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PB /Opinium: Based on your knowledge, do you have a positive or negative view of the following political ideologies or systems? (net positive)
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Of course, the fake news is that SeanT has a "lefty" friend.
Glad we’re in the same party. Just.
https://pollofpolls.eu/
Editorial summary: centre-right doing well in most places, far right off the boil, centre-left doing badly (there are exceptions to all of these). Looks like increased EPP (Christian Democrat) dominance in the European Parliament next year.
Jersey is a hotbed of tax dodgers and the IEA is not independent.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-6003361/amp/Jose-Mourinho-delivers-damning-verdict-Manchester-Uniteds-tour.html?ico=amp_articleRelated
Not certain to be first in the sack race, but may be worth laying ManU win on the 10th. Except it is Puel's Leicester.
I think the May lanes would be British and perhaps Irish passports only given the CTA
But to be social is good, yes? As is democratic. So, of course people approve of it.
All the others are terms of abuse, apart from Lib Dem, which doesn't even earn that distinction.
Would be interesting if the pejorative term were Social Democrat, rather than Blairite.
'Do they really want a return to the killings?'
There will no return to the killings, because we have not stopped, its just a total change of pace as regards political or sectarian violence. its a bullshit question.
Those remainers who knock on as if somehow leaving the EU is going to plunge this place back to the 70s and early 80s. Seriously, go wise up.
On something actually more sensible. Well over a year ago I mentioned three names as regards the category of Who's in it for Russia with Trump. Paul Manafort, Carter Page & Felix Sater.
Manafort: Some within the US intelligence community think Manafort may have been working for Russian intelligence agencies whilst part of the Trump campaign.
Page: an FOI request about the Feds request to monitor him has resulted in it being on redacted record that there was suspicion that he was an asset working for Russian intelligence.
Sater: Linked to the Russian mob and dodgy cash. The overlap between the Russian state, its intelligence agencies and Russian organised crime is considerable so that you barely see the join.
Picture emerging. Not just mere contacts and doing some deals, we are now at suspected as working for Russian intelligence.
Would he be trusted by harder leavers to negotiate a better deal over time though? Some outright state former remainers cannot understand the leaver mindset, even if they try presumably, so how much would he need to be beholden to them in order to win the contest in the first place? Which would restrict his ability to be flexible enough on other matters as needed to win the GE.
Bit seriously, as people have noted, including Keiran, the terms mean little to a lot of people. I'd struggle to concisely define many of the, (of course concisely doing anything for me is a challenge).
"Middle-class cocaine users helping drug gangs destroy society, says Met chief"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/07/31/middle-class-cocaine-users-care-planet-ignore-drugs-destroy/
I never understand why people STILL say Cameron was a "moderate" or "progressive". When examples are asked for, all people ever come up with is gay marriage. On economic issues, there's still a good argument that his policies were the most right-wing of any PM since the war.
Theresa May is not the full shilling, but I'd rather have her over Cameron any day of the week.
I would however take him over a woman trying to defy economic gravity by waging an inept culture war, and a man who's so stupid, stubborn and vain that he'd rather distress people by subjecting them to racism than examine his own beliefs.
2. Most of the plans call for the customs efforts upstream not on the border itself
3. The Provos have no desire to start up again. Anybody who has been interested defected years ago to the splinter groups or has been doing a bit of work on the side for them
4. The overall terror group position has not changed and is not likely to, they exist but are reasonably well kept in a pen
The pizza killings? Since 2009, terror related incidents
40+ gun and bomb attacks on police and prison officers, a number of which have left dead or injured.
Attempted rocket attacks on police stations have occurred.
Plenty of killings by terror groups within their own communities
It still exists
You say there will be no military or military-like presence and it will all be done via technology. Well I hope so - but if not, if there is any inspection hut or customs infrastructure, you will need (twenty?) three battalions on roulement to protect them.
As I have said on many posts on NI, if there really is an all-tech solution, then there is a chance that it scrapes through. If not, we are in a very bad place. Again.
If you have no desire to go back to conflict what are you recruiting for?
The 'mainstream' republican movement as represented by Sinn Fein have made no suggestion of a return to political violence, none. No intelligence or security assessment has suggested a major uplift is likely.
http://www.irishnews.com/news/politicalnews/2018/07/31/news/arlene-foster-claims-sinn-fe-in-can-t-answer-basic-questions-about-a-united-ireland-1396037/
Mrs Foster has accused Sinn Féin of not being able to answers practical questions about a united Ireland.
"Whilst there have been plenty of republican sound-bites about a border poll, one interview exposed that Sinn Fein has no answers to basic questions about a united Ireland such as what happens (to) our free-at-point-of-need health system," she said.
In that they'll probably be disappointed. Support for a United Ireland, even with Brexit looming varies between 30 and 40% depending on the poll. Thats a big gap to close. What many don't realise is the concept of 'Northern Irish' which is just as common a self designation as those who consider themselves Irish. Thats the people that those pitching for a United Ireland will have to persuade because well over 40% the population self designates as British first so they probably aren't going to be persuaded.
Pro-Union blocs needs maybe 40% or even less of those who self designate as Northern Irish to pull a comfortable majority. Not, I suspect, a huge task.
The 'Mainstream" republican movement can do whatever the hell it likes. It's the others you need to worry about. As Gerry Adams showed the other day.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/07/31/calexit-supporters-revamp-campaign-with-plan-to-convert-half-california-into-autonomous-native-american-nation.html
Edit: Also, yay new podcast.
We were wondering when the 24-hr Jew guy would be back on.
Also, boo no new podcast until tomorrow.
Hello Dublin bye bye NHS?
It is one of the advantages of legalising say marijuana and maybe other lesser drugs that people retain that fear factor of going to meet someone to buy drugs rather than it becoming normalised for a significant percentage.
Edit: Although I would imagine the dark web must be cutting into profits.
What an interesting and complex character you are.
He said that this was a "high-risk strategy", because many perceive it as "scaremongering."
Pressure for a second vote "will come with renewed force after summer," predicted Menon, because it will be the last chance for 'Remain' supporters, before the EU and the UK try to reach a deal and the UK parliament votes to ratify it.
According to the Sky TV poll, 78 percent of Britons think that the government is doing a bad job on Brexit, and 42 percent - against 31 percent - think that Brexit will be bad for them.
Grant insisted however that public opinion's "shift towards regret [was] very small."
He noted that Remain led by a few percentage points in recent polls, the trend was similar ahead of the June 2016. And while some Leave voters may turn to Remain, the opposite was also true, especially due to a perception that the EU is "bullying the British".
https://euobserver.com/uk-referendum/142503
Why would the UK offer EU citizens something the EU won't offer UK Citizens?