As I wrote in the run-up to the general election, political betting markets can be lucrative ones for punters. One of the so-called ‘iron laws’ of Conservative leadership contests is that the front runner does not win it. In 2019, Boris Johnson finally put the myth to bed. Labour on the other hand have a different past, much more content to back the front runner and at time they have proved to be coronations rather than contests. 2019 has the potential to break into a civil war for the party.
May's Deal set out LPF requirements covering taxation (tax avoidance bigger issue than rates), state aid rules, social and environmental protections. LPF will be set by permanent treaty with sanctions for breach, on a non-regression basis (keep existing laws; no new laws required).
Will Johnson agree to the LPF terms? He will agree if he wants to avoid chaos at the end of next year. I think he will agree.
If we reject "No alignment and no preferential trade", we are left with either "high alignment and average access" or "higher alignment and good access". It's not clear the first is better than the second.
Unless he’s a closet Tory.
Then again, we are, after all, talking about Labour's members here. And Lavery is available at 100-1...
So, I check whether he is even still an MP. Yep. Just. Majority now is 293. Down from 4K.
Wow. Nice work Corbynistas. What a disaster they have delivered and so far no sign of a iota of contrition.
I’d be more concerned about the fact he’s a scumbag with - ahem - inventive tax and expenses arrangements, but that’s not going to bother Labour given he’s ideologically sound.
Of course, if it did then they'd be in such a state that they'd be out of power for two more elections after that and might never win again. In which case, how would the defenestration of their leader make matters any worse for them?
Moderate Labour need to quit and form their own party.
‘The leader and deputy leader of the Party shall be elected or re-elected from among Commons members of the PLP in accordance with procedural rule Chapter 4 Clause II below, at a Party conference convened in accordance with clause VI above.’
This is as ridiculous as Corbyn was at the start.
OK, so that's a flippant remark and a bit of an exaggeration. But not by very much.
One would hope that if the only possible choices of Government for the British people were (a) the Tories and (b) the Let's Sacrifice All Babies to Satan Party, people would keep voting Tory no matter how bored they were of them.
The principle having been established, we can only hope that Momentum would keep on being rejected in the same fashion, until a non-catastrophic replacement finally emerged.
But that certainly wasn't due to astroturfers!
I mean, there was the moment. Was it ever established why they didn’t listen to Haines? it seemed obvious to me then, but as ever, they waited. And waited. And are still waiting...
Either there is some serious trolling going on or illegal substances are being consumed in vast quantities.
All the other strong characters were suppressed by the dear leader, leaving only the apparatchiks and ideologically pure but deeply uncharismatic followers.
Honestly, I think if Corbyn announced he was staying on, or stood for re-election, the members would vote him in again.
Even then, I don’t suppose Copper et al would leave. Maybe a sullen tweet, but that would be that.
JoJo Rabbit next up. The Wife reckons JoJo Rabbit and The Two Popes are the best of the BAFTA movies she has seen so far.
But no 63,000 people have singed!!!
Who could they possibly mean?
Enough. Time for a new left of centre party that can actually provide an opposition.