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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: All Hallow’s Eve 2013
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: All Hallow’s Eve 2013
Pillgwenlly on Newport (Lab Defence)
Result of last council election (2012): Lab 37, Con 10, Ind 2, Lib Dem 1 (Labour overall majority of 24)
Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected
Labour 756, 703 (64%)
Conservative 306 (14%)
Plaid Cymru 277 (12%)
Liberal Democrats 150, 71 (10%)
Candidates duly nominated:
0
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Comments
"Mark Textor coming up on C4 news."
The problem with appointing a PR man as PM is that they vastly overrate the selling and underrate the product.
*tears of laughter etc.*
LOL
If they lose this,they might as well deregister themselves.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/oct/31/labour-surge-poll-energy-prices
"Labour has lost its soul..."
And if you're watching Channel 4 News the Tories have sold theirs to two Australians and one American. How offensive is that!!
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1992/52/section/241
241 Intimidation or annoyance by violence or otherwise.
(1)A person commits an offence who, with a view to compelling another person to abstain from doing or to do any act which that person has a legal right to do or abstain from doing, wrongfully and without legal authority—
(a)uses violence to or intimidates that person or his [F1spouse or civil partner]F1 or children, or injures his property,
(b)persistently follows that person about from place to place,
(c)hides any tools, clothes or other property owned or used by that person, or deprives him of or hinders him in the use thereof,
(d)watches or besets the house or other place where that person resides, works, carries on business or happens to be, or the approach to any such house or place, or
(e)follows that person with two or more other persons in a disorderly manner in or through any street or road.
(2)A person guilty of an offence under this section is liable on summary conviction to imprisonment for a term not exceeding six months or a fine not exceeding level 5 on the standard scale, or both.
On the EU membership a quick web search suggests to me that 'The SNP have claimed that Scotland would automatically remain part of the EU after independence (see here), but in reality 'a change of treaties would be required - needing the approval of other members' (link). If those two stories are accurate then the SNP claim wasn't correct, and I'm sure there have been a few other similar cases. In my view, of course...
I think we have witnessed a professional foul this afternoon.
The FAA today annunced that you can read your kindle, play games on your tablet, and listen to your ipod from gate to gate - no more turn off for takeoff and landing. You can connect to inflight wifi but phones etc must be in airplane mode.
I think we have witnessed a professional foul this afternoon.
A very acute observatoin.
Although I'd classify it as a self-inflicted wound ( SIW ) or self-wound rather than a professional foul.
" The most common reason enlisted soldiers self-wound is to render themselves unable to continue serving in combat, thus resulting in their removal from the combat line to a hospital. Thus, self-injury can be used to avoid a more serious combat injury or a combat death. "
RT @GeneralBoles: Great reception trick or treating #labourdoorstep
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24724670
Twitter
Isabel Hardman @IsabelHardman 3m
Labour types keen to stress that *both* Eds weren't present at HS2 vote as it was just a one-line whip.
" Ed Miliband led in the trade unions and affiliated organisations third of the electoral college (19.93% of the total to David's 13.40%), but in both the MPs and MEPs section (15.52% to 17.81%), and Constituency Labour Party section (15.20% to 18.14%), came second. In the final round, Ed Miliband won with a total of 175,519 votes to David's 147,220 votes. "
"The prime minister has described allegations that Unite union members targeted the homes of Grangemouth refinery managers as "quite shocking".
The row follows claims by an Ineos director that a "mob" was sent by Unite to his home to intimidate him during the recent dispute.
David Cameron called on the Labour Party to investigate the claims about the union, which is its largest donor."
And I say that as a Valley boy who was given a lump of coal for Christmas each year.
Tom Newton Dunn @tnewtondunn 57m
Good #c4news interview on now. He's trying hard, but @krishgm isn't laying a glove on @markatextor.
http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21588960-debate-holiday-tradition-exposes-racial-attitudes-zwarte-piet-racism
What next: Banning Rastafari...?
I for one am tonight celebrating the last Harvest and welcoming in the long dark days celebrating the forgotten.
None of this cheap scary plastic mask made by "wealth creators" in the far east bollox. About time we got back to our Pagan roots in this country.
@Plato It is an interesting article, and an interesting exercise in spin. Blame the workshy doctors!
But the NAO report on which it is all based is to be found here:
http://www.nao.org.uk/press-releases/emergency-admissions-hospital-managing-demand/
Hardly mentions the Consultant Contract as a factor, and does indeed give a much more nuanced view, particularly striking are figure 3; which shows that in England admission rates rose from 2004, and have levelled off from 2010, when standardised for age.
Figure 2 shows the number of available beds dropping by over 30% over a decade.
Figure 14 shows how the 4 hour target affects admission rates, even more dramatically than I expected
Figure 4 shows how Leicester and Leicestershire have some of the lowest age corrected admission rates in the country, yet at our Emergency Department in Leicester Royal Infirmary we have one of the worst 4 hour performances in the country.
It would seem that every complex problem has an easy solution - which is simple but wrong! tim suggests that the A/E figures have deteriorated because of tory cuts to social services, yet we see in Leicester the paradox that low admission rates go in parallel with poor performance at the 4 hour target.
Indeed it is tempting to draw the conclusion that the Leicester Hospitals manage to keep the number of admissions down precisely because they are less prone to admit patients to meet targets, and would rather have a patient discharged after 5 hours in the ED rather than admitted for a night!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24754460
Our rugby club was playing Pill in a sponsored game a few years back and me and my mate Scotty wandered through the housing estate to get cigarettes from a shop. Got held up by a couple of skinny Africans dudes on the way back - frazzled on drugs - and had to hand over some cash. I just gave them a tenner rather than put up a fight. They probably would've stabbed us.
Then we legged it back to the rugby game, giggling like kids. It was a Saturday afternoon in broad daylight with loads of people. Quite a weird experience. Intimidating place for dumb white boys like us!
'!!! RT @Kent_999s: ORPINGTON: Mother upset after girl, 9, allegedly given real heart tonight while trick or treating. pic.twitter.com/UTv3AXm7NR' chrisdeerin
But I do meet with managers and GPs fairly frequently, and understand their positions.
OldKingCole is a former NHS manager, I believe.
Where there is people, there is politics, and I do enjoy both national and immediate work politicking.
MikeK
I saw your link from an earlier thread about Hillary's popularity dip. Thanks for that.
I was surprised at the drop, because she's had mainly good publicity lately and the Benghazi thing is old and never amounted to much in the first place. On reading the article, I should say that the drop reflects a general disenchantment with Politicos following the debt-crisis impasse. None of the buggers won any plaudits over it.
She remains head and shoulders above any other possible Democrat candidate, and a tough opponent for whoever the GOP pick.
"About time we got back to our Pagan roots in this country. ..."
Indeed. Here in Essex we will be sacrificing a virgin....if we can find one.
" I still have the strongest suspicion that HC wont run. "
Fairy nuff, Mike, but is it just based on a gut feeling?
You haven't been messing with the sheep's entrails again, have you?
I do some managing in my medical role, but we doctors are rather safer in this.
If I fall out with the powers that be (which is rare because on the whole I think the Leicester Hospitals are well run) then the biggest risk is being busted back to the front line, seeing patients rather than going to meetings. Hardly a punishment at all! I can therefore afford to be beligerent when I need to be.
Proper NHS managers do not have that security, so are much more vulnerable to pressures, often from external sources.
But like most politicians, NHS staff are generally well intentioned, just seeing the world from different perspectives, and the conflicts get overheated as a result.
This isn't TOTP!
There used to be a pair of Virgins in F1. They didn't last long, though.
Absolutely seriously a girl at my table said she was thinking of getting a personalised number plate....... NE 1 4 ABJ...................
Another lady said why not go for "5lut"
It went downhill from there
We never compared blow-jobs when I rode the school bus in the 50's!
Mind, doesn't mean the girls aren't virgins!
Three critical questions about Clinton:
1. Is she or can she do warm fuzzy folksy?
2. In the absence of that can she do such rhetoric, Obama style, and cover up the fact she is an elitist just as Obama is, as opposed to a Romney who couldn't do such rhetoric and exude warm fuzzy feelings?
3. Would she considered 'a good man'
To me, these are three strong pre-requisite qualities in a POTUS candidate that really boost chances of success. Unlike her husband, the above qualities may not be her scene. Thats why at this point she couldn't carry my money at her odds, formidable operator as she is.
MikeK , I noticed the media now has plenty on the Israeli hit on the Syrian facility on the Med coast. The stories about a 2nd hit last night in Damascus should be treated with caution at this point though. The Israelis were possibly involved in something a few nights ago in Damascus but stories of a strike last night in the city are far from firm.
The Americans are unhappy, hence the leaks from them to the media confirming the Lattakia attack, but the Israelis always take care of their own priorities first.
If I hadn't had a conscience I could have spent the whole time out of the office, claiming to be somewhere else!
Very scary, are high profile court cases and not only on Halloween.
I think she was about 22 and had had over 50 sexual partners.
Classy
I'd tentatively suggest yes for 1, but really not sure about 2 & 3. But who have the Dems got who would be better? She's 6/4 with Hills. That's effectively 6/4 that's she is well and wants to run.
2008, however, looms in the rear view.
There are eight of them in the dock, and they do not all necessarily see eye to eye with each other. And the dock is small. Now the Prosecution asserts that two of them were lovers and another is the husband of one them.
Isn't it all a little bit awkward and embarrassing?
Or am I just being old-fashioned?
Re Unite - Cameron might reflect why Unite thought they could intimidate INEOS directors, if they had done it before. Either he lacks the spine to act, or he was just waiting for Len and the dinosaurs to discredit themselves.
The real question is when do all these apparently busy people find the time for all this extra-marital shenanigans? I can scarcely find time to do the shopping, let alone anything more exciting.....
For some reason I have a vision of a wee, rat-faced guy having his shirtfront grasped by a big, bald Cockney, with a slightly smaller bald Cockney standing by, roaring 'Leave it Grant, he aint worf it'.
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ward branches have started the nomination process...first 2 out of 9
(CLP branches should make 2 nominations: 1 mand and 1 woman. If neither are BAME, they can add a third nomination. But it won't be needed in Brent Central as all female applicants are BAME)
Tokyngton ward: Dawn Butler and Zaffar Van Kalwala
Stonebridge: Dawn Butler and Zaffar Van Kalwala
Butler doesn't have much competition on female side (3 applicants overall). The other male contenders probably need a nom in the next couple of wards meeting to keep a sort of momentum alive.