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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Looking at the US Midterms w
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Looking at the US Midterms with ex-White House Coms director Anthony Scaramucci
This week PB / Polling Matters will unveil a series of special podcasts focusing on the US midterms. These podcasts will vary in content. Some will talk numbers with the pollsters and some will talk the issues behind the numbers with journalists and other political actors.
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Absolute must listen.
He chose the pineapple.
But there, anyone who likes The Last Jedi clearly has no taste.
*Grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
Doesn't suggest it is fully representative.
He also talks about Trump not having a filter, which, yeah, that seems to be the case. Now, I hope it is not sanctimonious of me, but while we do want people who mostly say what they think, I’ve quite understood why lack of a filter is meant to be such a clearly good thing, and that doesn’t just apply to Trump. Ok, we don’t want people who talk only in generalities and obfuscations, but a certain level of consideration before speaking is surely appropriate?
Bloomberg mentioned as someone who could take on Trump?
Frankly I am not surprised that he thinks Harris and Warren, as women, might struggle to fight Trump’s particular rough style.
Apparently Trump has an upbeat sense of humour. I find that hard to believe when he has such thin skin – I find it easier to believe that he might well be fun to hang around with so long as no one challenged him on anything.
Why are teachers expected to put up with things like this when NHS workers are not?
Eleven teachers sent home after refusing to teach 'unruly pupils'
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-46047517
I must admit, my reaction if I were one of those staff would be to call the police and lay criminal charges of assault, plus do the council in for conspiracy.
If it happened in a hospital, treatment would be refused and porters called to evict them, by force if necessary.
Yet here, we have the council siding with people who have committed alleged criminal offences.
It stinks.
(i) Newport was 56 per cent Leave, so a by-election will require some finesse in not exposing Labour's Brexit divisions, (ii) the Labour Welsh Government has managed to reduce Wales to a state of unprecedented fuckedupedness.
Locally, the abolition of Severn Bridge Tolls in December (for which the Tories can claim some credit) will certainly be popular ..... though I expect the long-term effects to be disastrous.
All in all, the price looks about right to me.
If there is no centrist option in the general election in 2020 though he has suggested he may run regardless and he can as you say bankroll his campaign as a third party or independent candidate as Perot did in 1992 and 1996
Why do you think abolishing the Severn Bridge Tolls will be disastrous?
It is a while since I have been assaulted at work*, but I agree.
There should be no special status for any victim of assault so that one is prosecuted and another is not. The young age should mean being dealt with by an appropriate policing team, but it does not excuse inaction. I am sure that these boys come from very difficult backgrounds, but they do have agency, and should be punished accordingly.
*About a year back, I stopped to assist a paramedic at an RTA. Not so much medically, but to prevent the Paramedic from being assaulted while treating an unconscios man.
For example, retail jobs in Newport, Monmouth, Chepstow will go, as shoppers will prefer to go to Bristol. Distribution jobs will go, as they will be increasingly serviced from Bristol.
Road congestion will increase as roads will not be able to cope with the increased traffic, as Chepstow and Monmouth become commuter suburbs of Bristol.
House prices in Gwent will spiral out of control of local people.
I am not hopeful that our AM’s will give the road the go ahead though.
(As an aside, a third of of Local Authority Pupil Referral Units are full -
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/education/education-news/school-exclusions-pupils-knife-crime-violence-pupil-referral-units-education-barnardos-a8609046.html )
There does appear to be a growing problem of unsocialised children in schools, and an expectation that teachers take on responsibilities that a number of parents appear to have abandoned.
Other than by the thought he would be the consequence of successfully impeaching Trump.
I can't vote for my local MP because he is a Brexiteer
"We need to catch burglars not sexists, says police chief Sara Thornton"
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/we-need-to-catch-burglars-not-misogynists-says-police-chief-xplsm9px9
From their website:
Kaimes is a school for pupils who have complex, long term additional support needs where the presumption of mainstream can not be met. Our learners require support with social and pragmatic communication needs associated with Autism Spectrum. Provision at Kaimes will be considered alongside other special provision in the authority, Language and Communication classes (Primary) and enhanced provision (Secondary) in order to identify the most appropriate specialist setting. The school currently has 6 classes in Primary and 10 in Secondary based around groups of 6 pupils per class.
I suspect this story is a little less simple than it appears.
If police have had to be called in because of the violence of the pupils, the council should not be siding with the latter. All other considerations aside, there seems a real risk such behaviour will set off the others and lead to a cycle of violence.
And I say that as somebody who has worked in a specialist autism unit and works with a number of students with very severe autism and behavioural problems now.
Edit - please remember, that would still not be accepted as an excuse in a hospital or a railway station.
There are at least 3 major bottlenecks: Junction 33, Taff's Well, and Brynglas. These bottlenecks are choked with commuters in their cars going to work in Cardiff.
They do it because there’s no practical alternative. The challenge is to remove those commuters from cars and put them on public transport.
Indications tonight (telegraph lead article), and in the DAG (I think?) piece in the FT a few weeks ago suggest that some in Brussels have realised their error....
My point was that on the very limited facts reported, it’s quite hard to make a judgment about exactly what has gone wrong here.
School mangement evidently have been the opposite of supportive - and that likely goes well back to dealing with the problems that led to the current confrontation.
Someone has to deal with these kids, and this ought to have been one of the institutions capable of doing so.
It is really poor optics. I was truly proud of this government for committing to this change. Why on earth can't it be made sooner?
https://twitter.com/votevets/status/1057722932569477123
Point of order: Javid is not a Muslim, he’s an atheist brought up as a Muslim AIUI. Why can’t we good atheists just be called atheists?
Presumably Javid would do the same.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46053283
According to Sadiq:
'My own family's heritage is Muslim. Myself and my four brothers were brought up to believe in God, but I do not practise any religion. My wife is a practising Christian and the only religion practised in my house is Christianity."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sajid_Javid#Religion
I'd call that "nominal Muslim" if force to summarise without more of a precise statement.
Wikipedia has a superb tongue-in-cheek description:
"The appointment of Church of England diocesan bishops follows a somewhat convoluted process, reflecting the church's traditional tendency towards compromise and ad hoc solutions, traditional ambiguity between hierarchy and democracy, and traditional role as a semi-autonomous state church."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appointment_of_Church_of_England_bishops
It implies that the UK has capitulated to the EU's terms under pressure from business.
https://twitter.com/europeelects/status/1057674020999610368?s=21
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tax-cut-break-jeremy-corbyn-labour-conservative-party-rich-threshold-rate-a8611321.html
Labour centrists revolting against Corbyn because his tax policies are insufficiently left-wing is extraordinary.
Moreover, uniquely perhaps, this could represent a danger to him. If Labour members get the idea Corbyn is on the side of the rich and the Blairites on the side of the poor...
Whatever the fiscal shortcomings of his budget, Hammond must be convulsed with laughter this morning at its political success.
Credit to the resigning minister; she surely knows who has decided to cave to the industry, and why.
It won’t be. This is a negotiation. Evidence so far suggests the balance of negotiations are at about 65/35 in the EU’s favour, not 100/0.
It is true to say it’s not 50/50. But that doesn’t mean it is therefore 100/0, because it isn’t.
Pity.
Leavers who thought it’d be 100/0 in the UK’s favour are just as wrong.
Hmm. Shows the site as not secure, with a warning mark.
Edited extra bit: bit safer via Vanilla.
Also, nice scoop. Will listen to this when I get a chance.