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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : October 17th 2013
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : October 17th 2013
Dalston on Carlisle (Con Defence)
Last Local Election: Lab 27, Con 20, Lib Dem 2, Ind 2 (Labour overall majority of 3)
Result in ward over recent electoral cycle:
2010: Con 1,715 (47%), Lib Dem 1,241 (34%), Lab 658 (18%)
2011: Con 1,108 (49%), Lib Dem 500 (22%), Lab 478 (21%), UKIP 170 (8%)
2012: Lib Dem 1,033 (52%), Con 481 (24%), Lab 305 (15%), UKIP 174 (9%)
Candidates duly nominated:
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Comments
and a big thanks again to Harry for these!
Cheers to Mr. Hayfield for his hard work on this piece.
by davidhencke
I am not one of those people who is by nature anti the European Court of Human Rights but a judgement reported on the authoritative Inforrm blog has made my blood boil.
Judges have made the extraordinary decision to hold news sites and blogs legally responsible for all the comments put up on their site even if they take them down after a complaint.
Effectively it means that any offended party can pursue a news organisation or blog for any defamatory comment made about them EVEN after it has been removed from the website.
http://davidhencke.wordpress.com/2013/10/15/outrageous-european-court-ruling-that-bans-bloggers-free-speech/
Ian Smart @ianssmart 2m
WORLD EXCLUSIVE! A preview of Eck's speech on Saturday pic.twitter.com/usNYTIfgDu
Having walked the 1922 route of the A13 earlier in the summer (which passed through North Stifford village as far as the disused Cuckoo Lane), I did the section of the A1306 between the M25 to Cuckoo Lane near the Treacle Mine roundabout (this was the A13 from 1925 to 1982). Earlier in the week, did the A1306 from the Purfleet By-pass (recently numbered A1090) to Wennington (B1335). This section was A13 from 1925 to 1998. Near the A1090 junction, the A1306 passes right next to HS1, but naturally the trains are too fast for successful photography!
New best prices - Dunfermline by-election
Lab 1/3 (BetVictor, Betway)
SNP 4/1 (William Hill)
LD 89/1 (Betfair)
Ind 100/1
Grn 125/1
UKIP 125/1
Con 200/1
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/oct/17/alex-salmond-english-strikes-referendum
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10385889/The-young-pay-a-heavy-price-for-the-support-given-to-the-elderly.html
Great to see: @HackneyAbbott Will be back on @bbcthisweek tonight with @afneil and Michael Portillo aka.. #SadManOnATrain. #bbctw
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24575795#
Comrades! This is your captain! It is an honour to speak to you today! And I'm honoured to be sailing with you on the maiden voyage of our Motherland's most recent achievement. And once more, we play our dangerous game. A game of chess... against our old adversary... the Conservative Party! For a hundred years, your fathers before you and your older brothers played this game... and played it well. But today, the game is different. WE have the advantage! It reminds me of the heady days of 1945 and Clement Atlee, when the world trembled at the sound of our nationalisations. Now they will tremble again - at the sound of our populism. The order is: engage the Energy Price Freeze!
Comrades! Our own activists don't know our full potential! They will do everything possible to test us, but they will only test their own embarrassment. We will leave our activists behind! We will pass through the Conservative Party patrols, past their sonar nets, and lay off their largest parliamentary constituency, and listen to their braying and tittering... while we conduct anti-austerity debates! And when we are finished, the only sound they will hear is our laughter, while we sail to Brighton, where the sun is warm, and so is the...comradeship.
A great day, comrades! We sail into history!
A lot of political noise about gas prices today but no one wants to talk about fracking. If the price of foreign gas is high, let's get fracking. And push the NIMBYs gas prices higher so they can put their wallet where their banners are.
http://www.politicshome.com/uk/article/86750/the_daily_mail_friday_18th_october_2013.html
Fieldwork dates: 23 - 28 August 2013
Net approval ratings
Alex Salmond: +11
David Cameron: -45
Ed Miliband: -46
Nick Clegg: -53
http://www.politicshome.com/uk/article/86751/daily_mirror_friday_18th_october_2013.html
*cough*Falkirk*cough*
*chortle*
Even in a system whereby people might pay less tax in their lives and thus could (and should) accumulate wealth sufficient to pay for themselves in later life (an idea I'd roughly support) if the elderly live longer then it still hurts the young in that they have to wait longer and longer to inherit all this accumulated wealth.
I'm not sure that a campaign to encourage the elderly to hurry up and die would be that popular though.
It's often stuck me that pretty much the worst thing that could ever happen with regards to having a stable society would be the invention of a cure for aging.
23.2% in Neath
Con hold Chichester ward
LD 569 Con 430
LD Hold
Last Local Election (2011): Con 38, Lib Dem 8, Ind 2 (Conservative overall majority of 28)
Result in ward at last election (2011): Conservatives 515 (62%), Liberal Democrats 315 (38%)
Candidates duly nominated: Alicia Denny (UKIP), Mark Dunn (Con), Andrew Emerson (Patria), Thomas French (Green), Phillip MacDougall (Lib Dem)
Call me a bit old fashioned, but I believe work is good for people, both psychologically and physically. Longer healthier working lives, and a shorter retirement, and much less of an immigration Ponzi scheme is the answer.
Con 184 UKIP 106 Green 85 LD 68 Patria 3
"A price rise doesn't necessarily mean energy bills have to go up too. The amount you pay depends not on the price, but on how much gas and electricity you use."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/consumertips/household-bills/10386817/British-Gas-tells-customers-to-use-less-as-it-ups-bills-by-three-times-the-rate-of-inflation.html
Thanks for that Ian!
Con 184 UKIP 106 Green 85 LD 68 Patria 3 - a very low turnout esp as the weather here has been balmy today .
Lab 718 Residents 222 UKIP 154 Plaid 69 Con 40
Lab 646 Con 570 UKIP 504 LD 35
Lab Hold
Fieldwork dates: 23 - 28 August 2013
Net approval ratings
Alex Salmond: +11
David Cameron: -45
Ed Miliband: -46
Nick Clegg: -53
What he said!!!
Also, saw Alexei Sayle tonight on his first stand-up tour for thirteen years, still as sharp and loud as ever, if mellowed a bit from the eighties
•Mary Landrieu (D) 48% [50%] (50%)
•Bill Cassidy (R) 41% [40%] (40%)
•Not sure 11% [10%] (10%)
PPP Arkansas 2014
•Mark Pryor (D) 44%
•Tom Cotton (R) 41%
The choice before the scottish public will be scottish rule or continued westminster rule.
Merely wishing that the public won't be made very aware of that stark choice won't make it so. It absolutely will be made crystal clear.
I hardly expect scottish tory surgers to have a clue about trust or what that means for the Independence campaign. It is however comforting that they are as complacent as their chums in scottish labour who thought they had it in the bag for 2011 because they also considered the SNP a liability and that was in a campaign that wasn't cross party like Yes is.
There's also the amusing fact that Brown has his own faction of "better together" which is the ironically named "united with labour" as quite a few in scottish labour are terrified of being seen as on the same side of the tories. Particularly after watching what has happened to the lib dems in scotland.
Con 476
Lab 186
lib 506
ukip 167
green 27
Their feud is ongoing, virulent and isn't about to end anytime soon.
Will she stand in Eastleigh again? It must be one of their better chances.
When was the power to control energy prices removed from the Government?
Around the time the incompetent fop fell flat on face again after this cast iron price pledge
You are floundering. When was the power for the Government to control energy prices removed?
You are floundering. When was the power for the Government to control energy prices removed?
I'm laughing at your frustrated desperation not floundering. Don't try to whine about controlling energy prices when Cammie self-evidently postured so ineptly on that very same subject.
"Millions of households will see a fall in their gas and electricity bills after David Cameron said he will force energy companies to give every customer the cheapest possible deal."
LOL
I'm laughing at your frustrated desperation not floundering. Don't try to whine about controlling energy prices when Cammie self-evidently postured so ineptly on that very same subject.
"Millions of households will see a fall in their gas and electricity bills after David Cameron said he will force energy companies to give every customer the cheapest possible deal."
LOL
You are now just gulping for air as your lungs fill with water. The Government currently has no powers to set the price of gas and electric. It used to however. When did this change happen?
"Millions of households will see a fall in their gas and electricity bills after David Cameron said he will force energy companies to give every customer the cheapest possible deal."
LOL
You are now just gulping for air as your lungs fill with water. The Government currently has no powers to set the price of gas and electric. It used to however. When did this change happen?
I'm absolutely delighted with you continuing to highlight Cameron's and your own pathetic hypocrisy on the subject, I assure you.
The Government promised Millions of households will see a fall in their gas and electricity bills after David Cameron said he will force energy companies to give every customer the cheapest possible deal. When will this happen?
The usual knives were already out for Diane James before the UKIP Euros candidate selections...
Daily Mail - Farage and another image foul-up as his own PR advisor's embarrassing emails on fellow UKIP members are leaked
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2430264/Nigel-Farage-UKIP-image-foul-embarrassing-emails-leaked.html#ixzz2i1pnQ1WR
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
I think UKIP is going to be under a lot more scrutiny than it has been with a lot of focus being put on Farage's managerial style and attendance records of current UKIP MEPs.
LAB will, as it always does in these elections, find it difficult to get its vote out
David Cameron and Barack Obama enjoy 'fast and furious' basket... - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09zL0Sz1IMg
In the VP debates, whenever he had his 90 (or 120?) seconds to give his answer he would talk for about 35 seconds and then just stop. He couldn't fill the time as he very quickly ran out of things to say.
Watch Diane James very carefully - she is exactly the same. When she starts talking she sounds fine but very quickly she runs out of things to say. All she can do is make one or two very simplistic points and that's it - she is completely unable to develop a proper reasoned argument.