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SystemSystem Posts: 12,681
edited October 2018 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The pound rises on the FOREX markets after the BrexSec reports that a deal maybe only three weeks away

Brexit secretary confirms deal expected by mid-November https://t.co/Xo4xGOB5SG

Read the full story here


Comments

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Hurrah.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Shows how incompetent David Davis is that Raab can sort out a deal in a few months whilst Davis couldn’t in two years.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 35,693
    edited October 2018
    Norman Northern Ireland?


    I see. Thanks.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 67,195
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Shows how incompetent David Davis is that Raab can sort out a deal in a few months whilst Davis couldn’t in two years.

    Absolutely. Davis and Boris were hopeless but they had their chance and blew it
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status/1057674292702396416
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    FPT
    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    We've been here before. I'm expecting a deal to be done. I'm also expecting a few more turns of the screw first.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    AlastairMeeks said:

    We've been here before. I'm expecting a deal to be done. I'm also expecting a few more turns of the screw first.

    Hello !
    SouthamObserver said:

    https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status/1057674292702396416


  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    AlastairMeeks said:

    We've been here before. I'm expecting a deal to be done. I'm also expecting a few more turns of the screw first.

    I expect a deal to be done, too. The alternative is too bleak for all but the most swivel-eyed and insulated of the Buccaneers. But getting to one involves finding a form of words that can be spun domestically by the government as not being a total capitulation. That is surely going to take a while longer yet.

  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited October 2018
    AlastairMeeks said:

    We've been here before. I'm expecting a deal to be done. I'm also expecting a few more turns of the screw first.

    Yep. Also could be seen as a set-up to "we were totally being reasonable and were totally ready to deal, but then that mean M. Barnier double-crossed us. Boooo!" etc, etc.

    EDIT: I see M. Barnier has outsourced the meanness and double-crossery to the Irish.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FPT

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
    Meets Wolf 359?
  • OneArmedBadgerOneArmedBadger Posts: 41
    edited October 2018
    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Oh dear oh dear.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FPT

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
    Meets Wolf 359?
    Meets Solo: A Star Wars Story.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1057681595379957761
  • OneArmedBadgerOneArmedBadger Posts: 41
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    To a Brexiteer, telling silly lies to Hilary Benn and the Brexit committee is all in the game, yo. It's not a matter of incompetence.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    OneArmedBadger said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    To a Brexiteer, telling silly lies to Hilary Benn and the Brexit committee is all in the game, yo. It's not a matter of incompetence.
    Perhaps Raab can pass the little lies off as rumours ?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FPT

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
    Meets Wolf 359?
    Meets Solo: A Star Wars Story.
    Could be worse, at least it's not The Last Jedi.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Nah, he's not electrifying enough.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Don't think so - Musk has put a car into space this year. What's Raab done ?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    Perhaps Raab explaining the Brexit strategy to Joe Rogan might be worth a pop at this point.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited October 2018
    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html

    Thanks for the research Richard, have sold MS at £15 and TX at £10 a point..
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    edited October 2018
    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html

    Thanks for the research Richard, have sold MS at £15 and TX at £10 a point..
    I've bought overall turnout at 43.5% with SPIN.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html

    I simply cannot see the Democrats taking Texas. No Democrat has won a senatorial race there since 1988, and no new (as opposed to incumbent) Democratic senator has won there since 1971. It may be gradually trending back towards them, like Virginia, but I think we have a fair way to go before they retake it.

    If they do take it, great, because apart from anything else it's a very important state in the electoral college. It just seems very unlikely.
  • FenmanFenman Posts: 1,047
    ydoethur said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html

    I simply cannot see the Democrats taking Texas. No Democrat has won a senatorial race there since 1988, and no new (as opposed to incumbent) Democratic senator has won there since 1971. It may be gradually trending back towards them, like Virginia, but I think we have a fair way to go before they retake it.

    If they do take it, great, because apart from anything else it's a very important state in the electoral college. It just seems very unlikely.
    Demographics say theirs will eventually but this seems four to eight years too early.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    O/T

    Technical discussion of the Indonesian plane crash.

    https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/614857-indonesian-aircraft-missing-off-jakarta-15.html
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 45,161
    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Don't think so - Musk has put a car into space this year. What's Raab done ?
    Raab is still a cadet when it comes to the space stuff.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    There's a good summary of historical turnout in US elections here (including maps you can hover over to see the figures for each state in 2016, 2014, 2012):

    https://www.fairvote.org/voter_turnout#voter_turnout_101
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Always said Essex is a dump.

    A United States congressional candidate has used a picture of a British seaside village to show what could happen if voters do not back President Trump.

    An advert used an image of Jaywick Sands, near Clacton in Essex, to attack Nick Stella's Democrat opponent.

    The campaign picture, which showed an unpaved road and rundown homes, said: "Help President Trump keep America on track and thriving."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-4604749
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.
    ...

    I don't gamble, but I do greatly appreciate the betting posts and the analysis they contain.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    OblitusSumMe said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.
    ...

    I don't gamble, but I do greatly appreciate the betting posts and the analysis they contain.
    Thanks. (I don't gamble either, of course - I invest in the political betting markets!)
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,455
    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.

    I realise that turnout is expected to be higher than normal for mid-term elections, but comparing the spreads with 538's model and the derisory turnout four years ago in a number of states, the uplift looks too big - especially in the southern states where many people just don't vote.

    Take TX for example. OK, it's a high-profile and hotly-contested election this time, but the spread at 47-49 compares with 39.4% estimated in the 538 model and 28.5% four years ago. That's quite a difference.

    Or take a lower-profile contest like Mississippi Wicker vs Baria: 29.7% last time, 38.9% 538, compared with SPIN's price of 44-46.

    DYOR, I might lose my shirt and so might you, spreads are dangerous etc etc,

    2014 turnouts here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/the-worst-voter-turnout-in-72-years.html

    Thanks for the research Richard, have sold MS at £15 and TX at £10 a point..
    are there non-spread equivalents anywhere
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,455
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    OblitusSumMe said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.
    ...

    I don't gamble, but I do greatly appreciate the betting posts and the analysis they contain.
    Thanks. (I don't gamble either, of course - I invest in the political betting markets!)
    Down that road be danger....!
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,809
    At $1.276 saying that the £ has risen is premature
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Some people might look at cases like these and start to worry about the rights of Irish citizens in the UK after Brexit and the trustworthiness of the British state.
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/oct/31/home-office-tells-northern-irish-woman-to-prove-right-to-live-in-belfast
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FPT

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
    Meets Wolf 359?
    Meets Solo: A Star Wars Story.
    It'll bland them to death?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    kle4 said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FPT

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Slackbladder said:

    I've often said that if we don't get May's deal, then the alternative is no-deal by default, or no Brexit.

    Part of me wants No Deal just so it’ll destroy the British Eurosceptic movement forever.

    Short term pain for long term gain.
    It's already been destroyed.

    Just as the Anti-Corn Law League was destroyed in 1846, and for the same reason.

    Nah, Brexiteers are like Carthage after the Battle of Cannae.

    They may have been lucky in winning a battle but all they’ve done is rouse their opponents into giving them a shellacking.

    Think Zama meets Kleidion.
    Meets Wolf 359?
    Meets Solo: A Star Wars Story.
    It'll bland them to death?
    A huge financial disaster and a huge disappointment for those waiting for it.

    I'm sure there's an analogy to made about Solo and Brexit.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    OblitusSumMe said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.
    ...

    I don't gamble, but I do greatly appreciate the betting posts and the analysis they contain.
    Thanks. (I don't gamble either, of course - I invest in the political betting markets!)
    Down that road be danger....!
    When I started in 2008, it turned out that the bigger danger was investing in nice safe banks like RBS and Lloyds.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    OblitusSumMe said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    *** Betting Post (remember those? ***

    I might come to regret this, but I've taken a big punt on the turnout spreads in SPIN's state turnout markets being too high.
    ...

    I don't gamble, but I do greatly appreciate the betting posts and the analysis they contain.
    Thanks. (I don't gamble either, of course - I invest in the political betting markets!)
    Down that road be danger....!
    When I started in 2008, it turned out that the bigger danger was investing in nice safe banks like RBS and Lloyds.
    Lloyds would almost certainly have been fine if it hadn't tried to swallow HBOS.

    RBS on the other hand was approximately as safe as walking into a meeting of Islington Labour Party and announcing you support the existence of Israel.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 81,114
    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,809
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
    Essex is a story of two halves.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 81,114
    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Nah, he's not electrifying enough.
    Unsurprising, as he rhymes with the obsolete Saab.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 81,114
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
    He’s moving to Illinois ??

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    IanB2 said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
    Essex is a story of two halves.
    For sure - The Essex Suffolk border is particularly pleasent. OTOH "Grimsby" was filmed in Tilbury.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Nigelb said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
    He’s moving to Illinois ??

    That's a punishment and a half.

    Last time I went to Chicago it was soooooo cold and a lot more people would have died if the bullets hadn't frozen mid air.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,868
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Shows how incompetent David Davis is that Raab can sort out a deal in a few months whilst Davis couldn’t in two years.

    That post hasn't exactly stood the test of time!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1057701529015275521
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759
    Anyhoo time to go trick or treating.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 81,114
    One US contest to get PB pulses racing:
    Can ranked-choice voting end ugly election battles? This November, Maine hopes to find out.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/10/31/can-ranked-choice-voting-end-ugly-election-battles-this-november-maine-hopes-find-out/
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1057701529015275521

    That's great. I've a Cruz margin over O'Rourke spread bet sell at 5% with SPIN. If it ends like this I make money.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,809
    Why does the lead say that the £ is rising when it isn't?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    Nigelb said:

    One US contest to get PB pulses racing:
    Can ranked-choice voting end ugly election battles? This November, Maine hopes to find out.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/10/31/can-ranked-choice-voting-end-ugly-election-battles-this-november-maine-hopes-find-out/

    Isn't this A********** V*** under a different name? Perhaps TSE could run a thread about it this weekend.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Nah, he's not electrifying enough.
    Unsurprising, as he rhymes with the obsolete Saab.
    Down to the 9000 Saabs were extremely good cars.

    With the 93 and 95 they completely lost their way.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,937
    edited October 2018
    IanB2 said:

    Why does the lead say that the £ is rising when it isn't?

    Depends on your scale. GBP/USD rises around 50% of the time on all but the longest timeframes. The greater your timeframe the more disappointing cable (gbp/usd) looks.

    We still quote these rates in the traditional way though. The question is how many of your ropey old greenbacks would you need to buy one of our nice proper pounds!?

    Underpants are priced in pounds. Dollars too :)

  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,455
    Some of my family come from Jaywick (they did briefly move out to 'murder mile' in Cyprus)

    To be honest I'm not sure they would dispute most of what is said about it.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    Casino_Royale said:

    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?

    Beats playing with himself like certain other politicians.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Casino_Royale said:

    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?

    With hindsight it is cute that market traders took his letter at face value.

    There may come a time when we miss such a trusting reaction.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,706
    ydoethur said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Nah, he's not electrifying enough.
    Unsurprising, as he rhymes with the obsolete Saab.
    Down to the 9000 Saabs were extremely good cars.

    With the 93 and 95 they completely lost their way.
    Oi, I still have a Saab, the 95 that they introduced just before they went bust. It isn't that bad, but as so few were made I suspect parts will soon become unavailable.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    OblitusSumMe said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?

    With hindsight it is cute that market traders took his letter at face value.

    There may come a time when we miss such a trusting reaction.
    OGH has done an accidental Marketz before.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    ydoethur said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?

    Beats playing with himself like certain other politicians.
    Err.. Damian Green?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,937
    OblitusSumMe said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Maybe Dominic Raab just likes playing the currency markets?

    With hindsight it is cute that market traders took his letter at face value.

    There may come a time when we miss such a trusting reaction.
    Some did, some didn't. I can tell you one thing about currency markets - they're not reacting in the way you think they are, and that applies whoever you are.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,905
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Nigelb said:

    This story leaves me strangely conflicted...
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-46047494

    Me too.

    Essex is a dump.

    Hopefully Alastair Meeks will class up the joint.
    Whoa! Hang on a second! Rachel Riley is a Southend lass :)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,100
    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288

    ROW back indeed !
    Corbyn smiles.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,809
    Off topic.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,967
    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288

    A pity that I can't find online the Spitting Image sketch where they had Major's cabinet in a brewery unable to organise a pissup
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,905
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    OneArmedBadger said:

    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1057669902746697728

    The speed with which this ferret was reversed is impressive. Suggests very little optimism that any deal will be done in Nov, which hopefully means that the CJEU will have delivered the judgement on Article 50 revocation by the time the bunfight about amendments gets serious.

    Brexiteers are so incompetent they couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
    This November 21st date, when it passes with no further progress made is could hurt market confidence in the Gov't.
    Is Dominic Raab a pound shop Elon Musk?
    Nah, he's not electrifying enough.
    Unsurprising, as he rhymes with the obsolete Saab.
    Raab (the city in Hungary) is now known as Gyor.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    RochdalePioneers said:

    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288

    A pity that I can't find online the Spitting Image sketch where they had Major's cabinet in a brewery unable to organise a pissup
    Just post Corbyn launching his manifesto, that'll be fine.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,967
    Raab is just testing the government preferred option - simply declare Brexit without any actual deal or anything actually changing.

    Brexit means Brexit. A Red White and Blue Brexit.
    But you haven't actually left!
    Yes we have. We are now free to do whatever we want. We want to be a member of the EU
    But how is that Brexit?
    Because Brexit means Brexit. We have left the European Union and instead become EU members
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    AndyJS said:

    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"

    Since he seems incapable of leading perhaps they could apart some kind of party regent?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    IanB2 said:

    Why does the lead say that the £ is rising when it isn't?

    Because it was when the header was written? Duh!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The latest from Craig Murray:

    https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2018/10/31/ignominious-death-of-united-kingdom.html
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 45,161
    AndyJS said:

    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"

    CON's just 2% ahead of LAB. When's May going to let someone else take over?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 53,160
    ydoethur said:

    RochdalePioneers said:

    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288

    A pity that I can't find online the Spitting Image sketch where they had Major's cabinet in a brewery unable to organise a pissup
    Just post Corbyn launching his manifesto, that'll be fine.
    Though it did work, he gained a good number of seats and despite the shambles, indeed because of it, he dominated the news agenda for weeks.

    Perhaps there really is no such thing as bad publicity.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    Theuniondivvie said:

    AndyJS said:

    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"

    CON's just 2% ahead of LAB. When's May going to let someone else take over?
    In the next 6 months.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,759

    NEW THREAD

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,905
    Theuniondivvie said:

    AndyJS said:

    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"

    CON's just 2% ahead of LAB. When's May going to let someone else take over?
    SNP drop 2%. When's Nicola going to let someone else take over?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 75,258
    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    RochdalePioneers said:

    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1057706280532492288

    A pity that I can't find online the Spitting Image sketch where they had Major's cabinet in a brewery unable to organise a pissup
    Just post Corbyn launching his manifesto, that'll be fine.
    Though it did work, he gained a good number of seats and despite the shambles, indeed because of it, he dominated the news agenda for weeks.

    Perhaps there really is no such thing as bad publicity.
    Major won the 92 election outright!
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 45,161
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Theuniondivvie said:

    AndyJS said:

    LDs just 2% ahead of UKIP. When's Vince going to let someone else take over?


    "Europe Elects
    ‏ @EuropeElects

    UK, YouGov poll:

    CON-ECR: 41%
    LAB-S&D: 39% (+3)
    LDEM-ALDE: 7% (-1)
    UKIP-EFDD: 5% (+1)
    SNP/PCY-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
    GREENS-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

    Field work: 29/10/18 – 30/10/18
    Sample size: 1,648"

    CON's just 2% ahead of LAB. When's May going to let someone else take over?
    SNP drop 2%. When's Nicola going to let someone else take over?
    You think SNP/PCY = the SNP?
    When are you going to let someone who knows what they're talking about take over your account?
This discussion has been closed.

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