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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The restoration of Florida felons voting rights could tip the
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The restoration of Florida felons voting rights could tip the balance at WH2020
We all know how Florida can have a huge impact on presidential elections and that it is always a tight race there. Overnight the incumbent Democratic Senator was ousted and replaced by a Republican winning by a very small margin.
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However, are we sure that the Democrats will continue to be the party of felons? Perhaps the Republicans will capture that demographic going forward.
https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2018/11/2/18049510/felon-voting-rights-amendment-4-florida
"Had all ex-felons been eligible to vote in Florida in 2016, we estimate that this would have generated about 102,000 additional votes for Democrats and about 54,000 additional votes for Republicans, with about an additional 40,000 votes that could be cast on behalf of either party."
Someone finally using the normally tiresome first/second meme to actual comic effect!
Congratulations on coming very close to a complete victory.
There's a US spelling alert in the second line of the third paragraph @MikeSmithson
https://www.vox.com/midterm-elections/2018/11/7/18049518/voter-turnout-2018-midterm-elections-results
The party of felons is likely lead by one.
Can anyone explain to me how the New York Times (Which I find excellent for it's numbers) has 546,000 votes out for Arizona but the precincts are 1478/1489.
Also are these remaining votes likely to be of the same flavour as those already in.
“racist, bloody racists”
“but you do sell drugs?”
“Well yes, but that’s not the point...just because you saw a black guy you thought he must be a drug dealer”
“But we just saw you deal to that other guy”
“Scratch the surface and you are racists”
Even more than Macron-Le Pen !
Ladbrokes could be forced to pay out on hundreds of bets which were turned down by its trading team if the Independent Betting Arbitration Service (Ibas) finds against the firm in three near-identical disputes over bets which are currently being considered by its adjudicators.
The three cases concern requests to place online bets which were referred to Ladbrokes’ traders for approval. An increasing number of punters on racing and other sports are familiar with this practice, and such bets are often either declined or re-offered, either at reduced odds or at a reduced stake that can be as little as 10 pence.
In the cases being considered by Ibas, the requested bets on horse races were declined. However, in each case, the customer attempting to place the bet claims to have received an official “bet number”, which they took as an indication that the bet had been accepted.
After the races, when it became clear their bets had in fact been declined, the punters claim they were described as “cancelled bets”, which suggests that their money could have been accepted at some point in the process.
The timescale involved when a case is considered by the arbitration service suggests Ladbrokes could, or should, have been aware of a possible problem with the processing of declined bets for several months, but the bookmaker has failed to address the issue. There is also anecdotal evidence that the cases currently being considered by Ibas may be the tip of the iceberg.
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2018/nov/07/ladbrokes-may-be-forced-to-pay-out-on-hundreds-of-cancelled-bets
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/10/07/the-end-of-the-court-of-sessions/
Trump asked him to resign...
https://twitter.com/davidmackau/status/1060226862033629185?s=21
He's clearing the way for 2020 today.
This is uuuuggee
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060261756264681472
https://twitter.com/bbcquestiontime/status/1060222994239369218
A new Attorney General would be able to close the Russia investigation.
That said, I've never been quite clear why Sessions/Rosenstein were seen as a firewall and that things would change materially if they went. As head of the Executive, ultimately Trump could fire whoever he wants.
Trump wants the Russia investigation stopped.
As Sessions reused himself he could not do that.
As he has now resigned his replacement can do that. His replacement has recently written an oped saying the Russia Collusion investigation should be heavily curtailed.
Lunch with the FT:
Jordan Peterson: ‘One thing I’m not is naive’
Should have made Trump fire him.
Macron's plan to pay tribute to Nazi collaborator Pétain stirs anger. Marshal Pétain was a first world war hero, but later disgraced as head of Vichy France
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/07/nazi-collaborator-phillipe-petain-world-war-stirs-anger
To be blunt Trump is doing this to cover up his crimes. In a just world Donald Trump would die in prison.
https://twitter.com/jamiedmaxwell/status/1060271939690782720
Learning Chinese is a long-term proposition.
I've got another five and a half months of gardening leave to use up.
You could go on a manhole cover tour instead....
I've got access to Sky, Netflix, and Amazon Prime.
As a journalist there, though, it’s very tough. You do need the language; then you need to make the contacts. For a non-Chinese that is incredibly hard. If you manage it and start getting uncomfortable stories the chances are you’ll be expelled. The best approach would be to use a team of local stringers and manage them discretely - the challenge there, though, is training people who have grown up in a culture and system where questioning authority is strongly discouraged.
That’s no excuse, of course, and in time coverage will improve. But I suspect it’s a next generation thing.
Arrow is utter crap (I say after watching 7 episodes) .
The Arrowverse is awesome.