one of the lawyers (or info after the announcement is made) to say how it has changed. But it seems to me (IANAL) that the definition of slavery is being widened, as well as encapsulating the laws into one.
I understand your concern wrt automatic life sentences.
Whilst I have nothing against DS or similar it's quite hard to say whether someone's giving 'true' consent when they're locked in a chastity belt and may well get a flogging if they annoy their owner.
I dislike the state getting involved in bedroom antics, though.
I was thinking of this:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4996410.stm
There's economic data (principally Markit 'survey' data) out on both China and the Eurozone today. And, the big story has to be that the divergence of the French and Germany economies continues apace. The manufacturing Markit PMI data from Germany improved from 52.7 to 54.2, and remained at an elevated level (54.0) for service. In France, on the other hand, we saw both indicators worsen, and remain well below the 50 level that indicates stability. Manufacturing dropped from 48.4 to 47.1, while services dropped from 48.0 to 47.4. There was better news for the rest of the Eurozone, as the Markit Eurozone composite (which includes Italy, Spain, etc. etc.) improved in to 52.1, indicating that (outside France) the Eurozone is recovering, albeit at a tepid pace.
Also out today was the China Markit PMI data, which was surprisingly weak, coming in at 50.5 (i.e. indicating that the Chinese economy is growing, but slowly). Now, while I would caution that the December PMI reflects the fact that Chinese factories tend to slow down post the pre-Christmas, it was nevertheless quite a lot worse than people expected.
Other random data out this morning, Denmark's wholesale price index remains resolutely negative, increasing the risk of recession there. The Eurozone trade balance remains (perhaps too) healthy, showing a €14.5bn surplus in November, with Italy and the peripery making a positive contribution for a change.
Maybe it's not too late for the Murrays to change to Table Tennis?
France really is in a bit of trouble. Fortunately for them, the state sector is so large that even the poor performance of the private sector will still allow GDP growth to continue...
Come along young Nicholas, get your brain engaged on the quiz - no more of the drink/poker fuelled memories .... well perhaps later !!
I've always thought the archery would be much more interesting if competitors were required to shoot at each other.
That's the proportion of French GDP accounted for by the state. Over the last five years, we have seen the state retreat in all the Eurozone periphery countries, and we're even seeing it now in the UK and the US (and we never had the same problems). France is the standout - it (whatever AE-P says) has not practised the economics of austerity. It must reform, or face crisis. (And that crisis has the potential to pull the Eurozone apart.)
The only good news for France is that the countries around it are doing somewhat better, and therefore there should not be so much of a drag from the Spanish, etc. being in recession.
The median response was half the mean response.
Not many comments on the cricket but some rearguard defiance from England today whcih shows a degree of hope. Losing Bell before stumps the final blow I suspect.
On the way to dropping off the car at the garage, heard an interview with Theresa May on LBC. Now, Nick Ferrari is about as sycophantic as it gets with any Conservative but even he was starting to get irritated with May's stonewalling on the anticipated numbers of Bulgarian and Romanian migrants post-January.
I'm not quite sure if May is trying to sound tough because that's what Tory Home Secretaries are supposed to do but I get the sense she's (to use an awful metaphor) talking with one hand tied behind her back - there's what she says and what she'd like to say.
I also wonder if, in the event of an election defeat, she really would stand herself for the leadership or ally behind Osborne (could she be Shadow Foreign Secreatry?)
- during this time the media will be awash with the fortunes of the England team, with Scotland not being present. It will be a huge media event for the BBC, ITV and the London Press, which may emphasise how foreign the London media can feel to Scots.
The Commonwealth Games runs from 23rd July - 3rd August
- ordinarily the Commonwealth Games is relatively overlooked by the British media, and there certainly won't be the extent of coverage that was seen for the London Olympics. It will be a bigger deal for the hosts in Glasgow and, of course, Scots will compete under the flag of Scotland, separate from those of the rest of the UK.
In sporting terms, I can't see how they would avoid the net effect of encouraging separateness rather than unity. In comparison, the Sport's Personality of the Year... is not going to have nearly as much effect.
Mr Ratcliffe said Ineos recently agreed a deal for nuclear power in France at 45 euros (£37.94) per Mwh.
Interesting.
If the latter is growing we could be in for a lot of political upheaval when the system tips from majority-moron to majority-smart.
I divide political parties into two groups:
Those who believe in the magic money tree, and
Those who do not
In France, almost everyone is a believer (Holland and the FN are fully paid up believers). In the UK, historically the Conservative Party were the only sceptics. Recently, the LibDems have become reluctant converts.
Can the French discover the truth in time?
b. A French Lieutenants Woman's father in law
c. Thelma had become a bit of a crow for some years.
b. Surely not a p0rn baron
c. A friend of a bear from Peru ?
In his speech on Monday, Mr Miliband will say that profits of the country's four biggest housing developers - Barratt, Berkeley, Persimmon and Taylor Wimpey - are "going through the roof".
"They have soared 557% since this government took office - even though homes have been built at their slowest rate witnessed in peacetime for almost a century.
So, Ed's method for getting more houses built is to attack those companies which are actually having the temerity to build and sell houses as fast at they possibly can, as they recover from a disastrous collapse in the market which almost bankrupted some of them and led to major cash calls on shareholders.
It's hard to know whether he really is so stupid and ignorant as not to understand risk and reward in investment, or whether he is so cynical and irresponsible that he doesn't care. I fear it's the former (the worse of the two), but, either way, this is further proof, if any were needed, that if he ends up in No 10, Ed Miliband will be most disastrous Prime Minister for many decades.
As the Shadow Chancellor really ought to be aware more than 70% of the Bankers' bonuses of over £1m paid in whole of the EU are paid in London generating low billions for the Treasury. He really should have been asked for a list of the hospitals he wanted to close in the event that Osborne was not successful (as I think he will be).
Ed M is allegedly trying a charm offensive with business at the moment. I think he needs to stop concentrating on the second part of that.
Before Xmas as SO predicted ages ago.
Pity but almost inevitable if you stand back - had a go at the fans, didn't play the 'spurs way' BUT had a great win % compared to virtually all our other managers... really not sure we shouldn't have given him until after the FA Cup game at Arsenal. Seen what we'd done by then.
http://www.barrattdevelopments.co.uk/barratt/en/investor/performance/five
http://www.berkeleygroup.co.uk/media/pdf/8/g/Annual-Report-2013.pdf#page=117
http://www.redmayne.co.uk/research/securitydetails/financials.htm?tkr=PSN
http://www.redmayne.co.uk/research/securitydetails/financials.htm?tkr=TW.
Three out of four of these have made more losses than profits in the last five years.
If the top softens next year that will affect the whole market - I think predictions of an 8% increase across the board are incorrect.
As a bowler I am not so sure but so long as he is a 5th bowler it is an added extra.
I would drop Prior (who will now score a century tomorrow), bring in Bairstow, bat him at 6 and put Stokes in at 7.
I think England need to ring the changes for the dead rubbers. This team looks psycologically as well as physically beat.
Hopefully they will heap scorn upon Ed. How many people do housebuilders employ?
Ed's labour has a visceral hatred of anyone making a few quid.
I may be mistaken as I type through the pain at the lane.
How Ferguson won the league with this lot last year...one of his greatest achievements as a manager.
Ed Miliband sounds like not only an opportunistic little shit, but a very ill-informed one. His Marxist war on profits is not necessarily helpful to the economy.
Spurs sack AVB
Ed Balls gone into hiding ??
?
Massive error by Miliband - too timid and too busy fighting his union retreat to get on this earlier.
Epic fail.
EM is going to be a bloody disaster for this country.
On Ed Miliband's latest thing, I suspect it'll turn out to be a load of cynical populist political grandstanding, but let's see what he actually says.
Nice guy though. Levy should coax Fergie out for one last season!
She had a well publicised affair with Carl Bernstein of "Watergate" fame. His wife then wrote a novel called "Heartburn" with Jay as the character "Thelma"
Home Secretary/leaders not the common factor
Tax treatment will depend on whether the investment in land forms part of a trading or core business activity, or whether it is a "structural asset" incidental to the company's core business.
Capital gains/losses on property assets are generally charged to the profit and loss account on disposal or on periodic revaluation (e.g. when accounting policy of company is to revalue every five years).