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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And to take you gently into the weekend (remember those?) the

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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,687
    EPG said:

    Apart from the label could anyone tell the difference between a Lewin and Tyrwhitt shirt?

    https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1256381257052815360?s=20

    They are each mehn's shirts with emphasis on the meh. M&S is the place to go.
    I have to disagree. M&S is a f*cking disaster these days for shirts. Great if you want tailored, skinny, slim or extra slim fit, but if you want 'normal' fit forget it.

    Plus they don't even put the shirts in collar size order on the stores these days.

    Charles Tyrwhitt provide a creat service imo
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,770
    On top of population density another factor that looks to be important is "connectivity". How many people travel on the transit systems, how many commuters from outside the city come in, how many flights arrive?

    Once you start looking at it like that the most likely cities to be impacted in the West are London, Paris, New York, Chicago, Milan, Madrid.

    I find comparisons with the Southern Hemisphere quite strange when we have separate flu vaccines for north and south due to the timing differences of flu season. Even if covid19 itself is completely neutral to climate (which seems unlikely), then more people coughing in the northern hemisphere due to other colds would lead to faster spread than the south anyway. And Southern Hemisphere big cities arent as connected and densely populated as northern hemisphere countries.

    Similarly flu and colds in Asia dont tend to show the same seasonality that they do in the West, the article below from 2006 even mentions the 30 degree latitude line as a boundary between the types of flu spread, which was also proposed as the covid19 hotspot back in March.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4007136/
    https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550308

    I am convinced geography is at least as important in policy in this whilst obviously accepting policy is in our control so needs more focus. But it is not reasonable to compare cities and countries with vastly different densities, connectivity and climates.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    On top of population density another factor that looks to be important is "connectivity". How many people travel on the transit systems, how many commuters from outside the city come in, how many flights arrive?

    Once you start looking at it like that the most likely cities to be impacted in the West are London, Paris, New York, Chicago, Milan, Madrid.

    I find comparisons with the Southern Hemisphere quite strange when we have separate flu vaccines for north and south due to the timing differences of flu season. Even if covid19 itself is completely neutral to climate (which seems unlikely), then more people coughing in the northern hemisphere due to other colds would lead to faster spread than the south anyway. And Southern Hemisphere big cities arent as connected and densely populated as northern hemisphere countries.

    Similarly flu and colds in Asia dont tend to show the same seasonality that they do in the West, the article below from 2006 even mentions the 30 degree latitude line as a boundary between the types of flu spread, which was also proposed as the covid19 hotspot back in March.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4007136/
    https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550308

    I am convinced geography is at least as important in policy in this whilst obviously accepting policy is in our control so needs more focus. But it is not reasonable to compare cities and countries with vastly different densities, connectivity and climates.

    Truly there are so many different factors operating that the best/worst speculation seems to be based largely on political point scoring - which given what we are discussing is pretty distasteful. It is why Starmer has largely tried to avoid it, as has Boris. The press have stepped in to fill the gap but have not so far succeeded.
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