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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON drops back into the 20s in latest Opinium poll for the
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON drops back into the 20s in latest Opinium poll for the Observer
This post will be updated as more polling details come in
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Ed impeachment impending.
One would suggest that's because Cameron is still a net positive asset to the Tories and hence this very clear co-ordinated effort to weaken his value to the blues? Including of course the oh so subtle efforts seen even on these hallowed threads.
that or tim's right for once.
Report from a few weeks ago:
Http://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/a-daughter-of-sri-lankan-tamil-to-contest-for-labour-party-in-harrow-east/
"A daughter of Sri Lankan Tamil Uma Kumaran is contesting to be the Labour Party’s Member of Parliament for the London Borough of Harrow.
Kumaran was born in London and raised in Harrow, but says she comes from a strong and closely knit family from Sri Lanka.
“My parents fled to Britain in the midst of a civil war, Labour MP Jeremy Corbyn worked tirelessly to help them settle here. They have since worked hard to rebuild their lives and raise a family in Harrow,” the Labour candidate says on her official website."
One would suggest that's because Cameron is still a net positive asset to the Tories and hence this very clear co-ordinated effort to weaken his value to the blues? Including of course the oh so subtle efforts seen even on these hallowed threads.
There's no sign of any LD upsurge across all pollsters.
The Lab lead is widening because people aren't (yet) feeling any better off and Miliband has caught a populist mood with his energy freeze.
Pretty obvious I think that the Government is going to have to do something popular in the Autumn Statement.
And they may be able to - without any changes the deficit may be on track to come in about £15bn under forecast.
"http://www.theguardian.com/politics/cartoon/2013/nov/16/martin-rowson-comment-cartoon"
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3yzrjcvrlZs
It won't be Carswell though as he is too gutless
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24972028
Said to be in serious pain!
I blame Falkirk!
PB Hodges keep up the good work.
I believe you may find a subsection in there that shows that more of the electorate thinks Cameron makes better cup cakes than Red Ed, so the headline figure is irrelevant.
Tic Toc Tic Toc!
Indeed they are more vociferous in their desire to keep the Roma out than any Briton that I have met!
Mark Tyrrell UKIP @MarkTyrrellUKIP
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan: “There is no country named Cyprus”
< Cameron wants Turkey in EU http://www.keeptalkinggreece.com/2013/11/12/turkish-pm-erdogan-there-is-no-country-named-cyprus/ …
Harrow East: Uma Kumaran (she beat Amina Ali, Helen Dennis and Ellie Southwood)
Brigg & Goole: Jackie Crawford
5 Labour targets still have to select a PPC: Keighley (Nov 23), Kingswood (December 7 after the original PPC was forced to resign), Brent Central (Dec 7), Cleethorpes (also underway) and Bradford East.
If there is a Labour recovery and a Tory drop then it is about Labour singing from yhe same hymnnsheet, and the Tories not. It has little to do with the particular hymn.
Elections are won in the middle ground.
Cameron has been party leader for 8 years. Now for much of that time the Conservatives have done well in the polls and for some of it they have done poorly.
But Cameron has been posh throughout. So Cameron being posh is not the reason the Conservatives have been doing poorly in the last 4 to 6 weeks. The reason is Miliband's energy freeze.
Several Conservative supporters are just falling into tim's trap. tim knows that Labour's best chance is for Cameron to be removed and for there to be a massive row and upheaval in the Conservative party.
So tim posts 10,000 times that's it's all about Cameron being posh - just like parents telling a kid something 10,000 times - if it's said enough times some people actually start to believe it.
More likely the decision to close Portsmouth Shipyard to pander to Scottish voters would have annoyed English voters without any discernible electoral advantage in Scotland.
Pro-europeanism isn't the middle ground
Not good for CON
Blair won from the centre, Major won from the centre, even Mrs T won her first election with a centrist platform.
The way of UKIP is the mirror of Foot in 1983; the way to put the other party in power for a generation. Follow it if you think that is the acceptable price of removing Cameron.
Not that I'm particularly against Davis: I agree with some of what he says, although not always the way he says it. I just think he would have been a poor leader. How he'd have compared to Cameron as party leader is an interesting debate, and similar to the Ed versus David one for Labour, but without the familial resonances.
1) "Stay in" will undoubtedly win the referendum and then, more importantly:
2) Having voted to "Stay in" it will be much EASIER to integrate us more deeply into the EU without much resistance.
Idiots. People are unbelievably stupid.
"Permenant Austerity" did not register, whatever its merits.
Edit: it's actually 46%.
Some potential problems with the first Sony Playstation 4's sold, particularly with the HDMI port:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/11/15/playstation_4_on_sale_complaints/
Hardly unexpected, and we can expect similar from XBox One's release next week, especially with Microsoft's travails on the 360.
Also unexpectedly, the media will play heavily on any problems, perhaps spinning them out of proportion.
The curse of the (very) early adopter...
No, Davis would not have won a majority.
But if, somehow, he had become PM he wouldn't have legalised Gay Marriage - which is, I suspect, of much more concern to many of those Davis supporters.
The public hate everyone.
Not been a great fan of Ferguson in the past but kudos to him for doing the advert and putting in a bit of self ribbing which is bound to help get the advert talked about more widely.
"Cameron has been really good at everything, but he is posh he can't win..
Much better to have a non-posho, even if he was total crap."
Let's climb into the wayback machine, and see what happened when Labour gave the crown to someone with a 'good' back story. Gordon Brown, the worst PM in living memory, and possibly of all time.
The swivel eyed loons may dominate the Telegraph comments but that is not equivalent to the electorate.
As an Orange book LD I suspect that I am in a small minority, possibly 5%; but being in a minority is not the same as being wrong.
UKIP are the polar opposite of Militant 30 years ago. History repeats itself first as tragedy and then as farce.
UKIP will put Miliband and Balls in Downing st, as surely as Militant kept Mrs T in power in 83 and 87.
Both major parties have departed the middle ground, and with the LDs tainted it leaves a lot of unsettled voters.
Blair won from the centre, Major won from the centre, even Mrs T won her first election with a centrist platform.
Blair deserted the left (Clause IV) and lost 4 million votes in 8 years. Major deserted the right and lost 5 million votes in 5 years. Thatcher occupied the centre ground from the right and maintained her voter base and gave Major the largest voter legacy in UK political history.
You can't win elections by making the centre ground your heartland and if you try to you will turn it into the no man's land wasteland between the two sides of the 'war' (just ask the Libdems). The way to do it is how Thatcher did it which is to occupy the centre ground whilst remaining firmly rooted in your traditional heartlands.
Cameron has deserted the right in far more ways than Major did (and is politically inept to boot). How many votes will he lose?
It goes without saying Tory party shouldn't celebrate a dip, but a dip, as government is better than no increase for the opposition.
And anyone who thinks that there is a realistic alternative to permenant austerity is deluded enough to want to follow the Hollande path. Cameron was being honest, and like I said, it hardly registered in the news, while the shipyard closure did. There are a lot of forces and ex-forces people in the Tory inclined bloc, and they would not be happy.
As far as Davis goes, he had so little charisma and support that Tory members and MPs jumped on the most plausible alternative, even though Cameron was an unknown at the time. Ken Clarke was another candidate at that contest, and he would have nailed Brown in 2010.
Totally unfit and those craven muppets knew it and still elected him unopposed.
@Andrew_ComRes: ComRes / IoS / S Mirror: net econ trust in Ed M and B -38 (-10), in Cam & Osb -27 (-6) http://t.co/Pq1vPfV6zr