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  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited July 2018
    Pulpstar said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Good stuff
    It's not. It's genuinely terrifying. He knows full well that Germany cannot do this, either politically or economically, in that time-frame.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,701
    Indeed, Leavers are headed for an even bigger mess.

    There will be riots in the streets if the promise of the Leavers turns out to be bollocks.

    It will be an insult to democracy if Leavers having promised a no deal Brexit wasn't going to happen and then it happens.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778
    Why is Sky interviewing Nigel f***ing Farage about NATO?

    What, is he a defence analyst now?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,751

    The Pentagon must be doing their collective nuts at the moment.

    Well, maybe. But there's a good reason why the commander-in-chief is a civilian, even if he's an ignorant fool.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    edited July 2018

    Why is Sky interviewing Nigel f***ing Farage about NATO?

    What, is he a defence analyst now?

    He has the inside gen on Trump, from the horses mouth so to speak, also apparently he is bessie mates with Putin.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,916
    It would be very difficult to hit those targets so soon short of simply ordering a vast amount of equipment. Trump is quite deliberately setting targets he expects to be missed.

    In a few days time Trump reports to Putin without any US official present, nor any record being made (well for the US at least). God help us.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Somebody in the Pentagon is currently mulling whether to do another grassy knoll.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    GIN1138 said:

    Obviously Donald is exceptionally unpopular with certain parts of Britain but then I suspect the "silent majority" are probably fairly sanguine about him.

    Remember Obama was supposed to be wildly popular here... So much so Cameron thought that by flying him in and getting him to threaten Brit's with being "at the back of the queue" we'd all fall to out feet, see the light and vote remain.

    Didn't quite work out...

    I don’t see how that proves that Obama’s wasn’t popular. People didn’t agree with him on Brexit so therefore they must not like him? I don’t think they argument quite works.

    If lots of people were sanguine about Trump you’d expect polls to show a high percentage of don’t knows in place of a high percentage of disapproval of him.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    The Pentagon must be doing their collective nuts at the moment.

    And Putin thinking his investment in Trump has paid off massively.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    RobD said:


    Many of them are reserved seats. The argument about ram packed is fair enough I guess but his point was about a lack of seating room, people would casually use the phrase much the same way, it was so ram packed I couldn't get a seat.

    @tlg86

    The point was how regular people have to travel, not that he personally was inconvenienced by it but that many people are inconvenienced by it every day.

    They were reserved? According to wikipedia that was in coach H where seats aren't reserved. And they wouldn't use the term 'ram packed' if they literally walked past empty seats.

    He can make that point without having to make stuff up though.
    Seems strange that on the video there are others standing unable to find seats, you also had people saying that they were on the train and couldn't find seats.

    You also had Virgin offering to upgrade him to first class?

    Why didn't they just direct him towards the obvious unreserved empty seats? Him and the other people standing that Corbyn made a point about?

    Because they weren't empty at all? because their dodgy camera angle they released to make it look like empty seats doesn't actually mean there were empty seats is my guess. Maybe the staff present and the other customers standing up are all liars in on some big conspiracy...

    A company lied for financial gain. I know everyone will be shocked by this news but sometimes big companies will lie or misdirect the truth if they think it is in their interests.

    If you don't think people can easily use slight over exaggerations in casual conversation then you talk to very different people to me. I know many people who would use the phrase ram packed if they couldn't get a seat.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754
    Mons looks like a good place to for an EU military headquarters.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160

    Why is Sky interviewing Nigel f***ing Farage about NATO?

    What, is he a defence analyst now?

    No - he is a Trump Putin sycophant
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Does Trump have sufficient authority to do this? Without congress agreeing?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,163
    Where was it that John Cleese is buggering off to again...

    Nevis: how the world’s most secretive offshore haven refuses to clean up

    https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/jul/12/nevis-how-the-worlds-most-secretive-offshore-haven-refuses-to-clean-up
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    Anorak said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Good stuff
    It's not. It's genuinely terrifying. He knows full well that Germany cannot do this, either politically or economically, in that time-frame.
    I agree that Germany can not do the 2% in 6 months, but Germany can do other stuff than front line military. It could decide to provide air lift and sea replenishment for NATO, it could provide Air Tanker's in large numbers, etc, etc.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Anorak said:

    Does Trump have sufficient authority to do this? Without congress agreeing?

    I naively assume he has the authority to take all the US troops out of Europe.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Trump live on Sky
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    Ishmael_Z said:

    If Trump wants to destroy NATO, then let him. Europe should have nothing to do with his childish games any longer.

    EDIT: I cannot, *will not* believe that his party, an overtly and explicitly atlanticist party for countless generations, will allow this to stand. But the Stockholm syndrome in the GOP runs deep nowadays.
    The trouble is that NATO survives a US withdrawal from it. It is all very well having nothing to do with things, but Europe is in a whole ocean of shit when Don's mate Vladimir has a pop at the Baltic states while the treaty subsists.
    NATO will not survive a US withdrawal. The US contribution absolutely dwarfs all the other members and it structures and processes reflect that centrality. There will eventually be a new European security framework in its stead. In the mean time learn Russian and dig a shelter.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778

    Why is Sky interviewing Nigel f***ing Farage about NATO?

    What, is he a defence analyst now?

    No - he is a Trump Putin sycophant
    Who spouts on about traitors in our midst, when he's a huge Putin fan.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    Anorak said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Good stuff
    It's not. It's genuinely terrifying. He knows full well that Germany cannot do this, either politically or economically, in that time-frame.
    I agree that Germany can not do the 2% in 6 months, but Germany can do other stuff than front line military. It could decide to provide air lift and sea replenishment for NATO, it could provide Air Tanker's in large numbers, etc, etc.
    Maybe. But the point is that he's set a goal which he knows is unachievable. And that applies to Spain and Italy as much as Germany. France could do it, but to do so because Trump has ordered it so publicly makes it very difficult politically.

    And whatever happens, it will make not one iota of difference to US defense spending.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754
    RobD said:

    Anorak said:

    Does Trump have sufficient authority to do this? Without congress agreeing?

    I naively assume he has the authority to take all the US troops out of Europe.
    Maybe Trump is actually a strategic genius and he'll come out of the Putin summit with an agreement to shift US troops from Germany to Russia.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    At last a reason to vote Corbyn. He'd at least have the courage to take us out of that half baked alliance.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,815
    Mr. Roger, I'm pure and virtuous, I tell you!
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Mons looks like a good place to for an EU military headquarters.

    It'll be in France or Poland I imagine.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    Anorak said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Anorak said:

    So what happened to Malc and Max last night? I assume the offending comments have been expunged, as the records don't show anything other than some light English-baiting from the former.

    Narcissistic Yuppie vs Pound Shop Begbie ended in a one all draw of bans after extra time.
    That paints quite a picture. Have a KitKat for your efforts.
    I had no problems with Malc, but Max was, IMO, loathsome.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Trump very happy now everyone is increasing their contributions
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    Welcome back Bev!
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    TOPPING said:

    The USA is entitled to ask for other NATO members to increase their defence spending substantially if it is comfortable seeing its own military dominance in Europe eroded. That has not been the American calculation since the end of the Second World War but the USA under Trump is apparently abdicating its Leader Of The Free World role in order to take more short term advantages.

    Thing is, it's criticised as much for trying to act as LOTFW (ie when it, er, leads by saying "you lot come with us to the ME"), and is also criticised for moves towards a more isolationist foreign policy.
    It’s entitled to make its own calculation on the subject. Abdicating its previous role looks like an admission of decline to me but perhaps that’s a recognition of reality.
    That's a very Eurocentric way of looking at it. The central geopolitical relationship in the 21st century will be that of USA-China. inevitably therefore, what's going on in Europe and the Atlantic is of lesser concern than it was (both in relative and absolute terms). Europe still matters to the US, and everyone else, because there are some upper-middle ranking countries there, and a lot of wealth generated and consumed, as well as the continent punching even higher on soft power. But it won't be the absolutely central concern that it was in the 20th century. Europe's leaders (and its public) need to understand that and adapt.
    I agree. The 20th century was the Atlantic century. The 21st, the Pacific. None of the European military powers have much in the way of force projection, so from a purely military standpoint, we're not much use to the US. With the US freeing itself from dependence on ME oil, it reduces the importance of the Med/Gulf as well. That, in turn, with reduce the UK's value within the Five Eyes community.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,916
    edited July 2018
    A week ago I wrote this.

    By the end of next week the EU might well need to consider a post-NATO defence and security arrangement. That might focus some minds about striking a deal with the UK.

    I think I could remove the mights now.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160

    Welcome back Bev!

    +1
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307
    John_M said:

    TOPPING said:

    The USA is entitled to ask for other NATO members to increase their defence spending substantially if it is comfortable seeing its own military dominance in Europe eroded. That has not been the American calculation since the end of the Second World War but the USA under Trump is apparently abdicating its Leader Of The Free World role in order to take more short term advantages.

    Thing is, it's criticised as much for trying to act as LOTFW (ie when it, er, leads by saying "you lot come with us to the ME"), and is also criticised for moves towards a more isolationist foreign policy.
    It’s entitled to make its own calculation on the subject. Abdicating its previous role looks like an admission of decline to me but perhaps that’s a recognition of reality.
    That's a very Eurocentric way of looking at it. The central geopolitical relationship in the 21st century will be that of USA-China. inevitably therefore, what's going on in Europe and the Atlantic is of lesser concern than it was (both in relative and absolute terms). Europe still matters to the US, and everyone else, because there are some upper-middle ranking countries there, and a lot of wealth generated and consumed, as well as the continent punching even higher on soft power. But it won't be the absolutely central concern that it was in the 20th century. Europe's leaders (and its public) need to understand that and adapt.
    I agree. The 20th century was the Atlantic century. The 21st, the Pacific. None of the European military powers have much in the way of force projection, so from a purely military standpoint, we're not much use to the US. With the US freeing itself from dependence on ME oil, it reduces the importance of the Med/Gulf as well. That, in turn, with reduce the UK's value within the Five Eyes community.
    Time to review that lease on Diego Garcia...
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,815
    Welcome back, Mrs C.

    Mr. glw, intrigued to see in what way May will bugger that up.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited July 2018

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Any NATO member can withdraw from the alliance with a year's notice, per article 13 of the treaty.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,222
    Trump doesn't seem to be threatening very much at all in this press conference. Here's a prediction - Germany won't increase defence spending, and the USA won't leave NATO.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778
    John_M said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Any NATO member can withdraw from the alliance with a year's notice.
    Trump needs Congress to agree to leave NATO iirc.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,751
    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    I presume it can unilaterally withdraw though - though I've not checked the treaty for its withdrawal processes, nor those of the US for mandating a withdrawal from a treaty, both of which would be relevant.

    Trump could of course say that he simply wouldn't honour the treaty, though that would have consequences beyond just Nato.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778
    Nigelb said:

    John_M said:

    TOPPING said:

    The USA is entitled to ask for other NATO members to increase their defence spending substantially if it is comfortable seeing its own military dominance in Europe eroded. That has not been the American calculation since the end of the Second World War but the USA under Trump is apparently abdicating its Leader Of The Free World role in order to take more short term advantages.

    Thing is, it's criticised as much for trying to act as LOTFW (ie when it, er, leads by saying "you lot come with us to the ME"), and is also criticised for moves towards a more isolationist foreign policy.
    It’s entitled to make its own calculation on the subject. Abdicating its previous role looks like an admission of decline to me but perhaps that’s a recognition of reality.
    That's a very Eurocentric way of looking at it. The central geopolitical relationship in the 21st century will be that of USA-China. inevitably therefore, what's going on in Europe and the Atlantic is of lesser concern than it was (both in relative and absolute terms). Europe still matters to the US, and everyone else, because there are some upper-middle ranking countries there, and a lot of wealth generated and consumed, as well as the continent punching even higher on soft power. But it won't be the absolutely central concern that it was in the 20th century. Europe's leaders (and its public) need to understand that and adapt.
    I agree. The 20th century was the Atlantic century. The 21st, the Pacific. None of the European military powers have much in the way of force projection, so from a purely military standpoint, we're not much use to the US. With the US freeing itself from dependence on ME oil, it reduces the importance of the Med/Gulf as well. That, in turn, with reduce the UK's value within the Five Eyes community.
    Time to review that lease on Diego Garcia...
    :+1:
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    John_M said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Any NATO member can withdraw from the alliance with a year's notice, per article 13 of the treaty.
    Doubt he will give any notice if he doesn't want to
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Within the constraints imposed by Congress, he can withdraw from NATO, but he doesn't get to rewrite the terms of the alliance unilaterally.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,857
    Roger said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    At last a reason to vote Corbyn. He'd at least have the courage to take us out of that half baked alliance.
    I'm no expert of defence but I would always be a little careful before creating a power vacuum.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Pulpstar said:

    Trump doesn't seem to be threatening very much at all in this press conference. Here's a prediction - Germany won't increase defence spending, and the USA won't leave NATO.

    Agreed
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    John_M said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Any NATO member can withdraw from the alliance with a year's notice, per article 13 of the treaty.
    Doubt he will give any notice if he doesn't want to
    Trump doesn't have untrammeled power. As others have noted, his nominal party isn't necessarily going to support withdrawal from NATO.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Within the constraints imposed by Congress, he can withdraw from NATO, but he doesn't get to rewrite the terms of the alliance unilaterally.
    Trump just claimed he "probably" doesn't need Congress, but says it wont be necessary as everyone is going to spend more.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,701
    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Trump

    I am a very stable genius
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754
    John_M said:

    TOPPING said:

    The USA is entitled to ask for other NATO members to increase their defence spending substantially if it is comfortable seeing its own military dominance in Europe eroded. That has not been the American calculation since the end of the Second World War but the USA under Trump is apparently abdicating its Leader Of The Free World role in order to take more short term advantages.

    Thing is, it's criticised as much for trying to act as LOTFW (ie when it, er, leads by saying "you lot come with us to the ME"), and is also criticised for moves towards a more isolationist foreign policy.
    It’s entitled to make its own calculation on the subject. Abdicating its previous role looks like an admission of decline to me but perhaps that’s a recognition of reality.
    That's a very Eurocentric way of looking at it. The central geopolitical relationship in the 21st century will be that of USA-China. inevitably therefore, what's going on in Europe and the Atlantic is of lesser concern than it was (both in relative and absolute terms). Europe still matters to the US, and everyone else, because there are some upper-middle ranking countries there, and a lot of wealth generated and consumed, as well as the continent punching even higher on soft power. But it won't be the absolutely central concern that it was in the 20th century. Europe's leaders (and its public) need to understand that and adapt.
    I agree. The 20th century was the Atlantic century. The 21st, the Pacific. None of the European military powers have much in the way of force projection, so from a purely military standpoint, we're not much use to the US. With the US freeing itself from dependence on ME oil, it reduces the importance of the Med/Gulf as well. That, in turn, with reduce the UK's value within the Five Eyes community.
    Perhaps Atlantic/Pacific is the wrong way of looking at it. Putin wants the US to retreat from Eurasia completely so this could be a century defined by attempts to dominate the Old World.

    An American First US will see security issues in Latin America as much more vital to its national interests than the Korean peninsula. I wouldn't be surprised if Trump made good on his threat to send troops into Mexico at some point.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,751

    Indeed, Leavers are headed for an even bigger mess.

    There will be riots in the streets if the promise of the Leavers turns out to be bollocks.

    It will be an insult to democracy if Leavers having promised a no deal Brexit wasn't going to happen and then it happens.
    Anyone who believed that a No Deal Brexit couldn't possibly happen is either naive or stupid. Any promise made on that basis was similarly naive or mendacious.

    It should be bloody obvious that the UK could not lay down conditions to the EU, and that if the EU wasn't willing to play ball on a meaningful negotiation, the only options then would be to either accept the EU's terms or to reject them.

    That said, I doubt any meaningful number of voters had their vote swayed by that 'promise', such as it might have been, either singularly or in conjunction of other claims.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,222
    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Dura_Ace said:

    Mons looks like a good place to for an EU military headquarters.

    It'll be in France or Poland I imagine.
    While it is not quite true that the whole point of the EU is to spend German euros in France, that is the way I'd bet.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Pulpstar said:

    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.

    He does seem to be winging it
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,751
    Pulpstar said:

    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.

    Why do you think he's bluffing? He's proven himself perfectly adept so far at withdrawing the US from treaties and international arrangements.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Welcome back Bev!

    +1.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,778
    Pulpstar said:

    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.

    Europeans would be bloody stupid not to take his threat seriously.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,701

    Indeed, Leavers are headed for an even bigger mess.

    There will be riots in the streets if the promise of the Leavers turns out to be bollocks.

    It will be an insult to democracy if Leavers having promised a no deal Brexit wasn't going to happen and then it happens.
    Anyone who believed that a No Deal Brexit couldn't possibly happen is either naive or stupid. Any promise made on that basis was similarly naive or mendacious.

    It should be bloody obvious that the UK could not lay down conditions to the EU, and that if the EU wasn't willing to play ball on a meaningful negotiation, the only options then would be to either accept the EU's terms or to reject them.

    That said, I doubt any meaningful number of voters had their vote swayed by that 'promise', such as it might have been, either singularly or in conjunction of other claims.
    There’s plenty of footage of Leavers saying No Deal was Project Fear.

    It will be their ‘We abolished boom and bust’
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Pulpstar said:

    Trump doesn't seem to be threatening very much at all in this press conference. Here's a prediction - Germany won't increase defence spending, and the USA won't leave NATO.

    Germany will pledge increased spending on French but not American arms, at some indeterminate point in the future. America will pull out of Germany thus damaging the German economy as well as its defence. Half a dozen buglers will leave immediately with the rest to follow, also at some point in the distant future.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Love him or hate him this increased spending will give a massive boost to US military sales
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,222

    Pulpstar said:

    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.

    Why do you think he's bluffing? He's proven himself perfectly adept so far at withdrawing the US from treaties and international arrangements.
    The US military gives him the horn in a way climate change or trading arrangements with Mexico don't.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sky reporting Trump has just told NATO members 2% by next Jan or you are on your own.

    Not all NATO - Germany, France, Italy and Spain specifically
    There is either NATO to there isn't.
    The US doesn't get to unilaterally amend the terms of the treaty.
    Trump can do what he likes, unfortunately
    Within the constraints imposed by Congress, he can withdraw from NATO, but he doesn't get to rewrite the terms of the alliance unilaterally.
    Trump just claimed he "probably" doesn't need Congress, but says it wont be necessary as everyone is going to spend more.
    Well he is Commander in Chief. But Congress has powers to constrain him; the question is more whether they would have the will do to so.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Love him or hate him this increased spending will give a massive boost to US military sales

    That is of course Trump's idea but Macron will be handing out glossy brochures and showing Youtube videos from Dassault and other French makers while warning against further dependence on the unreliable Anglosphere.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Indeed, Leavers are headed for an even bigger mess.

    There will be riots in the streets if the promise of the Leavers turns out to be bollocks.

    It will be an insult to democracy if Leavers having promised a no deal Brexit wasn't going to happen and then it happens.
    Anyone who believed that a No Deal Brexit couldn't possibly happen is either naive or stupid. Any promise made on that basis was similarly naive or mendacious.

    It should be bloody obvious that the UK could not lay down conditions to the EU, and that if the EU wasn't willing to play ball on a meaningful negotiation, the only options then would be to either accept the EU's terms or to reject them.

    That said, I doubt any meaningful number of voters had their vote swayed by that 'promise', such as it might have been, either singularly or in conjunction of other claims.
    I have a book for you to read...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Myth_of_the_Rational_Voter
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,222
    Relax guys, Trump's commitment to NATO remains 'very strong' and Germany, Italy and Spain will continue to not pull their weight.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Trump's press conference is a tour de force as he addresses lots of issues

    I don't believe I have said that
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Roger said:

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
    It's not a single country yet...
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Trump

    Brexit means Brexit
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Pulpstar said:

    I think Trump has misjudged this press conference, he was clearly bluffing about NATO withdrawal earlier. Europe (Except France) won't do much with defence spending.

    Why do you think he's bluffing? He's proven himself perfectly adept so far at withdrawing the US from treaties and international arrangements.
    Thus far Congress, particularly the Senate, has not challenged him. That is likely to change if the NATO treaty is at stake, and the territory is then not well charted...

    https://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history/common/briefing/Treaties.htm
    The Constitution is silent about how treaties might be terminated. The breaking off of two treaties during the Jimmy Carter administration stirred controversy. In 1978 the president terminated the U.S. defense treaty with Taiwan in order to facilitate the establishment of diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China. Also in 1978 the new Panama Canal treaties replaced three previous treaties with Panama. In one case, the president acted unilaterally; in the second, he terminated treaties in accordance with actions taken by Congress. Only once has Congress terminated a treaty by a joint resolution; that was a mutual defense treaty with France, from which, in 1798, Congress declared the United States "freed and exonerated." In that case, breaking the treaty almost amounted to an act of war; indeed, two days later Congress authorized hostilities against France, which were only narrowly averted....
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307
    RobD said:

    Roger said:

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
    It's not a single country yet...
    But it is, in many respects, a single economy.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754
    Trump thinks Ireland is in the UK!!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160

    Trump thinks Ireland is in the UK!!

    Northern Ireland is
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307

    Trump's press conference is a tour de force as he addresses lots of issues ...

    Including the 'heart-breaking' Brexit....
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754

    Trump thinks Ireland is in the UK!!

    Northern Ireland is
    He specifically mentioned his property in Ireland in the context of the UK. Major gaffe.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    I only popped back to see what you all thought of the Chequers document, however it seems that WW1 trench warfare continues ...

    Thanks for the welcomes and +1s
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307
    As I've said before, narcissist and reflexive liar.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    Trump thinks Ireland is in the UK!!

    Northern Ireland is
    He specifically mentioned his property in Ireland in the context of the UK. Major gaffe.
    Major? Let's see if anyone is talking about it in a few days.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited July 2018
    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    52m52 minutes ago

    UK, Survation poll:

    Scottish Independence Referendum

    18-24 | YES 71%, NO 29%
    25-34 | YES 63%, NO 37%
    35-44 | YES 54%, NO 46%
    45-54 | YES 46%, NO 54%
    55-64 | YES 36%, NO 64%
    65+ | YES 31%, NO 69%

    Overall: YES 47%, NO 53%

    Field work: 05/07/18–10/07/18
    Sample size: 1,002
    #indyref2 #Brexit #ScotRef"
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    edited July 2018

    Trump's press conference is a tour de force as he addresses lots of issues

    I don't believe I have said that


    I've heard retirees aren't averse to a drop of sherry for elevenses.

    When you sober up you'll realise what he's saying and ow he's saying it would embarrass a 10 year old from Hartlepool
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Roger said:

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
    It already does. It also pays for the free loading Europeans.

    Why do so many pro Europeans repeat the myth that Europe is the world's largest economy? By any credible metric it isn't.

    Even pre Brexit the USA has a bigger economy than Europe. By PPP so does China.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160

    I only popped back to see what you all thought of the Chequers document, however it seems that WW1 trench warfare continues ...

    Thanks for the welcomes and +1s

    +1
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Trump's speaking is very repetitive. He says the same thing over and over again with only minor variation. Presumably he's leaned to do this from his television days to make life easier for the editors.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160

    Trump thinks Ireland is in the UK!!

    Northern Ireland is
    He specifically mentioned his property in Ireland in the context of the UK. Major gaffe.
    No one will notice - much bigger issues
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    Roger said:

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
    It already does. It also pays for the free loading Europeans.

    Why do so many pro Europeans repeat the myth that Europe is the world's largest economy? By any credible metric it isn't.

    Even pre Brexit the USA has a bigger economy than Europe. By PPP so does China.
    We read Wikipedia
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,898
    Whether Trump is serious or not about withdrawing from NATO is really not the point. The point is what used to be the adult in the room against whom the others could kick off and protest whilst remaining under their protection is now having tantrums itself.

    The US faces a challenge to its global supremacy from China. Russia is not a threat. In fact, post Putin, it is a potential ally as they have at least as much to worry about so far as China is concerned as the US, arguably more.

    Europeans have an enormously inflated sense of their own importance based on historical power, the impact that they had in the 19th and 20th centuries and the perception of soft power that they still have. In fact they are increasingly irrelevant and it is not obvious why the US should spend any of its resources protecting them from not very serious threats.

    Which is fine. Being in the centre of history is rarely comfortable. Being a backwater will mean less Europeans dead, less money spent on arms and fewer reasons for the discontent of the world to have a go at us. Personally, I think we should take Trump at his word and begin the process of dismantling NATO. But then, I don't live in the Baltic States or Poland.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754
    I thought that saving the union was the one achievement of the snap election?? Don't tell me even that was a failure.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,160
    Roger said:

    Trump's press conference is a tour de force as he addresses lots of issues

    I don't believe I have said that


    I've heard retirees aren't averse to a drop of sherry for elevenses.

    When you sober up you'll realise what he's saying and ow he's saying it would embarrass a 10 year old from Hartlepool
    Don't drink Roger - He is very powerful and does identify the issues but of course he is a maverick and very disruptive
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    I only popped back to see what you all thought of the Chequers document, however it seems that WW1 trench warfare continues ...

    Thanks for the welcomes and +1s

    It's not been published yet, has it? Ah, I see ConHome has a leaked draft.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Yorkcity said:

    Charles said:

    rkrkrk said:

    ydoethur said:

    Roger said:

    I am surprised-almost shocked-that 20% of voters would want a creature like Trump as British PM. Having said that after Brexit there's nothing the Britsh electorate could do that should really surprise me.

    That's surprising, but only on the low side. Only last year 39.99% of the British public voted for our answer to Trump. If you include Arlene Foster as a sort of pale imitation that figure would be higher.
    Ahh yes the party with the actual Trump supporters isn't representing Trump but the one opposing them...

    It is sort of the non Godwin breaking version of everyone I don't like is Hitler.
    Corbyn to me is the opposite of Trump in almost everything. Whatever your view on his politics that seems to me to be utterly obvious.

    He is polite, respectful, humble, anti-big business, in favour of higher taxes especially fr the wealthy, defender of civil liberties, totally opposed to torture, spend less on military, very stubborn in his views, prefers negotiation to conflict. He is loathed by our equivalents to Fox News. Its impossible to imagine him mocking a disabled reporter or calling for a Muslim ban to the UK.
    Both liars, move on from marriages when it suits them and are friends of the Russians.
    What has Corbyn lied about ?
    Dissembling and sophistry rather than lying, possibly, about his relationships with Islamic radicals, Irish terrorists and anti-semites
  • glwglw Posts: 9,916

    Trump's speaking is very repetitive. He says the same thing over and over again with only minor variation. Presumably he's leaned to do this from his television days to make life easier for the editors.

    I don't think he's doing anything to make any lives easier, Trump's manner of speaking is due to him being inarticulate and stupid.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Nigelb said:

    As I've said before, narcissist and reflexive liar.
    Potus or Peston?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,754

    I only popped back to see what you all thought of the Chequers document, however it seems that WW1 trench warfare continues ...

    Thanks for the welcomes and +1s

    It's not been published yet, has it? Ah, I see ConHome has a leaked draft.
    They have a leak of the David Davis alternative... It's not exactly impressive.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Alistair said:

    Charles said:

    HYUFD said:

    ydoethur said:

    Is that it, really? It’s not to give people better lives and opportunities? The point is to be sovereign whatever that entails.

    Did Indian (or Irish, or Jamaican, or Ghanaian) independence improve people's life chances, boost the economy, or get rid of corruption? No. In many cases, it made matters worse - two of those examples plunged into civil war on independence. But they took the Asquithian principle that self-government is better than good governance. So do Leavers.
    Recently I've been thinking the example of the formation of the Irish free state is relevant to what we are seeing here. In 1921 there wasn't a valid economic argument to be made against Ireland's continued membership of the UK, in fact Ireland was economically disadvantaged by this choice for 50 years. It just came down to a question of identity.

    The internal battles in the conservative party echo the pro and anti treaty forces in 1920s. Let's hope we can do it without blood.
    The difference is the EU is not yet a country and the UK had stayed out of most of the most Federal bits like the Euro and Schengen. In 1921 the UK the Irish Free State broke away from was very much a country
    There's also the whole Ireland being incorporated into the United Kingdom by force and losing 2/3 of its population to famine and emigration aspect. Quite different to a voluntary union.
    It was incorporated into the UK through a vote by the Irish Parliament.
    Which definitely reflected the will of the people. Most of whom couldn't vote.
    It reflected the will of the electorate at the time. Of course this was in an era of restricted franchise.

    On your methodology, for example, it's arguable that Catholic Emancipation didn't reflect the "will of the people"
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,307
    dr_spyn said:

    Nigelb said:

    As I've said before, narcissist and reflexive liar.
    Potus or Peston?
    LOL
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,222
    AndyJS said:

    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    52m52 minutes ago

    UK, Survation poll:

    Scottish Independence Referendum

    18-24 | YES 71%, NO 29%
    25-34 | YES 63%, NO 37%
    35-44 | YES 54%, NO 46%
    45-54 | YES 46%, NO 54%
    55-64 | YES 36%, NO 64%
    65+ | YES 31%, NO 69%

    Overall: YES 47%, NO 53%

    Field work: 05/07/18–10/07/18
    Sample size: 1,002
    #indyref2 #Brexit #ScotRef"

    Do people become more unionist as they age ?
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    edited July 2018
    GDPs in Trillions of USD

    US 18.57
    EU 20.9
    China 11.2

    Well, what do you know?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited July 2018
    Roger said:

    Roger said:

    So that EU Army isn’t looking such a bad idea now.

    Another barrier to our rejoining the EU in the next decade is being removed.

    I would think it appropriate that the largest economy in the world should think about running its own defence
    It already does. It also pays for the free loading Europeans.

    Why do so many pro Europeans repeat the myth that Europe is the world's largest economy? By any credible metric it isn't.

    Even pre Brexit the USA has a bigger economy than Europe. By PPP so does China.
    We read Wikipedia
    Wikipedia puts the EU as smaller than the USA.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
This discussion has been closed.